EURJPY IDEA After seeing the previous day close with bullish momentum we could expect continued push to the upside but since the 4hr is trading at a HH area a slight retrace could occur before the next bullish move to the upside
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBPUSD ANALYSIS After seeing the previous day close bearish we can expect the market to continue in to support area of 133.750 but a slight retracement could be in play before further push down
GBPCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.85500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.04
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
WIF/USDT: Dog back on track?WIF is building a "Cup And Handle" pattern alongside a (hopefully) last trendline, Trendline 1.
That breakout would lead back to the main keylevel, which is also the neckline of a H&S formation on a higher timeframe. To make it even more funny, that H&S is "the handle" of a even bigger cup n handle pattern on the next HTF.
So the break of trendline 1 might bring us to the keylevel, and that might start the H&S being "priced".
USD/JPY sell opportunity approaching?USD/JPY is approaching previous swing high and resistance zone.
Bullish closure above the swing high (148.031) could indicate further push up.
Failure to close above swing high (bullish candle tapping into it, but only with the wig) and second bearish candle closing below the previous bullish opens sell opportunity.
SELL IDEA
entry: 147.928
SL: 148.196
TP: 145.970 (around 0.618 Fib retracement)
Potential second TP at 145.378 (0.5 Fib retracement).
PLEASE NOTE THIS IS ONLY AN IDEA
I am not a professional trader, but learning to analyse and looking to share ideas and get feedback.
Mid-Session Market InsightsMid-Session Market Insights
In today's session, I'm closely monitoring eight different futures markets: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro Dollar, Yen Dollar, and Aussie Dollar.
S&P 500: We're seeing a rotational pattern within the prior day's value area and the CVA. I'm eyeing long opportunities from the prior value area low up to the high.
NASDAQ 100: The market is a bit choppy around the PVA and CVA highs, with a slight upward intraday trend. I'm staying cautious here.
Russell 2000: Also choppy, but we've got acceptance within the CVA. I'm looking for long opportunities from the CVA low, which aligns with the prior day's low.
Euro Dollar: I'm currently short from the CVA high, with the first target at the prior day's low. We've broken below the prior value area, so I'll trail this trade and see how it develops.
Yen Dollar: It’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I took a short below the CVA and prior day's low, got stopped out, but it was still a decent setup.
Aussie Dollar: I took some long positions that weren't the best setups, as it was quite choppy near the CVA high and prior day's low. Lesson learned for next time.
Crude Oil: I took a short from the CVA and PVA highs, hit my target at the low of those areas, and we’re currently hovering around that level.
EURUSD Short re entry, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
3 hours ago
Trade active
We got an 1mBOS from the 15m POI
Got 2 entry points now : The one from the 5m OB marked out on the photo and one at the lower 5m that created the break. Will see what happens
EURUSD Short, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
AAVE IDEA JUL11-25So here is a quick one
Let’s see how this OB works in seach of short-term liquidity 💪
Verizon May Be Rolling OverVerizon Communications has been rangebound for more than a year, and now some traders could think it’s rolling over.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the May 2022 low of $45.55. VZ fell below that level in late 2022 and rebounded to it by mid-2024. The stock has been stuck below the same level since, including a rejection in March. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, prices have slipped below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The two SMAs are also close to each other. Those points may reflect weakening longer-term trends.
Third, the telecom stock has made lower highs since April -- even as the broader market broke out to new all-time highs.
Next, VZ just had its lowest weekly close since February. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that bearishness is taking hold in the short term.
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Capital Flow Outlook – BTC Leads, Alts Await a SignalOver the past two quarters, Tether's (USDT) market cap has expanded by over 66%, rising from ~$95B in late 2024 to ~$159.5B by mid-July 2025. This confirms a strong capital injection into the crypto space — reminiscent of early bull market cycles.
But where that capital flows tells the deeper story:
USDT.D is in a clean downtrend, showing that capital is actively rotating out of stables — a risk-on signal.
BTC.D continues climbing, confirming Bitcoin as the primary recipient of inflows. While the current move hasn’t reached exhaustion, the nearest potential reversal point is the weekly volume imbalance at ~67.5%.
Should that level fail to trigger a reaction, the next major reversal zone lies near 73% — the last known macro ceiling for dominance.
ETH.D has shown a structural shift, bouncing from a key macro low with a clear Change in State of Delivery (CSD). A revisit to the April high around 8.55% is looking increasingly likely.
SOL.D is fighting for structure, having reacted to a mid-point imbalance situated in the discount zone. This positioning is favorable for buyers, but structurally it still leans toward sweeping the April low at 2.13% before a valid CSD can form.
---
🧠 Conclusion:
While capital is clearly flowing back into the market, Bitcoin remains the primary destination. Until we see:
A reaction or rejection at BTC.D reversal zones
ETH.D continuing upward toward prior range highs
And SOL.D confirming a structural shift from discount
...a full altseason expansion remains premature.
> The capital is here — but the rotation isn’t.
Altseason is still brewing — and could take the rest of the year to fully materialize.
— Silent Edge
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GBPUSD SELL After seeing the previous weekly candle close bearish and the daily trading below the moving average and 4hr structure pointing to the down side we could see a continuation of the move to the downside into next areas of weekly support
EURJPY ANALYSIS After seeing the previous weekly candle close bullish and the past few weeks pushing to the upside we could expect the momentum to continue into weekly highs of 175.000
GBPUSD| - Bullish BiasHTF Overview (4H): Strong bullish structure in play, with multiple highs being broken and momentum firmly to the upside. Price is clearly respecting bullish order flow, suggesting continuation.
MTF Refinement (30M): Identified a 30M OB aligned with the trend. Waiting for price to mitigate this zone, as it could serve as the springboard for the next impulsive leg up.
Execution Plan: Once the 30M OB is mitigated, I’ll drop to LTF (1M/5M) to watch for confirmation — CHoCH, BOS, or microstructure shift — before executing longs.
Mindset: Bull momentum is intact — patience and confirmation are key to riding it with precision.
Bless Trading!
USDJPY| - Bullish Play Within Bearish HTF ContextHTF Overview (4H): Structure is still technically bearish, with buy-side liquidity (BSL) untouched and a major 4H supply OB unmitigated above. Expecting price to seek out that zone before any full reversal.
MTF Refinement (30M): Refined structure shows a potential bullish leg forming to push toward the 4H supply. Price is reaching for nearby sell-side liquidity (SSL), acting as inducement.
Execution Plan: Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL. Once that occurs and the 30M OB is mitigated, I’ll drop to LTF (1M/5M) to confirm bullish intent with CHoCH or BOS before executing a long.
Mindset: Playing the internal bullish wave with precision while respecting higher timeframe narrative. Quick to react if the HTF bias reasserts itself.
Bless Trading!
XAUUSD (GOLD) - Bullish BiasHTF Overview (4H): Structure remains bullish after a recent break of highs. Liquidity above was taken, followed by a clean mitigation of a 4H OB — signaling strength and smart money continuation.
MTF Refinement (30M): Aligned with the bullish narrative, 30M shows price is likely reaching for nearby sell-side liquidity before resuming the upward move. Watching for price to sweep that liquidity zone next.
Execution Plan: Once the 30M OB is mitigated, I’ll drop to the 1M/5M for internal structure shifts — CHoCH or BOS — to confirm long entry.
Mindset: Not chasing — letting liquidity play its role and waiting for the OB + confirmation confluence before executing.
Bless Trading!
GBPJPY - Bullish BiasHTF Overview (4H): Price broke bullish structure with clean directional intent. Order flow remains aligned to the upside with no immediate signs of weakness.
MTF Refinement (30M): Zoomed into 30M for deeper structure clarity. Observing price actively reaching for sell-side liquidity (SSL) below a key low — a classic inducement setup forming.
Execution Plan: Waiting for a liquidity sweep below the SSL. Once swept, I’ll monitor the nearby 30M OB for mitigation. LTF confirmations (1M/5M CHoCH or BOS) will be needed before committing to a long entry.
Mindset: Patience over prediction — let liquidity do its job, then ride with smart money.
Bless Trading!
NASDAQ - Bullish BiasHTF Overview: 4H shows strong bullish intent with momentum driving price higher. Clear upside direction supported by sustained breaks in structure.
Liquidity Note: Noticed a key liquidity zone beneath current price (marked in blue). Although deeper mitigation was possible, price remained bullish.
MTF Refinement (30M): Dropped to the 30M for structural clarity and saw an earlier reaction. A bullish OB was formed and respected — now monitoring it for a potential mitigation.
LTF Execution Plan: If the 30M OB is revisited, I’ll be looking to the 1M/5M for confirmation (CHoCH or BOS) before executing long positions.
Mindset: Momentum is with the bulls — just waiting for smart money to confirm their next move.
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD| - Bullish BiasHTF Context: Noted a clear break of structure to the upside, signaling strong bullish intent. Originally expected a deeper liquidity grab, but price shifted before reaching lower zones.
MTF Refinement: Dropped down to the 30M for better alignment — spotted a liquidity sweep confirming smart money interest.
LTF Execution Plan: Now watching for mitigation of the 30M OB. Once tapped, I’ll look for internal structure shift (1M/5M BOS or CHoCH) to confirm continuation.
Mindset: Staying patient — if price wants higher, it should respect this OB and show its hand first.
Bless Trading!
July 2025 - Internet computer ICP ;-(Every other week Without Worries is asked for his thoughts on Internet Computer project. It is very clear a number of folks are invested and for a few it is the only crypto token they hold.
Disclaimer . Without Worries does not hold or trade this crypto token. My opinion is impartial.
Two questions every trader or investor must ask themselves before exposure to any asset:
What is the trend?
Support or resistance, which is it?
To not answer either or even ignore the answers; that is to ignore the facts of the chart. You’re here to make money, nothing else.
The questions are best answered on a higher time frame where possible, especially a time frame where market pivots align with the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
Question 1, what is the trend?
Start by looking left, on both Price action and RSI. The first lower high is observed in tandem with a lower high in RSI. This trend is matched in RSI as lower lows in price action and RSI break legacy support. This is clearly a downtrend.
Question 2, Support or resistance, which is it?
As before, look left. Typically best to start with higher timeframes. Support levels are identified by observing historical price charts where the asset has repeatedly stopped falling and reversed upwards. Similarly, resistance levels are identified by observing historical price action where the asset has repeatedly stopped rising and reversed downwards. These levels are often marked by previous swing highs, areas where the price has consolidated, or psychological round numbers (blue and red arrows).
It is fairly clear price action on the above chart now finds resistance on past support.
Bonus observation
With questions 1 and 2 both answered, it is clear future price action favours a bearish outlook on the macro outlook. A long term bear flag has established, now awaiting confirmation. That confirmation shall be a print of rejection from the underside of the flag, which will also be an additional lower high around $10. It is entirely possible (and is often the situation for flags to print their forecasts without confirmation!). After the confirmation price action will begin its decent towards 60 cents.
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