NASDAQ 100 CFD
NAS100 (CASH100) SHORT - Double Top H8Risk/reward = 4.6
Entry price = 23 063
Stop loss price = 23 190
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 635
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 303
Still waiting for confirmation on some variables.
For example, need H8 candle to close in range and volume to validate, amongst other variables.
NQ Weekly Recap-Projection 13.07.2025NQ Weekly Recap + Outlook
1️⃣ Recap:
NQ made a new All-Time High, but the breakout ended up being a deviation. Price got rejected and started pulling back.
This signals potential weakness and suggests price may want to explore lower levels.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
📍Target: Daily Swing low (Blue line)
📍Deeper target: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Purple zone)
I’ll look for LTF confirmations around these zones to position for potential longs.
3️⃣ Bullish Catalyst Watch:
There’s increasing speculation that Powell may resign this week.
If that happens, we could see:
✅ Strong bullish momentum
✅ Little to no retracement
✅ Immediate push into new ATHs
Weekly Plan Summary:
🔸 Scenario 1 - Pullback Continuation:
Look for reactive long setups at Daily Swing or W FFVG zone.
🔸 Scenario 2 - Powell Resignation:
Expect a breakout move with momentum — potentially no retrace.
Stay nimble. Trade what the chart confirms, not what the news promises.
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks.
Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias:
Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum.
AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists .
Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors.
Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market.
"Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors.
Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index.
Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility:
Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices.
Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869).
Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints.
Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance.
Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged.
Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq.
Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back.
Key Levels to Watch (Approximate):
Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high).
Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled).
In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola.
This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks.
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NAS100 Nasdaq Range-Bound: What Traders Should Watch Next US100I'm currently keeping a close eye on the Nasdaq 🧠📊, which is trading within a range-bound structure 📉📈. While we’re seeing some bullish momentum on the NAS100 4-hour chart today ⏱️📈, it’s nothing particularly strong or decisive just yet. I’m waiting for a clear break 🔓 either above or below this current range before considering any trading opportunities 🎯.
In this US100 chart 🖼️, I’ve highlighted key components such as price action, market structure, the prevailing trend, and other important elements of technical analysis 🧩📐.
⚠️ Please remember: this is a market analysis and reflects my personal opinion — not a trade recommendation. Always do your own due diligence 🕵️♂️ before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
Is the Nasdaq in a bubble?On the monthly timeframe, there are no signs of an over-extended, parabolic condition for the Nasdaq Composite(IXIC).
It's interesting to note that for a 25 year period from 1974 to 1999 the overall trend was roughly a positive 23 degree angled climb. We see that again in the current 16 year trend that started in 2009.
Much steeper parabolic periods can be seen in shorter time frames like the 1998-2000 move, where the angle reached 70 degrees. That didn't end well. It's also worth noting that in 1982 and 2020 we saw similar behavior, though slightly less frothy. Both of those periods were also followed by significant retracements.
Maybe we are at the beginning of one of those multi-month, over-extended runs. But not seeing it today. If we are trading at 45,000 or more in 2026, that's a different story...
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the NDX - NASDAQ 100 INDEX. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
Set alerts! Don’t miss the heist.
🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
Bullish momentum is fueling this heist—ride the wave but exit before the trap!
📰 Fundamental Backing (Why This Heist Works)
Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
Full analysis? Check 👉🔗🌎
⚠️ Trading Alerts (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = danger).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and dodge sudden reversals.
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NASDAQ going to 23500 by August.Nasdaq (NDX) is trading above the previous All Time High (ATH) Resistance, staging a very structured uptrend that has recently gotten out of a 1D Golden Cross.
As long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, we might get a repeat of the November - December 2024 rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level from he August 2024 Low.
That whole July - October 2024 pattern is quite similar to the February - June 2025 of today. A quick pull-back is possible at this stage but by the end of August, we expect the index to test at least the 23500 level.
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NASDAQ price dropAfter the Nasdaq price reaches around 23642.2, a historic drop will occur and the target is to drop to 16308.
Whatever happens at the highest price, the final destination is towards 16308.
I have identified the price levels in the middle of this expected drop that can cause the price to correct.
IG:NASDAQ
NASDAQ: Almost overbought but with no stop on this uptrend.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.420, MACD = 402.410, ADX = 22.800) but the current bullish wave shows no signs of stopping yet. The Channel Up since the April bottom indicates that a +9.50% rise is very likely before the next technical pullback, especially as long as the 1D MA50 is holding. Stay long, TP = 23,400.
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10 Small-Cap Biotechs with Key Catalysts for 2025 July List________________________________________
🔬 10 Small-Cap Biotechs with Key Catalysts for 2025 July List
________________________________________
1. Allogene Therapeutics (NASDAQ: ALLO)
• Catalyst: Phase 2 data for ALLO-501A (anti-CD19 CAR-T for large B-cell lymphoma) expected in H2 2025; potential pivotal data could lead to regulatory submission.
• Highlights: “Off-the-shelf” allogeneic CAR-T approach could transform cell therapy; watch for manufacturing/scalability updates.
________________________________________
2. Lixte Biotechnology (NASDAQ: LIXT)
• Catalyst: Phase 2 combo trial of LB-100 (PP2A inhibitor) + immunotherapy in solid tumors, with key data expected in late 2025.
• Highlights: If efficacy signals emerge, could prompt partnerships or additional trials.
________________________________________
3. Iovance Biotherapeutics (NASDAQ: IOVA)
• Catalyst: Commercial launch and sales uptake for AMTAGVI (lifileucel, first FDA-approved TIL therapy in advanced melanoma); upcoming label expansion studies in lung and cervical cancer.
• Highlights: Investor focus on launch ramp, real-world data, and new trial initiations in 2025.
________________________________________
4. RenBio (NASDAQ: RENB)
• Catalyst: Phase 1/2 data for RB-100 (bispecific antibody platform in solid tumors) expected mid-to-late 2025.
• Highlights: Pipeline progress and partnership announcements possible.
________________________________________
5. IGM Biosciences (NASDAQ: IGMS)
• Catalyst: Phase 2 data for IGM-2323 (CD20 x CD3 bispecific in non-Hodgkin lymphoma) expected early 2025; ongoing updates from IgM antibody platform.
• Highlights: Investor interest in clinical safety, efficacy, and potential for big pharma tie-ups.
________________________________________
6. Zura Bio (NASDAQ: ZURA)
• Catalyst: Phase 2b/3 trial start and topline data for tibulizumab (IL-7Ra mAb for autoimmune diseases) expected late 2025.
• Highlights: Focus on rare and orphan autoimmune indications.
________________________________________
7. INmune Bio (NASDAQ: INMB)
• Catalyst: Phase 2 Alzheimer’s data (XPro1595, targeting neuroinflammation) and oncology pipeline updates expected H1 2025.
• Highlights: Any signal in Alzheimer’s is high-impact; monitoring for FDA guidance.
________________________________________
8. Veru Inc (NASDAQ: VERU)
• Catalyst: Phase 3 trial results for enobosarm (oral SARM) in advanced breast cancer expected 2025; also, COVID/sepsis drug updates.
• Highlights: Regulatory clarity and partnership/M&A rumors are potential drivers.
________________________________________
9. Century Therapeutics (NASDAQ: IPSC)
• Catalyst: First-in-human data for iPSC-derived NK and CAR-T cell therapies, with updates expected at major meetings in 2025.
• Highlights: Platform validation and early efficacy/safety signals.
________________________________________
10. ProKidney (NASDAQ: PROK)
• Catalyst: Phase 3 pivotal data for REACT (cell therapy for chronic kidney disease/diabetes) due late 2025.
• Highlights: If positive, could become the first autologous cell therapy for kidney disease.
________________________________________
🔎 How to Monitor These Catalysts
• FDA submissions/meetings (ALLO, PROK, VERU)
• Clinical trial readouts (LIXT, RENB, IGMS, ZURA, INMB, IPSC)
• Commercial/launch data (IOVA)
• Partnership/M&A activity (IGMS, VERU, RENB)
________________________________________
📊 Summary Table
Ticker Company Upcoming Catalyst/Event Timeframe
ALLO Allogene Therapeutics Phase 2 LBCL CAR-T pivotal data H2 2025
LIXT Lixte Biotechnology LB-100 + immunotherapy Phase 2 data Late 2025
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics AMTAGVI launch data; label expansions Throughout 2025
RENB RenBio Bispecifics Phase 1/2 data Mid-to-late 2025
IGMS IGM Biosciences IGM-2323 Phase 2 data (lymphoma) Early 2025
ZURA Zura Bio Tibulizumab Phase 2b/3 topline data Late 2025
INMB INmune Bio Alzheimer’s/oncology trial updates H1 2025
VERU Veru Inc Enobosarm Phase 3 (breast cancer) 2025
IPSC Century Therapeutics First-in-human iPSC cell therapy data 2025
PROK ProKidney REACT Phase 3 (CKD) pivotal readout Late 2025
________________________________________
⚠️ Word of Caution
Small-cap biotech stocks can be extremely volatile, especially around catalyst events (trial data, FDA decisions). Sharp price swings—both up and down—are common. Always conduct your own research and be aware of the risks.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis **
EOD accountability report: +1160
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success**
9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check:
11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check:
12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
RTY and YM leading the way today
NQ lagging
Why is this?
The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory.
Money has to come from somewhere.
If Money is going to YM and RTY,
Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both.
There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it
Why would it drain from NQ? Easy
Because NQ and ES already hit ATH,
YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet.
So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount
News
N/A
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ:
Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally.
From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index.
While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
NASDAQ Possible short-term pull-back.Last time we analyzed Nasdaq (NDX) was a week ago (June 23, see chart below), giving a comfortable buy signal as the price was rebounding at the bottom of the 6-week Channel Up:
The price hit our 22300 Target and has now touched the top of the Channel Up. Based on the 4H RSI, it resembles the May 15 price action, which soon after pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
It is possible to see such relief profit taking on the short-term and a test of 22200 (Fib 0.382).
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US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT
Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢
Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐
🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA
Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! �
Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀
Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴☠️📉
Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁.
This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉.
💡 Here’s my suggestion:
Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low.
🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through.
⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything.
I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬
Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
Nvidia & Nasdaq History - What you need to know!Record-high share price: NVDA hit a new all-time high as U.S. stock markets rallied and Wall Street analysts forecast continued upside
Nvidia is pushing towards the first ever $4 Trillion market cap.
Today it surpassed MSFT as the largest company in the world closing up over 4% on the session.
Micron earnings are adding extra fuel to the fire for semi conductors.
Short term picture for semis - they're very extended and need some consolidation.
Micron earnings: Revenue: $8.05 billion, up ~38% YoY, beating the ~$7.89 billion consensus
Data‑center revenue: Tripled YoY, powered by surging demand for high‑bandwidth memory (HBM)
HBM sales: Exceeded $1 billion, growing over 50% sequentially
Strong margin and revenue beat; robust cash flow (~$857 million free cash flow) with a solid balance sheet ($9.6 billion in liquidity)
NASDAQ: Short-lived pullback ahead of major breakout.Nasdaq has entered strong bullish territory on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.290, MACD = 331.080, ADX = 18.600). Despite that, it remains inside a slow moving Channel Up for the past month in contrast to the more aggressive bullish waves of the Channel Up in April and May. The 4H RSI peak may be similar to May 12th and April 24th. We believe that at least a +9.69% rally will emerge to approach the top of this 3 month Channel Up. Stay bullish, TP = 23,400.
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Nasdaq All-Time Highs, S&P Close, Blast Off or Breakdown?What an incredible melt-up since April 7 lows in the US markets.
Trump vs Musk - ignored
Iran vs Israel - ignored
High Valuations - ignored
FED Pausing - ignored
The US economy is resilient and it's a good thing because the world is performing really well (EX-US). Europe/China/India/Emerging Markets are outperforming the US by 15-16% YTD
The USD is having one its worst years ever in 2025
Gold, Silver, Bitcoin are great diversifiers in my opinion for 2025
Oil prices are incredibly volatile and energy stocks and commodities in turn are showing
volatility and big swings
As we near end of month and end of Q2, I have to believe the market is due for a small pause or pullback sooner rather than later - but we'll see
Thanks for watching!!!
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.