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Nifty Closes Below 25,000 — What Lies Ahead?The Indian market's recent uptrend appears to be losing momentum, as the benchmark Nifty index extended its decline for the third consecutive week, ending just below the important 25,000 mark. This pullback has been largely driven by weakness in the Financial and IT sectors, with major players like NSE:TCS , NSE:HCLTECH , and NSE:AXISBANK posting disappointing earnings. From a technical perspective, the index is now approaching a key support zone near 24,900. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a further slide towards 24,500. Open Interest (OI) data reinforces this view, with the 25,000–24,900 zone seeing the highest put writing, marking it as an immediate support area. On the upside, strong call writing at 25,100 and 25,200 on Friday suggests these levels will act as immediate resistance. Given the current structure, the outlook for the coming week remains neutral to bearish. Traders are advised to stay cautious, manage risk effectively, and keep a close watch on these crucial levels.

Nifty Analysis EOD – June 23, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 23, 2025 – Monday 🔴 👊 Tug of War Between Optimism and Pessimism Nifty opened with a sharp 140-point gap-down, weighed by geopolitical tensions and negative news cues. The mood was clearly pessimistic — yet, from the deep low of 24,824.85, bulls made a bold comeback. What followed was a classic textbook reversal:Price clawed back up, cutting through multiple key resistances — S1, VWAP, CDH, CPR BC, and Central CPR — before kissing the CPR TC, where it marked the day high at 25,057. This level acted as a supply zone and pushed Nifty back down toward the CPR BC, where it managed to close above the open — a quiet victory for the bulls, even in a red session overall. The level 24,825 has now proven itself once again — the market’s respect for this support zone grows stronger with every bounce. Today’s candle was a spinning top-style doji and also formed an inside bar, with all movement inside Friday’s wide-range candle (352 pts). Despite a smaller 232-point range today, this still requires caution — inside bars after large-range candles often result in false breakouts, especially amid macro noise. 📌 When the world looks bearish, and the chart looks bullish — trust your system.And that’s exactly what I did today — sticking to the Gladiator Strategy, a simple, disciplined intraday price action-based option buying framework. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,939.75 High: 25,057.00 Low: 24,824.85 Close: 24,971.90 Change: −140.50 (−0.56%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 32.15 pts (small green body) Upper Wick: 85.10 pts Lower Wick: 114.90 pts 🔍 Interpretation Despite a lower close than Friday, it was a green-bodied candle (close > open). Long lower wick shows strong buying near 24,825. Long upper wick signals resistance near 25,050–25,060. 🕯 Candle Type 📍 Spinning Top with Long Wicks — Sign of indecision, but slight bullish bias due to buying off the lows. 📌 Key Insight Support at 24,825 holds strong. Upper rejection near 25,050 indicates tight overhead pressure. Watch closely: Break above 25,060 → May trigger bullish continuation. Break below 24,820 → Could open downside to 24,735–24,660 zone. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 254.95 IB Range: 163.25 → Medium IB Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced Trades Triggered: 🟢 10:14 AM – Long Trade → ✅ Target Achieved (Trailing Exit, R:R 1:4.51) 🔴 2:16 PM – Short Signal → ❌ Discarded (RR not favorable) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 24,980 ~ 25,000 25,060 ~ 25,080 25,125 ~ 25,150 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,285 Support Levels 24,965 24,894 ~ 24,882 24,825 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,735 ~ 24,725 💭 Final Thoughts Markets are currently walking a tightrope — with bearish headlines on one side and bullish price action on the other.The Gladiator approach today helped sidestep the noise and focus on what matters: price structure and clean levels. 📌 Trade the chart, not the news. And when in doubt — zoom out. 🧠 “Uncertainty is the playground of the disciplined.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.

Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty & S&P 500 Outlook The Nifty closed the week at 24,853, down 166 points from the previous week's close. It traded within a range of 25,062 (high) and 24,462 (low) — perfectly aligning with our forecasted zone of 24,450 – 25,600. On the weekly chart, the index formed an inside candle pattern, signaling consolidation. Positives: Despite the dip, Nifty continues to hold above the critical support level of 23,800, keeping the medium-term bullish structure intact. Key Levels to Watch for Next Week: High/Low to mark: 25,116 – 24,378 Breakout above 25,116 can lead to tests of 25,329 and 25,500 (resistance zones). Breakdown below 24,378 could retest 23,800 and 23,600. A weekly close below 23,800 could spell trouble for bulls, opening doors for deeper correction towards 22,800 and 22,100. Trend Analysis: Monthly Timeframe: Bearish Daily Timeframe: Turned Bearish Weekly Timeframe: Still Bullish Conclusion: Stay cautious below 24,378 — volatility may rise if this level is breached. S&P 500 Weekly Snapshot: The S&P 500 ended the week at 5,802, down 156 points. Once again, it faced stiff resistance around the 5,980 mark — a historically significant level where the index began its downward move in March 2025. Geopolitical Impact: Markets remain jittery amid escalating global trade tensions and Trump’s tariff war, likely keeping volatility high over the next 2–3 weeks. Key Support Zones: Immediate support at 5,700 Close below 5,700 may trigger declines to 5,551, 5,458 (key Fibonacci support), and 5,392 Bullish Breakout Scenario: Sustained close above 6,000 is required to resume bullish momentum Upside targets: 6,013, 6,082, 6,147 (All-Time High), and potentially 6,225 Final Takeaway: Both Nifty and S&P 500 are at critical junctures. With technical patterns pointing to mixed signals and geopolitical events adding fuel to volatility, traders should stay alert and focus on key breakout and breakdown levels.

Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility Ahead The Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923. As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement. Key Technical Levels: Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum. Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414. On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities. Pro Tip: Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.

Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher. Here’s what to watch for: Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up. Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500. Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well. Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.