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Niftytrend

#Nifty50 Market Update: A Week of Volatility and Uncertainty The #Nifty50 closed at 23,519, marking a 170-point rise from last week's close, after hitting a high of 23,869 and a low of 23,412. As anticipated last week, once Nifty managed to sustain above the crucial 23,300 level, it surged to a high of 23,869, before retracing to close at 23,519. However, this week’s market candle formed a Dragonfly Doji, indicating that bears continue to hold control, as concerns over the financial year-end and the looming uncertainty of Trump's new tariff policy, set to take effect on April 2, dampened market sentiment. With the market facing such pressure, it's crucial to consider the potential volatility for next week, as the market will be truncated due to the Eid holiday on Monday. As a result, Nifty could trade within a broad range of 24,000 to 23,000. For the next phase of an uptrend, Nifty must hold above 24,000, after which it could test higher levels of 24,200, 24,414 (a key Fibonacci level), and possibly 24,600. Looking at the broader market trends, the monthly time frame remains bearish, while the weekly is slightly bullish and the daily trend is bullish. If favorable conditions align, we may begin to see upward movement in Nifty and other indices by mid-April, though in the interim, we’ll likely need to weather the storm and remain patient with the bearish sentiment. S&P 500 Market Update: Testing Critical Support Levels The S&P 500 closed at 5,580, down about 90 points from the previous week's close, hitting a low of 5,572. With the index closing near its weekly low, it suggests downward pressure may persist into the next week, with potential support levels at 5,550 and 5,458 (another key Fibonacci level). A test of these levels could put additional strain on Indian markets as well, amplifying volatility. Overall, the market remains in a precarious position, and investors should brace for potential swings until more clarity emerges, especially with the geopolitical and policy risks at play.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY--@Manipulation??Nifty index is broken the trendline strongly... Before going to break price a strong consolidation is given with a lot of liquidity lies below it... @22400 levels now price is exactly at the zone of resistance. the resistance zone is lies at 24000-24300, after a strong movement to upside price is still not given any retracement... Case1:: I am expecting either a strong retracement towards trendline. the retracement should be in the form of correction with slower one. Corrective pullback:: Case2:: After the liquidity above the 24000 and 24300, price has to give some retracement.. If we buy here it will completely becomes a manipulation.... Buying above the resistance zone is also a manipulation on topside... If price breaks the resistance zone, then will wait for a correction towards the trendline areas. Note:: So in order to buy the breakout of trendline the stoploss placement is very large...so with large stoploss will never go for buying... the 2 possible buying areas are 1.breakout candle at the trendline 2.after the liquidity grab below the strong consolidation zone( before breakout of trendline.) we have manipulation on both sides....if we go for long price will make an attempt of retracement as lot of liquidity lies below. Better to look for short above the resistance zone(topside liquidity).If no retracement now.
NSE:NIFTY
by IIT-Trader
2
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Mar-2025📌 NIFTY Trading Plan – 28-Mar-2025 📊 Market Overview: Nifty closed at 23,601, consolidating within a No Trade Zone after a strong uptrend. The market is at a critical juncture, and the price action at key levels will determine the next directional move. This plan provides clear trade setups for different opening scenarios and helps you navigate market volatility with a structured approach. 🔼 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,700) A gap-up opening above 23,700 will push Nifty closer to the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (23,772). The key factor will be whether Nifty sustains above resistance or faces rejection. ✅ Plan of Action: If Nifty sustains above 23,772, it can move towards the next resistance at 23,931. A breakout above 23,931 could trigger a rally towards 24,000+, but watch for profit booking at higher levels. If price faces rejection at 23,772 and reverses, expect a pullback towards 23,650 → 23,600. A strong rejection here could lead to an intraday sell-off. Avoid fresh longs inside 23,700 – 23,772, as this area may act as a profit-booking zone. Wait for confirmation before taking trades. 🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-up is quickly filled within the first 15 minutes, it signals weak buying strength and increases the probability of an intraday correction. ⚖ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within ±100 points, around 23,600) A flat opening suggests indecision among traders, and the market will likely take direction after the first few candles. The best strategy is to trade breakouts or breakdowns from key levels. ✅ Plan of Action: Upside case: If Nifty breaks and sustains above 23,650, it may head towards 23,700 → 23,772. Observe the price action near resistance before taking fresh longs. Downside case: If Nifty breaks below 23,520, it could test 23,450 → 23,300. A breakdown below 23,300 will turn the trend bearish. Sideways caution: If Nifty remains inside the No Trade Zone (23,451 – 23,642), avoid taking trades as volatility could trap both buyers and sellers. 🎯 Pro Tip: In a flat opening scenario, wait for a clear 15-minute candle close above or below key levels before entering trades. 🔽 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,500) A gap-down below 23,500 could indicate profit booking or fresh selling pressure. The critical factor will be whether buyers defend key support zones. ✅ Plan of Action: If price sustains below 23,500, expect a decline towards 23,300. A breakdown below 23,300 may accelerate selling towards the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,136 – 23,300). If price finds support at 23,300 and rebounds, it may attempt a recovery towards 23,450 → 23,520. A strong close above 23,520 could shift momentum back to the bulls. Be cautious of bear traps – If the market gaps down but quickly recovers, it could trigger short covering, leading to an upside reversal. 🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-down occurs near a strong buyer’s support zone, wait for a bullish price action confirmation before entering long trades. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🔹 Avoid over-leveraging – Use proper position sizing to manage risk. 🔹 Theta Decay Awareness – If the market consolidates, option premiums will erode rapidly. 🔹 Use Spreads for Protection – Instead of naked options, use spreads to limit risk and improve probability. 🔹 Trade at Key Levels – Avoid impulsive trades; focus on defined support and resistance zones. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🟥 Resistance: 23,772 → 23,931 → 24,000 🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,451 – 23,642 🟩 Support: 23,520 → 23,300 → 23,136 🔸 Bullish Bias: Above 23,772, targeting 23,931 – 24,000 🔸 Bearish Bias: Below 23,500, expecting a fall towards 23,300 – 23,136 🔸 Neutral/Choppy: Inside 23,451 – 23,642, avoid unnecessary trades 🎯 Final Advice: Stick to the structured trading plan and execute only at key levels. Avoid emotional trading—wait for confirmation before entering trades. The first 15-30 minutes after market open will provide better clarity—observe price action before committing to a trade. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trades.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty finds a support just above Mother line and Mid-channel.Nifty has today found a good support just above Mother line of the hourly chart and Mid-channel support zone as it bounced from lows of the day near 23412 to close at 23591. Tomorrow being the weekly closing, monthly closing and financial yearly closing it become very important or one of the most important days for investment enthusiasts. A positive closing tomorrow will empower bulls in a lot of ways. The first support for Nifty will be at 23550. A very strong support zone for Nifty right now remains between 23412 and 23380. This zone includes today's low, mid channel support and mother line support. A closing below 23380 will bring bears back into action who can potentially drag Nifty again to 23145, 23003 or levels below 22801. Resistance zone for Nifty remains at 23646 today's high, 23670, 23778 and 23900. A closing above 23900 will empower bulls to take Nifty to higher levels of 24046, 24169 or 24378. As described earlier very important day tomorrow with shadow of the candle being neutral to positive. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY : Levels and Plan for 27-Mar-2025📊 Market Context: NIFTY closed at 23,464.30, experiencing a minor pullback after a previous uptrend. The index is currently at a crucial support zone, where price action will determine the next movement. Let’s analyze the plan for different opening scenarios and structure our trades accordingly. 🔼 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 23,590) A gap-up above 23,590 will place NIFTY near its Opening Resistance. This level is important because it has previously acted as a supply zone, and bulls need strong momentum to sustain above it. ✅ Plan of Action: If price sustains above 23,590, we can expect a bullish move towards the Last Intraday Resistance at 23,660. A breakout above this level may extend gains to 23,780+. If price gets rejected from 23,590 and starts reversing, look for a shorting opportunity, targeting 23,501 → 23,464. Avoid aggressive long trades inside the 23,590 – 23,660 zone unless there is a clear breakout with volume. 🎯 Pro Tip: If the gap-up is weak and fills within 15 minutes, it indicates profit booking, leading to a possible retracement. ⚖ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Within ±100 points, around 23,464) A flat opening suggests market indecision, requiring confirmation before entering a trade. ✅ Plan of Action: Upside case: If NIFTY breaks above 23,501, it can move towards 23,590. Observe price action at this level before deciding on further longs. Downside case: If NIFTY breaks below 23,464, expect a decline towards the Opening Support Zone (23,501 – 23,477). A breakdown below 23,477 could trigger a deeper fall to 23,297. Neutral Zone: If the index trades between 23,464 – 23,501, it indicates a choppy market. Avoid unnecessary trades here. 🎯 Pro Tip: A flat opening often leads to fake breakouts in the first 15 minutes. Wait for a strong candle close before entering a position. 🔽 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 23,350) A gap-down below 23,350 will put NIFTY near its Last Intraday Support Zone (23,297 – 23,343). If this level fails, further downside is possible. ✅ Plan of Action: If price sustains below 23,350, expect a test of 23,297. A breakdown here could lead to heavy selling towards 23,182 – 23,100 levels. If price rebounds from 23,297, it could trigger a pullback towards 23,464. Watch price action at 23,464 – 23,501 for signs of rejection or continuation. Be cautious of bear traps—if price quickly reverses after a sharp gap-down, it might indicate a short-covering rally. 🎯 Pro Tip: In a gap-down scenario, avoid panic selling. Watch for reversals from key support levels before initiating fresh shorts. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🔹 Avoid over-leveraging – Keep your position sizing disciplined to minimize potential losses. 🔹 Theta Decay Awareness – If the market consolidates, option premiums will erode quickly. 🔹 Hedge Your Trades – Use spreads instead of naked options to reduce risk. 🔹 Wait for Confirmation – Enter trades only after a breakout/breakdown is retested with volume. 📌 Summary & Conclusion 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🟥 Resistance: 23,590 → 23,660 → 23,780 🟧 No Trade Zone: 23,501 – 23,464 🟩 Support: 23,501 → 23,297 → 23,182 🔸 Bullish Bias: Above 23,590, targeting 23,660 – 23,780 🔸 Bearish Bias: Below 23,350, expecting a fall towards 23,297 – 23,182 🔸 Neutral/Sideways: If price remains between 23,501 – 23,464, avoid unnecessary trades. 🎯 Final Advice: Stick to the plan and trade only at key levels. Avoid trading inside No Trade Zones. Let the market settle for 15-30 minutes before making big moves. 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opned at 23700 and couldn’t go higher trading in a range for most part of the morning session, then saw selling pressure and tested 23450 and closed in neagtive at 23486 down -0.7% Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed Neagtive with some profit booking at highs. Candle Pattern: - Bullish Formed a Neagtive Bearish candle, Bearish untill recent highs taken out Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish 10dEMA 23176 20dEMA 22980 50dEMA 23136 200dEMA 24080 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA, Daily MA suggests Buy Hourly suggests Sell 15mins Suggests Strong Sell The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is now below 70 at 65 - not Overbought Momentum gaining towards Neutral to Positive Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23000 Immediate Support 22300-200 Immediate Resistance 22550 Major Resistance 23700, 24000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Sideways Consolidation with Negative bias Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw OI addition at 24000. 23600, 22500 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 23500, saw Pe unwinding at 23000 with no major PE addition PCR is 0.8 indicating mild Bearishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 33.5%/66.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions in longs & shorts remained unchanged -not Bearish Nifty Futures price was -.7% with 2.5% Decrease in OI indicating Shorts Additions Observation: Niftylooked below 23700 as it couldn’t find buyers and saw selling at highs to close weak below 23500 Overall Trend: Sentiment is Sideways cautious Outlook for Next Session: Nifty saw profit booking afrter 6-7 days of large upmove. Now in No trade Zone basically. Wait and watch for clear signal till 22300 or 22800 taken out Approach & Strategy: Wait and Watch with Long bias My Trades & Positions: No Positions
NSE:NIFTY
by Sandeep_CA
Nifty Coming back to test its supports.After a proper breakout and a rally which stretched above 1900 points from the March 4 lows, Nifty was clearly overbought on the hourly chart. It might be coming down for one or more of the following reasons: 1) Retesting support from where it can launch fresh move. 2) Correcting the RSI which had gone into the overbought zone. 3) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial year closing approaching on 28th March 2025. 3) The rally might have fizzled out. 4) Tax harvesting being done by retail investors. 5) Pressure due to upcoming Monthly and Financial The first 4 options seem to be more likely of the 5 points mentioned above. FII was again on the buying side today so DII and Retail were the major selling parties. Nifty Supports currently remain at: 1) Strong support zone of 23398 and 23309 (Hourly Mother Line support). This zone also includes the formidable mid channel support. 2) Next support is at 23145. 3) The next critical support for the rally remains at (Father line of the hourly chart) which is at 22959. 4) Final support for the rally will be at Channel bottom which is at 22801. Nifty Resistance currently are at: 1) 23602 which is now a resistance. 2) 23749 a formidable resistance. 3) Recent rally top at 23869. 4) The zone between 24071 and 24267. (The areas that can be new channel top). If you want to learn more about Mother, Father and the Small child theory designed by me about the stock market, Parallel Channels, charts, Candlestick analytics, Fundamental analysis, Mother and Father line importance, How to book profits, how to find a balance between Technical and fundamental analysis through Happy Candles Numbers, understand Behavioral Finance and other interesting topics by learning which you can make your money work harder you should read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION which is available on Amazon in paperback and kindle version. E-version of the same is available on Google Play Books too. More volatility can be expected int the next 2 days due to ongoing Ukraine-US-Russia announcements, Financial year expiry and Trump Tarif updates. Trade with caution. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyNifty opened Gap up +90 points and soon saw profit booking, again found buying and made high of 23870 and saw sell off to 23650 levsl to close flat at 22368. Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed Flat with some profit booking at highs. Candle Pattern: - Bullish Formed a Bearish candle, shpuld see tomorro’s candle for further direction. Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish 10dEMA 23105 20dEMA 22926 50dEMA 23036 200dEMA 23402 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA, Daily MA suggests Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.65 - Just Over Bought Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23300-200 Immediate Support 22500 Immediate Resistance 22700 Major Resistance 23800, 24000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Sideways Consolidation Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw OI addition at 24000. 23800, 23700 - Resistance Highest PE OI was at 23500, with no major PE addition PCR is 1 indicating indecisiveness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 33%/67% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish Nifty Futures price was flat with 3% OI Addition indicating Long Additions Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23500, saw profit booking at 23870. Might consolidate above 23500-600 for further move Overall Trend: Sentiment is Positive Sideways Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000 Approach & Strategy: Long around 23500-600 in April contract, with 23300 as SL My Trades & Positions: Long in 23600CE April contract
NSE:NIFTY
by Sandeep_CA
Good Trendline Breakout Candle by Nifty. Nifty has given a good break out above Father line (200 Days EMA) at 23399 and Long term trend line. This shows that Bulls have made a comeback and are out of Coma. However Bears can try to disrupt things later in the week. Important resistance zone of Nifty now is between 23708 and 23830. Crossing and closing above 23830 has potential for the rally to inch upwards towards next resistance levels at 24030 and 24215. The supports for Nifty now remain at 23399, 23109 and 23036. The sectors that are driving the rally are Banking (Both Private and Public sector), Finance, Public Sector Industries. Midcap, Smallcap, Infra, Pharma, Consumer Goods and some other sectors are also trying to catch up. Overall it has been a V shaped recovery. This week's closing will decide if the rally can turn out into full blown Bull run or not. Signs are ominous. Predicting exact top and exact bottom remains illusive. When People were calling for Doomsday scenario and 20K, 19K levels we have seen Nifty rising 1694 points from 4th March Low of 21964. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. No one can guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. The supports and resistances indicated are based on data which has a cycle time of being 3 months or older so it is not necessary that it will work. The author or Smart Investment will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Nifty opened Gap up +150 points again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23708 and closing at 23658 (+1.5%). Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.5% in positive. Consequtive 6 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 nad 200 dEMA Candle Pattern: - Bullish Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: Bullish 10dEMA 22979 20dEMA 22848 50dEMA 23036 200dEMA 23399 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma, 50DEMA and 200DEMA, Daily MA suggests Strong Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 71.5 - Just Over Bought Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23300-500 Immediate Support 22600 Immediate Resistance 22750 Major Resistance 24000 Trend: Short Term Trend is Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 24000 also saw some unwinding with huge Unwinding at 23600-500 highest - Support Highest PE OI was at 23300, highest Put addition seen at 23500 followed by 23600 - support PCR is 1.2 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 32.5%/67.5% indicating addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw littl3 addition in longs +2K with shorts unchanged -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher by 01.5% and 12.5 %OI Increase indicating Long Additions Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23550 forming daily positive green candles, closing above 10,20,50, 200dEMA and RSI just in overbought zone Overall Trend: Sentiment is very Positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23600, might consolidate above 23550 before another upmove to 24000 Approach & Strategy: Long with 22850 as SL in April contract, continue with SL 23500 My Trades & Positions: Long in 23200CE April, closed and moved to 23600CE April
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
Nifty Trading Stratgey for Option PlayersNifty Trading Strategy for the Week Ahead 📝✅ Nifty has recovered strongly from the 22,700–22,800 zone up to around 23,350. Momentum on the 1H chart is still pointing upward (higher highs and higher lows since early March). Max Pain: ⚠ The current Max Pain appears around 23,200–23,300. Price (≈23,350) is slightly above Max Pain. Often, option sellers benefit if the index settles near the Max Pain level by expiry; however, in a strong uptrend, price can remain above it. Open Interest (OI) & Change in OI:📊 Significant Put OI (and additions) around 23,200 and 23,000. This often implies a support zone. Noticeable Call OI at or above 23,500, which could act as a short-term resistance if price approaches that region. Put–Call Ratio (PCR): 📈📉 PCR is around 1.05–1.10, suggesting mildly bullish sentiment. A PCR > 1 usually means more puts are being sold or more call positions are being closed, implying the market is not aggressively bearish. However, an extremely high PCR can also hint at an overbought market, so it’s good to be cautious. 2. Possible Strategy 🧠 Given the uptrend and the supportive OI near 23,200, a buy-on-dips approach looks reasonable. However, be mindful of the overhead call OI around 23,500. Entry:💡 Buy (go long) near 23,300–23,280 Rationale: You’re buying close to the short-term support area (23,200–23,250) indicated by strong Put OI and near the Max Pain region. Target: 🎯 First Target: 23,450–23,500 Rationale: This zone is just below the big Call OI cluster, which could be the first significant resistance. Lock in partial profits here if the market moves up quickly. 2nd Target (if momentum is strong): 23,600 🎯🎯 Only consider holding for a higher target if you see follow-through buying and a breach of 23,500 on good volumes. Stop Loss: 🔴 Stop Loss: 23,200 (on a closing basis if you are trading intraday to multi-day) Rationale: A break below 23,200 would indicate that sellers are gaining control and that the put-writers’ support is failing.
NSE:NIFTY
by Trendxinc
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and Plan for 25-Mar-2025📊 Nifty Trading Plan – 24-Mar-2025 (Educational & Strategy-Oriented) Chart Timeframe: 15-Min | Key reference zones marked on chart 📍 🚀 GAP-UP Opening (Above 23,407) If Nifty opens with a gap-up above 23,407, it will enter the Wave 3 Resistance Zone (23,508 – 23,582), which is a high-probability reversal zone. ✅ Plan of Action: • Don’t rush into buying after the gap-up. Wait and observe the price behavior around 23,508 – 23,582. • This area is likely to witness profit booking or short build-up. • Look for signs of reversal like bearish engulfing, shooting star, or bearish divergence on RSI. • If such patterns form, consider buying Put Options (OTM PE) with a stop-loss on a 15-min candle closing above 23,585. • If Nifty sustains above 23,582 with strong volume, then we might be heading into an extended up-move, but this is lower probability. • Safer trades are shorting on signs of exhaustion at higher levels. 📌 Key Zone to Watch: 23,508 – 23,582 (Wave 3 Resistance) 📈 FLAT Opening (Between 23,245 – 23,407) This is the Opening Resistance / Support Band (23,345 – 23,407), acting as a decision-making zone. ✅ Plan of Action: • Let the market settle in the first 15–30 mins. • If price holds and builds strength above 23,345, Nifty may climb towards 23,407, and if broken, test 23,508+. • Weak price action (rejection wicks or low volumes) from 23,345–23,407 signals weakness. In that case, look for short opportunities with SL above 23,407. • Avoid CE entries unless price sustains above 23,407 with momentum and volume breakout. • If price starts to slip below 23,245, sellers will get more active and price could drop quickly to next support. 📌 Key Decision Zone: 23,345 – 23,407 📌 Support Trigger: 23,245 (Opening Support) 📉 GAP-DOWN Opening (Below 23,245 or near 23,185 – 22,985) If Nifty opens below the Opening Support at 23,245, or even near deeper support zones of 23,185 or 22,985, it will bring in volatility and create both breakdown and reversal opportunities. ✅ Plan of Action: • A gap-down near 23,185 should be watched carefully. This is a minor intraday support. If held with a bullish candle (like a hammer), consider buying CE with SL below 23,160. • If the gap-down extends to 22,985 (Last Support for Intraday), it's a strong bounce zone. A bullish reversal candle here provides high RR long trades. • If price fails to hold 22,985, sellers may dominate and drag Nifty further down. Consider PE trades only after a 15-min close below 22,985. • Avoid panic trading – let the zone react and only act based on confirmation candles. 📌 Bounce Zones: 23,185 and 22,985 📌 Breakdown Trigger: Below 22,985 🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders: • Avoid trading first 5–15 mins after opening, especially on gap days – let price give structure. • Use hedged strategies like Bull Call or Bear Put Spreads to reduce premium loss due to theta decay. • Trade light near reversal zones – don’t go all-in on emotional conviction. • Always place stop-loss on closing basis (15-min candle), not fixed points, especially during volatile moves. • If VIX is high, premiums are inflated – focus on quick entry & exit, no holding hoping for magic. 📌 Summary & Conclusion: • Nifty has entered a critical decision zone. • Watch 23,407 carefully – above it, bulls may attempt a final push to 23,582, but signs of exhaustion there are likely. • On the downside, supports at 23,185 & 22,985 will act as bounce zones. • Directional trades should be initiated only after price confirms intent post opening. • Use structure + volume for confidence in setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above content is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
3
Solid Comeback by Nifty on Weekly Chart. 1 hurdle remaining. Nifty made a solid comeback gaining 4.26% this week. One major hurdle remaining which is 23403. If Nifty can close above this level the next resistances will be at 23809, 24030, 24215, 24443, 24667 and 24873 before Nifty can regain 25K levels. The supports for Nifty on the lower side if it is not able to cross the major hurdle at 23403 will be 23109, 22789, 22334 and 21974. As of now the Bulls have done well turning the shadow of the candle positive for the next week. However there is also a small possibility of 23403 becoming Achilles heel for the rampant Bulls. Weekly RSI is at 48.89 which means it has entered the bullish territory. MACD or the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence has not fully moved into the Bullish territory but it has certainly taken the turn towards the convergence. So overall it was a great week for bulls after a long time but one final hurdle of the Bear 'Chakravyuh' remains to be conquered. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment