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Nubank

$NU : 30% CAGR for your portfolio for the next 3-5 years!- NYSE:NU is a big name in the LATAM. - LATAM is expected to grow significantly in next decade with digitalization as the strongest theme. - Let's talk about fundamentals: Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028 EPS | 0.56 | 0.77 | 1.05 | 1.45 EPS growth% | 31.99% | 37.71% | 36.05% | 38.58% For a company growing EPS at 30%+ deserves a forward p/e of 30 Base Case Stock Value ( Forward p/e = 30 ): Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028 fair value | $16.8 | $23 | $31 | $43 Bear Case ( Forward p/e = 20 ) Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028 fair value | $11.2 | $15.4 | $21 | $29 Bull Case ( Forward p/e = 35 ) Year | 2025| 2026| 2027 | 2028 fair value | $19.6 | $26.95 | $36.75 | $50
NYSE:NULong
by bigbull037
Nu Holdings: Is Latin America's Fintech Star Sustainable?Nu Holdings Ltd. stands as a prominent neobank, revolutionizing financial services across Latin America. The company leverages the region's accelerating smartphone adoption and burgeoning digital payment trends, offering a comprehensive suite of services from checking accounts to insurance. Nu's impressive trajectory includes acquiring 118.6 million customers, accumulating $54 billion in assets, and consistently demonstrating robust revenue and net income growth, primarily driven by its strong presence in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia; - this strategic alignment with digital transformation positions Nu as a significant player in the evolving financial landscape. Despite its remarkable expansion and optimistic projections for continued customer and asset growth, Nu faces notable financial headwinds. The company experiences an erosion in its net interest margin (NIM), influenced by increased funding costs from attracting new, high-quality customers and a strategic shift towards lower-yield, secured lending products. Furthermore, the depreciation of the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso against the US dollar impacts their reported earnings. Nu's ambitious ventures, such as the NuCel mobile phone service, require substantial capital investments, introducing execution risks and demanding efficient capital allocation. Beyond internal financial dynamics, a significant, albeit external, geopolitical risk looms: a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan. This event would trigger a global embargo on China, leading to unprecedented supply chain disruptions, widespread stagflation, and hyperinflation worldwide. Such a catastrophic economic cascade would profoundly impact Nu Holdings, even given its regional focus. It would likely result in drastically reduced consumer spending, a surge in loan defaults, severe challenges in accessing funding, further currency devaluations, and soaring operational costs, thereby threatening the company's stability and growth prospects. Ultimately, Nu Holdings presents a compelling growth narrative rooted in its innovative model and strong market penetration. However, internal pressures from evolving interest margins and high capital expenditure, combined with the low-probability but high-impact global economic upheaval stemming from geopolitical tensions, necessitate a cautious and comprehensive assessment. Investors must weigh Nu's demonstrated success against these complex, intertwined risks, acknowledging that its future prosperity is inextricably linked to both regional economic stability and the broader global geopolitical climate.
NYSE:NUShort
by UDIS_View
Macro Monday 46 - South America Indexes Signaling Major Trend Macro Monday 46 Emerging Chart Trend in South America and Brazil Brazil is the largest economy in South America, followed by Argentina, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. These 5 countries together hold a huge 90% share of the South American economy. Today we will look at index charts for South America and Brazil to get an overall initial technical picture from a price standpoint of the aggregate in these regions. IShares Latin America 40 ETF - AMEX:ILF The iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF) is a collection of the 40 largest Latin American equities by market cap. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 33% of the Index. Basic materials form 19% and Energy makes up 15% of the Index allocation. Interestingly NUBank NYSE:NUS has a large c.6% holding within the index. This is a stock I hold that has performed incredibly well and I have shared many bullish charts on NU. Incredible that a relatively New Bank has grown large enough to make it into the top 5 holdings here. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE : 9.3% Allocation. This company is a global leader in iron ore production and the second-largest nickel producer (Basic Materials). 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras NYSE:PBR : 7.6% Allocation. Known as Petrobras, this is a multinational corporation in the petroleum industry (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB. 6.5% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest banks in Brazil, providing a range of financial products and services (Financial Services). 4. Nu Holdings Ltd. NYSE:NU : 5.84% Allocation. Nu Holdings is a financial technology company that offers banking services and is known for its digital banking platform, Nubank (Financial Services). 5. Grupo Financiero Banorte, S.A.B. de C.V. SKILLING:GFNORTEO.MX : 5.36% Allocation. Banorte is one of the largest and most prominent financial institutions in Mexico (Financial Services) The Latin America 40 ILF Char SUBJECT CHART ABOVE What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant style flag from which a break up is more likely than a break down. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We are above the 200 week SMA at present and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary South America 40 Index As this is a long term pennant style flag from a major increase in price action in the early 2000’s, a break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Latin America are performing and by extension South America. Now lets look at the largest performing country in South America, Brazil. Brazil Brazil is the 8th largest economy in the world and the only country in South America to make it into the top 10 world’s economies. Brazil is the top contributor to South American nominal GDP accounting for 61% of the increase in the South American economy (Int. $264 bn). In 2nd and 3rd place are Colombia (Int. $50 bn) and Peru (Int. $25 bn) with much lower contributions. Brazil’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the year 2023 grew 2.9% and is expected to grow by c. 2% in 2024, lower is anticipated mainly as a result of the delayed effects of monetary tightening. Brazil is considered a key financial center for South America. It has the largest economy in the region and is home to a number of significant financial institutions and stock exchanges. São Paulo, in particular, is recognized as the financial capital of Brazil and is a primary hub for international business activity in the country. Brazil is also a leading producer of a host of minerals, including iron ore, tin, bauxite (the ore of aluminum), manganese, gold, quartz, and diamonds and other gems, and it exports vast quantities of steel, automobiles, electronics, and consumer goods. iShares MSCI Brazil ETF - AMEX:EWZ The iShares Brazil ETF (EWZ) seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of Brazilian equities. The ETF tracks a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the large- and mid-capitalization segments of the equity market in Brazil. All this means is that Larger companies have a bigger impact on the index’s performance. The index is heavily weighted in Financial Services which makes up 25% of the Index. Energy at 22% and Basic materials at 16.6% of the Index allocation are 2nd and 3rd after Financial Services. The Top 5 companies in the ILF Index are: 1. Vale S.A. NYSE:VALE 3.SA : 11.3% Allocation. This is a mining company and one of the largest producers of iron ore and nickel in the world (Basic Materials) 2. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras $PETR4.SA & $PETR3.SA: 10.1% Allocation. Commonly known as Petrobras, this state-controlled company is involved in the energy sector, primarily focusing on the exploration, production, and distribution of oil and gas (Energy). 3. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. $ITUB4.SA: 8.3% Allocation. Itaú Unibanco is one of the largest financial conglomerates in the Southern Hemisphere (Financial Services) 4. Banco Bradesco S.A. $BBDC4.SA: 8.0% Allocation. This is another major player in the Brazilian financial market, offering a wide range of banking and financial services (Financial Services) 5. WEG S.A. $WEGE3.SA: 3.5% Allocation. WEG is an industrial company that operates globally in the electric engineering, power, and automation technology areas (Industrials). The EWZ Chart What jumps from this chart? ▫️ Firstly we appear to forming a long term pennant from which a break up is more likely than a break down IMO. ▫️ We have been rejected from the upper diagonal line repeatedly and if we break above this line it would be a very good indication of an initial trend change. ▫️ We have dashed underside diagonal support line warns of lower prices if broken (historically has been useful). ▫️ We have yet to break above the 200 week SMA and we are challenging the PointOfControl (POC) Line. Summary Brazil Index A break above the long term diagonal resistance line would be a major signal of the beginning of a new bullish trend, keep in mind that such a price move would also demonstrate a break above POC (strong trading range to hold as support). We need to watch the diagonal underside support line (dashed line) for a break lower which would be an indication of significant weakness. Either direction will give us a good signal of how the largest companies in Brazil are performing and by extension South America (as Brazil is thee major contributor to South America. Overall Overall IF the Latin America ETF and the Brazil ETF break out of their respective pennants to higher levels and find support prior diagonal resistance lines, the 200 weekly SMA, and the POC, this could indicate a bullish trend in South America for years to come. It would then be worthwhile to then look at companies within Brazil and South America for trading and investing opportunities. All these charts are available on my Tradingview Page and you can go to them at any stage over the next few years press play and you'll get the chart updated with the easy visual guide to see how the South America market has performed. I hope its helpful. PUKA
AMEX:ILFLong
by PukaCharts
Sofi - A possible repeating patternA repeating pattern and potential opportunity All three companies have some form of crypto offering. NUbank, Coinbase and Sofi appear to have similar bottoming patterns with double bottoms and a head and shoulders style reversal. The charts are not identical but you can clearly see a repeating testing of levels and a price cluster (red shaded area) which appears to be the new base forming offering good enough support for a trade set up. Under the price cluster red shaded area there are double bottoms. I have been in the NUBank trade since Jan 2023 at $3.51 and I noticed COIN had a similar bottoming pattern in June 2023 but it had not broken out yet, so I shared a comparative chart at the time and took a position in COIN, noting the stop as the bottom of the red box. I have shared individual charts on COIN and NU to this effect also. Since June COINBASE has had 120% increase and I believe this will continue. Whilst its price movement since the sharing in June is not identical to NUbank, you can clearly see a parallel channel bottoming, head and shoulders reversal and similar price clusters which i marked up. I was most confident on the COIN trade when it had its strong pull back from Jul - Oct, here I double the position when it came back and bounced off the the 200 day moving average perfectly. Two of the great trades of this year from me which I am still currently holding NYSE:NU and $Coin. I believe there maybe an opportunity for this much smaller company $SOFI. A trade set up is there with a defined stop and good risk to reward (outlined on chart). I have not entered this trade yet, but i may in coming weeks. I will keep you posted. PUKA
NASDAQ:COIN
by PukaCharts
14
NUBANK NU Problem! Possible parallel channel break out. - 1.618 Fib Ext & Channel target is $8.51 to $9.13 - Plucked positions at green circles for long term hold - RSI continues to rise - Above 200 day SMA (same as 40 week SMA) - Failure to break above (which is very possible) will only lead me to make another allocation on RSI trend line retest. NUBANK Fundamentals look exciting - Milestone of 80 million customers 2 weeks ago - Brazil-based Nubank partnered Polygon to expand the reach of its Nucoin loyalty programme to its 80 million customers. - In October 2022, the Nubank/Polygon announced the Nucoin token and launched a pilot run involving around 2000 users. Nucoin was designed to recognize customer loyalty and encourage engagement with Nubank products, and by expanding the programme, the token could reach as many as 70 million customers across Brazil. - David Marcus former Paypal CEO and former head of payments & crypto at META has been added to the NUBANK Board - Nubank secured a loan of up to USD 150 million from the International Finance Corp in January 2023 in order to expand its operations in Colombia - Nubank has a division in Colombia named Nu Colombia, which is a fast-growing credit card issuer. In August 2022, Nu Colombia made the announcement that the country's regulator had granted its proposal to form a financial firm. This licence allowed Nu to add a full savings account linked to other credit products to its lineup of credit cards and e-wallets, as well as acquire deposits, a less expensive financing source similar to that used by large banks. - Approximately 35 percent of the Colombian adult population has no access to any formal financial services and are considered “unbanked,” according to the Colombian Banking Association. Some 79 percent of adults have no access to credit cards. There is a HUGE market here for long term growth. - Last 4 earnings reports have had surprised to the upside. - Next earnings report is 15th May 2023 (key date for break of channel or rejection) - We all know Warren Buffet holds a long position in Nubank.
NYSE:NULong
by PukaCharts
NUBank Update - Stop Raised NUBank - NYSE:NU ⚠️We already lost the 21 SMA ✅Raised my stop to $7.55 Good news is we have POC under price and we had two touch downs to the $7.70 level. IMO if we lose these both, the diagonal line too will be lost too & id rather get some of the position off the table. I still think we can bounce and go higher with a wave 5 extension higher. You could enter a trade here and set a stop under POC to your risk tolerance. Would I do this? Only with a small position because we have had one hell of a run. An ideal entry would be off the 200 MA @$6.83 at present. Lets see how this plays out. Incredible run and profit, and now a protective stop in place hat ensures gains will crystalize if structure is broken PUKA
NYSE:NU
by PukaCharts
NUBANK - A perfect example of great TANUBANK - NYSE:NU A beautiful case of Technical Analysis providing all the structures for a winning trade. First shared this idea earlier in the year. It was just an idea....now we are almost 100% up. Surpassed 90% return on this trade since taking up positions in June 2022 and again in Jan 2023. I sold a portion in Aug 2023 with a breach of the 21 day SMA and reentered slightly lower with a stop. We then reclaimed the 21 day and started moving towards the target. What's beautiful about this trade is the following: 1. We had a double bottom 2. We then had a parallel channel breakout with a target that aligned with the 1.618 fib extension. 3. As things progressed we identified a 5 wave Elliot count. Now we have clear incoming targets at $9.04 and $10.17. We will use the RSI oversold timeframes from the past to help identify when we need to watch the chart carefully (red area) and we also know we can rely on the 21 day SMA as a trigger sell. All the hard work is done here on this trade. We just need to ensure we sell some of our position or all of it if it breaks down. Typically after a 5 wave count you get an ABC style correction. With the TA being perfect on this chart to date, it would not surprise me to see a good correction when this wave 5 completes. All the same, we remain in a winning trade and stay on trend until the trend changes. I almost forgot to mention earnings are released next Tuesday 14th November , so we will need to keep an eye then too. NYSE:NU PUKA
NYSE:NULong
by PukaCharts
Bitcoin Value Forecast 2022Why 2021 Was a Decent Year for Bitcoin More than 2021, Bitcoin partook in a lofty ascent in its fairly estimated worth. Toward the beginning of the year, a solitary coin was esteemed at $32,000, and by April that number had multiplied. Brokers were hopeful that more extensive acknowledgment of bitcoin by dealers and large banks would uphold the cost. In any case, the guarantee beat the truth — it was basically impossible to utilize bitcoin for quite a bit of anything with the exception of speculative, dangerous exchanging. A decrease in the securities exchange in late 2021, and a fall in profoundly esteemed development stocks, conveyed cryptographic forms of money down too. Bitcoin completed 2021 at about $47,300. As digital currency is still generally seen as a dangerous, speculative resource, this "risk-off" exchange brought bitcoin down to beneath $27,000 by early May. This addresses a deficiency of over a portion of the worth Bitcoin came to at its November 2021 pinnacle of $69,000, focusing on no indications of supported recuperation. Worries over the high power utilization related to bitcoin mining and the forbidding of digital currency exchanges by China likewise burdened bitcoin's worth. What Is the Fate of Bitcoin? Whales Make a plunge The future cost of bitcoin relies upon whether advanced monetary forms can act as valuable monetary resources. There was little help for this idea among monetary newsmakers in the early years, however, some once-suspicious significant financial backers have come around. Smorgasbord and Others Now Adherents Warren Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway organization has compensated financial backers with colossal returns over many years, when depicted digital money as "rodent poison squared," and he swore he could never contact it. Be that as it may, by buying NuBank, a computerized "neobank" engaged with the crypto space, Smorgasbord has given bitcoin a handed-down demonstration of positive support. Lloyd Blankfein, a previous executive of Goldman Sachs, has declared that he's "developing" on bitcoin and other digital forms of money. Jack Dorsey, an organizer behind Twitter, surrendered his occupation as President of that organization to run Block, an installment handling pioneer that is presently growing new computerized money applications. Reception by these and other corporate pioneers could uphold an inversion in bitcoin's fast drop and bring higher worth toward the finish of 2022.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by IPatrice
NU Update 2022-02-24Nubank NYSE:NU remains in the channel plotted in the analysis of the day 2022-02-15. Despite the fact that in the middle we have the announcement of some purchases by NYSE:BRK.A , the earnings report and the Russian invasion to Ukrania. We need to wait to see what happens in this new pivot and see the evolution of the volume, especially in the critic's moments: When the price is near the channels lines. Rhere are some uncertainties in this new stage. You can see this in the yellow line.
NYSE:NU
by jchemile
NU Overview 2022-02-18Continuing yesterday's overview about NYSE:NU Today we need to notice two important events. 1. Today we have the most volatile day in its history. Prices have a range of 2.08$ which means near 18% of intraday volatility 2. At the end of the day the security finish below the channel line (9.99). But Still persist the indecision pattern in the rectangle zone. The short body of the candle means that exist indecision for the market but there is a bullish bias taking into account the two full body bars in the bullish days vs the little one in the short days. it is still needed a confirmation to be sure about the target to found in: 14.21 said in the overview of: 2022-02-17
NYSE:NU
by jchemile
3
NUBR33 Price Reversion [next target]After BMFBOVESPA:NUBR33 finally found its bottom at 8.32 points it formed a double bottom pattern last week, then a spike surged pumping the price over 10% breaking an important resistance zone before the market closed for the Christmas holiday. What we can expect for its reopening tomorrow is the price continuing its run aiming for the second level of the fib retraction at around 9.69 points . The price action around this area will determine whether the stock keep its run for a higher target or settle in a new resistance zone. Relative strength and price momentum may indicate a consolidation period confirming the price settlement after the next target. Cheers.
NLong
by MuruTrades