Obv-strategy — Trading Ideas on TradingView

KAVA Long idea In the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrency, where fortunes flicker like distant stars, Kava emerges once again, inviting traders on a fresh journey of potential gains and exhilarating market maneuvers. Picture the chart, a line of time etched with the memories of past movements. A channel, like a road leading to possibilities, draws our attention. It’s not just an ordinary channel, but a path that has proven its significance in the dance of prices. This channel, like an old friend, has seen the rise and fall of trends, and now, it beckons us once more. Step back for a moment and ponder the Stochastic indicator, that little oscillating wonder. It's in a state of rejuvenation, its readings bottomed out. It’s as if the market's heartbeat has found its rhythm, preparing for a new pulse. As we study this chart, the Fibonacci 0.786 level glows like a beacon. A level where altcoins seem to whisper secrets, it's a place of interest, often a playground for significant actions. Just as Fibonacci numbers spiral through nature, they spiral through these markets, guiding us. But there's more to the story. Imagine the On-Balance Volume (OBV), a silent observer of market movements. Divergence, like a symphony of intrigue, plays its tune. It’s as if the market is telling us a story, a narrative of potential. It's this divergence that piques our interest, suggesting that hidden possibilities might be unfolding. And then there's volume, the voice of the market, its fluctuations as significant as a conductor's baton. For this swing to work its magic, the crescendo of volume needs to accompany the upward movement. It's the signal that turns a solitary move into a symphony of momentum. This tale, my friends, is not just a glimpse into a crystal ball. It's a calculated dance of data, a thoughtful strategy that beckons you to seize the potential while protecting your capital. As we embark on another swing long trade, armed with knowledge and insight, we brace ourselves for the next chapter. The markets shift, the numbers change, but the essence of trading remains. As Kava extends its invitation, it's time to write the next verse in the saga of potential gains. Gather your wits, adjust your strategies, and let the journey continue. Set your stop-loss, a safeguard against unforeseen tides, below the 0.7815 mark. It's a strategic move to protect your capital, even amidst the allure of profit. So let the path be navigated with both caution and courage, for risks are managed, and the potential for gains remains.

Usage of OBV, RSI and Volume 1. Combination of PVA is very interesting and powerful tool that we can used to predict the price trajectory. 2. In the example above (LAYHONG, a poultry stocks in Malaysian Stocks Market). 3. This is my analysis on the stocks: a) Price making lower low and retesting a major trendline. b) Low volume while retesting the trendline c) A bullish divergence is shown in RSI indicator d) A bullish divergence is shown in OBV e) Clearly this is an opportunity to go long as bullish divergence plus testing support zone with low volume.

Identifying Factors for a Pending Trend Reversal Defining whether the market is in a bullish or bearish trend at any given moment is relatively easy. but the ability to determine when a trend will revert is a completely different science. Of course there are a number of technical analysis principles and trading indicators that help do that on a micro level, but defining when the macro trend will change is a beast that nobody can truly claim with 100% conviction and certainty. Sure, you can analyze the chart and determine where you think the resistance/support flips are going to occur but identifying that singular moment when the macro-trend is going to break out or break down really can't be accurately forecasted, but that doesn't keep every analyst from trying to figure it out. As a self proclaimed data junkie and student of the charts, I am fascinated by technical analysis and how the geometry in the charts can tell us so much about a trend and the price price movement within it, but I'm also intrigued by historical data. We all know that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. That said, looking at historical data can help identify some possibilities you may not have seen in the chart before. Anytime I find similarities or consistency between conditions, situations and price movement, I'm paying attention and creating strategies that would capitalize on those opportunities if they should play out. While analyzing the BTC long range chart I discovered a number of things that happened from exactly the same price range BTC is in now, that led me to take a closer look. What I found, lends enough data to support the theory that a trend defining move is about to occur very soon. That in itself is not really hot news, but there is reason to believe this move might occur on a specific date. Before I go any further let me state the fact that I am a skeptic, and I don't believe that anybody can accurately forecast that BTC is going to be 20k, 100k or 500k per BTC let alone pin point a date, and I'll restate the fact that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. So how can I pinpoint a date for the next trend defining move? There is a distinct combination of technical indicators to build an idea around, combined with some similarities in the historical BTC chart. This combination points to the market closing in on a potentially trend defining move occurring from this range very soon. But don't take my word for it. Take a look at the data and decide for yourself. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The first thing I noticed in the chart is that on June 3, 2019 BTC broke down from a micro bullish trend into the green box we are trading in now. This looks very similar to the move that occured on December 4, 2019, from a similar structure in the same range. Looking beyond that, it's clear that there have been a lot of very important moves from this 6900 - 7700 range we are waiting to break out or break down from. In fact, what you'll notice is that just about all of the trend defining moves up or down happened from or very near this range. Many of the breakouts started from a bounce from local support near the bottom of the green box, in the 6800 - 7000 range, and all of the macro trend break downs occurred from that same area. You may ask why. I know I did, which is why I went back to the charts to look for something else. There are a lot of factors that point to the fact that the price action in the charts is not always organic and from time to time (if not more often than we imagine) some one or a group of someones may be using their capital to manipulate price action in either direction. A CLOSER LOOK As I previously stated, I'm a skeptic. I'm also not a conspiracy theorist nor someone who typically points to specific hard dates because that can be damning. So let me explain why I feel differently this time. Anybody who has been trading crypto for any length of time has undoubtedly been on the wrong end of a seemingly freakish move that gave no indication it was coming. Many times those moves are driven by FOMO and FUD, even if it's FUD driven by false reports and accusations. Sometimes those moves are the genuine product of an illiquid order book, and sometimes those moves are controlled by whales and pools who are using their HODLings to establish price floors and ceilings in the form of buy and sell walls which are visible on the order book. Since we know that manipulation happens sometimes, what makes us think that it doesn't happen all of the time. Do the manipulators have a conscience and limits to their greed? Doubtful. Not yet satisfied that my first and second looks at the chart told the complete story, I went back to the long range chart again to try to identify something else. Then, by looking for all of the macro trend reversals on the chart I found 2 prominent moves that defined the macro trend and they both occurred on the same date of adjacent years. On December 17, 2017 BTC surged to an all time high ending the bull run which launched it's breakout move from this same 6900 range about a month earlier, the trend reverts and the bears take control. That alone was not enough for me, so I continued to look for another piece of the puzzle. What I found was that the macro bearish trend that began after BTC topped out continued for exactly one year. BTC bottomed out (we hope) before reversing the trend back upward on, wait for it...December 17, 2018. Coincidence? Possibly. Only time will tell if this theory has real meritt. To be honest, I'm kind of hoping it doesn't, because if the trend reversal correlates with December 17th again, it will not only mean that the whales are truly controlling every significant move in the market, but it will also mean that they are sharing a calendar. *I am not a financial advisor and this in not financial advice. Trading is risky. Do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose. I trade crypto and securities.

Swim with the Whales or Get Eaten By One Here's an idea. *Not financial advice. BTC is coiled up for a breakout and the market is percolating with anticipation. Unfortunately for the bulls, thus far every attempted breakout seems to be a fakeout back to the downside. Trying to figure out what is causing this, and also curious why all of the local support ranges seem to be in roughly the same size increments I studied these moves that just seem to be repeating themselves at each level. After watching this happen over and over again it is now revealing a somewhat predictable pattern. If your' not using order book volume (OBV) to pinpoint where local resistance and support are, you should be. It's an amazing tool! Base on data from the order book, it appears that those with the big bags controlling the price action have set a huge buy wall around 7k and others are contributing to the sum of orders at and around those levels, setting some smaller buy walls in the range we are in now. Seems like they liquidate the order book down to their preset level and "allow" the market to relief rally back to their sell wall that keeps appearing, getting cleared, and then reappearing at the same level ($7195 until an hour ago). The previous ranges and their retests at 7300, 7400 and 7500 respectively all attempt to FOMO traders back in to reload the order book, only to be liquidated by the whale(s) over and over as they short the market back down again. This process seems to be repeating itself with some consistency at everyone of these so called local support levels which, IMO act like BTC recycling stations for the whales. At the moment I am writing this, BTC bulls have again cleared the buy wall at $7195 and the order book looks like price could run without too much resistance until (7495 currently). That would essentially allow the whales to let the bulls run their money back up before they hit the reset button with another buy wall and start recycling orders again. How far the whales "allow" the bulls to run remains to be seen, but there are recycling stations of resistance in the form of buy walls at prior, so called local support levels starting at 7495 and moving up in the roughly the same increments they came down. While the bulls seem to be making up some of the deficit in the order book, they haven't yet mustered enough momentum to run. The looming question in every traders mind is will BTC hold above the buy wall at 7k. There is certainly enough sentiment and whale buying power to dump the market down to and beyond the buy wall at 7k, but don't be surprised if they reload and recycle a few more times along the way. Regardless of whether your sentiment is long or short it's becoming more and more evident that to succeed in this market which seems rife with manipulation you must identify what the whales are doing and swim with the pod or get eaten like krill. *Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. Not financial advice. Trading is extremely risky. DYOR. I trade crypto and securities.