will WTI oil deepen its losses ?The more it waits at these levels of prices, the greater the negative perception of it to the 20$ per barrel, and from there we will see great support levels that see it as it is currently at least.
And the basics don't say that there is a solution to the oil war in the short and medium term, and knowing that this war began with Russia’s refusal to reduce its production in order not to allow the American oil companies to increase the production of shale oil and than take over their market share, and this may Russia prepared for it before and increased its reserves in gold, so that it can now stand up to these price drop.
Oilshort
Oil down to low 20's in 60 daysBeyond the trend in the chart:
The fallout between OPEC+ members will hammer the price down.
Saudi Arabia already offers steep discounts to carve more market share and there's even talk about ramping up production to 12m bpd
Russia on the other hand is refusing to cut and prefers to wait until June to say how the world demand changes in response to the COVID
Believe it or not? Crude at 35 or less!Last week saw crude prices weaken much further. This was a double whammy from the COVID-19 going viral globally as well as the imminent oil producer spat, particularly between Middle Eastern producers and Russian producers. That was just the cake... the cherry is in the form of a PRICE WAR, and one that has just been declared! According to Bloomberg, the Saudis are so upset with the Russians that they announced a BIG OUTPUT HIKE , of over 10 million barrels a day, in an aggressive response to the collapse of the OPEC-Russian alliance.
This move is going to wreck havoc in the markets and the mayhem should bring Crude prices to 35, or below!
In the attached chart, crude had a committed bearish candlestick to close the week. This was perhaps in anticipation of a not so favorable outcome, and so it happens. Technically, with Fibo retracement projections, we may expect crude prices to be about 35 over the next two weeks. The OBV and MACD are already bearish, and points too further downslide.
Now, when crude prices fall that low, some things begin to totally not make sense. Especially with an energy source this cheap, and a world eager to go on full steam at some point in the near future (once the COVID-19 issues are reined in. All it would then need is a trigger to spike oil prices to the moon.
Let’s watch this closely as it pans out... and needless to say, I suppose we all know what to do, right??
Plan, Position, Profit
CRUDE OIL Price Will Drop To $20 or Worst $18.15| 3rd March 2020Price oil not only has been a target to a massive selling from investor but the oversupply from the country exporters while China that has to be no.1 oil purchaser has not buying oil price as per regular basis. As per chat on monthly timeframe, there was a significant supply has been going on in the market recently. The chart clearly shown that the supply of oil still continue to supply even the crisis of pandemic has gotten worst.
To prevent this to be oversupply, the oil producer has being in the decision to cut the oil supply so that to maintain the fair price of oil around $50 per barrel.
While this cut is implementing, it will takes time to be control. The price right now closed around $45 as 1st March 2020.
The price has done the correction pattern which is why it tends to slope against the prior uptrend. It is a short term pattern and this will tally to the cutting implementation from the oil producers countries.
I am predicting the price of oil will bearish hitting around $20.00 or worst $18.15 per barrel before it will continue bullish to meet the fair price.
Please like, subscribe and share this post. Dont forget to thumbs up if you like.
Please follow me to get the latest news regarding the trending topic of prophecy.
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
Crude oil falls from heights! Next level $57.50?In our last analysis, we were targetting $65.50+ on oil and we got our profit target with a little help from the increased Middle Eastern tensions. From there the news subsided for the most part (tensions still high) and everything was priced in. Causing Oil to regulate back down to the "normal" levels. Price plunged through all the immediate support levels. Through $62.50, $61.00 and even $59.50.
From here there are two short term opportunities. The bulls or the bears.
The current intraday price action suggests there's more downside with the descending triangle. First the support structure at $58.70 has to collapse for price to continue to lows. We could see price use that broken support as resistance on the retrace which will confirm the downside. The downside target is first at $57.85 then $57.00.
There could be a late run by the bulls through the immediate resistance. If price moves above $59.65 and holds it as support on the retrace we could see $61.00 oil yet again. The downside volume is, however, coming out pretty aggressively.
This idea is for educational purposes only. This does not constitute as trading or investment advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not responsible for any market activity.
CLJ0 Daily AnalysisThis analysis of CLJ2020 , the contract for April 2020 delivery, is an attempt at forecasting oil price into Q3 2020. A potential supply area around 6275-6325 via an increasing urge to lock in profits/reduce short risk exposure . Also, the risk of downside for longs is ever more noticeable as oil approaches the 3-sigma area where odds of mean reversion greatly increase. Looking for selling into strength opportunities in the lower timeframes is reasonable it seems.
Crude oil poised for a rally up to $85 OR down to $33???Crude oil has been on a good uptrend since the large 2018 retrace, the price has slowly trickled up and there is an indication that it continues. ONLY IF certain conditions are met. There is an equal likelihood that we could see a large dump...
Support structure is holding really well after a broke high on a larger scale at $53.00-$53.50. As of recent price has gone up a lot in the winter month due to high demand but could this be temporary seasonal inflation?
The Bull case: Price has been holding upside market structure over the past few weeks and months holding support at the $53.00-53.50 area, the trend is holding well and the downside volume has been decreasing. We need to see price break above $64.00 on a longer perspective on strong volume into the $70.00 area or so then retrace and hold that broken peak at the $64.00 as support. We want to see price then move through the $73.50-73.60 level.
The Bear case: Price overall is looking bearish based on the monthly candles lower lows lower highs from 2013 even, the impulse high that has to hold is at $73.60. As long as price remains beneath that level we could see a press lower. The buy volume is looking really weak as well to the swings higher, which means this could be seasonal buying of crude which could evaporate. If price breaks below $53.00-53.50 and holds it as resistance on the retrace we might see a move even lower down to the $33.00 area and even below that.
Disclaimer: This is a trade idea for educational purposes only. This does not constitute as investment or trading advice. TRADEPRO Academy is not responsible for any market activity.
USOIL Short SetupHey guys,
So I entered this short on Friday @ $59.56. My stop is at breakeven (could see one more spike up), but this is looking like it's going to absolutely drop. Even if we see another spike up, I'll re-enter cause this R:R is too nice and it's a high probability structure.
Be careful for FOMC tomorrow - I believe this is where the momentum will be coming from.