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Options-trading

JEF Jefferies Financial Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JEF before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JEF Jefferies Financial Group prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 57.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-18, for a premium of approximately $1.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:JEFLong
by TopgOptions
Why CSX Corporation CSX Could Reach $37.50 by the End of 2025If you haven`t bought CSX ahead of the previous earnings: Now CSX Corporation CSX, a leading North American rail freight operator, is positioned for a meaningful upside in 2025, with a realistic price target of $37.50. This target is supported not only by strong fundamentals and industry tailwinds but also by recent options market activity showing significant call option interest at the $37 strike price, indicating growing investor conviction around this level. 1. Strong Options Market Signals at $37.50 Recent options data reveals a notable concentration of call open interest and volume at the $37 strike price in the CSX options chain, especially for near- and mid-term expirations. This elevated activity suggests that institutional and retail investors are positioning for a rally toward $37–$38, reflecting confidence that the stock will surpass $35 and approach $37.50 by year-end. The options market’s pricing and demand at this level provide a real-time, market-driven validation of the $37.50 target, adding weight to the fundamental bullish case. 2. Analyst Price Targets and Upward Revisions Support $37.50+ Several analysts have price targets ranging from $35 up to $38–$39, with recent upward revisions reflecting improving operational metrics and resilient demand. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, among others, have raised targets closer to or above $35, and the options market activity suggests investors expect further upside beyond these levels. 3. Operational Improvements and Network Optimization CSX continues to address past network challenges, improving service reliability and operational efficiency, which are expected to drive volume growth in key sectors such as agriculture, minerals, and intermodal freight. These improvements are critical for margin expansion and revenue growth, underpinning the stock’s appreciation potential. 4. Favorable Macroeconomic and Industry Tailwinds The resilient U.S. economy and ongoing federal infrastructure investments support sustained freight demand. Rail’s environmental advantages and cost efficiency over trucking position CSX to capture increased market share as companies seek sustainable logistics solutions. 5. Financial Strength and Shareholder Returns CSX boasts strong free cash flow generation, enabling consistent dividend growth and share repurchases. The company’s valuation remains attractive relative to peers, with a P/E around 15.5 and a dividend yield near 1.4%, making it appealing for both growth and income investors. 6. Technical Support and Market Sentiment The stock has held solid support near $30–$31 and is trading near $34.60 as of mid-June 2025, showing resilience amid market volatility. Positive sentiment from institutional investors and steady trading volumes reinforce the potential for a breakout toward $37.50. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CSXLong
by TopgOptions
DOCU DocuSign Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DOCU before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DOCU DocuSign prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 93usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-6-6, for a premium of approximately $4.80. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:DOCULong
by TopgOptions
ABNB Airbnb Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold ABNB before the retracement: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABNB Airbnb prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 105usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $8.10. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ABNBShort
by TopgOptions
WDC Western Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought WDC before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of WDC Western Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 65usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-3-21, for a premium of approximately $4.35. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:WDCLong
by TopgOptions
Weekly GEX Insights: 01/13 SPX dropTotal Correction? What Can an Options Trader Do in This Situation? How Far Might We Fall This Week? We’ll tackle these questions in this week’s options newsletter! It looks like the new president hasn’t even been sworn in yet, but the market is already reacting with fear to every statement he makes. Last week’s economic data didn’t help ease those concerns either. SPX Weekly Analysis Friday’s red candle set a bearish tone heading into this week. Everyone is predicting and pricing in a potential market apocalypse, and I keep getting the same question: “Greg, how far can we fall?” My answer remains the same: we can fall indefinitely—nobody can know for certain ahead of time. What we can do, however, is analyze our charts and use the our weekly GEX profile to identify the key levels, so we can better understand the market’s dynamics. Examining expirations through Friday, every NETGEX profile is negative , so we can expect volatile movements this week. We’re currently trading below the HVL level, which means that market makers are likely to move in tandem with retail traders. This typically results in bigger swings. We already saw this heightened volatility last week—just look at the size of the candles, and you can tell how quickly sentiment can shift. Below 5965 (the HVL level), we are in a high volatility zone what lies underneath? 1st Support Range: 5780–5800 5800: Currently the strongest PUT support level on the downside. A correction may pause here due to profit-taking. Right beneath this level is the previous gap-fill zone. Remember, these areas function as ranges rather than single lines, as I’ve highlighted down to 5780. This could easily be a take-profit target for traders playing gap fills—an approach that’s quite popular. 2nd Support Range: 5700–5650 (Very Strong) Starting at 5700: We encounter another robust PUT support zone. This area is reinforced by previous lows, previous highs, and the 4/8 grid boundary from our indicator. Even if nowhere else, many expect at least a local rebound to occur within these levels. Putting it all together, it’s clear that the weekly trading range is shaping up to be roughly between 5680 and 5965, expecting big & volatile moves. Remember, CPI and PPI data are coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, which could trigger additional volatility. When looking at SPX, SPY, or /ES futures, my opinion is that the rapidly spiking implied volatility (IV) during a market drop, along with a PUT pricing skew, can present favorable opportunities for options traders. The distance to the strongest lower support zone is around 100–150 points, so you could: Trade directionally for the short term—hoping to be either right or wrong quickly, or Try to profit from the market situation in a more strategic way (which is what I typically do). Personally, I prefer the second approach: I’ll open short-term (a few days) credit put ratio spreads for a small credit, which gives me a wide breakeven range and a big “tent” on the downside.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Kickstart 2025: SPX GEX Outlook & Options InsightsNew Year, Renewed Energy — Critical Levels and Strategies for the Week Critical Levels Se detailed image below: Above 5940 (HVL): Expect some “chop zone” between 5940 and 6000, but with a generally bullish bias based on our Auto-GEX Profiles until friday. Above 6000: A gamma squeeze could ignite by Friday, pulling the index toward the next major resistance. Below 5900: Significant bearish momentum may take hold, targeting around 5800 (PUT support), though this scenario seems less likely right now. Gamma Conditions Short DTE options (0–2 days) exhibit positive gamma, which tends to buoy prices and make steep sell-offs more difficult. There’s notable IV skew in the very near-term expirations (01/08–01/09). Consider focusing on the Friday (01/10) and Monday (01/13) expirations for timespread strategies. Summary Upside: Holding above 5940 supports a move toward the 6000 target. Above 6000: A gamma squeeze could propel the SPX higher. Below 5900: Watch out for a stronger bearish move toward 5800. IV and skew may be erratic this week, but the positive gamma backdrop favors upside momentum. There are several announcements due this week. If price whipsaws around these times, remember it’s often directly tied to those scheduled news releases—try not to panic. Wishing everyone a responsible and successful year of options trading in 2025!
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
4
12/09 Weekly SPX InsightsLast week’s assessment aligned well with the anticipated positive SPX range. The index moved sharply up toward the 6100 area, yet as Friday’s session progressed, the call resistance around 6100 capped further upward momentum. Looking ahead, I have doubts that the previously unbridled optimism will persist. Currently, we find ourselves in a “chop zone,” suggesting that the short-term direction is less clear. In aggregating GEX (Gamma Exposure) levels and examining the landscape a week out, it appears that 6100 remains a strong call resistance level. Meanwhile, the HVL (High Volatility Level) has crept closer to around 6080, placing the market uncomfortably close to a higher-volatility environment. Below 6080, the market may experience increased turbulence, potentially retesting 6035 and then 6000. On the other hand, if the index can break and hold above 6100, an upward gamma squeeze could emerge, pushing prices even higher. Currently, overall GEX sentiment is negative, but the approach toward the HVL zone suggests caution. From these conditions, I’m not expecting a strong, sustained rally in the immediate term. In terms of intraday and short-term dynamics, 0DTE (same-day expiry) sessions and Fridays continue to hold relatively higher positive gamma exposure compared to other days. Volatility indicators: VIX: remains low IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): also low Put Pricing Skew: currently low, although it has begun to show a very slight uptick Key Levels for This Week (for educational reference): Above 6100: Omni-bullish environment Between 6100–6065: Chop zone (directionally uncertain; not ideal for unhedged directional trades) Below 6080: Bearish tilt, with targets around T1: 6035 and T2: 6000 (near the 16-delta OTM put level) On Wednesday, inflation data is scheduled for release. Anticipation alone may drive volatility, so it’s something to keep on the radar for educational scenario planning.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade