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AXP American Express Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AXP before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AXP American Express Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 480usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2027-1-15, for a premium of approximately $6.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AXPLong
by TopgOptions
LCID: Could a Saudi Buyout Send This EV Stock Back to $10?If you haven`t sold LCID before the previous earnings: Now you need to know that Lucid Motors (LCID) is one of the most polarizing EV stocks in the market — but it’s also one of the most interesting speculative turnarounds. Yes, the company faces production challenges, cash burn, and fierce competition from Tesla, BYD, and legacy automakers. But it has some unique wildcards that most other EV startups don’t: 1) The “Musk Factor” Musk’s public comments about Lucid being “basically controlled by the Saudis” and that they make better-looking cars than Tesla might sound like trolling, but they highlight a real truth: Lucid isn’t just another budget EV player — it’s positioned as a luxury rival with design appeal that matters to high-end buyers. 2) Saudi PIF Is Deep In — Valuation Floor The Saudi sovereign wealth fund has put billions into LCID already — and now owns around 60%+ of the shares. They’ve made no secret of their plans to expand the kingdom’s domestic EV production and see Lucid as a flagship partner. Rumors have swirled for years about a possible full buyout to bring Lucid fully under the PIF umbrella — or merge it with other Middle East EV initiatives like the Ceer brand. Any credible news here could double or triple the stock overnight from these depressed levels. 3) Gravity SUV & Product Pipeline The Lucid Air remains one of the few luxury EVs that truly competes with Tesla’s Model S in both design and range. The upcoming Gravity SUV could be the next big catalyst, especially as the luxury SUV segment has fatter margins and huge global demand. Meanwhile, the new AMP-2 factory in Saudi Arabia will help Lucid localize production, get tax incentives, and serve the Middle East and Europe more cost-effectively. 4) Technical Setup: Double Bottom Pattern Here’s what really makes this setup tradable: LCID is showing a clear double bottom on the daily chart around the $2–$2.20 zone. The stock tested that level twice and bounced, forming a W-shaped base that can signal a reversal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:LCIDLong
by TopgOptions
1
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally: What to consider now: 1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity. The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters. AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice. 2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years. Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025. Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix. 3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong. Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow. Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes. 4. Strong Management and Execution CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:AMDLong
by TopgOptions
Why CSX Corporation CSX Could Reach $37.50 by the End of 2025If you haven`t bought CSX ahead of the previous earnings: Now CSX Corporation CSX, a leading North American rail freight operator, is positioned for a meaningful upside in 2025, with a realistic price target of $37.50. This target is supported not only by strong fundamentals and industry tailwinds but also by recent options market activity showing significant call option interest at the $37 strike price, indicating growing investor conviction around this level. 1. Strong Options Market Signals at $37.50 Recent options data reveals a notable concentration of call open interest and volume at the $37 strike price in the CSX options chain, especially for near- and mid-term expirations. This elevated activity suggests that institutional and retail investors are positioning for a rally toward $37–$38, reflecting confidence that the stock will surpass $35 and approach $37.50 by year-end. The options market’s pricing and demand at this level provide a real-time, market-driven validation of the $37.50 target, adding weight to the fundamental bullish case. 2. Analyst Price Targets and Upward Revisions Support $37.50+ Several analysts have price targets ranging from $35 up to $38–$39, with recent upward revisions reflecting improving operational metrics and resilient demand. Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, among others, have raised targets closer to or above $35, and the options market activity suggests investors expect further upside beyond these levels. 3. Operational Improvements and Network Optimization CSX continues to address past network challenges, improving service reliability and operational efficiency, which are expected to drive volume growth in key sectors such as agriculture, minerals, and intermodal freight. These improvements are critical for margin expansion and revenue growth, underpinning the stock’s appreciation potential. 4. Favorable Macroeconomic and Industry Tailwinds The resilient U.S. economy and ongoing federal infrastructure investments support sustained freight demand. Rail’s environmental advantages and cost efficiency over trucking position CSX to capture increased market share as companies seek sustainable logistics solutions. 5. Financial Strength and Shareholder Returns CSX boasts strong free cash flow generation, enabling consistent dividend growth and share repurchases. The company’s valuation remains attractive relative to peers, with a P/E around 15.5 and a dividend yield near 1.4%, making it appealing for both growth and income investors. 6. Technical Support and Market Sentiment The stock has held solid support near $30–$31 and is trading near $34.60 as of mid-June 2025, showing resilience amid market volatility. Positive sentiment from institutional investors and steady trading volumes reinforce the potential for a breakout toward $37.50. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CSXLong
by TopgOptions
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case. 1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share. About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time. This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure. The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end. 2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025. This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst. 3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix. The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S. 4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production. Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand. In conclusion: Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
NASDAQ:AAOILong
by TopgOptions
MSTR Strategy Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSTR Strategy Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 390usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-9-19, for a premium of approximately $81.30. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MSTRLong
by TopgOptions