GOLD - Price may bounce up to $3375 level from support lineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Initially, the price action was confined within a descending channel before a decisive bullish breakout occurred.
This first breakout triggered a strong upward impulse, setting the stage for the current market structure.
The price is now consolidating in a wide flat range, bounded by support near the $3285 level and resistance at $3375.
An ascending support line is providing dynamic support within this consolidation pattern, indicating underlying buying pressure.
I expect a brief retest of this support line, which should act as a launchpad for the price to move higher.
The primary target for this long setup is the $3375 resistance level, marking the top of the current flat range.
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish From now Price :148.750
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
XLM is the pump over or just getting started !XLM / USDT
What a huge weekly candle! We catched its strong move very early around 0.29$ a week ago (75% profits locked in spot)
With a zoom out chart we can see price is setting up nicely with several tests of pattern boundary. Next test of the upper boundary can lead to huge breakout of this mega pattern !
NOTE: Price must not close below april low and should close above upper boundary unless that its just a range
Keep an eye on it closely !
ETH Approaching Major Resistance – Expecting Pullback Hello guys!
Ethereum has been rallying strongly within a well-respected ascending channel, pushing past key levels and now approaching a major resistance zone around $3,900–$4,000.
According to the chart structure, it looks like price could soon react from this resistance, leading to a pullback into the $3,000–$3,200 demand zone, which aligns with the midline of the channel.
This would be a healthy correction before potentially continuing the bullish trend and attempting a clean breakout toward new highs.
ETH is still bullish, but it may need to retest support before continuation.
Watch for a bounce from the $3,000–$3,200 zone for a high-probability long opportunity.
USD/JPY - Triangle Pattern (18.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 149.93
2nd Resistance – 150.65
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‘Everything Rally’ in Full Swing. What About Tariffs & Earnings?It’s official: we’re witnessing one of those rare, confounding moments when nearly every big risk-on thing is screaming ATH! (All-Time High, for those who haven’t worn out that abbreviation on X this month).
Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blew past $122,000 on Monday — a turbo rally that made anyone who stepped away to brew coffee rethink their life choices.
Meanwhile, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ? It didn’t just approach the $4 trillion milestone — it showed up, took the crown as the world’s most valuable company , and made the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC pop a fresh record close for dessert.
And the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? The broadest slice of US equities did its part too, hitting a record high last week, despite the world’s loudest tariff chatter from Trump 2.0. So, what gives?
💎 Bitcoin: Too Fast to Chart
Let’s start with the fire-breathing dragon. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rocketed to $122,500 on Monday morning, bruising all those short sellers and juicing up the memes. The OG coin now has a market cap above $2.3 trillion — bigger than most economies, enough to make gold bugs break into cold sweats. (True, it did pare back some of those gains to float at $119,000 Thursday morning.)
What’s fueling it? Institutional FOMO. Forget diamond hands — big money managers, ETF behemoths , and corporates are scooping up every sat they can find.
When you see that, plus macro tailwinds — a weaker dollar, simmering inflation that nudges the Fed toward cuts — the rocket fuel writes itself. But we all know what traders really want to know: is $125,000 next? Short answer: if momentum holds, you bet. Long answer: mind the next Fed move and the tariff chess match.
🎯 Nvidia: From GPUs to GDPs
If you thought Bitcoin’s wild run was the only headline, look again. The real flex this month came from Jensen Huang’s chip juggernaut. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA didn’t just break a record — it basically invented a new category for corporate mega-caps.
The world’s biggest semiconductor firm hit the $4 trillion mark — the first company ever to do so. And this isn’t some overnight fad. Back in 2019, Nvidia crossed $100 billion for the first time on the back of crypto mining booms.
Five years later, it’s stacked on 4,000% gains, riding the AI hype like it’s a permanent bull market. Governments, hyperscalers, cloud titans — they’re all shoving billions at Huang’s AI chips.
💻 Nasdaq: AI, Chips, Crypto — Party On
The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC logged yet another record close , up about 7.5% on the year so far.
Just three months ago, this index looked battered — trade war threats, tariff rants, sticky inflation. Who’s doing the heavy lifting? The Magnificent Seven, mostly. But it’s Nvidia’s chart that’s turned this whole index into a de facto AI ETF.
Is it healthy? That depends. As long as earnings season doesn’t break the dream — and there’s no rug-pull from the Fed — traders are letting the momentum do its thing.
🏦 S&P 500: The Record Chaser
What about the S&P 500 SP:SPX — the broadest barometer of America’s corporate muscle? It rose to set its own record high last week before coming down on Friday on renewed tariff jitters.
The Wall Street darling looks less explosive than its tech-packed peer, the Nasdaq. But it’s still up nearly 7% year-to-date — and up 26% from the April dip when tariffs spooked everyone out of their leveraged longs. Now? It’s back in record territory, brushing aside GDP contraction and inflation that won’t quit.
Why? Because the market is forward-looking. Tariffs may sting, but when the Fed hints at cuts and Trump sticks to his MAGA narrative, risk assets catch a bid.
🧨 What About Those Tariffs, Though?
Speaking of tariffs, let’s not pretend they’re not looming. Trump threatened over the weekend to ramp up levies on EU goods to 30% starting August 1 if no new deal emerges. Canada got an earful too: 35% on certain Canadian exports — and Ottawa announced a $21 billion tit-for-tat.
The “pause” on reciprocal tariffs ends in a few weeks. So, is this noise or real risk?
For now, markets are calling the bluff. Investors have tuned out the saber-rattling, choosing to front-run the Fed’s next move instead. If tariffs spark a deeper trade war, stocks may get a reality check. Until then, the melt-up rules.
🔮 What’s Next? Eyes on Earnings
Earnings season is around the corner (be sure to follow the Earnings Calendar ), and you can bet every fund manager is watching Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and the rest of the Mag 7 for cracks in the AI gold rush.
If the big names keep printing double-digit revenue growth, investors should be happy. But any hint of deceleration, cautious guidance, or margin pressure could slam the brakes on this record run.
Your turn : Do you see this melt-up stretching into the second half of the year? Or are we due for a rude awakening once the earnings calls roll in? Drop your take below!
EURUSD: The Logic of Institutional Capital UnveiledThe trend is your friend... until it isn't. While EURUSD remains in a clear global uptrend, the short-term picture is far more deceptive. Before you jump into a long position, it's crucial to understand the bearish order flow that has taken control on the 4H chart.
This idea isn't about fighting the trend, but about having the patience to join it at the right, high-probability moment. Let's dive in.
The most liquid forex asset, EURUSD , continues its global uptrend as long as the price does not close decisively below the daily structure's BOS level at 1.14458. On its ascent, the pair met resistance from a monthly supply zone , from which it began a daily structure correction. This correction was paused by a demand zone and the 61.8% Fib level.
While this might seem like a sufficient support point to consider long positions, let's look at the context on the 4H structure to see why I believe the correction will go deeper.
The 4H structure shows a clear bearish order flow that began from the aforementioned monthly supply zone. We see this order flow manifest as the price consecutively rejects from order blocks #1 and #2 ( they have fulfilled their role and should no longer be considered — any manipulation zone becomes deactivated after its first mitigation ). It would have seemed logical for the price to then reject from OB #3 , where I was personally expecting a counter-trend short trade upon its mitigation, especially after the 4H structure had broken down (BOS 4H).
However, the price doesn't always behave as we expect ; it dropped to the demand zone, leaving behind a 4H FVG. This left OB #3 still technically valid. But the sharp squeeze on July 16th reached the 4H FVG, rebalancing it and thus invalidating OB #3 as a Point of Interest (POI) for large capital. This is because the price was already delivered close to it, and with a high probability, the "Whale" closed its losing hedged long positions there, having no reason to return the price. The sharp upward squeeze on July 16th also served to sweep liquidity from the high marked with an 'x'.
These two factors — the FVG mitigation and the liquidity sweep — confirmed the continuation of the bearish order flow and indicated that the price is likely to continue its corrective move towards the next support levels. Let's examine them in more detail.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Two Potential Long Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Entry from the Daily Order Block
The first level for a potential reversal is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the daily structure, in conjunction with a daily order block .
► Setup Condition: Price must reach this level, mitigate the order block, and hold above the 78.6% Fib level. An entry will require LTF confirmation (a BOS or the beginning of LTF order flow).
► Invalidation: A break of the 78.6% level with the price closing below it.
Note: I consider the scenario of breaking this level quite probable due to the weakness of this daily order block — it did not sweep any liquidity when it was formed. Thus, it may itself act as liquidity, activating the second long scenario.
SCENARIO 2: Entry after a Deeper Liquidity Sweep
This scenario becomes valid if the first one fails.
► Setup Condition: A liquidity sweep below the daily structure's break level (BOS D) , which simultaneously corresponds to reaching the 50% Fib level from the weekly structure . This confluence strongly reinforces the setup if this level (at 1.14480) holds. Since this is a weekly level, it must not be broken by the bodies of daily candles closing below it.
► Invalidation: A daily candle close below this level. In that case, we can confidently assume that the uptrend is changing and start looking for short positions.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
What a week on the markets with our KOG report plan working well, the red boxes moving with price, the Excalibur targets being completed and then most of the bias level targets completing as well.
Have a look at Sundays report and compare the move and levels shared, you'll see how well we've managed to track this. Only thing we haven't got (yet) is that curve ball, so let's see how we close today and open on Sunday.
For now, support below is at the 3340 level with resistance 3370. We may just see a late session move here so play caution.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360✅, 3373✅, 3375✅ and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340,✅ 3335✅, 3329✅, 3320✅ and 3310✅ for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340✅, 3335✅, 3329✅, 3322✅ and 3310✅ in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report. Please do take some time to hit the boost button, it's very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
ETH - If You Know ...... You Know whats Coming
NYSE:BLK $BUIDL tokenized U.S.-Treasury fund launched on COINBASE:ETHUSD in Mar 2024—Wall Street is already settling real dollars on-chain.
NYSE:JPM JPMD stablecoin just went live on Base (an COINBASE:ETHUSD L2), piping wholesale payments from a $4 T balance-sheet straight through COINBASE:ETHUSD rails.
COINBASE:ETHUSD isn’t just riding the next crypto cycle—it’s becoming Wall Street’s settlement layer. From BlackRock’s on-chain Treasury fund to JPMorgan’s and soon Bank of America’s dollar tokens, a tidal wave of institutional stable-coin flows is lining up behind ETH. Fewer coins, more real-world volume—if you know, you know what’s coming.
NYSE:BAC CEO says they’ll issue a dollar-backed token the moment regulators nod—another tier-1 bank boarding the Ethereum train.
Stablecoin cap has blasted past $230 B , with 80 %+ of all on-chain transfers riding Ethereum (plus BSC) blocks.
Corporate settlements via stablecoins grew 25 % YoY in 2024 as multinationals replaced SWIFT with instant on-chain clearing.
Daily stablecoin throughput averages $7 B—each hop burning ETH and tightening supply.
BCG projects tokenized real-world assets to exceed $16 T by 2030 , with EVM chains as the default plumbing.
Over 500 M wallets already interact with stablecoins , a 30 % YoY surge led by emerging-market demand.
L2s like BINANCE:ARBUSDT & BINANCE:OPUSDT cut transaction fees 35 % yet still settle back to mainnet—meaning ETH captures the fee stream and the burn.
Bottom line: a tidal wave of bank-grade stablecoins + tokenized assets is lining up behind ETH; supply shrinks, demand soars—if you know, you know what’s coming.
quote] Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that , hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
COTIUSDT I 3M CLS I Model 1 I Target Full Range Yo Market Warriors ⚔️
This coin is ready to pump manipulation phase finished — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
GOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenarioGOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenario
Yesterday we had a bad joke from Trump and the price tested again a very strong resistance area located near 3378.
As you can see from the chart, the sell-off happened quickly and was just a sell-off in a deep pullback.
Today, the price was struggling to find a clear direction, but after Trump said he had no plans to fire the Federal Reserve's Powell, the market calmed down easily.
The price fell from another strong support area earlier today after the US printed strong Retail Sales data for June of 0.6% versus an estimate of 0.1%.
The chances of further declines, as I explained earlier, are increasing further and it could even reach 3260, it seems.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
EUR/USD | Bullish Momentum Builds – Next Targets Ahead! (READ)By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as per the previous analysis, the price first made a strong move in two steps, successfully hitting the 1.15580 target. Upon reaching this key level, it reacted positively with increased demand and is now trading around 1.16520. Given the current trend, I expect further bullish movement soon, with the next potential targets at 1.16720, 1.17230, and 1.17500.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice! Our idea from yesterday worked well giving the short trade into the level we wanted, to then break below the bias level and give us our 2 Gold Excalibur targets and 1 of our red box targets shared with the wider community. We suggested our traders watch the level of 3310 for a potential RIP, and that's exactly what we got upside.
Now, we have support at the 3330-27 level and resistance above at 3340-3. We have a red box above as well so we'll be waiting to see if the close is significant enough for us to target higher tomorrow! For now, keep an eye on the retracement into the 3335-2 level initially.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3341, 3355, 3362, 3370 and 3376 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3304, 3297 and 3294 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold:
1. Bullish above 3375
2. Bearish under 3320
Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture.
________________________________________
🔍 What's Next?
As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds.
The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant.
And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week.
________________________________________
📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360
• A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance.
• That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern.
• It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too).
• This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks.
________________________________________
📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300
• A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt
• That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term.
________________________________________
🧭 Final Thoughts
At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day.
The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that.
P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
3/ Altseason: Live - My System: Cut Losses, Let Profits RunIntroduction: The Whole Truth About Trading
The "Altseason: Live" experiment is in full swing. Before we continue, I want to show you something important. Not just the wins, but the complete picture.
This is real trading. With big wins and unavoidable losses. And this single screenshot contains my entire philosophy.
My Core Strategy: Cut Your Losses, Let Your Profits Run
My main job as a trader comes down to two simple rules:
Hold my winning positions for as long as possible.
Cut my losing positions as quickly as possible.
Look at the screenshot again. The losing trades on SAGA (-90) and PUMP(−595) were closed fast.
The moment I realized the setup wasn't working, I got out. No hope, no emotions. This is the cost of doing business.
Now, look at MAV (+4,302) and RONIN(+3,254)
I let them run because they were following the plan. These two trades brought in +$7,556 in profit, more than covering all the small losses and securing a great overall result. This is how the system works.
The Winner's Psychology: The Battle with Euphoria
After a series like this, it's easy to get a "winner's high" and believe you're invincible. That's a trap. That's why, after the first wins, I deliberately cut my position size for the next trades by four times. To tame that euphoria and remember that discipline is more important than overconfidence.
My main principle remains : Fear losing more than you fear missing out.
The Hunt Continues: The Current Position
This system isn't a theory from the past. It's working right now. As of this moment, I have one open position in :
GETTEX:WOO , which is already showing over 2121 in unrealized profit.
I plan to manage this trade by the same rules and will likely close it within the next 1-3 days.
What's Next?
I'm not looking for dozens of trades. I'm looking for a few high-quality setups where I can apply my system. I use limit orders to enter on pullbacks, and I always use a stop-loss.
The experiment continues. You can follow it all in real-time on my streams, where I broadcast my trading terminal.
Thank you for your attention. The hunt for Trade #3 has already begun.
Best regards EXCAVO
Cardano ADA price analysis🪙 Five months ago, we published a medium-term trade for CRYPTOCAP:ADA , and the price still remains in the buying zone.
With the current growth, the price of OKX:ADAUSDT remains in consolidation, and when the correction begins, it would be very good if it stayed above $0.60.
😈 If you still have faith in the prospects of the #Cardano project, you can continue to hold or even buy #ADA during the correction.
Well, theoretically possible targets for the #ADAusd price are:
TP1 - $1.75
TP2 - $2.90
TP3 - $6.40
_____________________
Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
SUI/USDT – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in PlaySUI has officially broken out of a multi-month symmetrical triangle on strong momentum. This structure has been building since early 2024 and now looks ready for continuation.
Key Notes:
Breakout confirmed above trendline resistance with strong volume.
Reversal signals on the 1D and 4H timeframes aligned before the move.
Pullback toward the breakout zone is possible before continuation.
Upside Fibonacci-Based Targets:
PT1: $5.32 (+27%)
PT2: $6.53 (+47%)
PT3: $7.60 (+75%)
If the breakout holds and momentum continues, these levels offer a solid roadmap for potential long-term gains. Watching how price reacts around the $4.30 resistance will be key.
Not Financial Advice – For educational purposes only.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 17-18, 2025Hello traders!
After yesterday’s high-volatility trap and NY session recovery, we now stand at a major structural junction. Buyers reclaimed 3310–3314 with precision, but price is pressing into multi-timeframe supply. Let’s break it down clearly
🔸 HTF Bias
Daily Bias: Bullish correction inside a larger range. Demand at 3310–3305 was swept and respected, but supply at 3347–3360 caps upside.
H4 Bias: Bullish flow into supply. Structure printed clean HLs from 3295–3310. However, current zone is full of short-term profit-taking risk.
H1 Bias: Bullish short-term trend. Price built higher lows from 3310, but now sits at 3340–3347 — reactive zone where momentum could fade if no breakout.
🔸 Key Structural Zones (with role)
🔺 Supply Zones (Above Price):
3347–3360 (D1/H4/H1 Supply)
🔹 Multi-timeframe confluence
🔹 Previous reaction + NY trap zone
🔹 Expect heavy rejection or false breakout wicks
3366–3385 (D1 Supply)
🔹 Final liquidity shelf for buyers
🔹 Only valid if 3347 breaks clean
🔹 Longs must wait for confirmation after breakout
⚔️ Decision Zones (Middle):
3335–3328 (Intraday Flip Zone)
🔹 M15-M30 structure control
🔹 Buyers can reload here on clean bounce
🔹 If price closes below, opens door for bearish momentum
🔻 Demand Zones (Below Price):
3314–3310 (H1/H4 Demand – Key Buy Area)
🔹 Institutional demand origin
🔹 Price tapped, swept, and reclaimed
🔹 Ideal sniper buys only on retest with bullish M15 BOS
3305–3295 (Deep Reversal Demand)
🔹 Extreme discount
🔹 Valid only if 3310 fails
🔹 High RR buys if liquidity sweep appears
🔸 Sniper Battle Plan 🎯
Scenario 1 – Fade from 3347–3360:
🔹 If rejection signs (M15 FVG + RSI divergence), short toward 3335, 3314
🔹 Only enter if NY open confirms exhaustion
Scenario 2 – Pullback to 3335–3328:
🔹 Ideal quick buys on bounce with confirmation
🔹 Watch for BOS on LTF for sniper entry
Today’s zones require real discipline: no rush, no panic — just clear steps, sharp entries, and clean rejections or retests. You already saw what 3310–3305 reacted. The next move? You plan it. You take it. You own it.
✨ Which zone are you watching for your next move?
Drop a comment, leave a 🚀🚀🚀and follow for more sniper-level clarity — every single day.
Let’s keep mastering this market. Together.
Disclosure: All plans are built on Trade Nation live feed. Educational only.
ETH eyes on $3431.83: Golden Genesis fib may END this SurgeETH finally got a surge after a long consolidation.
But has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $3431.83
Like hitting a brick wall, it is now staggering back.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject here to end the surge.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we Break-n-Retest to continue.
We were here at this EXACT spot 8 months ago:
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MOST ACCURATE XAUUSD GOLD FORECAST ANALYSIS MARKETCurrent Setup & Technical Outlook
Consolidation & Pennant Formation: Gold is building a bullish pennant and trading above its 50‑day MA — a classic continuation pattern suggesting a breakout toward new highs if momentum resumes .
Key Levels:
Support: $3,330–3,340 — confirmed by multiple technical sources .
Resistance/Breakout Zone: $3,360–3,375 — clearing this could trigger a rally toward $3,400+ .
Upside Targets: $3,390, then possibly $3,500–$3,535 per weekly forecast .
Alternate Bearish Scenario: A failure around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance (~$3,374) and overbought RSI could spark a pullback to $3,356 or lower .
---
🧠 Fundamental Drivers
Inflation & U.S. Macro Data: Market awaits June CPI/PPI and Fed commentary — cooler inflation could boost gold via dovish expectations, while hotter data may strengthen the USD and weigh on bullion .
Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand: Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are keeping gold elevated near $3,350–$3,360 .
Central Bank & Real Yields Watch: Continued gold purchases and lower real rates are supportive, although mid-term easing in risks (like global trade) could curb momentum .
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this.
In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle.
This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k.
Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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