Xauusd and gold wasn next move police📈 TradingView Professional Bullish Idea – XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish, with confirmation from FVG & CHoCH
Structure:
Strong Break of Market Structure (BMS)
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming bullish shift
Fair Value Gap (FVG) filled and respected
Price above EMA 50 & 100, showing momentum alignment
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📌 Trade Plan (Professional Format)
> ENTRY ZONE:
Watch for bullish continuation above 3,339–3,343 FVG zone
Confirmation: Strong candle close above FVG with volume support
> TP Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3,350.00 (previous minor high – already hit)
🎯 TP2: 3,361.00 (liquidity target)
🎯 TP3: 3,375.00 (upper imbalance target)
> STOP LOSS:
🛑 Below 3,324.00 (below previous BMS & demand block)
> Invalidation:
Price closes below 3,322 with volume → invalidates bullish thesis
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🔍 Idea Summary
> Price has respected demand zone with strong BMS & CHoCH.
FVG filled with bullish reaction suggests possible continuation.
As long as price stays above the EMA cluster and demand, bulls are in control.
Community ideas
EURUSDShort-Term Bullish Outlook for EUR/USD
1. DXY Bearish Momentum
As the dollar index (DXY) weakens due to rate cut expectations and political instability, EUR/USD benefits directly (EUR makes up ~58% of DXY).
2. ECB More Hawkish Than Fed (for Now)
The European Central Bank has taken a more data-dependent and cautious tone, holding off on aggressive rate cuts.
This divergence boosts the euro relative to the dollar.
"Bitcoin Bearish Setup: Breakdown Targeting 117,509"This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 45-minute chart shows a bearish setup with key levels marked. After a breakdown from the support area, price is expected to drop. The suggested short entry is just below 119,639, with a stop loss at 120,984 and a target at 117,509. The chart highlights an order block, support area, and projected downward move.
Dow Jones: Shaking amid rumors of Powell’s dismissalIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The main Wall Street indices closed Thursday’s session with mixed results. Comments from Trump stating he had no plans to fire Powell but “doesn’t rule anything out” except in cases of fraud, along with Powell’s declaration that he will serve his full term until mid-2026, pressured the market. The U.S. market has been dealing with these dismissal tensions for seven months, which made the Dow Jones appear weaker, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq managed to stay in positive territory, supported by strong earnings from key companies. At the session’s start, the Dow Jones fell 0.09% to 44,202 points, while the S&P 500 rose 0.04% to 6,266 points and the Nasdaq gained 0.17% to 20,777 points. However, the Dow Jones closed at 44,484.49 points (+0.52%), the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 points (+0.54%), and the Nasdaq at 20,885.65 points (+0.75%). The day was marked by rumors from the White House, where an official stated that Trump would “probably soon” fire Jerome Powell. The news triggered an intraday drop of over 260 points in the Dow Jones, although markets later moderated losses after clarifications from the former president himself.
An early dismissal of Powell would likely impact the market very negatively and generate significant chaos. Trump’s interest in pressuring the Fed for rate cuts, although he cannot legally dismiss the central bank’s president, has been on the table since the start of his term. This has caused pronounced volatility movements. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.449%, as the market reduced the probability of a rate cut in September from 66% to 55% (CME FedWatch).
On the macroeconomic front, June retail sales rose 0.6%, far exceeding the expected 0.1%. Weekly jobless claims stood at 221,000, also below expectations. With these results, Trump has little leverage to challenge the Fed.
Notable corporate results:
PepsiCo surprised positively with EPS of $2.12 (vs. $2.03 expected) and rose 5.7% at the open.
United Airlines advanced 3.6%, beating earnings expectations with EPS of $3.87, although revenues slightly disappointed.
GE Aerospace raised its 2025 EPS forecast to a range of $5.60–5.80, driven by strong aftermarket demand.
Netflix reported after the close, with expectations of $7.09 EPS and $11.06 billion in revenue.
TSMC led chip sector gains, rising more than 3% after announcing record profits thanks to AI. AMD, NVIDIA, and Super Micro also traded higher.
Technical Analysis
Observing the Dow Jones daily chart (Ticker AT: USAIND), since late April the index has moved upward toward its long-term control zone around 42,230 points, where the Point of Control (POC) acts as support for the current rally. In recent days, candles have used the 50-day moving average as support. The price expansion that began on June 6 with a golden cross appears solid. The bullish delta pressure zones from February and last year’s Christmas rally coincide with the current trading zone, suggesting a potential fourth attempt to break the current all-time highs at 45,110.09 points in pursuit of 46,000. If this price area is not breached, a pullback toward the POC zone could occur, and if that level fails to hold, a drop toward 39,600 points may follow.
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La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial.
Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información.
Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada y las estimaciones no sinónimo ni un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo. Los tipos de interés pueden cambiar. El riesgo político es impredecible. Las acciones de los bancos centrales pueden variar. Las herramientas de las plataformas no garantizan el éxito.
EUR USD short setupwe had lower low so i say it may go further down , consider its Friday we may see ranging market so waiting for over price can be logical ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
Symmetrical Triangle Correction – Elliott Wave PerspectiveSymmetrical Triangle Correction – Elliott Wave Perspective
The image depicts a Symmetrical Triangle Correction, a common corrective pattern in Elliott Wave Theory. This formation is typically observed during wave 4 or within a complex correction, and it signals consolidation before the next impulsive move.
Structure:
A symmetrical triangle is composed of five corrective waves, labeled A-B-C-D-E.
Each wave itself is subdivided into a-b-c zigzag patterns, indicating a 3-3-3-3-3 structure.
The triangle is bounded by two converging trendlines—one sloping downwards and the other upwards—forming a symmetrical shape.
Key Characteristics:
Occurs after a strong impulse, representing a period of indecision or balance between bulls and bears.
Volume typically contracts during the triangle formation.
The triangle resolves in the direction of the prior trend, meaning this is usually a continuation pattern.
Each leg (A to E) gets progressively smaller, reflecting decreasing volatility.
Market Psychology:
Wave A: Initial reaction to overextension in the previous move.
Wave B: Market attempts to resume the trend but fails.
Wave C: Bears regain strength but with less momentum.
Wave D: Bulls push again, but still no breakout.
Wave E: Final shakeout before breakout.
Trading Implication:
A breakout often occurs after wave E, confirming the end of the correction.
Traders may enter positions in the direction of the prior trend with a stop below/above wave E, targeting a move equal to the widest part of the triangle.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Chart Overview
This chart shows a **bullish continuation setup** for Bitcoin, supported by **EMA structure**, **trendline**, and **support zone** validation. Here's the detailed breakdown:
**1. Trend & Structure**
* **Uptrend:** Price is in a clear uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
* **Trendline:** The ascending trendline confirms strong upward momentum. It has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
**2. Key Support Zones**
* **Recent Breakout Zone (\~\$118,000 – \$119,000):**
Bitcoin broke out above this horizontal resistance and is now **retesting it as support**. This is a classic bullish retest pattern.
* The chart suggests that as long as price holds above this zone, **bullish continuation** is expected.
**3. EMA Indicators (Exponential Moving Averages)**
* **7 EMA (Red) – \$118,386**
* **21 EMA (Blue) – \$114,042**
* **50 EMA (Black) – \$109,483**
All EMAs are **sloping upwards** and aligned in bullish order (7 > 21 > 50), confirming strong upside momentum. The price is currently above all EMAs, which supports a continuation of the bullish trend.
**4. Bullish Target**
* The green arrow suggests a projected bullish move with a potential target above **\$130,000–\$132,500**, assuming price holds the support and resumes upward.
**5. Risk Area**
* If BTC closes **below the highlighted support zone (\~\$118,000)**, it could invalidate the bullish structure temporarily and push toward the next support near **\$114,000–\$115,000**.
**Conclusion**
* **Bias:** Bullish
* **Actionable Insight:**
* As long as BTC remains above the \$118K support zone and trendline, **buy dips** or **hold longs**.
* A clean break and close above recent highs (\~\$121K–\$122K) could open the door toward **\$130K+** targets.
CHR/USDT Major Breakout! Bullish Momentum Ignites🧠 Complete Technical Analysis:
After months of being trapped in a prolonged downtrend since December 2024, Chromia (CHR) has finally shown signs of awakening. The price has successfully broken out of a major descending trendline, while also breaching a critical consolidation resistance zone between $0.093–$0.098 (highlighted in yellow).
This breakout not only indicates a potential trend reversal, but also opens the door for a medium-term bullish rally if sustained.
📊 Structure and Pattern Highlights:
Descending Trendline Breakout: CHR has decisively broken out of the long-standing bearish structure.
Validated Accumulation Zone: The $0.075–$0.098 range has proven to be a strong accumulation base after multiple tests.
Layered Horizontal Resistances: A clear ladder of resistance levels awaits as price pushes upward.
Potential Bullish Patterns: With a healthy pullback and higher low, CHR could form an Inverse Head and Shoulders or a Bullish Flag continuation pattern.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If CHR can hold daily candle closes above the $0.098 breakout zone, the following targets come into play:
Target Level Description
$0.113 Breakout confirmation zone
$0.120 Psychological mini-resistance
$0.130 Historical horizontal resistance
$0.143 Previous local top
$0.165 Key breakdown level
$0.180 – $0.228 Medium-term target range with historical supply
$0.265 – $0.290 Strong resistance area from past distribution
$0.343 – $0.375 Long-term bullish target
💡 Note: If buying volume increases and BTC remains stable or bullish, these targets become increasingly realistic.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
However, if this breakout turns out to be a fakeout, CHR may fall back below the $0.093 zone and retest:
$0.085 (minor support)
$0.075 (base support)
As low as the demand zone around $0.065–$0.070
📌 Candle close and volume confirmation are critical. Avoid chasing price without solid validation!
📎 Conclusion & Strategy:
> CHR/USDT is currently at a pivotal moment. This breakout from a multi-month downtrend signals a potential trend reversal and a medium-term opportunity for swing traders and position holders.
📈 Trading Strategy Suggestion:
Entry: After a successful retest of the $0.095–$0.098 zone
Stop Loss: Below $0.085
Take Profit: Scale out at resistance levels listed above
#CHRUSDT #Chromia #CryptoBreakout #TrendReversal #AltcoinSeason #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BullishPattern #BreakoutSignal #ChartSetup
The 7.15 gold shock adjustment is not the top!7.15 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3370-3375, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3350-3345, break to see 3340 line;
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3340-3345, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3355-3365, break to see 3375 line;
I am a financial enthusiast. I may not have a 100% winning rate. If you are a novice or your account is about to be burned, you can ask me. I will give you free professional advice.
LONG ON $AVAXThe AVAX/USDT chart presents a bullish continuation setup supported by a completed cup formation, bullish market structure shift (MSS) and fair value gap (FVG) fills. With rising volume on the right side of the cup and a clean break above recent resistance, the market shows clear signs of institutional interest and buyer strength. The price is approaching a Point of Interest (POI) near $27, which is likely to serve as a target zone or temporary supply barrier.
A long trade setup is valid between $21.50 and $22.60 which aligns with the retest of the FVG zone, previous structure breakout and early handle development. Stop loss should be placed at $20.9, protecting the setup from invalidation while maintaining a strong risk-reward profile. Target levels include $24.50 (TP1) for an early exit, $26.80 (TP2) near the POI base and $27.05\$27.20 (TP3) at the top of the expected move. R:R range from 2:1 up to 5:1 depending on point of entry.
To execute, traders should watch for bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (1H–4H) within the entry zone, such as a bullish engulfing candle, BOS or a volume-backed rejection. A scaling entry strategy can improve average price and partial profit-taking at key levels ensures the position remains protected as the trade unfolds. Overall, the structure, volume, and Smart Money signals support a high-probability long from the $21.50\$22.60 range toward the $27 POI.
LTCUSD: The Trade Everyone ForgotLTCUSD: The Trade Everyone Forgot — But the Chart Didn’t
While everyone’s watching ETH and BTC chase headlines, NYSE:LTC is quietly breaking out of a 2-month range — and the math is hard to ignore.
🎯 Setup Breakdown
Base Breakout: Litecoin just cleared a horizontal range that’s held it hostage since May.
MACD: Fresh bullish crossover with expanding histogram — early momentum shift after a long cooldown.
Ichimoku: Price is above the cloud with Tenkan and Kijun crossing. Bullish structure with a cushion of support below.
📊 Trade Specs
Entry: ~$94
Target: $129.39 (+36.18%)
Stop: $85 (–9.38%)
R/R: 3.86 — almost 4:1
⚠️ What Makes It Different?
Sentiment: Nobody’s talking about Litecoin. That’s usually when it moves.
Structure: This isn’t chasing green candles — this is defined consolidation + confirmed breakout.
Asymmetry: With nearly 4:1 R/R, even a 25–30% win rate keeps you in the green if managed well.
Sometimes the quiet charts are the loudest in hindsight.
Are you in NYSE:LTC or still watching?
USDJPY INTRADY OPPORTUNITY Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
NAS100 (CASH100) SHORT - Double Top H8Risk/reward = 4.6
Entry price = 23 063
Stop loss price = 23 190
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 635
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 303
Still waiting for confirmation on some variables.
For example, need H8 candle to close in range and volume to validate, amongst other variables.
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,149.85, posting a loss of -1.22%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,889 to 25,048 – This is a crucial range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation. A breakout or breakdown from this zone can set the tone for the week.
🔻 Support Levels:
S1: 24,654
S2: 24,340
S3: 24,040
🔺 Resistance Levels:
R1: 25,286
R2: 25,604
R3: 25,910
📈 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above 25,048 (top of the pivot zone) may invite buying interest. If momentum continues, the index could test R1 (25,286) and possibly extend towards R2 (25,604) and R3 (25,910).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold the pivot zone and a breakdown below 24,889 could trigger further downside. The index may slide towards S1 (24,654) and deeper supports at S2 (24,340) and S3 (24,040).
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
XAUUSD I Whats playing out in the range? COT overviewHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
BMT/USDT Rebounding from Strong Demand Zone Is a Major Breakout?🧠 Complete and Insightful Technical Analysis:
The daily chart of BMT/USDT reveals a compelling structure for traders looking to capitalize on early-stage reversals and bottom entries. The price is currently consolidating within a strong historical demand zone, ranging between $0.069 – $0.087 USDT — a level that has previously triggered multiple significant rallies (March, May, July 2025).
This isn’t just any support zone; it's a classic accumulation area, where bearish momentum appears to be fading and buyers are gradually stepping in.
🔍 Identified Chart Patterns:
✅ Accumulation Range – Sideways movement within the highlighted yellow box suggests a potential base formation.
✅ Double Bottom (W Formation) Potential – A break above resistance would confirm this bullish pattern.
✅ Wyckoff Spring Setup – If a fake breakdown below support occurs followed by a swift recovery, it could signal a powerful trend reversal.
🚀 Bullish Scenario (Reversal in Play):
If the price continues to hold above the $0.069 support, it sets the stage for a strong bullish reversal. A confirmed breakout above $0.096 with high volume would validate the bullish thesis.
📈 Upside Targets:
TP1: $0.096 USDT – Local resistance
TP2: $0.128 USDT – Previous key equilibrium zone
TP3: $0.144 - $0.162 USDT – Historical resistance
TP4: $0.270 - $0.290 USDT – Major range top
This structure provides the potential for a +200% upside move if momentum builds and resistance levels are broken sequentially.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Risk):
If the price fails to hold above the demand zone and closes below $0.069, the bearish outlook takes precedence:
The next support sits at $0.063
A breakdown below this may lead to price discovery lower with strong downside pressure
👉 Caution is advised: use tight risk management if trading within this range.
🔑 Key Takeaways:
The yellow box is a critical battleground between bulls and bears.
Holding this demand zone could ignite a strong breakout.
The risk/reward setup is favorable for swing and trend traders.
A confirmed breakout could signal the start of a new bullish phase.
📊 Additional Chart Stats:
Current Price: ~$0.075 USDT
Support Zone: $0.069 - $0.087
Key Resistance Levels: $0.096 / $0.128 / $0.144 / $0.162 / $0.270
Market Structure: Sideways → Accumulation → Breakout Potential
#BMTUSDT #CryptoTrading #BreakoutSetup #WyckoffMethod #AltcoinAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #SwingTradeOpportunity #CryptoReversal
Nifty Closes Below 25,000 — What Lies Ahead?The Indian market's recent uptrend appears to be losing momentum, as the benchmark Nifty index extended its decline for the third consecutive week, ending just below the important 25,000 mark.
This pullback has been largely driven by weakness in the Financial and IT sectors, with major players like NSE:TCS , NSE:HCLTECH , and NSE:AXISBANK posting disappointing earnings.
From a technical perspective, the index is now approaching a key support zone near 24,900. A decisive break below this level could open the door for a further slide towards 24,500.
Open Interest (OI) data reinforces this view, with the 25,000–24,900 zone seeing the highest put writing, marking it as an immediate support area. On the upside, strong call writing at 25,100 and 25,200 on Friday suggests these levels will act as immediate resistance.
Given the current structure, the outlook for the coming week remains neutral to bearish.
Traders are advised to stay cautious, manage risk effectively, and keep a close watch on these crucial levels.