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Defining the $BTC top with USDT.DWhy is USDT.D so important in defining a CRYPTOCAP:BTC top? Because, when BTC is in price discovery, there is no previous price action to determine where we might expect a reaction based on price. Therefore, all we really have are fib extensions and speculation if we solely look at past CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Fear not, USDT.D gives us previous dominance action to evaluate when the BTC price might react. This is because USDT.D is inversely correlated with CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Evaluating the correlation of USDT.D and CRYPTOCAP:BTC price, I found that in the current cycle, the correlation is approximately a doubling of BTC price for every -3% drop in USDT.D. IMPORTANT: Everything below is for speculative fun. I will be watching this play out as part of an overall strategy to define a cycle top, but would never think to use it to make any decision in my life, especially if I should do a destination or hometown wedding or what brand of salve to put on my hemorrhoids. How can we use the USDT.D/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC correlation to help pick a top? Well, we can find demand zones and calculate how far away we are from them. I don't have previous demand zones on the chart, but they have worked in the past to predict a reaction. The demand zones are somewhat subjective, so you can should verify on your own, but there are a few main zones that I see and have marked in yellow. The top of the demand zones, along with the distance from the current USDT.D in parenthesis, are 3.1% (-1%), 2.8% (-1.5%), 1.8% (-2%), and 1.3% (-2.5%). Using these drops in USDT.D, we might see some intermediate tops around $130K, $150K, and $180K. The cycle top might be around $196K if we get to the lowest demand zone plotted on the chart. Of course, there are more demand zones below that, but I have a hard time seeing USDT.D go below 1.3%. I added the price path as an extra bit of intrigue. It will likely not play out as I have it drawn, but why post my ideas if I'm not going to climb out on a limb and see if the prediction plays out. That would be a move of a cowardly douche. And although I am a douche, I'm not a coward. --Da_Prof
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Da_Prof
8
BTC - 0.786 LTF StrugglePlease refer to our previous post: If you look at the predictive fib model we presented in our last post, we are starting to get more accurate developments. Today we just saw another rejection at our 0.786 predictive fib level with a potential reversal doji. That is now 3 touchpoints of resistance right around $120k (which is also inline with the 1.618 extension). Therefore if price starts to decline the predictive price targets to the downside remain in place.
by VIAQUANT
1
xrp breakoutXRP has broken out of a multi-month consolidation zone, clearing major resistance levels around $2.75–$3.00. The current price action shows strong bullish momentum supported by moving averages and an overextended RSI. Key levels: Entry: $3.46 (market price) Stop-Loss: $2.75 (below 0.382 Fibonacci and prior resistance) Target: $4.49 (based on previous price structure and Fibonacci extension) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.9 Analysis: Bullish EMA alignment (price is above 20/50/100/200) RSI is overbought (~87), which signals strength but also warns of potential retracement No retest of breakout zone yet — caution on late entries This setup is momentum-based, not for late chasers. I will monitor for a clean retest around the $3.00–$3.20 area for a safer re-entry if price pulls back.
Long
by buenavistajonel67
1
Btcusd techinical analysis.The chart shows a BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. US Dollar) technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a detailed breakdown: --- 🔍 Chart Elements & Interpretation: 1. Trend Lines: Upper Pink Trend Line: Acts as a resistance from a previous high. Lower Pink Trend Line: Represents a support line from the recent upward trend. Blue Channel: Shows a rising wedge or ascending channel (often a bearish reversal pattern). 2. O.B (Order Blocks): Upper O.B Zone (~120,000–121,000): Potential supply zone or area of resistance. Lower O.B Zone (~117,500–118,500): Possible demand zone or support. 3. Price Projection: A measured move of 2,585.6 points (2.18%) is marked upward from the current breakout attempt. 4. Current Price: BTC is trading at $119,771.8, with a +0.90% increase at the time of this chart. --- 🧠 Technical Outlook: Bullish Case: Breakout above the upper trend line and clearing the upper O.B could lead to a continuation toward 122,000+. If BTC respects the demand zone and bounces, the uptrend may resume. Bearish Case: Failure to break above resistance or rejection at
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by Rickypher
1
Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors 🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets. At the same time: 🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions. 🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction. 🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes. 📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction. 🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones. Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level. Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop. If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form. 🎯 Trade Plan for Today 🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone Entry: 3,312 – 3,310 Stop Loss: 3,306 Take Profits: → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350 📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1). 🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone Entry: 3,362 – 3,364 Stop Loss: 3,368 Take Profits: → 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340 📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts). ⚠️ Risk Note With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP. 💬 What’s Your Take? Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones? Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity? 👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
4
This is idea for positional trading in niftyBased on a confluence of Technical Analysis, Gann theory, and Astro-cycle studies, the market continues to experience downside pressure. This phase is likely a volume accumulation zone, which could set the stage for a stronger uptrend in the coming weeks. The current bearish undertone is expected to gradually shift, with potential positive momentum emerging around August 5, 2025. Scenario 1: Buy on Dip (Accumulation Zone) Entry: Buy Nifty Futures in the 24,850 – 24,900 range Stop Loss: 50 points Target: 25,200 – 25,800 Note: This setup is valid only if the price retraces to this support zone, or halt before breaking out above 25,300. Scenario 2: Breakout Buy Entry: Buy Nifty Futures above 25,300 Stop Loss: 30 points Target: 25,800 Note: This is a momentum-based entry upon confirmed breakout.
NSEIX:NIFTY1!
by dc4uonly
1
ETH relative to AltcoinsI fee like at this current point as we see altcoin pairs bleed against ETH and BTC while putting in lower lows while Eth puts in higher highs we will not see the altseason we are hoping for until altcoin pairs hit here range lows which I can see happen end of Q3 into the start of Q4 but until then they can still rise as ETH.D continues its rally but I feel until altcoins reach its range lows being the .25 lvl on (TOTAL3-USDT)/BTC we will not see that face melting rally we are looking for.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by SleeperPete
1