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Paradigm

#NMRUSDT #4h (OKX Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownNumeraire lost 50MA support, going down for 200MA seems quite probable next. ⚡️⚡️ #NMR/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: OKX Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (5.0X) Amount: 5.1% Current Price: 28.77 Entry Targets: 1) 28.96 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 26.68 Stop Targets: 1) 30.1 Published By: @Zblaba NYSE:NMR OKX:NMRUSDT.P #Numeraire #AI #BigData numer.ai Risk/Reward= 1:2.0 Expected Profit= +39.4% Possible Loss= -19.7% Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
Short
by TradingOn
2
40 Years of TNX and SPX and Their Inverse CorrelationFor the last 40 years, I (we) have invested in a never-ending Bull Market in stocks. During this time: Stay the Course and Buy the Dips worked. But as Ray Dalio said recently: THE PERIOD OF EASY MONEY IS OVER! The new paradigm will either be Zero or Rising Rates, neither of which will be kind to long term investors. The BIG MONEY has already begun to or completed exiting stocks. That started around January 1st. Be very careful what you do now!
TVC:TNX
by midnitepoet
83
So when is the movie starting?According to history now is both the time for the us dollar to get dropped as world reserve currency (it has been slowly declining for a while so I would say we are right on track, but I expect it to end up accelerating and the final phase will happen). It would also seem it is soon time for a major war. And looking at the angry youth which democrats have totally lost control of (and Bernie is not trying to stop them), an angry youth that while they don't really know or understand what they are angry at sure are very angry and outraged and want a revolution. I crack up when people make Soros conspiracies. Ye he paid for some very "liberal" (liberal is really not the right word) attorneys and gave money to BLM but they're acting like he is the secret mastermind behind everything hey chill out. Big tech CEOS and executives don't have a hand in all of this maybe? And little do they know George Soros warned years ago that this big tech was a threat to democracy. Youth that were born at the wrong time and saw bailouts, super high student costs, that never read a book in their life and think George Washington is an NBA player, have basically been brainwashed (not much to brainwash, I really can't believe my eyes when I see how ignorant they are) and want socialism. Just like the youth in Venezuela a while ago and so on. The difference is our fertility rates are low, so there aren't that many impressionable young people with no experience no knowledge and an atrophied pre-frontal cortex to dictate the way the union go. The USA obviously has a problem with national security: 75% of sillicon valley employees that have a major say on the country socio-politics are foreign born! And yes, they are not patriot who would have thought? Not sure what they expected when they opened the borders very wide because "we are a country of migrants". They're going down anyway and we are reviving the silk road so that will be fun. The world domination by the USA is not going to continue. Investors are going to continue to baghold the USA, luckilly I am not a big believer of long term investing. Currencies will change but I do not think Forex will change much, I would be surprised if they went for fixed rates and floors etc, they should know better ("they" = european asian middle east central bankers). Currency pairs will trend the same way, most FX trading will continue to take place in London, with 2 other session windows in east asia (no reason for it not to be Tokyo) and an "american" session in the afternoon between L & T, if New York is run down it can be somewhere else it's irrelevant all is OTC and OT-internet. The other major group (than marxists) in the USA are "blacks". I do not think blacks that have a problem are Somalian (well except you know who), Kenyan (Obama just another manipulative politician pretending to be "one of them" and have the same issues to get votes), Nigerians etc. The blacks are the south west and west-west africans that were sold as slaves and live in ghettos and have a separate culture. West Africans travelled long distances to the savage lands in the far far east and far far west to go get slaves. The Malians and the Akkan tribes in particular have a history of trading gold slaves and kola nuts with north africans via the sahara that was a secondary trade route that led back to the arabs & the silk road because all trade roads lead to Baghdad. You have to imagine slave wholesalers back in the day sending camel caravans very far away or better ships (pretty sure they mostly used ships with slaves from the south west african coast), those were trips to far far away lands via routes that west africans knew well that took weeks. And they knew where to look to find their "merchandise". 2/3 of slaves come from this area. The rest I guess are going to be criminals (why put someone in jail when the punishment can be to be sold for a profit some of which will repay your victim some of which will go to the king), or soldiers captured in war (very small percentage), maybe sometimes minorities... Not just "muh blacks are all the same europeans came with advanced technology speedboats helicopters and nets to capture them in 1685". But well I'm not going to go in too much detail here. Here is a map of the US by myself: Maybe the USA just splits soon. I hope we get a nice bonus out of this where they ban Bitcoin to reduce competion to the usd. It always ends in massive wars. Rome, Babylon, Europe, and idk and so on. Glad that one is far from me. Permabulls crack me up "always recovers" ye cool if it takes 300 years to recover you're going to wait? Ah you are in for the really long term then cringe! The Silk Road is back! State capitalists in the far east, fascists in the middle east, and cucks in the west. Not sure how this will develop but whatever. I'll be the first to adapt and to catch price fluctuations. And short sell west NA. 🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿
TVC:DJI
by MrRenev
7
PARADIGM - 160% PROFIT TO CONTINUEPay close attention to PARADIGM (PAR). 3 Potential Moves 1. We bounce off the .382 Fib level and return to test the 2.80 mark which we saw on 11/05/20 -Being the end of the trading week I suspect the latter. 2. We break the .382 Fib level and Uptrend and head for the 'Golden Pocket' -Bounce off strong support at 2.00 mark -MACD is starting to squeeze but if we find momentum next week we could start to spread again. -PAR loves the .5 Fibonacci Retracement level. (Short term fact) -We hit the deeper uptrend and continue back up towards the 2.80 mark to test a strong EQ Resistance Level. Very Possible -It regains buyer momentum in the 'Golden Pocket' between the .5-.618 Fib Level. Very Possible -Positive news released early next week bring strong buying sentiment back into the market and create an Higher Low ready for the next leg up. 3. We BREAK both uptrend trendlines creating NEW Bearish Market Structure and head for the next Major Support @ 1.48 Another company im keeping a close eye on. PARADIGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS LTD is a late stage drug development company with their aim to treat musculoskeletal disorders in humans with degenerative disease driven by injury, viral infection, aging or genetic predisposition. They have a cash balance sheet of $108 Million (06/04/20), FDA Approval, IP Protection & Patents, Agreements that stand for 20 years regarding manufacturing, Fully funded until 2022. EYES ON!!! These Ideas are NOT 'Financial Advice'!. Scenarios are based off a mixture of TA and Fundamentals current at the time. All IMO GLTAH. Happy Hunting!!!
ASX:PAR
by Trader_Johnni
3
The IT & telecomms cycle is over. Next one includes health?I think healthcare & renewables are the 2 majors treegroves being mentionned. Healthcare Nice predictions, after this people can either: - Be worried about threats (especially with a world so open) ==> A big focus is put into healthcare - Lose trust because of the horrific predictions ==> Laugh at warnings and ignore them A huge contributor is the population expanding waistline. The incredible number of fat people (and increasing) means we need to spend more and more into healthcare, which every one wants to be free, and the healthy must pay for the fat, and the social security "free" healthcare thing is a complete pyramid scheme that feeds on itself and grows and grows like an obese alien parasite, it can only go boom unless Jesus makes a comeback and starts to multiply money... Maybe the major part of the next cycle is nutrition... Or maybe people start figuring out that eating half a kilogram of salt and sugar every day is making them ravenously hungry (salt doesn't make people thirsty it makes people hungry took a while for science to figure this out and will take a lot longer for common folks to do so). If people figure out what makes them hungry then the healthcare pyramid scheme can deflate and it would actually be possible for the world to have free healthcare like they have in Europe and which the USA communists envy, and actually even better. Who will invest heavilly in healthcare? Governments? LOL with >100% debt and 1 million different unfunded liabilities ye nope. The mental health sector should do very well thought. Renewables An EV bubble AGAIN. Falling asleep. Every 70-100 years there is one now, every time enough time has passed for every one to forget, everyone that experienced the previous one passed away... I think renewables will continue to be developped, but the next cycle won't be the one of renewables, maybe the one after that... Yes we will run out of fossil fuels eventually, but in a long time. And less and less people believe in the global warming hoax. Might be some good investments... I don't know about stocks that well, I don't know Oil companies. But I know Oil futures. Here. Just bought 10 mini contracts for the long term. No big renewable investment for now, I really doubt there will be a big renewable sector boom in the next 50 years. Currency & Banking Hitler got elected because of the banking scam. What the NAZI did (atrocities & a world war) as well as their defeat probably prevented the banking scam for being destroyed, althought in 1945-1971 the world adopted the Bretton Woods system. But the Bretton Woods system ended, and thing have gotten progressively worse, with the banking sect using the NAZI period as an invicibility shield to do anything they want. In France, the banking cartel waited for general de Gaulle (french WW2 general that refused to surrender and joined the UK, he later became france president) to die to commit a massive scam: The Rothschild law. In 1973 french president Georges Pompidou, which was a directeur general of the Rothschild bank (I am not making this up), and VGE (economy & finance minister at the time, one of the first technocrats), created a law making it harder for the country to borrow from the french central bank and pushing it to borrow money from private banks with balooning interests. And then in 1993 it was made completely impossible for France to borrow from its central bank. Having some protective mechanisms to avoid Zimbabwe, Germany, Hungary, Yogoslavia, Venezuela, is good. But if these mechanisms are "ok so now the world belongs to bankers" that's not great. The USA central bank is not even separate from the government anymore big fail... European banks are doing negative interest to protect the wealth of the rich at the expense of the 90%... There is clear room for improvement. Central banks need to be replaced or changed dramatically. Currencies are imaginary numbers with no value but that's not even a problem if done right. India have tried going full digital, I'm sure they have no hidden motives kek. Maybe we need real money rather than FIAT I don't know whatever. A currency that inflates based on gdp growth would be perfect! It's not that hard... Just look at GDP and manipulate the currency accordingly. And magical infinite brrrr money printing is impossible. The cryptocurrency bubble has marked the importance of a currency and/or banking revolution (and I mean revolution not reform). The 90% want a more fair system (where they are not debt slaves) and if it does not come soon they are going to start a civil war or vote for Hitler 2. End of wageslavery McDonalds, Youtube, Uber. They all have 1 thing in common: The decentralisation of companies. Not complete decentralisation, but hybrid with some centralisation. McDonalds & Youtube did great, Uber not so great. Why would people want to enter indentured servitude? The future is people running their own business within a firm ==> Large Companies rationalize to cut costs and increase efficiency, and at the same time each location/channel/etc is run by an individual or small group of individuals. ==> By not being entirely decentralized they avoid issues such as everyone having a different opinion. ==> Every "branch" or individual runs his business as he wants to, while respecting the global guidelines. ==> The company leadership does not need to be involved in all the day to day operations, and lets its "franchised" deal with the specifics of their business. ==> Better risk gestion for the company, the franchised has more risk but he will be more involved and make more money and be more independant. Giving up freedom for less risk is not worth it. ==> Advertising is more local & accurate (You avoid ads that tell people to buy "slut" for your child in russia...) ==> International expansion is much easier (mcdonalds - in particular in France they had a very hard time and the model helped them) ==> And more benefits, with a few disadvantages Alot of people think wageslavery is the normal thing because it was the paradigm their whole lives, but it is only 200 years old - not enough to get a chapter in history books - and the world can function without this on a large scale. Space exploration China is planning a special economic zone (capitalist area) on the moon soon. There might be some ventures... Some things happening out there... But there is not going to be large scale mining expeditions... Not going to say much about this, forget it. Robots and advanced AI Yeye sure, and flying cars too. In books & movies. Next. Large scale transportation It is possible mass transit gets developped strongly, but politicians are the ones taking care of this so... Going to take 1 or 2 hundred years ;) And be super inneficient. It is possible there is a big leap forward and transport gets faster and more efficient but doesn't seem likely to happen in the next 100 years, and the next cycle (2020-2070) is not going to include this no way. Contraction/Decline This is when a whole cycle is nothing but red :p Nothing gets created, nothing gets improved, every one gets rekt except bears. Bear paradise. Nothing but rekt over and over. This one makes me tingly, but I do not think it will happen. The absolute rektage will last years but not 50 years I think. Other ones "Nanotech" "Human augments" etc. Lmao. This is how cycles have always chained and how they always will: In 1907 bankers "saved the economy", even Jesse Livermoore got convinced by JP Morgan to buy. The crisis ended and there was no depression. A more severe recession happened in the 1920s and "the economy was saved". And then in 1929 started the biggest depression in history and no one could stop it and then the biggest war in history happened and nuclear bombs were used and entire countries got destroyed and millions of jews got exterminated. Great job. Bulls are good guys that want to make the world a better place. Absolute morons. Cycles will never change because humans have the predictive abilities of a sea cucumber. If they were as good at planning as bees then things would be very different. My favorite sectors, which I think will be the "big ones" are currency/banking and the end of wageslavery (it will be called differently). I also think people will disperse more, a major rural exodus type thing, but this is not an investment sector, I'll simply count it in "end of wageslavery".
TVC:DJI
by MrRenev
7
ETH/USD (Ethereum token) BREAKOUT WAVES $746=UP $677.50=DOWN!ETH/USD (Ethereum token) Semi log scale, 360 minute chart, 05/16/18, 6:07 PM EST, by Michael Mansfield Hi trader friends! ETH lower first? BOTTOM LINE: Ethereum is likely in the middle of its final leg lower to complete an ABC Elliott Wave double zigzag correction. However, there is the potential of a breakout up at the "area 1 black horizontal line" off recent high, since there are 5 waves off the recent low, but only on lower time-frames. However, the most likely scenarios is that a larger double zigzag correction lower to either of the previous two Wave 4 reversal areas, at $633 and $590, where the dual dashed green lines are, is most likely at this time. BUT, IF AN EARLY BREAKOUT UP: If Ethereum breaks above recent swing high at $746.06, that occurred yesterday, 05/15/18, on this data, then ETH would likely see a larger degree Wave C up, or the structure could be a dynamic Wave 3 of 5 up. But again, the probabilities are that ETH is in a larger Elliott Wave ABC double zigzag correction lower, one that will lead ETH/USD to $633-$590 areas first, then up. TRADER TIP: GO WITH THE MOST LIKELY PROBABILITY: After a 5 wave advance, the likely target zone for and ABC correction down, to what I call “The Best Buy Zone,” is the prior Wave 4 or the prior Wave 4 of lesser degree, shown herein by the two dashed green lines on this chart (labeled Wave IV and Wave 4). So if we see this market drop to between $633 and $590 on declining momentum and declining volume, that would then likely be a nice-lower risk-area to buy into. RISK OF A DEEPER DROP BEGINS AT $516: Breaking below the lower BLUE Andrews Pitchfork support line, currently moving upward yet at $516 where I have labeled the potential Wave C low, would likely lead to a move down to $420, the lowest pitchfork support line (black), or maybe far lower! But that looks less likely right now. CYCLES: Longer-term cycle (blue) is still heading lower, but this is on limited sample size of data. So, the blue cycle is less trusted at this time. However, if accurate, a more bearish outlook would be necessary. The medium-term cycle (green) is strong up (more data=more likely). The shorter-term cycle (red) is moving down in line with a correction lower for now. SUMMARY: This cycle combination best fits a bit deeper correction, for now, then up in the direction of the green cycle, for either a large degree Wave (C) bounce or Wave 3 of 5 up to nearly a new high. CONFIRMATION EITHER WAY: The next 3-5 days will likely provide the wave structure and breakdown lower, or breakout higher, which would then likely provide a roadmap for the next 3 months or price movements. DISCLOSURE:  This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!  Cheers and good trading, Michael Mansfield CIO 
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by UnknownUnicorn1613901
DATA VIEW (NOT A FORECAST): INSIDE US TRADE BALANCELooking at the Export and Import data of the last several years we can assume that the US is currently changing its course from consumption oriented to export oriented economy. The change will not be overnight and may take up to several decades, but eventually we can see the US trade deficit gradually erased! On the export side, we can see that US has restored its sales to other countries far beyond the peak of 2008. Moreover, Exports continue to grow within an ascending channel. It is only recently that the readings fell out of the channel, mostly due to the impact of US dollar appreciation. On the import side, US has restored its consumption back to the 2008 levels, however did not expand beyond it significantly. Exports trend laterally since about 2011 after reaching 2008 peal level!
FRED:BOPTEXPLong
by Killy_Mel