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Pivot Points

USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus Overview: USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data. Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780. A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360. On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200. Key Levels: Pivot: 21780 Support: 21635, 21470, 21360 Resistance: 21920, 22200
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Bitcoin — Breakout or Bull Trap? SFP Setup ExplainedAfter a clean drop that nearly tagged the psychological $100K level, Bitcoin printed a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) — sweeping the lows and snapping back with strength. That bounce wasn’t just a reaction — it was a liquidity reclaim. Now, price structure is shaping into a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders — a classic reversal pattern often forming before a bullish continuation. 🔍 Key Level to Watch: $106,694.63 — This recent key high was just taken out. If we see rejection here (SFP), it could set up a high-probability low-risk short opportunity. 🎯 Short Trade Idea (Only on SFP confirmation): Entry: After price sweeps $106,694.63 and shows rejection Stop-Loss: Above wick high (e.g., ~$107.4K) TP Zones: $103.5K and $101.7K R:R: ~1:7 ✅ Cleaner setup with confluence from structure and liquidity — high probability if confirmed. 📚 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Work So Well SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the most powerful setups in trading because they: Trap breakout traders Sweep liquidity and reverse quickly Offer clear invalidation (wick high/low) Allow for tight stop-loss and high R:R setups Using SFPs in conjunction with key highs/lows, volume, and structure dramatically increases your edge. 📈 Why Order Flow Is Crucial for SFPs 1. See the Trap Form in Real Time SFPs are essentially traps — price sweeps a key level, sucks in breakout traders, and then reverses. Order flow tools let you see this happen: A spike in market buys above resistance Followed by a lack of follow-through (no new buyers) And then an aggressive absorption or reversal (selling pressure hits) Without order flow, this is all hidden in the candles. 2. Confirm Liquidity Sweeps with Delta & CVD Watch for a delta spike or Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence — a clear sign that aggressive buyers are getting absorbed. This gives you confirmation that the sweep failed, not just a random wick. 3. Tight Entries with Confidence When you see actual trapped volume or liquidation clusters at the SFP level, you can enter tighter with conviction — because you're not guessing, you’re reacting to actual intent and failure in the market. 4. Early Warning System for Reversal or Continuation If the SFP fails to trigger a reversal (e.g. buyers step back in with strength), you’ll see it early in the flow — and can quickly reassess. 🧠 Bottom Line: Order flow lets you stop guessing and start seeing the actual fight between buyers and sellers. Combine it with SFPs, and you're not just trading price — you're trading intent. That edge is huge. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
1
NAS100 - Will the stock market reach its previous ATH!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. It is better to wait for confirmation on the break in order to control further risk. U.S. President Donald Trump announced that an American delegation will meet with Chinese representatives in London on June 9 to discuss a potential trade agreement. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated, “I’m pleased to announce that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials on Monday, June 9, 2025, in London to discuss a trade deal.” He added that he expects the meeting to go “very well.” U.S. stock markets rose on Friday, and Chinese markets are now following suit. The Hang Seng Index has reached its highest level since March. Meanwhile, Amazon has completely halted its hiring budget for office workers in its core retail business. This decision applies only to white-collar staff and excludes warehouse employees and those in its cloud computing division. According to Business Insider, which cited internal company emails, the hiring freeze affects Amazon’s online marketplace, logistics operations, and grocery business. Having doubled its workforce between 2019 and 2021 to 1.6 million, Amazon reduced that number to 1.55 million last year. Since late 2022, the e-commerce giant has laid off at least 27,000 employees. This move comes as the U.S. jobs report released Friday helped ease some concerns, though signs of broader economic challenges remain. Experts suggest that such a hiring freeze could reflect broader economic trends—where mass layoffs are avoided, but hiring slows down significantly. In May, the U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in April. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, staying within the narrow range it has held over the past year. The labor market has remained resilient, dismissing fears that tariffs would cause a significant slowdown. So far, tariff-related disruptions have not been severe enough to destabilize the job market—at least not in May. Data indicates that employers continue to refrain from layoffs, even as hiring has slowed considerably compared to the post-pandemic surge. Labor market analysts expect signs of weakness to emerge in the coming months, as businesses become more cautious about hiring due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs—according to recent surveys. For now, however, the labor market remains strong. The absence of red flags in employment may give the Federal Reserve more room to maintain its patient stance on interest rate cuts. This year, Fed officials have kept interest rates higher than average to curb inflation by increasing borrowing costs. The Fed’s dual mandate is to keep inflation low and employment high, and it may opt to cut rates to stimulate the economy if the labor market weakens.Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other FOMC members have said they are waiting to see whether President Trump’s trade wars will stoke inflation, trigger job losses, or both. So far, neither scenario has materialized. Strong labor market data may give them further justification to stay in wait-and-see mode. Rosner wrote, “Given the Fed’s sharp focus on inflation risk management, today’s stronger-than-expected jobs report is unlikely to alter its patient approach. We expect the Fed to remain on hold at this month’s meeting and believe further deterioration
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
ETH NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section Inside the red zone from the previous analysis, there was also a SWAP zone that price reacted to. The pullback trendline has also been broken. After re-evaluating the chart, the best area for a potential re-entry is the $2,165 to $2,250 range. Do not enter a position without a proper setup and risk management | you could easily become market maker bait. A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish scenario. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
3
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly **Summary:** Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets. **Chart Context:** This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance: 1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019). 2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further. 3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance. **Key Technical Observations:** * **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone: * Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6% * Major reversal zone historically * **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence: * Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2% * **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason. * Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases. **Indicators:** * No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence. * Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones. **Fundamental Context:** The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason. * Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation. * If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase. * Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term. **Philosophical or Narrative View:** BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization. **Related Reference Charts:** * TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH): * TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities: **Bias & Strategy Implication:** * **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%. * **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal. * Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone. **Time Horizon:** * Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook) * Weekly timeframe tracking **Notes & Disclaimers:** * This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly. * Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by BitonGroup
UNI Sell/Short Setup (4H)The overall structure in UNI is bearish, considering the recent CH (Change of Character) observed in the swing. The price is currently below the resistance line, and if it approaches the premium zone of the previous minor wave, we can look for sell/short positions based on UNI’s overall outlook. The zone where we are interested in entering a position is marked with a red circle. The target can be the green box. A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
1
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range . Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound. We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider . Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation Thanks for your support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SJTRADESFUTURES
6
BITCOIN REVERSAL INCOMING !!!! BUT WHEN????Currently we have seen a great move from 75k to new ATH 112k BUT now whole bullish momentum seems to be fading. If we see charts, we clearly see ranges and recently Bitcoin has swept range high & reclaimed back into range, which indicates lose momentum. We may see BTC tapping 90K even 80'sK for next bullish move. For all to maintain it's bullish momentum, Bitcoin have to stay above 74.5k and needs to break and hold above 109.5K. Breaking below 74.5k would push BTC as low as 60-55k STAY CAUTIOUS !!!!
by CryptoNether
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area. If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens. A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis. Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 6, 2025 – Friday 🔴 🎯 25K Now, What's Next? Nifty opened on a neutral tone, cautiously awaiting the outcome of the RBI Monetary Policy. As the event unfolded and the repo rate cut of 0.5% was announced, the celebration began on Dalal Street—and the charts reflected it. What followed was a clean, powerful rally, breaking through key levels and carrying the index all the way to the psychological milestone of 25,000, where it closed almost flat on the round number at 25,003.05. Today’s close is just shy of the May 26th high, and a few hurdles still remain:👉 25,060–25,070👉 25,115–25,130👉 25,180–25,212 These levels will decide whether the breakout from the box range—which we’ve discussed in earlier reviews—truly sustains. As long as there’s no negative trigger over the weekend, bulls may carry the momentum into next week. 🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,748.70 High: 25,029.50 Low: 24,671.45 Close: 25,003.05 Net Change: +252.15 (+1.02%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 254.35 pts (Strong Green) Upper Wick: 26.45 pts Lower Wick: 77.25 pts 🔍 Interpretation A session that began quietly turned into a bullish sprint. The small upper wick shows there was minimal rejection at higher levels. The lower wick reflects early dip buying. The strong green body signals dominant intraday momentum, with bulls in charge from start to finish. 🔦 Candle Type 🟢 Bullish Marubozu–like candle– Almost a full body with small wicks, indicating powerful follow-through buying and confidence among bulls. 📌 Key Insight 25,000 breakout looks clean and technically sound. Holding above 24,900–24,950 in the coming session could lead to further upside exploration. All eyes on volume confirmation and whether we can conquer the next resistance band near 25,130+. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 274.31 IB Range: 91.90 → Medium IB Market Structure: Balanced Trades:✅ 10:05 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:1.4)✅ 10:40 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved (1:2) 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,062 ~ 25,070 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 Support Levels 24,972 24,920 ~ 24,894 24,800 ~ 24,768 24,727 ~ 24,737 24,660 💭 Final Thoughts Momentum is back.Bulls not only broke free from consolidation—they made a statement. The RBI’s surprise move might just be the fuel Nifty needed to launch toward unexplored zones. 📌 “Big breakouts don’t ask for permission. They just happen—when doubt is highest.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Imperial Brands Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Imperial Brands Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Box Thinking Bias)) - *A+ | Completed Survey * (Uptrend Argument)) - *2nd Entry Area | Subdivision 1 - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * (TP1) | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100 - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 142.00 GBP * Entry At 160.00 GBP * Take Profit At 183.00 GBP * (Uptrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
SPREADEXSB:IMBLong
by TradePolitics
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 56,578.40 with a gain of 1.49% Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 56,706 to 56,469 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: S1: 56,113 S2: 55,639 S3: 55,053 Resistance Levels: R1: 57,065 R2: 57,543 R3: 58,133 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 56,706 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (57,065) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 56,469, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (56,113) and lower levels. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,003.30 with a gain of (1.02%) If Nifty sustains below 24,924, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 25,283 could restore bullish momentum. Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 24,924 -25,083. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support: S1: 24,689 S2: 24,375 S3: 23,987 Resistance: R1: 25,321 R2: 25,639 R3: 26,032 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 25,083 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,321) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,924 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,686) or lower. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:NIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Tesla Update Longs and shorts At the start of the video I recap my previous video and then bring us up to date with the present price action . In this video I cover Tesla from the higher time frame and breakdown both a long term bullish scenario as well as a local bearish scenario . Both of these scenarios present longs and short entries for day trade opportunities and swing positions . Tools used Fibs , TR pocket , Volume profile , Pivots , and vwap . Any questions ask in the comments Safe trading and Good luck
NASDAQ:TSLA
by SJTRADESFUTURES
1