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Pivot Points

$RIOT Hit The Target Whats Next?NASDAQ:RIOT hit the descending orange resistance were I took partial take profits on my trade this week and it was immediately rejected as expected. Price is now above the weekly pivot so that is the next support. This level also matches the weekly 200EMA. Wave (II) hit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and descending support line which kicked off wave (III). A breakout above the descending resistance line bring up the the next target of the HVN and previous swing high at $18-20 and $40 following a breakout above that. Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
$MARA Hits the Weekly PivotNASDAQ:MARA path has been grinding higher clearing the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance where it is sat as support. The weekly pivot rejected price perfectly so far but if the count is correct and Bitcoin doesn't dump I expect this continue strongly towards the descending orange line resistance as my partial take profit target. Once that line is broken i am looking at terminal bull market targets of $80 but will of course take profit at key areas along the way. Wave 2 swung below the descending support and recovered at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement potentially kicking off wave 3. Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
SPX500 Outlook – CPI Data in Focus, Key Pivot at 6282SPX500 – Market Outlook U.S. futures are climbing as Nvidia plans to resume chip sales to China, fueling positive momentum across tech and growth sectors. However, investor caution remains ahead of key events: Major banks ( NYSE:JPM , NYSE:WFC Wells Fargo, NYSE:C Citigroup) will report earnings, offering insights into the financial sector. All eyes are on the June CPI report, expected at 2.6%. A higher reading could reinforce bearish pressure, while a softer print would support continued bullish momentum. Technical Outlook: SPX500 has bounced from the demand zone and is now trading above the pivot at 6282, which keeps the bullish trend in play. As long as the price holds above this level, we expect continuation toward 6341, and if broken, extended upside toward 6394. To shift bearish, price must break and close below 6223, which would open the path toward 6142. Pivot: 6282 Resistance: 6341 – 6394 Support: 6225 – 6191 – 6142 Event Watch : CPI data release today – anything above 2.6% may trigger downside; below 2.6% could support further upside. Previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
EURAUD FORMING BEARISH FLAG PATTERN IN 4H TIME FRAMEEURAUD Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Downside Ahead The EURAUD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish flag pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. Price action remains confined within a secondary corrective phase, but the primary bearish trend is expected to resume soon. Traders should watch for another bearish flag formation in the upcoming sessions, reinforcing the likelihood of further declines. Key Observations: 1. Bearish Trend Structure: The pair has been moving in a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows confirming seller dominance. 2. Secondary Trend Phase: The current consolidation represents a temporary pause before the next leg down. 3. Bearish Flag Formation: The flag pattern suggests a continuation signal, with a potential downside target near 1.76400. Trading Strategy: - Entry: Consider short positions only after a confirmed breakdown below the flag’s support with strong bearish momentum. - Target: The measured move projection points toward 1.76400, but partial profits can be taken along the way. - Stop Loss: A conservative stop should be placed above the recent swing high to limit risk in case of a false breakout. Risk Management: - Maintain a disciplined risk-reward ratio (at least 1:2). - Avoid aggressive entries; wait for clear confirmation (e.g., a strong bearish candle closing below support). Conclusion: EURAUD remains bearish, and the formation of another bearish flag reinforces the possibility of further downside. Traders should remain patient for a confirmed breakdown before entering short positions while adhering to strict risk management rules.
Short
by TraderAishDXB
CADJPY TRADING IN A BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREThe CAD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend structure, indicating a prevailing downward momentum in its price action. At present, the pair is trading within a secondary trend near a significant resistance level, which is a critical point that could determine its next directional move. Traders and investors are closely monitoring this level as a breakout or rejection here could set the tone for future price movements. On the lower side, if the bearish momentum continues, the price may decline toward the target of 104.900. This level could act as a key support zone, where buyers might step in to halt further losses. A break below this support could intensify selling pressure, potentially pushing the pair toward lower levels. Conversely, if the price finds stability near this support, a short-term rebound could occur, providing traders with potential buying opportunities in a corrective phase. On the higher side, if the pair manages to overcome the current resistance, it may attempt to test the next key resistance level at 108.300. A successful breakout above this level could signal a shift in market sentiment, possibly leading to a trend reversal or a stronger corrective rally. However, given the prevailing bearish structure, any upward movement may face strong selling pressure near resistance zones, limiting upside potential. Traders should remain cautious and watch for confirmation signals before entering positions. Key indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD can provide additional insights into momentum and potential reversals. Risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, should be employed to mitigate downside risks in case the market moves against expectations. Overall, the CAD/JPY pair remains in a bearish phase, and its next major move will depend on how it reacts to the critical resistance and support levels mentioned.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
WTI Crude Oil Reverses Lower Near $70 ResistanceA bearish engulfing candle has formed on the daily WTI crude oil chart, with its high perfectly respecting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement just beneath the $70 handle. Given that the bounce from the June low has been relatively weak compared to the sharp decline from $78, I’m now on alert for a potential break beneath the $64 support level. That said, the 200-day SMA and EMA currently sit between $65.21 and $65.31, which could offer near-term support. Should oil prices attempt to grind higher within the 1-hour bullish channel, bears may look to fade rallies into the weekly pivot (67.59) or the $68.00 handle, positioning for a potential rollover. A clean break below the 200-day averages would shift focus firmly back to $64, near the June low. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
#ETHUSDT: Currently On The Way Towards Filling The FVG?ETCUSDT is currently experiencing a significant correction as the price approaches a pivotal juncture where a substantial bullish price reversal is anticipated, potentially propelling it to new all-time highs or even surpassing them. It is imperative to exercise meticulous risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment activities. Should the price indeed undergo a major correction, it is likely to decline to our second designated area, where it is anticipated to fill the liquidity gap and subsequently reverse course, continuing its trajectory towards our established targets. Please consider this analysis as a secondary influence only, or even solely for educational purposes. It is crucial to conduct your own independent analysis and risk management prior to engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment endeavours, as they inherently carry substantial financial risks. We extend our best wishes and encourage you to trade safely and responsibly. Should you wish to demonstrate your support, you are welcome to express your appreciation through likes, comments, or sharing this information. Thank you for your consideration. Have a pleasant weekend. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
14
8 Year XRP / US OIL Range Break out?Not to get ahead of myself, but... The 8 year range XRP has been in is about to give, too. The fibonaccis on that point to (at current oil prices): - $110 (also in range of a number I'd called for) - $165 (also in range of a number I'd called for) - $1035 (w/ full global adoption and swift - not out of the question, but I hadn't been able to substantiate this high with my current model. But I am over solving in the model and have a lot of conservative assumptions, basic math could support it - but alot of unknowns getting there.)
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by JayNisbett
4
GBPUSD: Two Strong Bullish Area To Buy From ?GU is currently in a bullish trend when examined on a daily time frame. There are two potential areas for purchase. The first area is currently active, as we anticipate a price reversal from this point. There is a significant possibility that price could decline to the second area and subsequently reverse from there directly. The sole reason we believe price could drop to the second area is if the US Dollar experiences corrections, which could cause GU to drop to our second area and subsequently rebound. If you appreciate our analysis, we kindly request that you consider the following actions: -Liking the Ideas -Commenting on the Ideas -Sharing the Ideas We extend our sincere gratitude for your continuous support. We trust that our insights have provided even a modicum of assistance. Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
20
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 14, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 14, 2025 – Monday 🔴 "Broken Support, Fought Resistance – Tug of War in Play" Nifty began the day with a classic Open = High (OH) setup, instantly rejecting any bullish intent. The crucial support zone of 25,080–25,060 was taken out early, and the market went on to mark the day's low at 25,001.95, a level that quickly turned into a decisive battleground. After a bounce from the low, 25,125 emerged as a stiff resistance that pushed the index back below the broken support zone. For most of the session, the same support zone turned into resistance — a textbook polarity flip. However, in the final hour, Nifty showed resilience and finally closed back above 25,080, ending the session at 25,082.30. 🔄 The structure was full of failed intraday breakouts, signaling confusion and conflict — likely fueled by a wider CPR, imbalanced market structure, and medium IB of 109 pts. It was a low-volatility session, but packed with psychological tests. 🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 25,149.50 High: 25,151.10 Low: 25,001.95 Close: 25,082.30 Change: −67.55 (−0.27%) 📊 Candle Structure Breakdown Real Body: 67.20 points – small to moderate bearish body Upper Wick: 1.60 points – negligible upside attempt Lower Wick: 80.35 points – strong defense from day’s low 🔍 Interpretation Opened higher but got instantly rejected (OH formation). Sellers took charge early but failed to hold momentum all the way. The long lower wick reflects buyer presence at key 25,000 zone. The close below open but above reclaimed support suggests tug of war — with bulls slightly redeeming themselves by EOD. 🕯 Candle Type Hammer-like red candle — while bearish on close, the long lower shadow indicates potential exhaustion of selling and hints at reversal if follow-through buying emerges next session. 📌 Key Insight 25,000–25,020 has emerged as crucial near-term support. A strong open or close above 25,150–25,180 may confirm a bullish reversal setup. Breakdown below 25,000 opens the door for a fall toward 24,950 or lower. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 188.77 IB Range: 109.20 → Medium IB Market Structure: 🔴 Imbalanced Trades Triggered 09:50 AM – Long Trade → ❌ SL Hit 01:05 PM – Short Trade → ❌ SL Hit 📉 Tough day for directional trades — false breakouts dominated. 📌 Support & Resistance Zones Resistance Levels 25,125 25,168 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,260 25,295 ~ 25,315 Support Levels 25,080 ~ 25,060 25,000 ~ 24,980 24,965 💭 Final Thoughts “Reclaimed ground doesn’t mean victory – yet. Watch the next move. Rejection below 25,000 ends the bulls' narrative; a strong move above 25,180 rewrites it.” ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Gold continues to rise after keeping low and breaking high Last Thursday and Friday, I repeatedly mentioned the position of 3344 to my members. As a strong resistance position in the early stage, every time the price falls below the low point, the pressure to find the bottom and rebound is this area, and then continue to break the low under pressure. This time, we emphasize that breaking through and standing firmly on 3344 is the key. If it can break through and stand firmly, the next resistance is 3358, followed by 3373. Now the price has broken upward as expected, completing the qualitative change. The next step is to look at the switching of space. Keep low and break high to see acceleration. After breaking the low point, consider sweeping. Specific key points are expanded: 1. The daily line pattern is still closing and flat. The lifeline is the space switching point in the past one or two months, which will determine the subsequent market space rhythm. At present, the price has successfully broken through the lifeline and switched upward to enter the lifeline to the upper track. 3339-3396 Then, in the case of subsequent market holding the lifeline, maintain the upper range sweep, yes, it is still the rhythm of sweeping, just change the space 2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, pointing to the upward direction Starting from the lower track 3283 of the squat probe pattern, it has risen steadily. After repeatedly determining the lifeline position 3310 area, it will start to rise further and the pattern will open upward The lifeline position coincides with the support 3330-3328 area repeatedly determined last Friday, and together they become the last defensive dividing line for the bulls to rise 3. The double-line interval 3330-3325 of the hourly chart has become a space switching area, which previously suppressed the price from falling further, and now it has turned into support, and will rely on the price to further rise Step up, pay attention to the role of the dividing line 4. Maintain the idea of switching with the same profit space, start from 3283 and calculate 3313, then 3328, then 3343, then 3358, and finally 3373, and then 3388, and 3403 (here needs to be highlighted) 5. As shown in the figure, the purple large channel range is swept, the space range is about 100-150 US dollars, this wave of increase is about 100 US dollars, and there is still room to pay attention to. The upper track of the channel overlaps with the upper track of the daily line pattern in the 3396-3400 area, and the 3403 position mentioned above together become the next space dividing line area In summary, for the current gold, it is still in the rising stage, and the idea remains low and bullish. Pay attention to the process The intensity and amplitude of the adjustment can be squatted to gain leverage, or sideways for a period of time to gain space. Both are ways of correction. After the correction is completed, continue to be bullish and break through. Referring to this idea, we gave a long position from 3358-3356 in the afternoon. As expected, it sprinted to 3375 as of press time. Those who keep positions should pay attention to the upward loss point, and then pay attention to further rise. Of course, today's trend will be more tiring, so there is still an opportunity to step back and buy low. Pay attention to the 3364-3362 position to continue to buy low (aggressive 3366 can start), stop loss 3355, target 3380-3388 Another extreme sweep needs to pay attention to the 3342-3339 and 3330-3328 areas. This needs to be determined according to the situation. Pay attention to 3388 and 3396-3403 when switching upward.
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
1
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, Unrivaled in the Market!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. Bitcoin’s current upward momentum has the potential to reach the target of $130,000. If it corrects, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought from the specified demand zones. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area. In recent days, Bitcoin has managed to set a new historical high by crossing the $118,000 level; a jump that followed the strong accumulation of institutional capital, the upward trend of spot ETFs and the remarkable consolidation of such indices. This growth is not only the result of technical conditions or short-term market excitement, but is a clear reflection of the structural maturity of the Bitcoin ecosystem in the second half of 2025. A careful and comprehensive examination of the fundamental parameters shows that Bitcoin is moving differently than in the past: slower, but with much stronger support. On the other hand, more than $205 million in Bitcoin short selling positions have been liquidated following the jump in the price of Bitcoin and its crossing the $122,000 level. First, the flow of investment from Bitcoin spot ETFs has broken records over the past week. In one day, more than $1.18 billion entered these funds, and the total annual inflow of these financial instruments has reached more than $51 billion. This is while ETFs such as IBIT (managed by BlackRock) and FBTC (managed by Fidelity) are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins daily, without causing any negative divergence in price indices. This phenomenon clearly shows that the participation of institutional investors through regulated channels is not only stable, but also accelerating. Along with this flow of capital, the parameters of the chain also paint a picture of a market with a balance of supply and demand. The MVRV ratio, an indicator for measuring market profitability, fluctuates between 2.2 and 2.34, meaning that the market is in a reasonably profitable state, but is still some way from the warning zone of profit saturation. Meanwhile, long-term holders (LTHs) are also continuing to accumulate. Long-term wallet holdings have reached a record high of 14.7 million BTC, representing nearly 70% of the total supply. In the last quarter alone, more than 13,000 BTC have been added to this group’s reserves. On the other hand, the SOPR indicator, which measures realized profit ratio, shows that profit-taking is taking place at a gentle slope in the market, away from heavy selling pressure. This logical trend of profit-taking is a testament to mature investor behavior. Bitcoin flows to exchanges are also at very low levels; Bitcoin held on exchanges now account for just 1.25% of the total supply—the lowest level in over a decade. This significant reduction in potential selling pressure has kept Bitcoin’s price stable in the face of short-term volatility. Behaviorally, the market is also showing signs of maturation. The number of daily active addresses has remained stable, but unlike during the buying frenzy, we are no longer seeing retail traders rushing into exchanges or mass wallet outflows. In other words, on-chain activity has stabilized, similar to the behavior of traditional mature markets—markets driven by data and structure, not emotion. From a macro perspective, the outlook for Bitcoin in the medium term is also positive. Many analysts and institutions, including Global X ETFs, see Bitcoin’s growth to $200,000 within the next 12 months as achievable. Technical analysis from some sources has also outlined the $140,000 range as the next price target in the next 100 days, provided that the VIX volatility index remains low and macroeconomic data maintains its current trajectory. However, a more conservative scenario sees a price consolidation in the $95,000-$100,000 range if geopolitical pressures increase or ETF inflows weaken. Overall, Bitcoin is moving ahead in the summer of 2025 not only on the back of crypto market excitement, but also on the back of strong fundamentals and structured institutional capital inflows. Accumulation by long-term holders, a steady decline in supply on exchanges, a reasonable profit-taking balance, and a formal investment structure via ETFs have all combined to bring the market to a stable state and ready for further increases. If this trend holds, levels of $125,000-$140,000 in the short term, and a range of $180,000-$200,000 by the end of the year, are not far off! On the other hand, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) managed to record the fastest growth in history among all ETFs, surpassing $80 billion in assets in just 374 days! For comparison, it should be noted that the S&P500 Index ETF needed about 5 times this time! BlackRock now holds about 706,000 Bitcoins (equivalent to 56% of the total ETF share).
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
WTI Crude Oil Analysis – 4-Hour TimeframeWTI Crude Oil Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe At the moment, the price is trading below a key resistance zone (marked in red), which has previously triggered multiple pullbacks. The current price behavior near this area reflects market hesitation to break through this level. 🔴 Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break above this resistance zone and holds above it, we can expect the upward movement to continue toward higher resistance levels. This move may unfold in a step-by-step trend, accompanied by intermediate pullbacks. The next resistance zones could act as potential targets for the bullish wave. 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price reacts negatively to the current resistance area and fails to break through, a bearish correction may follow. In this case, the nearby short-term support levels could be the first targets for sellers. If those supports are also broken, the likelihood of a deeper decline and continuation of the downward trend increases.
CFI:WTI
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour TimeframeGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe Currently, the price is moving in an upward trend and approaching a key resistance area. Recent volatility suggests that buyers have shown enough strength to break through previous resistance zones and are now attempting to overcome the next significant barrier ahead. 🔴 Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break above the current resistance and hold above it, we can expect a continuation of the upward move toward higher zones. In this case, the bullish wave could extend toward the next resistance levels (marked in blue). 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If the price reacts negatively to the current resistance area and fails to break above it, a corrective decline may follow. The nearest support zone below could play a crucial role in maintaining the bullish structure. However, if this support is also broken, the path could open for a deeper pullback toward lower support levels.
FX:XAUUSD
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx