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Polish

Time to short the Polish ZlotyThe idea is very simple... Despite it having a significantly higher interest rate than the US, capital isn't flowing in the country. Poland is in a very tough place right now, as it has a relatively small economy and doesn't have a currency that is widely used. Europe overall is a big mess, and the PLN is affected by the EUR too. The ECB still has rates at -0.5% and Poland has rates at 6%, yet EURPLN is near its ATHs. In the charts below you can see how bad EURUSD looks, which I think will go below 1.03 to sweep the lows and then maybe bounce for a while, and how EURPLN might have formed a massive top. Therefore it might be a better idea to short EURUSD than going long USDPLN (short PLNUSD), as it will have a lower carry. Yet the structure of USDPLN is much cleaner, and a breakout could be massive. I definitely expect to see the USDPLN highs swept, then a pullback and then continuation higher. This consolidation looks very bullish, and a breakout would potentially lead to a major expansion over time. The main fundamentals behind this is that Poland can't sustain such high rates with such high energy prices as the economy will collapse, and at the same time it does look like Poland would be one of the next countries that Russia will attack. Unfortunately it feels like a matter of time until Russia fully conquers Ukraine, something that will hurt Poland very badly due to its ties with Ukraine, and then it feels like a matter of time until they begin their next war.
Long
by BitcoinMacro
2
EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Medium term declineThe common European currency has been declining since the start of July against the Polish Zloty. The event from a technical perspective began due to the currency rate meeting the upper trend line of a dominant ascending channel pattern. The bounce off resulted in the formation of a descending medium term pattern, which is likely going to guide the rate further. In regards to the short term future, the pair is set to meet with a combined resistance of the 55 and 200-hour simple moving averages, which strengthen the upper trend line of the descending pattern. If the rate passes that resistance, the 4.38 level, where the 100-hour SMA is located at, will be targeted.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/PLN 4H Chart: Occurring reboundThe US Dollar recently reached the lower trend line of a long term descending channel against the Polish currency. As a result the pair has already formed a short term ascending channel pattern. However, the channel has met with fierce resistance in the form of the monthly S1 at the 3.3760 mark and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level, which is located just below it at the 3.3750 mark. Due to that reason this isn’t a set up where one can simply enter. Instead a retail trader should look for the moment, when the mentioned resistance is finally passed. When that occurs, most likely a break out to the upside will occur.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
USD/PLN 4H Chart: After breaking long term trendsThe large fundamental changes in the strength of the US Dollar have caused a massive change of direction on the USD/PLN currency pair’s charts. Namely the decline in the US equity markets and the shift in the US monetary policy combined broke the resistance lines of all of the dominant patterns of the USD/PLN. Due to that reason Dukascopy analysts set Fibonacci retracement levels and trend lines to the recent surge. It was discovered that the pair is trading in two ascending channels. Meanwhile, the pair has made a retracement near the 23.60% Fibo. Due to that reason beware near the next retracement level.
by UnknownUnicorn890690
Big breakouts, Huge patterns, Great opportunity. GNT charts !Welcome. New market cycles just begin. Don't let those corrections make You wrong. There is huge possibility that We enter bull market in alts again. IMO the price could retrace a bit to broken resistance, so 1. Entry : 3920 - 4000 sat 2. Stop loss : under 4000 sat 3. Take profit : 11300 sat (near 300% earnings) Falling wedge pattern says 11.300 target, but we will track it day by day. GNT is a safe investment - this supercomputer cannot be DDOS'ed, 300 bilion market cap and very low price. BARGAIN MODE. Buy while cheap.
GLong
by pinfkloyd
8
USD/PLN 4H Chart: Highly volatile surgeThe US Dollar is surging against the Polish Zloty in a highly volatile manner. The pattern, which is considered the junior one, has had its both trend lines touched even during a daily timeframe. However, recently the currency exchange rate has been beaten down by a resistance cluster, which does not include the upper trend line of the ascending channel. Due to that reason the various resistance levels just above the 3.59 mark need to be watched closely. Most likely the rate will pass them eventually, as the pair is being supported by the 55-hour simple moving average.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn890690
EUR/PLN 4H Chart: Near junior supportThe common European currency recently bounced off a dominant pattern’s resistance level against the Polish Zloty. In the aftermath of that event the currency pair began to plummet until it reached down to the combined support of the monthly PP and the lower trend line of the junior channel up pattern near the 4.2150 mark. However, in accordance with the larger scale situation that should not have occurred, as the pattern should be broken in the future, and a new junior pattern would form. Due to that reason the rebound is likely to be short lived.
by UnknownUnicorn890690