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Popanddrop

Gold Trade Review – Potential Pop, Drop, then ATH's SetupWe are currently watching a potential pop and drop and potential ATH scenario developing in gold. Price is holding above a key daily level at $3,021.4 , which will serve as the critical pivot area. A sustained move below this level will likely trigger continuation toward the next significant daily level at $2,968.5 for T1, and potentially further into the weekly/daily support zone at $2,953.2 , with an extended target at the daily level of $2,929.0. I would expect that zone to provide support, though there is an untested area lower near the recent lows at $2,893.6. Ideally, I do not want to see price move much beyond our first weekly/daily support zone mentioned above but would lean on the lower level as a last ditch effort to hold the structure. From the current price structure, based on Fridays close there's also potential for a move higher into (#1) $3,058 , which is an untested daily level (approached from below). If this level acts as firm resistance, it could trigger the anticipated drop into the zones outlined above. Keeping an eye on being above or below $3,021.4 will be critical for progression in either direction.
COMEX:GCJ2025
by ViciTradingSolutions
4
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play? The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall, I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the retracement seems inevitable.
NYSE:HPEShort
by AwesomeAvani
VINC a speculative biotech penny stock LONGVINC went from 1.5 to 3.0 in less than three hours with 12X relative volume in the afternoon after a month of a slow climb from a news release that really did not amount to much. Insiders are 25% of the shareholders and that may be the story here. This could be manipulation at its finest. I have to wonder how many insiders bought how many shares and when the rug pull. This is a high tight bull flag pattern which typically results in another leg higher of the same magnitude. I suppose that is in clean trading without any manipulation. If this takes off again it might be worth trying with a small position so long as the trader can hit a button to close the full position when the sudden reversal occurs. I will trade this long with a group of moving averages to make alerts for crossing lines and slopes levelling out and see if it can go anywhere.
VLong
by AwesomeAvani
32
AXTI saw a massive pump this past week REVERSAL SHORTAXTI a penny stock in the semi-conductor supply chain business saw a great price gain this past week going more than 65% The call options ran 2000% on Friday along. On the 15 minute chart, I see signs it is in high overbought territory and setup for a reversal. Price fell below the longer of the two paired Hull Moving Averages which death crossed. The price volume trend indicator put in a massive bullish trend and then went flatline while the mass index indicator triggered a reversal. I have closed my call options and opened put contracts costing $130 each. I have considered that they could do 2000% a few days just as the call options did on Friday. Fundamentally, I beleive that semi-conductors have a down week ahead, see the idea uploaed for SOXS. ( If you wonder how i screened for and found AXTI like this idea and drop me a private message)
NASDAQ:AXTIShort
by AwesomeAvani
BFRG AI penny stock ready to SHORTI have been in BFRG since the November earnings it has done 300% over that time almost all of it in one week. There are no options on this one. The RSI indicator tells me that it is now overextended and overbought. This is confirmed by a reversal signal triggering on this 60-minute chart with a mass index indicator below it. The topping candles with long wicks is another hint of the price action underway. I am closing my long position over 300% gain and instead look for a short with the profits to retrace from present price to to the 0.382 Fib retracement at about 5.65. Stop loss above the wicks at 7.7. I expect the trade to last this week and part of next.
NASDAQ:BFRGShort
by AwesomeAvani
FULC fades after a big move for a SHORT tradeFULC a biotechnology firm with a mixed earnings report early in the month just printed a big move and then stalled at the NY lunch - hour and faded. Will the fade continue or will there be an upward continuation? The 15 -minute chart seems to suggest a downtrend: 1, The volume profile shows heavy trading at the top. This could be short sellers and late-coming long trades. Once a trend down is underway, the short sellers will begin to take profits buying to cover while the long trades will sell at a loss. Probably at this level there will be more longs exiting than shorts until a substantial fall dictates the latter to buy to cover. 2. New short sellers will pile into the trade pushing price down while few new long traders will participate in accelerating the move down. 3. The relative strength on that indicator falling confirms the trend as does the Average Positive Directional Index falling with the combined falling as well. 4. The mass index indicator documents a reversal Accordingly, I will take a short trade and assist the trend down in my own little way. I may take a trade of 100 shares and then sell a call option. In the meanwhile, I will take a put option striking $5.00 for September 15th. I expect a decent realized profit from these trades in this at least currently high volatility biotechnology penny stock.
NASDAQ:FULCShort
by AwesomeAvani
TLRY is it still a buy? SHORTTLRY dropped from a Head & Shoulders in the winter into the lows in June and July with a lot of trading and accumulation as shown by the volume profile and its POC. Today TLRY took off for a big gainer of a day. But why and can it continue, The 5-minute chart shows plenty of volume support for today's move. The 4H chart shows a scorching rise into the third standard deviation line above the mean VWAP anchored into the earnings date two weeks ago which was a miss. Fundamentally, TLRY has been buying shares of BUD and other beer brewing or distribution companies. If i were an investor, I would be concerned. TLRY should focus on its core product and get good at making cash and not burning it. While the MACD is still bullish and the mass index indicator not yet triggering a reversal, I see a drop happening from the pop. Fundamentally TLRY does not deserve the level of enthusiasm that it received. The EFT MJ had a big uptrend for the day then printed a bearish engulfing candle on the close as traders took their profits off the table. In consideration of all of this, I think TLRY is a very safe short trade. I will zoom into the 5 minute time frame and go short from a high pivot. expecting a 10-15% return for the remainder of the week as the flush or at least drop kicks in especially from inexperienced traders buying in while TRLY is running high without reason into the greatly overbought zone. I suppose it could pump from a short squeeze instead of leveling out and dropping, so my trade will be small and risk constrained. Is you have any alternative idea why this rose so much please let me know!
NASDAQ:TLRYShort
by AwesomeAvani
3
Is the WDFC earnings pop sustainable?WDFC, the manufacturer of WD-40 ( sprayable graphite) had a great earnings beat and a celebratory pop of 5%. My question is whether it can continue? On the 15 minute chart I have added four indicators and what they might indicate: (1) the Lorentzian Machine Learning Alert System with default settings with a few removed which shows the initial buy signal of July 6th. No sell signal has been printed since earnings. (2) the MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody showing the RSIs one hour in black and 15-minutes in blue presently topped out and the lower TF in blue decreasing showing a bearish divergence. (3) The MACD shows K / D lines rising in parallel but very extended above the zero-line showing very high amplitude. (4) The volume indicator showing that volume did not get a relative spike with the post-earnings price pop. Overall, with heavy consideration of lack of volume with the price pop and the bearish divergence on the RSI, I will not take a long trade on this post-earnings WDFC. In fact, if I can find a good entry on a 3 or 5-minute chart, I will take a short trade. I price rise with a good volume spike might potentially convince me otherwise.
NASDAQ:WDFC
by AwesomeAvani
Will Novavax NVAX go higher? SHORTNVAX popped today for a price jump of more than 20%. Canada agreed to pay out on a contract for COVID vaccines it now does not want in the amount of $350M. This is hardly enough to the fundamentals of the company overall. So the question arises, have traders and / or investors overreacted to a one time bonus which is essentially revenue without overhead and expense. My opinion is that this is an overreaction and that the price will drop after the pop hits a high. Buying long right now is essentially the risk of buying a high that will not go higher. On the Chris Moody dual RSI indicator, the longer one hour TM in black is over 75 while the shorter 5 minute TM in blue has peaked and dropped from 95 to 60. This is in essence bearish divergence. The other indicator, the mass index, shows the value arriving at the reversal zone where a drop to below 26.5 will be the trigger. Overall, for both fundamental and technical reasons, I will enter a short trade on NVAX expecting a correction / pullback from the pop the stock got after a one-time bonus of a payout for not producing unneeded vaccines.
NASDAQ:NVAXShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
DGLY is due for a correctionDigital Ally, has had a bit of a slow motion pump after earnings in mid-May. Insofar as the earnings go, there were none. The news is DGLY is burning cash less than expected. No matter how you cut it shareholder value is not there and still the price went up since then especially in the last few trading sessions. DGLY could dilute shareholders to raise capital. Insiders could be manipulating the price. According to FinTel, there are 12 insiders who own 7.7% of the shares. Seemingly, if they act in a coordinated scheme without any paper trail they could have run the price up especially if they got help with one of the several penny stock trading rooms with lots of followers. Overall, this looks like a pop and drop pumped up and ready to flush. I will take a short trade of put options on this expectant for a quick profit over a week or two.
NASDAQ:DGLYShort
by AwesomeAvani
4
NVDA can it fall from the ceiling after EarningseOn the 2hr chart, NVDA popped from earnings over 20% putting with a PE Ratio sky high on the promise of semiconductor heaven and AI ecstasy. Can it stay there ? Will it lead other technology companies ( semiconductors / cloud services / AI et cetera) higher as well ? Is it now overbought and looking at a glass ceiling? The indictors suggest a near-term top, I think. ( Money Flow Index. Stochastic RSI ). Accordingly, I will buy put options striking $ 400 for expiration 7/21 and be quick to take profits expecting NVDA to equilibrate in less than a week. In th meanwhile, I will hdege by keeping my AMD and MU call options open figuring that they will jump up as copy cats of this move. I will cut them loose as soon as price action and a loss of volume suggest retracement as well. I see buyers who got in late with high FOMO to be the lad sellers fueling the put options into easy profit.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by AwesomeAvani
2
AUTL Is this a pump and dump?AUTL on the one-hour chart had a spontaneous parabolic move without a catalyst as best as I can tell. Earnings ten days ago were decent but nothing special. AUTL as a biotech firm is losing cash just not as much as analysts predicted. In the parabolic move very few shares were traded between $2.00 and $2.40 as per the volume profile Overall a massive volume occurred compared with the entire year although there was a bit in the runup to earnings. I suspect a pump and dump and think it might be worth playing. Insiders could be manipulating the shares and acting as a team. The zero-lag MACD suggests that the top has been reached. I believe that insiders will be selling quickly and short sellers will be joining in. I will be one of the latter. Retail buyers could be stuck bag holding if caught by surprise. Once price drops to $4.00 the bearish momentum will kick in due to the volume void on the profile. Accordingly, I will buy a group of call options when AUTL hits $4.05 set a stop loss and await the flush back down to $2.00. If things go well this will be over a 100% return on investment and 300% return on risk in one day. The contracts for 6/16 ( $5.00) are about $250 with about 25% spread between the bid and ask.
NASDAQ:AUTLShort
by AwesomeAvani
Bounce from support before breaking back down.50 and 100 exponential moving averages are closing in on the 200 EMA, showing a consolidation in price and potential short term trend reversal to the upside. Looks like a potential triple bottom on a strong support at around 21, as shown by the solid blue line. Selling volume is decreasing, as shown by the red line. RSI line is coming off of oversold condition (circled in red). Overall direction is still bearish although we may see a short term reversal to the upside before eventually breaking back down. Blue arrows represent three potential outcomes for price movement, each with a reversal at a resistance line shown by the dotted blue lines (Resistance 1: 25, Resistance 2: 28, Resistance 3: 34) What are your thoughts?
FX:USOILLong
by PerryWave
Bear Market Rally PredictionHere is a short term prediction for a short lived bull rally on SPY. It will bounce around the 220-240 levels for a week or so before breaking below and continuing lower to the downside. Short term good news on the economic stimulus package etc will give the market a slight boost, (many will be trying to "buy the dip" after the huge 4 week sell-off) although the underlying market conditions will remain the same regarding the increase in COVID-19 cases and contraction of businesses (primarily retail/service industry), which cannot be combated effectively enough for the market to have a major bounce back. Unfortunately, the bears will prevail.
AMEX:SPYShort
by PerryWave
5