Pound Pressured by Firm Dollar and UK Data ReviewThe British pound held near $1.339 on Friday, its lowest level in eight weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened. The dollar reached a three-week high after President Trump confirmed he would not remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite continued criticism of the Fed’s careful stance on rate cuts. In the UK, markets are closely reviewing recent employment and inflation data. While the labor market shows signs of weakness, updated tax records suggest the slowdown may not be as severe as previously thought.
Resistance is at 1.3535, while support holds at 1.3380.
Pound
GBP/JPY H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?GBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 199.42 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 199.08 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 199.79 which is a swing-high resistance.
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LONG ON GBP/USDGU is currently in its pullback phase of its uptrend.
We have a nice sell side Liquidity sweep being completed at this moment.
Price should now tap into previous demand that broke a high to repeat history and rise again.
Very Nice Setup over 300 pips on the table to the previous high/supply zone.
GBP/JPY H4 | Yen weakness to persist?GBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 197.98 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 196.68 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 199.75 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD - Macro Trend Continues!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. And it is currently retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/JPY H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 198.60 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 197.80 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 200.94 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARIS DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term falling wedge on the weekly chart, and the bullish momentum is unfolding as expected. Price has rallied from 190.00 to the current 197.00 level, delivering solid profits from the breakout zone. This continuation setup is extremely strong, with the market respecting the wedge breakout structure and forming higher highs. As long as we hold above the 190.00 support, the bullish bias remains fully intact, with 205.00 as the next key upside target.
Fundamentally, the British pound remains well-supported due to the Bank of England’s hawkish stance. Despite softer inflation data, the BoE has signaled a cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, maintaining underlying GBP strength. On the other side, the Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan sticks with its ultra-loose monetary policy. Yen weakness is further fueled by rising US and UK bond yields, widening the yield differential and attracting carry trades into GBPJPY.
Technically, the breakout is unfolding with textbook precision. Price has cleared descending resistance, retested it, and is now building a new leg higher. The volume profile is supporting this bullish breakout, and market structure is confirming further upside. The 200.00 psychological level may act as a minor resistance, but once cleared, 205.00 is well within range and aligns with major Fibonacci extensions.
GBPJPY is also benefiting from increased volatility in risk-on sentiment, as equity markets remain firm and bond yields rise globally. Traders are favoring high-yielding currencies like GBP while shorting low-yielders like JPY. With the fundamentals and technicals now strongly aligned, this trade is well-positioned to deliver continued profits toward 205.00 and beyond.
USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has just completed a clean falling wedge breakout—a classic bullish reversal pattern often signaling trend exhaustion. After months of consistent lower highs and lower lows within a well-defined wedge, price has now broken decisively above the descending resistance. The current price sits around 1.367, and we are confidently targeting the 1.407 level in the coming weeks. This breakout aligns perfectly with the seasonal USD strength historically seen in Q3, especially following soft Canadian economic data.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is facing downside pressure amid falling crude oil prices and softening domestic data. Canada’s most recent GDP growth came in below expectations, raising concerns around economic resilience. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is expected to remain dovish with growing speculation of another rate cut in the next quarter. In contrast, the US dollar has been gaining traction following stronger-than-expected ISM services data and a better-than-anticipated ADP employment report, supporting the Fed’s “higher for longer” stance on interest rates.
Technically, the breakout is further supported by increasing bullish momentum and a break of market structure on lower timeframes. We’re seeing volume confirmation with this push, adding conviction that buyers are stepping in with strength. The risk-to-reward ratio remains highly favorable here, and any pullback into the 1.36 zone would provide an excellent re-entry opportunity for continuation.
With sentiment shifting in favor of USD bulls and oil-related weakness dragging CAD, USDCAD looks primed for a rally. The 1.407 target aligns with both key resistance levels and Fibonacci projections from the breakout structure. Momentum is with the bulls, and this setup has the potential to deliver solid profits as we head deeper into Q3.
US
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.3625. I expect a new Fair Value Gap (FVG), formed by the recent sharp drop, to be filled soon.
The first target for this potential move is 1.3650, with the next bullish zone between 1.3670 and 1.3730.
Supply and demand zones are marked on the chart — keep a close eye on how the price reacts to these key levels!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD has officially broken out of a well-structured descending channel on the 4H timeframe, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. After multiple rejections from the lower boundary and consistent pressure on the upper trendline, the breakout above the channel confirms a strong upside bias. Price is currently holding near 3330, and I’m now eyeing 3450 as the next key resistance level. This setup aligns perfectly with a textbook channel breakout, offering a solid risk-to-reward scenario for bullish continuation.
The breakout comes at a time when macro fundamentals are supportive of gold strength. With rising uncertainty surrounding global inflation trends and mixed economic signals from the US, investors are leaning back into gold as a defensive hedge. The US dollar has shown signs of softening amid increasing speculation that the Fed could pivot to a more neutral stance in the coming months. This gives gold more breathing room to the upside, especially as real yields begin to flatten out.
Geopolitical tensions, especially renewed volatility around global trade and Middle East developments, are further fueling demand for safe-haven assets like XAUUSD. The recent breakout is backed by rising volume and momentum indicators turning bullish, making this move more sustainable than a short-term spike. Gold typically thrives during periods of uncertainty and shifting rate expectations, and that’s exactly the phase we are entering now.
From a technical and macroeconomic perspective, gold is showing strength just as the broader markets begin to wobble. This breakout isn’t just about structure—it’s supported by real macro catalysts and seasonal demand strength. I'm bullish toward the 3450 zone, and any retest of the broken channel resistance now turned support would offer an attractive entry. Staying focused on gold as a top performer in Q3 could offer strong upside with controlled risk.
EURJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURJPY has just broken out of a well-defined bullish pennant pattern on the 4H timeframe, confirming strong continuation potential to the upside. The price is currently hovering around 169.60 after consolidating in a tight structure, respecting both dynamic trendline support and horizontal resistance. This breakout signals renewed bullish momentum, and I'm now targeting the 172.10 zone as the next significant resistance level. The structure is clean, volume supported the breakout, and price action is aligned with the dominant uptrend.
Despite a relatively quiet start to the week—largely influenced by global risk-off sentiment surrounding Middle East tensions—EURJPY has held firm. Now that geopolitical jitters are easing slightly, yen weakness is resurfacing. The Bank of Japan remains firmly dovish, maintaining ultra-loose policy, while the Euro is supported by hawkish commentary from the ECB as inflation in the eurozone remains sticky. This divergence continues to fuel the long-term bullish bias for EURJPY.
Fundamentally, Japanese economic indicators remain soft, and there's still no clarity on when the BoJ will meaningfully shift policy. Meanwhile, EUR zone confidence indicators have stabilized, and speculation is growing around the ECB holding rates higher for longer into Q3. With widening yield differentials and a favorable risk sentiment return, this pair is positioned well for upside movement. Current momentum supports the probability of reaching the 172.00–172.10 area as risk appetite rebuilds across markets.
Technically and fundamentally aligned, EURJPY offers one of the strongest bullish continuation opportunities on the board right now. I will continue to monitor for minor dips as potential add-on areas, aiming for a full extension of the measured move from the pennant formation. Patience pays in setups like this where structure, sentiment, and macro all align.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 27, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair held positive momentum near 1.3735 during Asian trading on Friday.
Concerns over the Fed's future independence continue to undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for the major pair. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that he is considering selecting the next Fed chairman ahead of schedule, which has spurred fresh controversy over U.S. rate cuts. Trump said the list of potential successors to Powell had shrunk to “three or four people”, without naming any finalists.
In addition, weaker-than-expected US gross domestic product (GDP) data also sent the dollar lower. The U.S. economy contracted faster than expected in the first three months of this year, falling 0.5%, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The figure was below the previous estimate and the market consensus of -0.2%.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned earlier this week that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. At its June meeting, the UK central bank left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, although three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to cut interest rates.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3750, SL 1.3690, TP 1.3865
NZDJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY has just completed a bullish breakout from a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart, confirming the start of a fresh impulsive move. Price action has broken cleanly above the descending trendline resistance around 87.400, supported by consecutive bullish candles with momentum. This breakout structure is signaling trend continuation, and I’m now targeting 89.500 as the next key resistance zone. The pair has also held higher lows consistently, showing strong bullish pressure in the medium term.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand Dollar remains supported by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s persistent hawkish stance. With the RBNZ maintaining higher interest rates to combat sticky domestic inflation, NZD has found strong backing in recent sessions. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken across the board, with the Bank of Japan maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy and no real signals of tightening. Japan’s latest inflation reading came in weaker than expected, further dimming any hawkish BOJ bets.
Today’s sentiment also reflects a global risk-on environment, with equities up and commodity-linked currencies like NZD benefiting. This reinforces bullish momentum in NZDJPY, especially as yield differentials between New Zealand and Japan favor carry trades. Technically, the pair could see brief pullbacks toward 87.100–86.900, which may offer fresh entries for bulls aiming to ride the breakout wave toward 89.500.
With technical confirmation, bullish momentum, and a supportive macro backdrop, NZDJPY looks well-positioned for further upside. I’ll be watching for sustained price action above the breakout zone, and any dips will be viewed as buying opportunities. The trend is up, and momentum is real—this is a textbook breakout setup aligned with both fundamentals and price action.
GBPUSD - Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been hovering within a big range marked in red and blue.
This week, GBPUSD is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance.
As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
EURGBP - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURGBP has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
On the GBPUSD chart, we can see that the price has repeatedly tested a key resistance zone but failed to break above it, resulting in multiple rejections.
After forming a rising wedge pattern, the pair has broken down below the wedge, and is now completing a pullback toward the broken trendline.
We expect that after some consolidation in this area and completion of the pullback, the price will likely resume its decline toward lower targets.
As long as price remains below the resistance zone and broken trendline, the bearish scenario remains valid.
Is the pullback complete and ready for the next leg down? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDCAD DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, with price currently pressing against the upper trendline resistance near 1.37300. This is a high-probability bullish reversal setup, and the pair is showing early signs of a potential breakout. The recent bullish momentum from the lows suggests buyers are stepping in aggressively, and if we get a strong daily close above the wedge, it could confirm the start of a new upward leg. My near-term target for this breakout is 1.47300, offering an excellent risk-reward profile.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar is currently under pressure due to weakening oil prices and softening domestic economic data. The Bank of Canada has recently signaled a dovish tilt following its latest rate cut in June, citing slower GDP growth and easing inflation. On the other hand, the US Dollar is finding renewed strength backed by sticky inflation and the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts. The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and BoC is creating a favorable environment for USDCAD bulls.
Technically, the confluence of wedge resistance, bullish divergence on the RSI, and a clear higher low formation all point toward a breakout scenario. A break above 1.37600–1.38000 would unlock the next wave of bullish continuation, potentially accelerating momentum toward the 1.47 handle. This area also aligns with the previous March highs, making it a strong technical magnet.
I remain bullish on USDCAD and will be watching the breakout closely this week. If the pair holds above 1.36800 and breaks structure convincingly, I’ll be adding to longs on confirmation. The current setup presents a textbook breakout opportunity supported by strong fundamentals, technical structure, and market sentiment leaning in favor of the USD.
SHORT ON EUR/GPBWe have a rising channel (bearish reversal chart pattern) at a major level of resistance (confluence)
Price has given us a breakout of the channel to the downside and is currently respecting resistance.
I will be selling EUR/GBP to the next support level looking to catch over 120 pips.