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Powellspeaks

THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Firstly, we would suggest traders stay away from this NFP altogether, the markets are very delicate and moving to extreme levels not only on Gold but most forex pairs. For that reason we’ll keep it simple and look at the key levels together with the structure formed. We have the higher resistance level here which is the previous order region 2930-35 which looks to be a potential region price may want to attack if they want to continue this move upside, above that is the extension of the move around 2945-55. Price needs to stay below this level, If we can reject and not break above these levels, an opportunity to see the market correct may be available back down in attempt to break 2900 level. On the flip, if they push price downside, we’ll wait, the range needs to be broken, price should want to retest the flip and then continue the move, that’s when we can start using the red boxes to target those lower levels and potentially look for the swing low from the circled hotspot. As above, keep it simple, the trade comes after the event and most accounts are blown during these events due to traders using large lots on small accounts attempting to capture the volume driven candles. Unless you’re already in and protected, the swing in the opposite direction can cause huge problems to less experienced traders. RED BOXES: Break above 2930 for 2934, 2940, 2944 and 2955 in extension of the move Break below 2910 for 2903, 2895, 2890 and 2879 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/23/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19637.25 - PR Low: 19612.50 - NZ Spread: 55.25 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks - New Home Sales 20000 pivot short back towards daily Keltner cloud - Maintaining previous session lows ahead of what could be a high vol Friday morning Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 8/23) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 401.27 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 234K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
Again the same resistance stopping Nifty from Progressing. Again Nifty is facing the same resistance as we have seen for the last 2 days as Nifty returned from the day's high of 22521. However the support came from the expected level mentioned yesterday i.e.22346. Most important turning point on either side can be US FED Chair Jerome H. Powell speech about Economic Outlook. (At the Stanford Business, Government, and Society Forum, Stanford, California). This will give definitive direction to global and Indian markets or atleast it will have a strong effect if not give direction. The support and Resistance remain same as yesterday. Nifty Supports: 22417, 22350, 22315, 22252 and finally 22143. Nifty Resistances: Range between 22500 and 22530, 22597, 22690, 22787 and channel top will be near 22830.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DXY (DOLLAR) IS TRYING TO RECOVER, (READ CAPTION)The dollar is trying to recover in today's trading from the US Federal Reserve's strike The US dollar achieved a modest rise during trading on Thursday, as the green currency attempted to recover from the losses incurred last session as a result of negative federal developments. In this regard, the dollar incurred strong daily losses at the end of yesterday’s session, estimated at about 0.43%, affected by the less stringent statements of US Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell, which he made yesterday evening, as Jerome Powell said that postponing the interest rate reduction step may harm the US economy, It is expected that the interest rate reduction cycle will begin in the second half of this year, while hinting that despite the strong conditions in the labour market and the outstanding performance of the US economy, this will not prevent the US Federal Reserve from taking interest rate reduction measures. This coincided with the pressures facing the dollar at that time immediately after the release of economic forecasts by the US Federal Reserve, which indicated the possibility of reducing US interest rates three times this year, which means that the US Federal Reserve did not take into account the rise in inflation rates during the past two months, and here it is worth noting. Pointing out that the markets now see a 65% chance that the US Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at the June meeting, according to the performance of tracking federal interest rates issued by the CME Group. If you like this informative data and technical analyse please support my ideas and follow thanks for kindness.
TVC:DXYLong
by Alexview009
Buying Opportunity in T-Notes? After putting in a bottom in mid-October, T-notes have rallied sharply higher. Patient bulls have been afforded few opportunities to enter the contracts on a pullback, but that may soon change. Pullbacks are a healthy part of any sustained rally, as they allow market participants to take profits from longer held positions, and reallocate capital in the direction of the prevailing trend. Fundamental Snapshot : T-Note prices are inversely related to yields - meaning that as yields decline, the price of T-Notes will rise. After the last Fed meeting, Chair Powell suggested that the Fed may be cutting rates as much as 3 times in 2024. As displayed on CME’s FedWatch Tool below, the market is pricing in a 77.2% probability that the first rate cut may come as soon as March. If that materializes, T-note prices should continue to press higher. Talkin’ Technicals : The white line on the bottom of the chart labeling short-term bearish divergence on RSI in the bottom indicates that the market is making successive new highs on decreasing momentum, and that the market remains in overbought territory. Meaning that the current rally is effectively running out of steam. Furthermore, volume has steadily decreased since the previous high. If there are no more bulls willing to enter the market, it will likely result in a pullback. A pullback on price will force current bulls to liquidate long positions to capture profit, and afford new bulls to enter the market amidst the correction. Fed policy is a major function in establishing the longer-term trend in T-notes and bonds. By lowering rates in 2024, one should expect both T-notes and bonds to perform well pricewise. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT:TN1!Long
by Blue_Line_Futures
Powell's Speech to Provide Market Direction?S&P 500 INDEX MODEL TRADING PLANS for THU. 10/19 This week marks the beginning of the peak of Q3 earnings season, and a potential inflection points in the geopolitical risks with signs of potential ground operations to begin by Israel in Gaza. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates, sticky inflation, extremely strong jobs market, early signs of consumers beginning to scale back...yet, retail bullish positioning has increased this week again. Powell's speech today may not necessarily provide any clear market direction, yet it could lead to some knee jerk moves. We have been publishing for the last two weeks: "Our models indicate 4310 as the level to close above for the current bearish bias to be negated". Now, this 4310 is the main support level and a daily close below that is needed for our models to turn bearish. The market tested this level briefly yesterday, Wed. 10/18, but bounced right back up to close a few points above it. This level may come into play again today, and how the price action ends today with respect to this level could give us some indications of near-term market direction. Aggressive, Intraday Trading Plans: For today, our aggressive intraday models indicate going long on a break above 4377, 4352, 4322, 4306, or 4285 with a 9-point trailing stop, and going short on a break below 4365, 4345, 4312, 4301, or 4280 with a 9-point trailing stop.  Models indicate explicit long exits on a break below 4370 or 4319, and explicit short exits on a break above 4370 or 4314. Models also indicate a break-even hard stop once a trade gets into a 4-point profit level. Models indicate taking these signals from 09:59am EST or later. By definition the intraday models do not hold any positions overnight - the models exit any open position at the close of the last bar (3:59pm bar or 4:00pm bar, depending on your platform's bar timing convention). To avoid getting whipsawed, use at least a 5-minute closing or a higher time frame (a 1-minute if you know what you are doing) - depending on your risk tolerance and trading style - to determine the signals. (WHAT IS THE CREDIBILITY and the PERFORMANCE OF OUR MODEL TRADING PLANS over the LAST WEEK, LAST MONTH, LAST YEAR? Please check for yourself how our pre-published model trades have performed so far! Seeing is believing!)  NOTES - HOW TO INTERPRET/USE THESE TRADING PLANS: (i) The trading levels identified are derived from our A.I. Powered Quant Models. Depending on the market conditions, these may or may not correspond to any specific indicator(s). (ii) These trading plans may be used to trade in any instrument that tracks the S&P 500 Index (e.g., ETFs such as SPY, derivatives such as futures and options on futures, and SPX options), triggered by the price levels in the Index. The results of these indicated trades would vary widely depending on the timeframe you use (tick chart, 1 minute, or 5 minute, or 15 minute or 60 minute etc.), the quality of your broker's execution, any slippages, your trading commissions and many other factors. (iii) These are NOT trading recommendations for any individual(s) and may or may not be suitable to your own financial objectives and risk tolerance - USE these ONLY as educational tools to inform and educate your own trading decisions, at your own risk. #spx, #spx500, #spy, #sp500, #esmini, #indextrading, #daytrading, #models, #tradingplans, #outlook, #economy, #bear, #yields, #stocks, #futures, #inflation, #recession, #softlanding, #higher4longer, #higherforlonger, #israel, #geopolitical, #earnings, #powellspeech
SP:SPX
by TradersAICorp
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/25/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023 - PR High: 14871.25 - PR Low: 14830.00 - NZ Spread: 92.25 10:05 – Feb Chair Powell Speaks Prev session printed as huge engulfing bar - Lows taken out from prev 2 sessions - Retracing to inventory < 14730 Evening Stats (As of 1:55 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807) - Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939) - Session Open ATR: 263.98 - Volume: 36K - Open Int: 257K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -11.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 16105 - Mid: 15247 - Short: 14675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQU2023
by mv3trader5
DLTR drops after earnings follows the market down DLTR dropped on a mild earnings beat. It is now below a volume shelf at 128. Indicators including the MACD suggest a reversal as bullish divergence is showing. The mass index supports a reversal. On the dual time frame RSI, the low TF green line is above the higher TF black line which is weaker. Overall, DLTR could retrace to 133 based on the Fib retracement tool However, I will not take this trade until price crosses above the POC line. !33 will be the first target and 134.5 the second target being the mean VWAP. I will take a call on options trade as well. I will only enter if the general market indices appear to be upgoing which is a challenge given the upcoming Powell speech at Jackson Hole If the market is down turning, the trade will be paused and reassessed at early next week.
NASDAQ:DLTRLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/29/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023 - PR High: 15184.75 - PR Low: 15155.25 - NZ Spread: 66.0 Economic Events: 02:30 – Fed Chair Powell Speaks 08:30 – GDP - Initial Jobless Claims 10:00 – Pending Home Sales Evening Stats (As of 12:35 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Open ATR: 233.68 - Volume: 19K - Open Int: 251K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -9.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 15533 - Mid: 15247 - Short: 14675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQU2023
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/19/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2023 - PR High: 13960.50 - PR Low: 13899.25 - NZ Spread: 136.75 Broke key level 13737, strong supply zone from Aug 22, now inventory Strong volatility jump (see NZ spread above) Powell Speaking at 11:00 EST Evening Stats (As of 12:55 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Open ATR: 185.45 - Volume: 35K - Open Int: 278K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From ATH: -17.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 14103 - Mid: 13531 - Short: 12959 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2023
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/7/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2023 - PR High: 12334.75 - PR Low: 12312.50 - NZ Spread: 49.75 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: -0.14% (closed) - 8/19 Session Gap: -0.04% (open > 13237) - Session Open ATR: 246.87 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 257K - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -26.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12959 - Mid: 12392 - Short: 11820 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQH2023Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/7/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2023 - PR High: 12537.25 - PR Low: 12510.00 - NZ Spread: 60.75 Evening Stats (As of 1:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: -0.35 (open > 12616) - 8/19 Session Gap: -0.04% (open > 13237) - Session Open ATR: 276.69 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -25.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12959 - Mid: 12392 - Short: 11820 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQH2023Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/10/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2023 - PR High: 11187.50 - PR Low: 11165.25 - NZ Spread: 49.75 Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.16% (open > 11110) - 8/19 Session Gap: -0.04% (open > 13237) - Session Open ATR: 278.68 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 249K - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -33.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12391 - Mid: 11820 - Short: 10678 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQH2023Short
by mv3trader5