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Priceaction

Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) – MMC Analysis + Liquidity Target🧠 Market Context Overview: Gold recently experienced a highly impulsive move from a major demand zone, suggesting strong smart money activity. The market is currently in the redistribution phase of the MMC (Market Maker Cycle), transitioning between a reversal impulse and a liquidity targeting move. Let’s dissect the key zones, structure, and confluences that support the ongoing market narrative. 📍 1. Strong Demand Reaction (3X Demand Spike): We start with a triple-tap demand rejection, where the price sharply reversed to the upside. This kind of movement typically represents: Institutional Entry Points Stop-Hunt Below Previous Lows Liquidity Grab Before Expansion This strong bullish engulfing candle signifies position building by smart money, often the beginning of a significant leg up. 🧱 2. Reversal Zone & Liquidity Imbalance: The highlighted green zone between $3,370–$3,375 is crucial. Why? It’s an inefficiency zone where price moved too fast with low resistance. This created a liquidity void that typically needs to be revisited (also known as FVG – Fair Value Gap). The area also coincides with structural resistance, making it a high-probability target for price to revisit and reject again or break through with intent. 📌 Smart money always returns to areas of unfilled liquidity to close their positions or trap late retail entries. 🔺 3. Volume Contraction (Wedge Pattern Formation): After the explosive push upward, the market started compressing, forming a descending wedge — a classical volume contraction pattern. What does this mean? Volatility is decreasing Liquidity is building up Big breakout is expected It’s like pulling a slingshot — the more it contracts, the stronger the release will be. The direction will depend on which side breaks first. 🔁 4. Previous Structure Flipped (Support turned Resistance): You’ll notice a key level around $3,353–$3,355 acting as a flipped structure. This was previously a support zone that got broken. Now it’s acting as resistance — a classic example of support/resistance flip. This adds confluence to the idea of a possible rejection or reaction in this area. 🧠 Structure flipping is a smart money trick — break structure, retrace to trap liquidity, and then run the opposite direction. 📊 5. MMC Logic – Market Maker Cycle in Play: Here’s how the MMC is flowing: Accumulation (bottom consolidation) Manipulation (liquidity sweep below demand) Expansion (aggressive upward move) Contraction (volume dies, price slows down) Now we’re waiting for the next manipulation or expansion phase. The current wedge is the pause before the next move, which could fill liquidity in the reversal zone or go lower to sweep resting sell-side liquidity. 🎯 Trading Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Bias (if breakout happens): Break and close above the wedge Retest previous flipped structure successfully Target: Liquidity zone at $3,370–$3,375 🎯 This move would fill the imbalance and potentially tag sell-side liquidity sitting at the top. ❌ Bearish Bias (if rejection holds): Failure to break above flipped structure Breakdown from the wedge Target: Demand origin around $3,325–$3,315 🧲 A move lower would make sense if liquidity remains uncollected beneath the range. 🧵 Final Thoughts: Gold is currently in a high-probability setup zone. We have: ✅ Clear demand reaction ✅ Imbalance above ✅ Volume contraction ✅ Flipped structure ✅ Strong MMC confluence Now it's a waiting game. Let the market show its hand — either a clean breakout with volume or a fakeout/rejection and reversal. 📌 "Trade what you see, not what you think. Let the levels and liquidity guide your decision."
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
$PENGU Taking a Breather? CSECY:PENGU Taking a Breather? Wave 4 May Be Brewing After a strong move, CSECY:PENGU looks like it might be pausing for breath. The recent action suggests we may have just wrapped up a small-degree Wave 3, with price now struggling to clear a key resistance level from earlier in the structure. That hesitation could mark the early stages of a Wave 4 correction...Conservatively. Here’s the zone I’m watching for a potential W4 pullback: - .236 to 50% retracement of Wave 3, measured from the Wave 2 low - Most Likely Target (MLT) sits right around the .382 fib - Keep an eye on time symmetry—Wave 4 may offset the time duration of Wave 2 - Price could react off the base channel as a support guide If this is a W4, it could give us a clean continuation setup into Wave 5—provided it holds structure and doesn’t overlap the Wave 1 territory. Stalking the pullback as it plays out, and am ready to react if we see support step in at the expected fib levels or the base channel. Trade Safe! Trade Clarity!
Long
by CryptoKnee
OIL INDIA BUY VIEW OIL INDIA - BUY PROJECTION Trade Setup : Fundamental Analysis Stock PE - 9.22 Industry PE - 20.7 Low Debt Promoter Holding - 53 % DII Holdings - 17 % Regularly Paid Dividend - 2 % Strong Fundamental - Stock Possible to Doubled - (Current - 474 ) (Target - 948 ) for Long term 5 years Holding .. Technical Analysis Monthly - Strong Support & Fib 50 % Day - Wait For Candle Close in Black Line Entry - 507 Rs Target - 740 Rs Stoploss - 408 Rs Happy trading .. Thank You ...
NSE:OILLong
by Dreamtrader00
2
Gold (XAUUSD) – 17 July Analysis | Demand Zone in Play🟢 Gold (XAUUSD) – 17 July Analysis | Demand Zone in Play Gold continues to follow the bullish structure we’ve been tracking in our recent posts. Yesterday's news-driven price action pushed the market to a new swing high near 3377.600 , confirming strength in higher timeframes. Now, price is currently in a retracement/pullback phase , pulling back toward a key intraday demand zone at 3326–3320 — offering potential opportunity for the next leg upward. 🔍 Where Are We Now? The market is currently pulling back toward a key M15 demand zone: 3326–3320 . This level also aligns with a higher timeframe order block on the H4, making it a critical confluence area for structure-based traders. This 3326–3320 zone is crucial because: → It’s a fresh M15 demand zone inside a higher timeframe bullish structure → It aligns with the H4 OB that previously acted as a launchpad → The overall trend remains bullish unless this zone is decisively broken If the zone holds and we get LTF confirmation (such as M1 internal structure shift + micro-BoS), it may present a high-probability long setup. ⚙️ Structure Summary: ✅ H4: Bullish continuation structure with recent higher high ✅ M15: Pullback within bullish order flow ✅ M1 (for entry): Awaiting ChoCH + BoS as entry trigger inside POI 📌 Trade Setup Plan (upon confirmation): → Entry: From 3326–3320 demand zone → Stop Loss: 40 pips below entry → Take Profit: 120 pips (targeting new HH based on H4 projection) → Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3 🧠 Key Trading Insight: We never predict — we prepare . We don’t chase price — we position with confirmation . Discipline means waiting for price to invite us in , not entering just because a level looks attractive. 📈 Summary & Expectations: ➡️ Price is retracing into a structurally significant demand zone ➡️ Market bias remains bullish unless this zone fails ➡️ If the zone holds with valid M1 confirmation, we’ll consider a long setup targeting a new high ➡️ No confirmation = no trade. Patience > prediction. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror This analysis is part of our ongoing structure-based approach to trading Gold. All entries are derived from pure price action, multi-timeframe structure alignment, and trader discipline — as taught in our book: “The Chart Is the Mirror: Mastering Gold with Structure, Stillness, and Price Action”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
Gold 30-Minute OB and Demand Zone SetupGold is now approaching a 30-Minute Order Block along with a strong demand zone 🟢. We are expecting some clean reactions from these areas. 📌 Plan: Scenario 1: 👉 If price respects the M30 OB and Demand zone area at 3327 -3320, we can look for bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles to enter buy positions 📈, targeting the upper zone M30 OB zone near 3347 🎯. Scenario 2: 👉 If price tap the above 30 min OB near 3347 we take our sell or short side entries for a reaction from there entering short ✅. Both scenarios are possible, so we will watch the price action closely 🧐 and only trade with confirmation!
TVC:GOLD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
Gold Just Flipped Is the Drop Coming?🚨 Gold Market Update – Are You Ready? 🚨 Yesterday, the gold market swept the liquidity from the previous days taking out stop orders and clearing out weak positions. After the sweep, price closed lower, showing clear signs of weakness. 📉 But that’s not all... In the process, it also broke through a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) an area where buyers had previously shown strength. That FVG is now inverted, meaning it could act as a strong resistance level going forward. With this shift in structure, there's a real possibility that gold could drop further, potentially hunting the liquidity resting near previous lows. The market might be gearing up for a deeper move. 🔥 So the question is: Are YOU ready for the next leg down? 📌 As always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) This is not financial advice just reading the tape.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Peter_Wade
XAUUSD Analysis : Gold's Bullish Comeback + Target📊 Chart Overview: Gold has shown a technically strong structure on the 4-hour time frame, respecting multiple layers of support, while slowly shifting momentum in favor of buyers. What stands out most in this chart is the parabolic curve formation at the bottom, labeled the "Black Mind Curve Support" — a key psychological zone that has guided price action back to the upside. Let’s walk through the key elements and why this current setup deserves your attention: 🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Support – Bullish Base Formation: This curved structure at the bottom is no ordinary pattern. It reflects gradual accumulation and buyer dominance, often seen in textbook rounded bottom formations. The market printed multiple higher lows along this curve, suggesting a deliberate and patient entry by smart money. Whenever price touched this curve, it found strong demand — a clear sign that the bulls are defending their territory. 🧱 2. Channel Support + SR Interchange – Historical Demand: Zooming into the left side of the chart, you’ll notice how price dropped into a converging zone where a descending channel support intersected with a historical support/resistance (SR) level. This confluence created a high-probability buy zone — the very origin of the current bullish wave. This channel breakout also represents a structural shift, marking the beginning of bullish control. 🔁 3. Major SR – Interchange Zone: One of the most critical areas in this chart is the Major SR Interchange zone, where former resistance was broken and later retested as support. This is a classic support-resistance flip — the type of zone institutional traders watch closely. This level currently acts as a launchpad for bulls, reinforcing bullish structure and offering low-risk long opportunities when respected. ⚔️ 4. Minor BOS (Break of Structure): Recently, the price broke above a short-term lower high, indicating a minor bullish break of structure. This is confirmation that momentum has shifted in the short term. Such BOS events are powerful signals, especially when backed by curve support and SR flips. This also paves the way for the price to push into the next liquidity pocket above. 🧭 5. Central Zone – 50% Equilibrium: The horizontal line drawn around the $3,330 level marks the central 50% zone — the midpoint of this entire price range. This acts as a natural equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers usually fight for control. Price is now trading above this zone, giving the upper hand to bulls. Holding above the 50% line increases the probability of continuation to higher resistance levels. 🧨 6. Target Area – "Next Reversal Zone": Looking ahead, the $3,370 – $3,380 range is labeled as the Next Reversal Zone. This is where sellers previously stepped in and rejected price hard. However, if momentum remains strong and bulls can push price into this zone again, we might witness either: A sharp pullback (if bearish reaction occurs), or A major breakout above toward the $3,400 key resistance (if buyers overpower). This is the zone to watch for either short-term profit taking or potential trend continuation setups. 📌 Key Technical Levels: Immediate Support: $3,330 – $3,315 (Central + Retest Zone) Major Support: $3,290 (Mind Curve Base) Short-Term Resistance: $3,370 – $3,380 (Reversal/Reaction Zone) Bullish Continuation Target: $3,400+ 📒 Conclusion & Strategy Insight: This chart presents a textbook bullish reversal setup with clean structural progression: Price formed a rounded base Broke out of previous range resistance Retested multiple key SR zones Now targeting liquidity above The bulls are in control as long as the price remains above the curve and the major SR zone. A retracement into $3,330 could offer an ideal long entry, targeting the $3,370–$3,380 zone with tight risk. ✅ Suggested Trading Approach: Buy Opportunities: On pullbacks toward $3,330–$3,315 with confirmation Sell Watch: Near $3,375–$3,380 if bearish divergence or strong rejection appears Invalidation: Break and close below $3,290 curve support 🧠 Final Thoughts: Gold continues to build a strong bullish base. The parabolic nature of the support curve suggests rising demand. As long as support holds, the bulls may take price to fresh highs in the coming days. Keep an eye on how price behaves around the Next Reversal Zone — that will reveal whether this bullish rally is ready for a breakout or a cooldown.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
2025-07-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqcomment: Bond markets are going ballistic. Fun times ahead. Technically it’s a trading range under ath and bears are too weak to print any decent bear bar on the daily tf. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 22600 - 23300 bull case: Bulls are might fine. No daily bar is closing on it’s low and we are printing bull bar after bull bar. Daily 20ema is around 22700 and as long as we stay above, bulls remain in full control. Not event imminent firing of JPow and the bond market implosion are stopping this. Truly astonishing. Invalidation is below 22700. bear case: Bears are pathetic. Need lower lows below 22770. That’s it. Even if we get them, daily 20ema should be support unless an event triggers big time. Invalidation is above 23300. short term: Neutral. Bears barely doing anything but I have no interest in buying this frenzy, given the risks we are facing. We will go down hard soon but right now nothing about this is bearish. I do think the only bearish scenario could be that Jpow resigns/gets fired tomorrow/Friday and we drop down hard to next big support around 22000. I’d be surprised if we could get that low tbh. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again. trade of the day: Short US open was my preferred trade today but stop had to be 23223, so far away and target was not all that big since 23000 was the obvious support. The drop down to 22835 was a bit much but given the news, it could have easily led to a much bigger sell-off if the markets weren’t ignoring literally every risk under the sun.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
TON/USDT Monthly Structure Flip – Smart Money Targets $3.30+ Aft🔍 Key Observations: Current Price: 2.974 USDT Support Zone (Demand Area): Strong demand zone around 2.870 - 2.800 USDT. Price previously reacted multiple times from this zone, showing strong buyer interest and BOS confirmations. Resistance Zone (Supply Area): The next significant resistance lies in the range of 3.306 - 3.400 USDT. This zone previously caused a BOS to the downside, making it a critical level to monitor for potential profit-taking or reversals. Market Structure: Price is currently consolidating just above the demand zone after a bullish BOS. Recent BOS confirms a shift in structure from bearish to bullish bias. Potential Price Path: If price sustains above the 2.870 support, a bullish move targeting the 3.306 level is likely. Expect short-term retracements within the structure but with a medium-term bullish bias. Liquidity Mapping: Liquidity is likely resting above the 3.088 local highs and the 3.306 major resistance. Smart money may push price to these levels to mitigate orders or engineer exit liquidity. 📈 Educational Perspective: This chart is a strong representation of Smart Money Concepts (SMC), particularly the use of BOS as confirmation for directional bias. Traders can look to: Use the demand zone for potential long entries. Watch for confirmation (like bullish engulfing or internal BOS) within the zone. Manage trades toward the premium zone near 3.3 for a favorable risk-reward.
Long
by Mentor_Michael03
Bitcoin Full analysis: Buy the dip confirmed, 123240 key__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Very bullish across all timeframes; healthy compression above previous range. Key Supports: 115731–110481 USDT (structural, 1D to 1H). Major Resistances: 123240 USDT (multi-frame pivot). Volume: Normal, no climax or distribution — flows support the dominant bias. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish HLTF signal; short-term neutral intraday. ISPD DIV: Neutral on all timeframes. Multi-TF Behavior: Bull rally, no excess, no euphoria or capitulation; market holds above key levels. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias: Strong bullish – MT/LT “buy on dips” confirmed. Opportunities: Progressive buying (117800, 115731 USDT), continuation on breakout >123240. Risk Zones: Possible pullback if clear rejection below 123240, swing invalidation if close <115731-111949. Macro Catalysts: Awaiting FOMC late July, short-term volatility limited. Watch geopolitics, extreme compression. Action Plan: Swing entry: 118300–119000. Stop: 115500. Target: 123200 then 126000+. R/R ≥2.5. Adjust risk management before FOMC. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Bullish momentum, supports at 105054/107939–110483. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, healthy volume, ISPD neutral. 12H: Consolidation below 123240, aligned supports 110481/115731, healthy structure. 6H: Confirmed momentum, continuous compression, no major sell signals. 4H: Rally structure robust, corrections limited and on support. 2H: Key support band 115731–110481, volume supports rebound, possible rotation below 123240. 1H: Rally confirmed, no panic selling detected. 30min/15min: Intraday consolidation, micro-range below resistance, stable volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator short-term neutral. Cross-TF summary: CLEAR momentum across all frames, no significant divergence, high-quality HTF supports. Next >123240 breakout likely fast and dynamic. __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical & Fundamental Synthesis __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Synthesis: Broad bullish confirmation; buy-the-dip valid on 117800/115731, no aggressive downside signal. Swing positions above 118200 to be favored, expect acceleration after clear break of 123240. Stops & Invalidation: Swing stops below 115731/111949. Closing below = increased risk, “off” bias. Fundamentals: Optimal pre-FOMC swing window, US market in wait-and-see mode short term. Neutral/volatile geopolitics, no immediate shocks. On-chain: Heavy accumulation, historic compression, ETF flows strong (but on short pause). Imminent volatility squeeze possible either way. Recommendation: Actively monitor 123240 (breakout above), 115731 (below = increased caution). Adjust stops and sizing, remain highly responsive, especially as FOMC approaches. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
2025-07-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Selling down from 24400 to 24300 on high volume and the bears just gave up and market showed where it really wants to go. Almost without resistance we just grinded higher for 24500. No more obvious resistance until ath. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 24000 - 25000 bull case: Bulls want to leave the big gap open down to 24350 and go higher from here. 24750 is the obvious target but if bulls want it, there is no reason we can not print 25000. Any pullback should stay above 24350 or this rally is over again. Will be looking for longs against 1h 20ema tomorrow, unless bears clearly took over. Invalidation is below 24350. bear case: Bears tried down to 24275 but failed at the 1h 20ema and I doubt many will try to keep this a lower high below 24750. Bears have absolutely nothing once again. Nothing bearish about this on any time frame. Invalidation is above 25100. short term: Bullish. What could stop this? Only If they fire Jpow tomorrow but I doubt they will do it before markets close. Can only expect higher prices but I would not hold anything over the weekend. Make no mistake, if orange face fires Jpow, bonds will go apefeces and stonkz as well. medium-long term from 2025-06-29: Bull surprise last week but my targets for the second half of 2025 remain the same. I still expect at least 21000 to get hit again this year. As of now, bulls are favored until we drop below 23000 trade of the day: Long 24300 because Globex low was 24242 and market clearly found no acceptance below the 1h 20ema.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
SP500 ES Weekly Recap | ATH Deviation → Pullback or Powell Pump?Overview: ES made a new all-time high last week, sweeping the previous high with strong momentum. However, the move ended up being a deviation, and the price quickly reversed — suggesting short-term exhaustion. Bearish Scenario (Baseline): 🔻 Rejection from ATH 🔻 Possible retracement targets: 12H Swing Low (turquoise line) Weekly Fair Value Gap (purple zone) I believe a pullback into those levels could provide bullish continuation setups for new highs. I’ll look for LTF confirmation once price reaches those zones. Bullish Scenario (Catalyst-Driven): 🚨 If Fed Chair Powell resigns this week (a circulating macro rumor), the market may not wait for retracement. This could lead to an aggressive breakout, driving ES and risk assets straight into new ATHs again. Plan: ✅ Watch for LTF confirmation after pullback ✅ Stay open to both scenarios ✅ Focus on HTF bullish structure as long as key levels hold
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by UA_CAPITAL
EURGBP Bullish Setup Analysis – MMC + Volume Absorption + TargetIn today's EUR/GBP 30-minute chart, we can clearly observe a well-structured Market Maker Cycle (MMC) in play, accompanied by Smart Money concepts such as volume absorption, minor BOS (Break of Structure), and reversal zone identification. Let’s walk through the technical story unfolding: 🧠 Step-by-Step Breakdown: 🟣 1. Reversal Zone & QFL (Quasimodo Failed Level) Formation The price made a sharp decline, which trapped retail sellers chasing the breakout to the downside. This drop landed into a key reversal zone — a price pocket where Smart Money often steps in for accumulation. The QFL structure is evident here, showing a previous demand zone break and then recovery — classic stop-loss hunting behavior followed by institutional positioning. This is often considered the “Spring” or “Manipulation” phase in Wyckoff or MMC theory. 🟩 2. Volume Absorption & Compression Phase After tapping into the reversal zone, price action entered a tight compression range, forming a wedge/triangle. During this phase, volume absorption is clearly visible — large players are absorbing selling pressure without letting price drop further. This is a signal of re-accumulation. Buyers are loading up while keeping the price suppressed to mislead retail traders. You’ve rightly labeled this phase as “Structure Mapping + Volume Absorption” — a textbook Smart Money behavior prior to breakout. 🔓 3. Minor Breaks of Structure (BOS) As price consolidates, we begin to see Minor BOS— subtle shifts in structure where previous highs are taken out. These BOS levels are confirmation that demand is outweighing supply. Once we break multiple minor highs, it shows that buyers are now in control — hinting at the transition from Accumulation → Expansion. 📈 4. Projected Next Reversal + Breakout Scenario The marked Next Reversal Zone above (around 0.8680–0.8695) is where we can expect the first true breakout and major expansion. If price enters this area with increased volume, it validates that Smart Money is pushing into the Markup Phase of the MMC. After the breakout, we could see price push toward 0.8710 and above. 📊 5. Market Maker Cycle (MMC) Summary What we’re seeing here is a full-scale MMC pattern unfolding: Manipulation (QFL trap ) → Accumulation (Volume absorption) → Structure Shift (Minor BOS) → Expansion (Reversal breakout) This is the kind of setup that offers high-probability entries for those who understand Smart Money dynamics and wait for confirmation. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Reversal Support Zone: 0.86450 – 0.86500 Breakout Target Zone: 0.86800 – 0.86950 Final Target (Swing): 0.87100+ 🧠 Final Thoughts: This EUR/GBP setup shows everything we love to see: Liquidity taken ✅ Structure forming ✅ Volume building ✅ BOS confirming ✅ Expansion pending 🔜 Be patient. Let Smart Money reveal their hand through price action and volume confirmation.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XRP Price Action – Market Structure BreakdownThis chart illustrates a replication of XRP’s previous bullish move, with key price action and structure aligning closely with historical behavior. Here's the breakdown: Accumulation Phase: XRP consolidated between the $1.90–$2.20 range. This zone acted as a monthly bullish fair value gap (FVG), serving as a springboard for accumulation before the breakout. Massive Breakout: A large impulsive move occurred just before July 14, 2025, coinciding with the anticipated go-live of ISO 20022 standards, which many believe could support utility tokens like XRP. Market Replication: The breakout structure is mirroring a previous bullish cycle, highlighted by the labeled replication arrows on the left side of the chart. This pattern confirmation supports the projection of a move toward $9.99–$10, aligning with a key liquidity target and psychological round number. Targets and Gaps: Price is shown aggressively pushing through bearish FVGs and reaching above previous highs, suggesting that liquidity above $10 could be the next target. The $9.99 level is marked as a clear draw on liquidity.
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by BDripTradess