ARBUSDTHi guys
The main trend is downward. We have not yet received confirmation of a trend change and the bullish outlook is very weak for now.
But on the daily and four-hour time frames, we have a positive RSI divergence.
And provided that the downward trend line is broken and the resistance range of $0.893 is consumed, the possibility of the continuation of the upward trend is strengthened.
What do you think?
Priceactionanalysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 13/01/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty near the 23350 level. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23350 level then expected quick downside rally upto 23200 level. For today's session 23200 level will act as a important support for nifty. Upside 23500 level will act as a strong resistance. Any upside rally can be reversal from this level. Bullish movement in index only expected above 23550 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(13/01/2025)Today will be gap down opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 48550 level. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 48450 then expected strong downside rally upto 48050 in today's session. Upside 48950 level act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any bullish rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 49050 level.
HEY SPYLOVERS ! Here is a Video Analysis on SPY (Price & Levels)Very strong movements and levels that we need to closely monitor, as we are entering a bearish market. We must exercise great caution during this decline and ensure that the price does not exceed the mentioned levels; otherwise, it will be cause for concern.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
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Head and Shoulder Pattern Breakout in BANKNIFTYHead & Shoulder (H&S) pattern in the Bank Nifty Index on a daily timeframe. The H&S pattern is a reversal chart pattern indicating a potential bearish trend after an uptrend. Here's the detailed explanation:
1. Key Components of the Pattern:
Left Shoulder: The first peak, formed after an uptrend, followed by a decline to the neckline (support).
Head: The highest peak, formed after the left shoulder, followed by a decline back to the neckline.
Right Shoulder: A peak lower than the head, formed after the neckline is tested again, signaling weakening upward momentum.
2. Neckline:
The neckline acts as a support level that connects the lows between the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.
In this chart, the neckline is marked as a critical support level.
3. Entry and Targets:
Entry Point: A short position is triggered once the price breaks below the neckline with strong bearish confirmation.
Projected Targets:
Target 1: 48,050
Target 2: 46,550
Final Target: 45,000
These targets are derived by projecting the height of the head from the neckline downward.
4. Stop Loss:
The Stop Loss is placed above the recent high near 51,050, to minimize risk if the price reverses upward.
Conclusion:
The Bank Nifty chart demonstrates a classic Head & Shoulder pattern, indicating potential downside targets with well-defined entry, stop loss, and profit-taking levels. This pattern suggests caution for bullish traders and an opportunity for bearish traders if confirmed.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(10/01/2025)Flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 49550 level then expected upside movement upto 49950 level. Major downside fall expected below the 49450 level. This downside can goes upto the 49050 level in today's session if banknifty starts trading below this level.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/01/2025Today will be flat opening expected in nifty. After opening important level for nifty is 23500 level. In case nifty starts trading below this level then expected strong downside movement in index. Above this level expected nifty will consolidate in between range of 23550-23750 levels. Below 23500 level next support for nifty will be 23200 so 250-300+ points rally expected below this level.
BTC/USDT Breakout Strategy & Long SetupThe chart presents a clear structure for BTC/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant retracement from the recent highs, BTC has formed a descending channel, which it has now broken out of, signaling potential bullish momentum.
Chart Observations
Descending Channel Breakout
BTC was trading in a well-defined descending channel, consolidating near a critical demand zone. The breakout above this channel suggests a potential reversal in trend.
Key Support Zone
The price has respected the support range between $94,800 and $95,400, which aligns with a high-volume area and serves as a strong buy zone. Buyers have consistently stepped in here to defend this level.
Demand Zone Test
A retest of this support zone has provided a new opportunity to accumulate long positions. The candlestick wicks and volume activity indicate significant buying pressure in this area.
Ascending Channel Formation
Post-breakout, BTC is trading within an ascending channel, which offers potential upside targets as the price moves towards the upper resistance trendline.
Short-Term Pullback Completed
The previous bearish movement was capped at the support zone, with the "short position" trade closed as the price reversed into bullish territory. This reversal strengthens the case for a long position targeting higher levels.
Volume and Momentum
Increasing volume near the breakout and demand zone suggests that buyers are regaining control. Momentum indicators (not shown here) likely confirm this bullish bias.
Key Insights for the Trade Idea
Buy Zone The optimal entry for this trade is between $94,800 and $95,400, coinciding with the retest of the support zone and the lower trendline of the ascending channel.
Stop Loss: A tight stop loss at $92,574 protects against downside risk while allowing room for natural price fluctuation.
Targets: Gradual profit-taking is recommended at the following resistance levels, derived from Fibonacci extensions and key price levels.
Targets 🎯:
$96,333 – Immediate resistance and the first key level of profit-taking.
$97,285 – Mid-range resistance within the ascending channel.
$98,230 – Upper mid-point of the bullish channel.
$99,212 – Close to psychological resistance and ascending channel boundary.
$100,211 – Psychological round number and major resistance zone.
Stop Loss
$92,574: Positioned below the critical support zone to avoid invalidating the bullish setup.
This setup presents a high-risk-to-reward opportunity with clear entry, exit, and risk management strategies. Adjust position size according to your trading plan and always adhere to risk management principles.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/01/2025)Today will be Slightly gap down opening expected expected in banknifty. After opening expected downside movement upto 49550 level. If banknifty starts trading below the 49450 level then expected strong downside rally of 400-500+ points. Any bullish rally only expected if banknifty sustain above the 50050 level.
Gold Buy Setup: Bullish Price Action at Fibo 61.8#GOLD has completed a short-term pullback on the H4 chart and now shows bullish price action signals at the Fibonacci 61.8 retracement level. Two consecutive pin bars support this zone, indicating a strong rejection of lower prices. The structure aligns with a 5-3 wave setup, suggesting the potential for at least a three-wave upward movement.
My initial targets are the key resistance levels at 2660 and 2700, where I anticipate significant price reactions. If these levels are cleared, it could lead to a breakout of the previous structural resistance, paving the way for a stronger bullish continuation. On the flip side, failure to break these levels may result in a bearish reversal.
This setup provides a high-probability trade with an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for upside movement.
08.01.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:NZDJPY (Live)
FX:GBPUSD
OANDA:XPTUSD
I will be recording a trade recap video of a UK100 position I took yesterday with the NZDJPY position I also took today this week.
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/01/2025Flat opening expected in nifty near the 23750 level. No major changes in yesterday's levels due to the consolidation movement. Expected downside movement if nifty trading below 23750 level this downside movement can goes upto 23550 level. Any major upside rally only expected above the 23800 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/01/2025)Flat opening expected in index. Banknifty trading in the consolidation zone of 50050-50450 level. Downside 50000 zone level is indicating strong support for banknifty. In case banknifty starts trading below this support level then expected strong downside movement in market of 400-500+ points. Any major bullish rally only expected above 50550 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(07/01/2025)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. Possible it will open near 50450 level. After opening it will face immediate resistance at this level and expected downside from this level upto 50050 and this downside can extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading below 49950 level. Any upside rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 50550 level.
Textbook Reversal Setup: Liquidity Zone + Channel BreakReversal Setup Analysis: HTF Liquidity Zone + Ascending Channel Breakdown
This chart highlights a high-probability bearish reversal setup based on key technical confluences. Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of the analysis:
1. High-Timeframe (HTF) Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
- The red zone marks a major HTF supply area where price previously rejected with a strong impulsive move downward. This liquidity zone is critical as it represents an area where institutional players have shown activity, creating a high-probability region for a potential reversal.
- As price approached this zone again, it did so in a corrective manner (via an ascending channel), which indicates weakening bullish momentum.
2. Impulsive vs. Corrective Structures:
- Impulsive Move: The strong move away from the HTF LQZ (highlighted earlier in the chart) confirms bearish intent, serving as a key reference point for this trade idea.
Corrective Structure: The price forms an ascending channel on the way back to retest the HTF LQZ, signaling exhaustion of buyers.
- The third touch of the channel’s trendline coincides with the HTF LQZ, adding confluence for a potential bearish reversal.
3. Liquidity Zones in Play:
- HTF Liquidity Zone (Supply): Serves as the key resistance level and primary rejection zone.
- 15-Minute Liquidity Zone (Demand): Acts as a potential target for bearish momentum post-breakdown.
- This multi-timeframe liquidity alignment strengthens the trade idea by providing clear areas of interest for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit placement.
4. Breakdown Entry and Structure:
- Entry Trigger: The trade is triggered on the break of structure, where price falls through the lower boundary of the ascending channel. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum resuming after the corrective phase.
- Stop-Loss Placement: Ideally placed above the HTF liquidity zone and beyond the third touch of the channel to account for potential fake-outs.
- Take-Profit Levels: Targets can be set near the 15M liquidity zone or prior swing lows for a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Key Takeaways:
- This setup offers an excellent example of combining HTF liquidity zones, structural patterns, and market context to develop a high-probability trade idea. The rejection from the HTF LQZ aligns with the broader bearish narrative, while the ascending channel acts as a corrective structure leading to a continuation of the downward move.
- By focusing on confluence factors like liquidity zones, impulsive vs. corrective moves, and structural breaks, this trade idea demonstrates a disciplined and strategic approach to trading reversals.
Educational Insights:
- Always zoom out to identify HTF zones of significance to ensure alignment with the larger market context.
- Differentiate between impulsive and corrective structures to gauge the strength and intent of price movements.
- Use pattern confluences (e.g., ascending channels) in combination with key zones to identify high-probability entries.
- Prioritize patience and discipline by waiting for clear structural breaks to confirm your setup.