GOLD POSSIBLE REVERSAL ON TREND LINE SUPPORTGOLD holding on a major daily trend line support after a massive decline since last friday! Expecting a recovery with a bullish reversal from the lows of $2970's
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Bearish Projection - XAUUSD📉Bearish Projection - XAUUSD
📌On the 4-hour timeframe, the recent bullish trend appears to have completed its fifth wave, reaching the upper boundary of the structure. Additionally, Fibonacci extensions have surpassed the 2.618% level, indicating a potential retracement or corrective phase. Given the strong rally from $2832 to $3146, we anticipate a pullback toward the $2990 - $2945 zone, aligning with the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, has led to significant resistance breakouts across multiple timeframes. With the US Jobs data release** scheduled this week, we could see increased momentum supporting a bearish correction for XAUUSD.
➡️Daily Support - 3010-3000
➡️Key Level - 3056-3044
➡️Expected Price Region - 2990-2945
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MASSIVE IMPACT ON GOLD OVER KEY FUNDAMENTALS**Gold (XAUUSD) Market Analysis – Key Fundamentals Driving Volatility**
Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced significant volatility due to major fundamental events impacting the financial markets. The recent large-scale liquidations in stocks and cryptocurrencies, along with the Bybit exchange hack, have contributed to heightened risk sentiment. Additionally, the ongoing US tariff disputes with Canada, Europe, and China have created further uncertainty, weighing on global economic stability.
Following a sharp decline, gold saw a strong recovery after the release of weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which raised concerns about the strength of the US economy. On the daily timeframe, a noticeable **market structure shift** has taken place. Price action has filled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and tapped into an Order Block (OB), leading to a correction and potential imbalance in the market.
At present, we anticipate a move to the downside, provided key fundamentals align with expectations. The primary factors to monitor include Ukraine’s agreement to a ceasefire, the upcoming **US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data**, and the impact of **US-Canada trade tariffs**. If these events unfold as expected, we may see gold decline toward the established support zones at **$2830 and $2780**.
However, a bullish breakout above the highlighted **4-hour Order Block (OB) in the $2925-$2945 region** would invalidate this bearish outlook. In such a case, gold could push higher, breaking the current market structure.
### **Fundamental Impact on Gold and the Economy:**
1. **Stock & Crypto Liquidations** – Risk-off sentiment has supported gold’s recovery but added volatility.
2. **Bybit Hack** – Raises concerns about crypto security, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold.
3. **US Tariffs (Canada, Europe, China)** – Trade tensions create uncertainty, impacting the US dollar and global demand.
4. **Ukraine Ceasefire** – A reduction in geopolitical risks may weaken gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
5. **US CPI Data** – Inflation data will shape Federal Reserve policy, directly influencing gold prices.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical events. A **sustained rejection** below the $2925-$2945 region supports further downside, targeting $2830-$2780. However, any breach above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, leading to higher price levels. Traders should closely monitor fundamental developments before confirming a directional bias.
XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!
📉 Major Support & Rebound
As predicted in our recent analysis, gold found strong support at $2880, triggering a bullish reversal. This move has sent XAUUSD soaring back above $2950, securing a +2.58% gain in the process.
🔥 Technical Setup & Key Observations
✅ Head & Shoulders Formation on Hourly – A clear bearish structure is forming, but confirmation is still required.
✅ Failed Breakout at $2940 – Gold attempted to push higher but failed to hold above resistance, moving back into the range.
✅ Critical Support at $2925 – This is the key level to watch. A confirmed break below could trigger a further drop toward $2900.
📊 What’s Next?
🔹 Bearish Scenario – If price breaks $2925, expect a decline toward $2900, with further downside possible.
🔹 Bullish Invalidations – If XAUUSD reclaims $2940, the head & shoulders pattern fails, and we could see a renewed rally toward $2960+.
🔹 Watch Volume & Momentum – Increased selling pressure will validate the bearish move, while strong buying at key levels may shift the trend.
🎯 Trading Plan & Strategy
📌 Short positions on a confirmed $2925 break, targeting $2900.
📌 Long positions only above $2940, with targets at $2960 and beyond.
📌 Stay cautious—this is a key inflection zone, and price action will dictate the next move.
💡 Gold’s next major move is in the making—are you positioned correctly? 🚀📊
XAUUSD Trade Recap & Next Big Opportunity!⭐️ Premium Club Short Trade @ 2929 - Target Achieved! 💰
Our recent short position from 2929 played out perfectly, hitting all targets with an impressive +290 pips in profit! 🎯
📉 Scalping the Golden Zone
As expected, we capitalized on the key support zone, securing an additional 100-120 pips on a quick long scalp. These fast-moving plays continue to deliver solid returns!
➡️ What’s Next for Gold?
Strong Support Zone Identified – Price has reached a critical demand area, signaling a potential short-term pullback.
1H Order Block Retest – We anticipate a retracement or a possible tag-in before further movement.
Risk-Reward Setup – A well-structured long entry from this zone could yield another profitable trade when markets open Monday.
Major Resistance in Place – Despite a bounce, selling pressure remains strong, and Friday’s momentum suggests further downside in the near term.
📈 Trading Plan:
🕹 Look for long setups at the identified support with a tight SL & proper R:R.
🕹 Keep an eye on the 1H bearish price action for confirmation of a continued move down.
🕹 If resistance holds firm, we could see another strong sell-off later in the week.
💡Stay ready for the next high-probability setup! 🚀
GOLD BEARISH PROJECTIONGold remains in a strong bullish trend, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. We've seen multiple all-time highs forming as bullish momentum continues. Despite this, the stock market remains resilient at its highs, indicating that investors are not yet aggressively seeking safe-haven assets.
Currently, I’m focusing on the symmetrical triangle and the bullish channel that has formed. Given the price action, a pullback or retracement is likely, especially as the price tests the upper boundary of the channel. A strong rally followed the bullish breakout from the triangle, suggesting that this short-term surge may be reaching its conclusion. I anticipate a pullback to the 38%-50% Fibonacci retracement levels, as indicated on my chart. These levels align with the lower boundary of the channel, which has served as a key support line throughout the recent bullish trend.
BITCOIN BEARISH PROJECTION#Bitcoin is showing potential for downside momentum if the price confirms a breakout below key support. A confirmed breakdown could lead to a retracement toward the 200 EMA, aligning with a possible 38% Fibonacci correction. The double top formation has intensified bearish sentiment, pushing the price below $95K.
Additionally, fair value gaps on the left indicate that if selling pressure increases, the price could dip below $80K. The trendline drawn on the daily timeframe is also acting as a crucial support level to watch.
The market has been struggling, with panic setting in due to recent developments. This aligns with escalating trade tensions, driven by Donald Trump’s decisive actions regarding Canada and BRICS. Key events contributing to market uncertainty include the latest tariffs imposed on Canadian goods, potential restrictions on trade with BRICS nations, and heightened geopolitical friction. These factors have intensified volatility, prompting investors to reassess risks in the global economy.
Recap of my NY session with a DJ30 Long tradeTextbook 3 star inside day breakout setup, spotted well before and traded accordingly
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CADJPY ON MAJOR RESISTANCECADJPY has followed up back towards an important daily resistance formed. Here we see the price failed to break and continue the bullish sentiment above the level highlighted where the price is showing a fakeout. However the price has got back inside the resistance which is now expect to show a selling pressure considering the resistance level formed.
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