Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K 🚀 Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K Remains On Track
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) just reclaimed key structure — and despite a temporary pullback, all signals remain aligned for a parabolic breakout toward $26,000 this cycle.
Here’s why the next Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits near $3.8K, and why the Schiff Pitchfork structure still implies Ethereum is coiling for exponential upside in the coming months.
🔹 The $3.8K FVG: ETH’s Next Magnet
Looking at the daily chart:
The $3.8K zone is a clear untapped FVG (Fair Value Gap) from late 2021, created by a sharp breakdown candle that never got properly filled.
ETH is currently consolidating just below the $3.1K resistance band, and once that breaks, liquidity will naturally gravitate toward the next inefficiency — at $3,800–3,900.
This gap aligns with a previous supply zone and intersects with the upper resistance trendline from late 2021, creating a powerful magnet for price once momentum returns.
🔹 All-Time Schiff Pitchfork Still Intact
The Schiff Pitchfork structure drawn from Ethereum’s 2018 low through its COVID crash low and 2021 all-time high paints a highly disciplined range:
ETH is respecting the midline of the lower channel and recently bounced off the support of the median zone, with price now grinding higher within the ascending structure.
The upper band of the pitchfork intersects with price in late 2025 near the $26,000–28,000 zone, forming a natural cycle top target.
Historically, Ethereum has respected this long-term structure remarkably well — and this current move is no different.
🔹 Moving Averages & Bullish Market Structure
ETH recently flashed a Golden Cross — the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA — which historically front-runs explosive upside in post-halving years.
All major SMAs (20/50/100/200) are now curling upward, creating a supportive launchpad.
Price is breaking out of the consolidation wedge that defined Q2 2025 — and has room to run toward $3.8K before meeting major overhead resistance.
🔹 Post-Halving Explosiveness
Let’s not forget: we’re in a post-halving year — and ETH has a consistent pattern of multiplying 5x–10x in the 9–12 months following Bitcoin halving events:
In 2017 (after 2016 halving): ETH went from ~$8 to $1,400 — nearly 175x.
In 2021 (after 2020 halving): ETH went from ~$120 to $4,800 — roughly 40x.
A move from the current ~$3K level to $26,000 is just an 8.5x — well within historical precedent.
🔹 Macro Tailwinds: ETH ETFs & Institutional Flows
BlackRock, Fidelity, and other asset managers are positioning Ethereum ETFs for approval, which would unlock billions in institutional inflows.
A staking ETF would dramatically compress supply — Ethereum already has over 27% of its supply locked — amplifying upside through supply-demand squeeze.
Meanwhile, stablecoin settlement volume is growing faster than Visa — all powered by Ethereum infrastructure.
🔹 Timing the Move: August to December Explosion?
The verticals on your chart highlight key windows:
A breakout window between early August and mid-September coincides with both macro liquidity injections and historical altseason patterns.
If ETH hits $3.8K by August, the runway to $8K–$14K opens by October, with $26K still well within reach by December 2025, in line with your pitchfork’s top boundary.
🟣 Summary: Ethereum’s Next Stop Is $3.8K — Then Moon
✅ Untapped FVG magnet at $3.8K
✅ Schiff Pitchfork upper boundary intersects near $26K
✅ Post-halving year + Golden Cross = Explosive setup
✅ ETH ETF narrative just beginning
✅ Structural breakout from consolidation wedge
Ethereum is no longer just the base layer of DeFi — it’s becoming the base layer of global financial infrastructure. And price hasn’t yet priced that in.
"If the internet had a price, it would be Ethereum."
Don’t fade this breakout. We’re still early.
