GBPCHF: Bearish Structure Aligns for Potential Sell Setups!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of GBPCHF, we observe that the institutional order flow is currently bearish, and as such, we aim to align with this bias by identifying selling opportunities from key institutional resistance zones.
Higher Timeframe Context:
Weekly TF:
The weekly timeframe, which serves as our macro bias, is firmly bearish. This sentiment is reinforced on the H4 timeframe—our intermediate structure—which is also delivering consistent lower highs and lower lows. The alignment between these two timeframes strengthens our conviction to trade in the direction of institutional bearish order flow.
Key Observations on H4:
Re-delivered & Re-balanced Price Zone: Price has retraced into a previously balanced area that has now been re-delivered into, signaling institutional interest. Rejection from this zone adds to our bearish bias.
Buy Stop Raid: Price action has swept H4 buy stops in this area, providing confirmation that smart money may have used this liquidity for order pairing into short positions.
Entry Zone: The current rejection suggests a high-probability shorting opportunity from this region, provided confirmation on the lower timeframes.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Await confirmation at the current H4 resistance for short entries.
Targets: First target is the H4 liquidity pool located at discount prices. The longer-term objective is the weekly liquidity pool, which represents the primary draw on liquidity.
Continue to monitor price action closely, maintain patience for confirmation, and manage risk according to your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
Redeliverrebalance
$ETH - Could Long, but not yet - Below 1194 *SMT**SMT = Smart Money Theory. See Related Idea for Tuorial/Explaination on Smart Money
Keeping to the principles of SMT, There are two Redeliver-Rebalances below current market price. A redliver Rebalance is like a fair value gap except where the Wicks don't touch, a presiding wick outreaches a proceeding candle. These act as imbalances i which price seeks. We should see the price possibly move up to the bearish order bock . Why? to suck in all the buyers. Then Smart Money Takes the chart against the buyers (CHARTED HERE:
After bouncing off the bearish order block it should seek that imblanace where the Redeliver-rebalances are. It should fill the small 15 min one or just run right through it, to the second one which is near 1194. The 11 94 i also near the Smart Money Buy Zone or discount of the current "wave" (Last low before breaking and closing above the preceding high); At that point Smart Money will then buy ETH at a discount rate and should take the price higher. How much higher? I don't know because I'll need to see the price action on the way down... it could go even lower. So for the safety of my account, I'm playing it safe and only going to where I the it will travel the last furthest. It could drop and fill the R-R and hit the Bullish Order Block at 1192.68 before we see a hard bounce up again.
I have it going to that low until there until the "Crypto week/day" ends. After that it's a waiting game to see where it goes, but I still have it ultimately going as low as 860. The current -1 standard deviation of the current high/Low is actually around 804 where there's more confluence for price to reach, but playing it safe I'm thinking 860, that 804 mark where the Weekly fair value gap is below the sell side Liquidity
All we can do now is wait
Happy Trading and good luck
Again, this information comes from my observational training and mentoring under ICT.
COINBASE:ETHUSD CME:ETH1!
BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
$EURUSD - UPDATE: New Entry, Close 15 min FVG then BEARISH *SMT**SMT = SMART MONEY THEORY* WHERE INSTITUTIONS RIP RETAIL TRADERS TO SHREDS BECAUSE THEY DON'T THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX.
Please see related Idea for details. I posted on earlier 0.98045but after watching it closely I only believe it will get as high as enclosing a 15 min Fair Value Gap, then it wil drop aiming for the liquidity uner neath last friday's lows. which is also 1 standard deviation below the Asian Range during the Asian Session.
I'M GOING 2% OF ACCOUNT -USING ALL 50 OF MY LEVERAGE
entry - 0.98045
S/L - 0.98540
TP 0.97080
IF YOU FIB FROM THAT LAST 15 MIN CANDLE UP BEFORE THE LARGE DROP, YOU'LL SEE IT WILL RETURN ABOUT 80% OF THE RETRACEMENT. THAT'S ABOUT NORMAL FOR RETRACEMENTS.
OANDA:EURUSD
BMFBOVESPA:EUR1!
ICEUS:DX1!
BIST:EURUSD1!
$BTC - Smart Money Technique- Long at Bullish Order Block ***Smart Money vocabulary used so if you are not familiar with Smart Money Technique and you must understand that there is no Supply and Demand, the chart is controlled by an algorithm. Period. If you do not believe that or have an open mind into believing that, you will have a hard time understanding Smart Money Technique. This is what the Big guys with the money don't want you to know that it's an Algorithm****
-SHORT TERM TRADE
53093 IS WHERE THE BULLISH ORDER BLOCK BEGINS, STOP LOSS JUST BELOW THE CANDLE. It could possibly reach to the bottom of the fair value gap at 52844 before moving higher. So if you want to put a s/l there use lower risk, higher risk at the closer stop loss. and then if it hits the stop loss wait until it gets to the bottom of the 15 min fair value gap. It's going to attack the liquidity resting above the short swing highs at 54750. Then it may bounce back from a bearish order block notated by the redlines above (55,100 or 55220) But there are equal highs as well at 55,220 where liquidity maybe resting and there is a redeliver-rebalance candle, tht is the current high skinny candle which creates sort of a incognito gap for the algorithm, th fat bullish candle next to it is that gap and that's where price wants to go first. Once it gets there it may consolidate, retrace even, or just shoot straight up to the top of the 4 hour fair value gap notated by the green box at the top 56011.0,
so thats my short term trade
from 53093
to 56011.0
P.S. It could appear as if it is going up off the the top of the fair value gap, it may hit a bearish order block first then come back down to the 53093. If it goes up and does come back to the bullish order block, well then I missed out on the trade, but I'm waiting specifically for it to come back to the bullish order block
Please forgive my chart, I know it's not the cleanest thing in the world, but you have to keep track of al the little nuances in Smart Money Technique to get it right