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🗓️Weekly Report: Probabilities are stacking to the lowGENERAL MARKET REVIEW The stock market kicked off the day on a high note, with stocks initially experiencing gaps upwards and a brief period of appreciation. Nonetheless, these early gains were short-lived, as the market faced significant downturns for the remainder of the session. In today's trading, both the S&P-500 and Nasdaq indices have fallen through their 50-day moving average markers amid substantial trading volumes, signaling a bearish outlook. This further reinforces the notion that holding cash remains the superior strategy. We'll begin our chart analysis with a look at the Nasdaq-100 ( NASDAQ:QQQ ) and S&P-500 ( SP:SPX ) SPX-500 –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– META Sliced today and looks like it is heading to the 50D SMA. Could see a bounce but it is very much market dependent –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– NVDA Carving out a nice base with earnings coming on 22APR (Wednesday). The next buy point is above the $974 level on high volume, however I will look to play a pivot breakout before hand near the danger point, so that I would look to hold into earnings (IF I GET CUSHION) –––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– SMTC Down just fractionally today. It is setting a Bull Flag Pattern. If it breaks the lower side of the channel I d cut it loose.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TintinTrading
BluetonaFX - Forex Weekly RecapHi Traders! Forex Weekly Recap for 11–15 September, 2023: Fundamentals Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Governor Ueda stated that his focus is on a "quiet exit" to avoid significant impacts on the market. Other key mentions from him were: They could have enough data by year's end to determine whether they can end negative rates. The BOJ will patiently maintain an ultra-loose policy. Wage increases are beginning to push up service prices. The key is whether wages will keep rising next year. Bank of England’s Mann noted that she prefers to use Economic Rates of Return (ERR) on the side of overtightening; other key mentions from her were: If she is wrong and inflation and the economy drop more significantly, she wouldn't hesitate to cut rates. We all need to prepare for a world where inflation is more likely to be volatile. The European Central Bank (ECB) hiked interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, bringing the interest rate to 4.00% vs. 3.75% prior. At the press conference, President Lagarde highlighted the slowing of the Eurozone economy. Other key mentions from her were: Rates will remain at sufficiently restrictive levels for as long as necessary. Rates were hiked to 'reinforce commitment to our target'. The economy is likely to remain subdued in the coming months. In the coming months, inflation will fall. Key Data The UK August Payroll came in worse at -1K vs. 30K expected and -4K prior (revised from 97K): The July unemployment rate came in as expected at 4.3%, up from 4.2% prior. July employment change came in worse at -207k vs. -185k expected and -66k prior. The German September ZEW survey came in worse at -79.4 vs. -75.0 expected and -71.3 prior. The Japanese PPI came in better month over month and came in as expected year over year. PPI M/M came in better at 0.3% vs. 0.1% expected and 0.1% prior. PPI Y/Y came in as expected at 3.2% and 3.4% prior (revised from 3.6%). The UK monthly GDP came in worse at -0.5% vs. -0.2% expected and 0.5% prior. The US CPI came in better year on year and came in as expected month on month: CPI Y/Y came in better at 3.7% vs. 3.6% expected and 3.2% prior. CPI M/M came in expected at 0.6% and 0.2% prior. The Australian August Jobs Report came in better across the board. Employment change came in better at 64.9K vs. 23.0K expected and -14.6K prior. Full-time employment came in better at 2.8K vs. -24.2K prior. Part-time employment came in better at 62.1K vs. 9.6K prior. The unemployment rate came in as expected at 3.7% (same as prior). The US jobless claims beat expectations across the board. Initial Claims: 220K vs. 225K expected and 217K prior (revised from 216K). Continuing Claims: 1688K vs. 1695K expected and 1684K prior (revised from 1679K). The US retail sales came in mixed across the board: Retail sales M/M came in better at 0.6% vs. 0.2% expected and 0.5% prior (revised from 0.7%). Retail sales Y/Y came in worse at 2.5% vs. 2.6% prior (revised from 3.2%). The US August PPI came in better across the board: PPI Y/Y came in better at 1.6% vs. 1.2% expected and 0.8% prior. PPI M/M came in better at 0.7% vs. 0.4% expected and 0.4% prior (revised from 0.3%). The New Zealand Manufacturing PMI came in worse at 46.1 vs. 46.6 prior. Technicals There was a strong end to the week for the US dollar after a slow start to the week against its major counterparts. AUDUSD 1W Chart AUDUSD again tested the 2023 low at 0.63646 and found support there. There was more bullish momentum at the support level this week to take the market near the 0.65000 level, which the market has not seen in a couple of weeks. The outlook on this pair is bullish, as it looks to be oversold. USDJPY 1W Chart USDJPY is quickly approaching 150. The market is now trading just under the 148 level. The 150 level lines up perfectly with the top of the ascending channel. EURUSD 1W Chart EURUSD is still continuing to head downwards after the support break of the rising wedge. The market has now broken below the 1.07000 handle, and there is an area of support around the 1.06000 level. GBPUSD 1W Chart GBPUSD is continuing its bearish momentum after the wedge support break. There is an area of support near the 1.23805 level. The key focus for the upcoming trading week will be: Monday: New Zealand Services PMI, Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes, US Building Permits, and Housing Starts Wednesday: UK CPI, FOMC Policy Decision Thursday: New Zealand GDP, Swiss National Bank Policy Decision, BoE Policy Decision, US Jobless Claims Friday: Japan CPI, Bank of Japan Policy Decision, UK Retail Sales, Flash PMIs for Australia, Japan, UK, Eurozone, US We will be back with another Forex Weekly Recap report next week. Best of luck for the upcoming trading week ahead. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4
BluetonaFX - Forex Weekly RecapHi Traders! Forex Weekly Recap for 04–08 September, 2023: Fundamentals The European Central Bank's (ECB) President Lagarde noted that she is focused on inflation expectations and keeping them in check. She also noted that it will be critical for central banks to keep inflation expectations firmly anchored while these relative price changes play out. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the interest rate unchanged at 4.10%, as expected. RBA’s Lowe gave his final speech as governor, as Deputy Governor Bullock is due to take over as the new head on September 18. Key mentions from him were: 1. It is possible that Australia can sustain unemployment rates below what they have had over the past 40 years. Interest rates influence housing prices, but they are not the reason Australia has some of the highest prices in the world. 2. The issue that defined his term more than any other was forward guidance on rates during the pandemic. The Federal Reserve's Waller changed his stance, and he’s now leaning towards a pause on the next interest rate decision. Other key mentions from him were: 1. The jobs data last week showed the job market is starting to soften. 2. Unemployment is about where it was a year ago, so change isn't that big. 3. The data will determine whether the Fed hikes again. The Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) Takata noted that he is optimistic about hitting the inflation target but remains wary of downside risks. Other key mentions from him were: 1. Japan is seeing early signs of hitting 2% inflation. 2. Japan's economy is recovering moderately. 3. There are signs of change in Japan's trend inflation as rising wages push up inflation expectations. The Bank of England’s (BoE) Bailey noted that he is expecting a "marked" fall in inflation by year-end. Other key mentions from him were: 1. Wage bargaining has surprised to the upside. 2. Many indicators are signalling a fall in inflation, which will be marked by the end of this year. The Bank of Canada's (BoC) Governor Macklem delivered his speech at their policy decision meeting. Key mentions from his speech were: 1. They are concerned that progress in bringing down inflation has slowed. 2. They are prepared to raise rates again but don't want to raise them more than they have to. 3. The longer they wait, the harder it is likely to be to reduce inflation. 4. The weakness in second-quarter GDP largely reflected a broad-based slowing in consumer spending and a decline in housing activity. 5. They will take decisions meeting by meeting. 6. They are expecting growth of 'a little less than 1%' over the next few quarters. 7. They expect headline inflation to go up in the near term before it eases. Key Data The Eurozone July PPI came in better than expected across the board: PPI M/M came in better at -0.5% vs. -0.6% expected and -0.4% prior. PPI Y/Y came in better at -7.6% vs. -7.6% expected and -3.4% prior. The Australian GDP Q2 came in better at 0.4% vs. 0.3% expected and 0.4% prior. The Eurozone's July retail sales came in mixed across the board: Retail sales M/M came in worse at -0.2% vs. -0.1% expected and 0.2% prior (revised from -0.3%). Retail Sales Y/Y came in better at -1.0% vs. -1.2% expected and -1.0% prior (revised from -1.0%). The US ISM Services PMI came in better at 54.5 vs. 52.5 expected and 52.7 prior. The Eurozone Q2 final GDP reading came in worse at 0.1% vs. 0.3% expected as the previous estimate was revised to 0.1%. The US jobless claims came in better across the board: Initial claims came in better at 216K vs. 234K expected and 228K prior. Continuing claims came in better at 1679K vs. 1715K expected and 1725K prior. Japan's July average cash earnings growth came in worse, which is some concern for the Japanese economy. Average cash earnings Y/Y came in worse at 1.3% vs. 2.3% prior. Real wages Y/Y came in at -2.5%. Household spending came in worse at -5.00% vs. -4.2% prior. The Japanese final Q2 GDP came in worse across the board: Japan's Q2 GDP came in worse at 1.2% vs. 1.3% expected and 0.8% prior (revised from 1.5%). GDP growth annualised came in worse at 4.8% vs. 5.5% expected and 3.2% prior (revised from 6%). The Canadian Jobs Report came in better across the board: Employment change came in better at 39.9K vs. 20.0K expected and -6.4K prior. Full-time came in better at 32.2K vs. 1.7K prior. Part-time came in better at 7.8K vs. -8.1K prior. Technicals Due to the very strong data out of the US this week, the US dollar strengthened against its major counterparts. AUDUSD 1W Chart AUDUSD tested the 2023 low at 0.63646 and went below it by a few pips, but there was a lack of momentum to take it further down. The market is currently holding near the new low and is still nearing its 2022 low at 0.61702. A hold at this area, and there is still a possibility of a possible retest of the triangle trendline support break. USDJPY 1W Chart Another strong week for USDJPY, as the pair is now comfortably above the 147 handle. The psychological resistance level of 150 looks to be the next big target level. EURUSD 1W Chart EURUSD has continued to head downwards after the support break of the rising wedge. The market has now reached the 1.07000 area and had a small bounce just above the 1.69750 area. The demand zone is around the 1.05000–1.05050 area. GBPUSD 1W Chart GBPUSD is continuing to look bearish since the ascending channel break. The market looks to be in a retracement wave; there is a demand zone around the 1.22750–1.23000 area. The key focus for the upcoming trading week will be: Tuesday: UK Labour Market Report, German ZEW Wednesday: Japan PPI, UK GDP, US CPI Thursday: Australia's Labour Market Report, ECB Policy Decision, US Jobless Claims, US PPI, US Retail Sales Friday: NZ Manufacturing PMI, Eurozone Wages Data, US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment We will be back with another Forex Weekly Recap report next week. Best of luck for the upcoming trading week ahead. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
2
BluetonaFX - Forex Weekly RecapHi Traders! Forex Weekly Recap for 28 August–01 September, 2023: Fundamentals The European Central Bank’s (ECB) Holzmann noted that he supports a rate hike in September barring any downside surprises before the meeting; his other key mentions were: Not in the clear yet on inflation. The ECB should start a debate soon on ending pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) reinvestments. Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Bullock noted that inflation will be her main priority as the new RBA’s Governor; her other key mentions were: The bank may have to raise rates again, but she is watching the data carefully. All central banks are grappling with how much further to hike. Climate change is likely to lead to more volatile inflation outcomes. The Federal Reserve's Mester noted that progress on inflation and the labour market is improving; her other key mentions were: The job market is still strong amid signs of rebalancing. The 3.8% jobless rate is still low. The main Fed debate is how restrictive policy needs to become and for how long. Future policy decisions will be based on incoming data. The Fed must balance risks when setting rate policy. Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Nakamura noted that Japan is no longer in deflation; his other key mentions were: The BoJ must patiently maintain an easy policy for the time being. Japan's economy is recovering moderately. The BoJ is closely watching the impact of yen moves on the economy and prices. Weak yen benefit exports and tourism but is negative for domestic-driven firms and households. The decision on when to end negative rates depends on economic developments. If Japan achieves sustained economic recovery, they won't need yield curve control (YCC), but now is not the time to get rid of YCC. Key Data Preliminary data for Australian July retail sales Retail sales M/M came in better at 0.5% vs. 0.3% expected and -0.8% prior. Retail sales Y/Y came in worse at 2.1% vs. 2.3% prior. Japan Unemployment Rate missed expctations The unemployment rate came in worse at 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected and 2.5% prior. The US job openings for July missed expectations. Job openings came in worse at 8.827M vs. 9.465M expected and 9.165M prior (revised from 9.582M). The US Non-Farm ADP came in worse at 177K vs. 195K expected and 371K prior (revised from 324K). Japan's retail sales came in better across the board. Retail sales Y/Y came in better at 6.8% vs. 5.4% expected and 5.6% prior (revised from 5.9%). Retail sales M/M came in better at 2.1% vs. -0.4% prior. The Eurozone's August preliminary CPI came in better, and the core CPI came out as expected: CPI Y/Y came in better at 5.3% vs. 5.1% expected and 5.3% prior. CPI M/M came in better at 0.6% vs. 0.4% expected and -0.1% prior. Core CPI Y/Y came in as expected at 5.3% and 5.5% prior. Core CPI M/M came in as expected at 0.3% and -0.1% prior. The Eurozone unemployment rate came in at 6.4%, as expected. The US jobless claims beat expectations for initial claims but missed expectations for continuing claims. Initial claims came in better at 228K vs. 235K expected and 323K prior (revised from 230K). Continuing claims came in worse at 1725K vs. 1703K expected and 1697K prior (revised from 1702K). US Non-Farm Payroll beat expectations; however, there was an increase in the unemployment rate: NFP came in better at 187K vs. 170K expected and 157K prior (revised from 187K). The unemployment rate came in worse at 3.8% vs. 3.5% expected and 3.5% prior. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in better at 47.6 vs. 47.0 expected and 46.4 prior. Technicals The US dollar started off weak but ended up with a strong finish near the end of the week against most of its counterparts. AUDUSD 1W Chart AUDUSD has rebounded off its new 2023 low at 0.63646 but is still nearing its 2022 low at 0.61702. The symmetrical triangle on the 1W chart was broken to the downside, and the price action is indicating a possible re-test of the trendline support break. USDJPY 1W Chart Another strong end to the week for USDJPY, as the pair tested the 145.073 resistance level for the third week in a row. The 147 level was finally reached this week and found resistance at 147.378, which is just short of our resistance level of 147.572. EURUSD 1W Chart EURUSD has now broken below the support line of the rising wedge. We got the swings with less momentum and for them to have lower highs and lower lows to show signs of possible reversal and break the wedge to the downside. There is potential for a continuation towards 1.07000 and possibly 1.06750. GBPUSD 1W Chart GBPUSD has looked bearish since the ascending channel break. The bearish outlook is also supported by the bollinger-band indicator, as the market looks like it will fail to break and close back above the middle band. If the bearish momentum continues, there is potential support at 1.23081. The key focus for the upcoming trading week will be: Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia Policy Decision Wednesday: Eurozone Retail Sales, US ISM Services PMI, Bank of Canada Policy Decision Thursday: US Jobless Claims Friday: Japan Wage Data, Canada Jobs Report We will be back with another Forex Weekly Recap report next week. Best of luck for the upcoming trading week ahead. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Hold Your Sunrun Stock In light of the recent sub-sequential decline in Sunrun's price action, I am compelled to present this report to provide clarity on the matter. The price movements have exhibited a significant trend of exponential lower highs and lower lows, nearly approaching levels seen over the past 52 weeks. Allow me to share my insights. For those wise investors who have held positions in Sunrun for an extended period, such as myself, it's evident that this isn't the first time we've witnessed a price decline of this magnitude. Sunrun is renowned for its status as a high-speculative stock, frequently subject to significant market fluctuations as large institutions reposition their capital. It's 210 M circulating shares floats is a perfect reason of this massive % change in the price. These pronounced market movements are often welcomed by short-term and long-term investors alike. NASDAQ:RUN However, it is noteworthy that the recent selling activity has been quite pronounced. Therefore, this report strongly recommends to those who are perusing its contents to resist the urge to sell their shares at this juncture. Sunrun has demonstrated consistent growth in the last two quarters, signaling the potential arrival of new buyers in the near future. It's crucial to bear in mind the timeless adage that when the crowd is selling, it's an opportune moment to buy, and conversely, when the crowd is buying, it's prudent to consider selling. This sage approach remains a valuable cornerstone in navigating the intricate terrain of the financial markets.
NASDAQ:RUNLong
by lucasbasoglu
1
jUNE 6TH COT report screenshot Micro Bitcoin. Let's analyze the data. For Bitcoin (Futures Only) on June 6, 2023: The total open interest is 13,026 contracts. Non-commercial traders (speculators) hold a net long position of 10,106 contracts, compared to 9,337 contracts in the previous report. Commercial traders hold a net short position of 1,383 contracts, compared to 1,561 contracts in the previous report. The net change in commitments from the previous report shows an increase in net long positions held by non-commercial traders and a decrease in net short positions held by commercial traders. The percentage of open interest represented by non-commercial traders is 77.6% long and 71.7% short, while commercial traders represent 10.6% long and 12.0% short. The largest traders (4 or less and 8 or less) hold 58.0% and 33.7% of the net positions, respectively. For Micro Bitcoin (Futures Only) on June 6, 2023: The total open interest is 7,600 contracts. Non-commercial traders (speculators) hold a net long position of 4,507 contracts, compared to 6,065 contracts in the previous report. Commercial traders hold a net short position of 0 contracts, compared to 172 contracts in the previous report. The net change in commitments from the previous report shows a decrease in net long positions held by non-commercial traders and a decrease in net short positions held by commercial traders. The percentage of open interest represented by non-commercial traders is 59.3% long and 79.8% short, while commercial traders represent 2.3% long and 6.0% short. The largest traders (4 or less and 8 or less) hold 24.8% and 54.6% of the net positions, respectively. These figures provide insights into the sentiment and positioning of different trader groups in the Bitcoin futures market. However, please note that COT reports are just one of many factors to consider when analyzing market trends and making trading decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Wakandian
4
May 30th Cot report looks interesting Based on the COT report data, the changes in commercial positions are as follows: Long positions: Increased by 83 contracts Short positions: Decreased by 538 contracts To calculate the net positions, you subtract the short positions from the long positions. In this case, the net positions for commercials can be calculated as follows: Net positions = Long positions - Short positions Net positions = 83 - (-538) Net positions = 621 Therefore, the net positions for commercials are 621 contracts. It indicates an increase in net long positions for commercials, not net short positions. Based on the provided COT report data, the changes in non-commercial positions are as follows: Long positions: Decreased by 1,084 contracts Short positions: Decreased by 378 contracts To calculate the net positions, you subtract the short positions from the long positions. In this case, the net positions for non-commercials can be calculated as follows: Net positions = Long positions - Short positions Net positions = -1,084 - (-378) Net positions = -706 Therefore, the net positions for non-commercials are -706 contracts. It indicates a decrease in net long positions for non-commercials, but keep in mind that the value is negative, indicating a net short position for non-commercials in this case . Let's analyze the data for Bitcoin Micro (Code-133742) based on the provided COT report: Total open interest: 6,569 contracts Non-Commercial Positions: Long positions: 3,803 contracts Short positions: 5,543 contracts Spreading positions: 214 contracts Commercial Positions: Long positions: 145 contracts Short positions: 0 contracts Net Positions: To calculate the net positions, you subtract the short positions from the long positions. In this case, the net positions for non-commercials can be calculated as follows: Net positions = Long positions - Short positions Net positions = 3,803 - 5,543 Net positions = -1,740 Therefore, the net positions for non-commercials in Bitcoin Micro are -1,740 contracts, indicating a net short position. Changes from May 23, 2023: Long positions: Decreased by 2,596 contracts Short positions: Decreased by 2,412 contracts Percent of Open Interest: Non-commercial long positions: 57.9% of open interest Non-commercial short positions: 84.4% of open interest Commercial long positions: 3.3% of open interest Commercial short positions: 2.2% of open interest Number of Traders: Non-commercial traders: 50 Commercial traders: 31 Percent of Open Interest Held by the Largest Traders: Long positions: 14.8% held by 4 or less traders, 24.4% held by 8 or less traders Short positions: 60.3% held by 4 or less traders, 72.7% held by 8 or less traders Overall, the COT report suggests that non-commercial traders in Bitcoin Micro have a net short position, and there has been a decrease in both long and short positions compared to the previous reporting period.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Wakandian
3
Following reports of the first 6 months cycle to ATHThe COT Report (Commitments of Traders Report) is a weekly report released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that shows the aggregate holdings of different market participants in the futures market. Looking at the COT report for Bitcoin futures on the CME, we can see that as of May 16, 2023, non-commercial traders (speculators) held a net long position of 10,055 contracts, which is an increase of 28 contracts from the previous week. Meanwhile, commercial traders (hedgers) held a net short position of 1,626 contracts, which is an increase of 262 contracts from the previous week. The increase in the net long position of non-commercial traders suggests that they are bullish on the price of Bitcoin, while the increase in the net short position of commercial traders suggests that they are bearish on the price of Bitcoin. Non-commercial traders (speculators) held a net long position of 10,055 contracts Net long Commercial traders (hedgers) held a net short position of 1,626 contracts Net Short In general, commercial traders are likely to move more capital on the market than non-commercial traders. Commercial traders are typically large institutions, such as banks and corporations, that use futures markets to hedge their commercial activities and manage their price risk. They are often considered to be "smart money" traders because they have access to more information and resources than individual traders. On the other hand, non-commercial traders are typically speculators who are looking to profit from changes in the market price of the underlying asset. While non-commercial traders may also move significant amounts of capital on the market, their positions are generally smaller than those of commercial traders. It's important to note, however, that the amount of capital moved by commercial and non-commercial traders can vary depending on a number of factors, including market conditions, the size of individual positions, and the overall sentiment of the market. While the market is showing Bearish momentum for the past for weeks commercials are slithly offloading their long positions, while retail traders remains more optimistic, But looking at btc monthly cycles, Could be setting up for stop hunt around March low or a setup that might build a higer low in september October when we usually see a low and a pump. DYOR
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Wakandian
3
Cot Report Chatgpt is broken Here are the net short positions held by the commercials in Bitcoin futures markets for the given period: April 11th: Net short position of 969 contracts April 18th: Net short position of 1,181 contracts April 25th: Net short position of 1,500 contracts May 3rd: Net short position of 1,424 contracts During this period, the net short positions held by commercials experienced fluctuations. From April 11th to April 18th, there was an increase in net short positions, indicating a more bearish sentiment among commercial traders. However, from April 18th to April 25th, there was another increase in net short positions, indicating a further bearish sentiment. From April 25th to May 3rd, there was a slight decrease in net short positions, suggesting a slight reduction in bearish sentiment among commercial traders. Finally, on May 6th, the latest COT report showed that the net short positions held by large speculators increased by 500 contracts, while the net short positions held by small speculators decreased by 1,500 contracts May 6th Net short position 1424 + 500 =1924 contracts short Based on the COT reports from April 11th to May 3rd, the commercials (i.e., producers, merchants, processors, and users of Bitcoin) have held a net long position in Bitcoin futures. Here are the net long and net short positions of the commercials in Bitcoin futures markets for the period between April 11th and May 3rd: April 11th: Net long position of 799 contracts April 18th: Net long position of 1,017 contracts April 25th: Net long position of 1,534 contracts May 3rd: Net long position of 1,743 contracts Finally, on May 6th, the latest COT report showed that the net long positions held by large speculators decreased by 1,000 contracts, indicating that some institutional investors may have started to take profits or reduce their exposure to Bitcoin futures markets. However, the net long positions held by small speculators increased by 1,000 contracts, suggesting that retail traders remained optimistic about Bitcoin's future price movements. May 6th: Net long position 1743-1000 = 743 contracts Now TODAY Chatgpt is broken can browse is o more assistant asking me to do all the research myself, might just use google then Unfortunately, the COT report does not provide the net long positions held by commercials. It only provides the net positions (long and short) held by three types of traders: commercial traders, non-commercial traders (large speculators), and non-reportable traders (small speculators). The latest COT report as of May 9th, 2023, shows that commercial traders had a net short position of 1,364 contracts in Bitcoin futures markets. Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of May 9th, 2023, here are the net long positions for Bitcoin and Micro Bitcoin contracts: Bitcoin Futures: Commercial net long position: 233 contracts Non-commercial net long position: 10,027 contracts Micro Bitcoin Futures: Commercial net long position: 256 contracts Non-commercial net long position: 5,915 contracts Please note that these numbers represent the net long positions held by commercial and non-commercial traders as of May 9th, 2023.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Wakandian
Commitment of Traders Report from Last Week - BTC UpdateGoing over the CME Gap that exists above us as well as the current Price Action. BTC failing it's swing was a great short after we short squeezed to the level. Swings, S/Rs, and Demand Zones are being respected perfectly. Scalping in this zone don't do anything except look for mechanical failures and retests/gains. Low liquidity expected. Lose or gain the Swing Levels then target the stuff above and below Otherwise look to play the bounces within these Swings.
by TrendmasterOfficial
2
Google Pixel 7 and 7 Pro could pack 2.0(Pocket-lint) - Details about Google's next-generation flagship phone series - which is thought to consist of the Pixel 7 and 7 Pro - has leaked online. According to 9to5Google, which dug into the recent Android 13 developer preview and spoke to "trusted" sources, has claimed that Google has a second-generation Tensor chip in the works. Often referred to as Tensor 2.0 by the media, it has an internal codename of "cloudripper" and is expected to land with model number GS201. It also reportedly has an unreleased Samsung modem onboard. The Tensor 2.0 could have an Exynos Modem 5300 stuffed inside, the report said. But Samsung hasn’t launched a modem by that name as of right now, so that's why it's considered unreleased. Keep in mind the first Tensor chipset had the Samsung Exynos Modem 5123.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by tersregema
Weekly Closing Bell for 7th January 2022This is the Weekly Closing Bell. Here readers can view the closing price of selected securities for week ending by 7th January 2022. Name of the index (Ticker) = closing price for 7th January 2022 Forex EURUSD = 1.16609 USD EURGBP = 0.83548 GBP EURAUD = 1.57158 AUD USDEUR = 0.8801 EUR USDGBP = 0.73565 GBP USDAUD = 1.3922 AUD North America Nasdaq 100 (NDX) = 15 592.19 USD S&P 500 (SPX) = 4 677.04 USD Russel 2000 (US2000) = 2 171.60 USD Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) = 36 231.67 USD European DAX 40 (DEU40) = 15 947.741 EUR FTSE 100 (UK100) = 7491.70 GBP CAC 40 (FR40) = 7 219.49 EUR IBEX 35 (IBC) = 8 751.80 EUR Asia-Pacific Hang Seng (HSI) = 23 493.39 HKD Nikkei 225 (NI225) = 28 478.49 JPY Oil WTI oil (USOIL) = 78.85 USD Brent oil (UKOIL) = 81.81 USD Precious metals Gold (XAUUSD) = 1 796.635 USD Silver (XAGUSD) = 22.3675 USD Gold (XAUEUR) = 1 571.448 EUR Silver (XAGEUR) = 19.68525 EUR Gold Senior Miners (GDX) = 30.01 USD Gold Junior Miners (GDJX) = 39.24 USD DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. This content serves merely educational purposes. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tradersweekly
2
DECEMBER' 2021 REPORT: JAN 22 < FUTURE BELONGS TO THE BRAVEHa, you thought, i was gone and forgotten. Hell no. We just getting started :) So here we go, another report since JULY lol, damn guys, i have enter the blackhole of blockchain game development and metaverses. You can learn more on twitter at: twitter.com So yeah, if anyone still even remember me, i am one man army lol having fun and getting by with the code and fractals. Since JULY, i was involved in: $MANA, $REQ, $ICP, $ALGO, $BOND, $LPT, $NXS NOW > ALGO > FILE > NXS I was too busy to do any TA publicly, but trust me, i was hustling just like you. Regretting missed opportunities, making mistakes, but staying bloody fucking green :) __DECEMBER REPORT - 1 DAY ANALYSIS___ SO here we are, looking at the barrel of inflation, covid world and praying that the bull channel holds. So this what i see here: We are testing 0.382 correction twice, before we try for 70k again, then again we are going to draw down, but correction won't last, and we are going to go higher. I think the bull will last till start of July, after that i am not sure. I think the yellow brick road is a good example to what i think a bullish scenario going forward will be. Do i really think we are going to reach 10 trillion by July of 2022 - unlikely, but don't know what will these fractals bring to us. All i know is this: Only those that hold will find out. All i know for certain, somehow we are going to touch the V point. As you can also see, the bears are still aiming back for BTC to go to 30 K and lower.... NOT happening, but sure anything can happen. As you can see in JULY, the price dropped at the extended bear channel, this often occurs after the bear breakout. I expect, price to linger right for a little bit, and start moving into the Dec 23-24 again, maybe even earlier if we got some more favorable knows. Also note, that Elon is starting to have a lesser affect on price volatility on DOGE. CAP matters. You still need utility, a coin still has to circulate and create an economy, but maybe that is in the future. I am less active now on TV, because i am too darn busy creating a new scifi world, and think about new ways of interacting on the net, plus life bro. Trading has changed, i hope you can feel it. IT is a lot more difficult now, rallies don't hold and ppl are getting burned - a lot. So be careful out there, look for the jewels, they are out there. Hopefully, i will create one for you all to enjoy as well, as i prepare to announce and release the token this Month. Cheers :) __JULY REPORT REVIEW__ ----------------------------------------------------- I was off by just a few days on July 18, I did say 6 hours is not always accurate. Fear dragged lower, but the sentiment was correct, good luck predicting that with your own TA heh :) Next, Recovery targets hit as expected, we also broke the bear channel. Which is why we are testing the upper resistance now. Breakout July 6 was incorrect, price pattern carried in the late july :( We really needed that double bottom for confirmation to lift off. Something that maybe happening again right now. I was incorrect about ADAM and EVE bottom, it was actually EVE, ADAM pattern.. who knew that will be violently up. heh. BEAR DID no manifest, thanks god lol, otherwise we be all underwater ha September and October Fractal was important, it was the bottom for BTC, at least for wave 2. DIMOND Hands were tested. __FRACTAL DATES__ Dec 17, 24, 30, Jan 14, 21, Feb 6, Mar 3, 10, 23 Apr 18, Jun 30 March 23 Seems like a breakout action PS: I am still mega busy lol So this is going to be my last TA of the year, as i will continue to focus my efforts on releasing the NEXUS WARS related content. Stay Strong Crypto Family. Don't let big institutions take your Sats. and Happy 2022! The year of the TIGER! So fight one! **LEGENDS** BLUE = Bear/Resistance || Yellow = Bull/ Support Lines: Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation. the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~ /*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/ Feel free to request: your coin to be analyzed! Please keep those Stop losses in place or mind! Thank you, and stay strong my fellow CryptoPunks! Future belongs to the brave, and crypto is the future. _Ajion
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ajion
24
Short Idea for GBPUSDThe US dollar fluctuated between 95.6 and 96.6 last month. Traders' confusion over interest rate hikes, as well as duplicity in talks with the Federal Reserve, have kept the dollar afloat. But given the job data, the CPI data, which shows inflation well, has kept traders believing that the US Federal Reserve will soon plan to raise interest rates. Therefore, according to the picture above, we predict the upward movement of the dollar index. With this rise and strengthening of the dollar as soon as possible, we can see better GBPUSD currency pairs. As we can see, this currency pair is located in a descending channel and now the roof of this channel is at the LH point. Also, by examining the COT data, the net positions of the British pound are still 50,719 selling positions, which will continue the decline of this currency. Also, compared to last week, the 6967 trading position is closed and makes this currency pair have a short rise. GBPUSD COT data
Short
by Alisabbaghi
1
What we have see on USDJPY, It will be fall to the 112 areaHey friends, and trader We forecast downside movement for the USDJPY for several reasons 1. USD is overbought and over-priced in 2 months ago 2. JPY is oversold and this is a good and cheap price for this safe-haven currency 3. Smart buyers are buying in these prrices. 4. As you see in the picture, The non-commercial traders usually are buyers in these prices cause the JPY is being valuable in these prices. 5. Buy trend line is broken in the H4 time frame so if you are a swing trader or long-term trader it's a good opportunity for you. Good Lock, Wish you money With respect Ali Sabbaghi ziwox.com
Short
by Alisabbaghi
Vox Royalty Announces Record Revenue in Q1 2021GEORGE TOWN, CAYMAN ISLANDS – May 4, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that the Company has realized record preliminary revenue of C$668,600 (US$540,000) (1) for the three-month period ended March 31, 2021. All preliminary revenues were derived from royalties, not streams, as such, the cash operating margin(1) was 100% for the quarter. During the quarter, the Company recognized inaugural royalty revenue from the Koolyanobbing royalty, which is an uncapped 2% Free on Board sales value royalty from iron ore mined from the recently commissioned Altair Pit and a portion of the Deception Pit. Quarterly revenue benefitted from increased royalty-linked production by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) and record iron ore prices at Koolyanobbing, increased production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret deposit at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty and rebounding quarterly diamond prices associated with the Brauna royalty. Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “Record quarterly revenue for Q1 represents the start of Vox’s anticipated revenue growth through 2023 as numerous royalty assets are expected to commence production. The Company’s preliminary quarterly revenue is in line with previously announced 2021 full-year revenue guidance of C$1.7M to C$2.5M. Vox’s organic revenue growth is a product of the Company’s stated strategy of acquiring high quality, attractively priced royalties many of which are near term production opportunities. Vox held one producing royalty in May 2020 and anticipates finishing 2021 with seven producing assets based on its current portfolio of 50 royalties.” Vox is a growth precious metals royalty and streaming company with a portfolio of 50 royalties and streams spanning nine jurisdictions. The Company was established in 2014 and has since built unique intellectual property, a technically focused transactional team and a global sourcing network which has allowed Vox to become the fastest growing company in the royalty sector. Since the beginning of 2019, Vox has announced over 20 separate transactions to acquire over 45 royalties.
V
by TH_Analysis