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GOLD → Risk zone 3340. Sell-off after rallyFX:XAUUSD , after breaking out of its accumulation phase, rallied towards the 3400 zone of interest, but failed to reach liquidity and reversed, selling off its gains due to economic uncertainty. In my opinion, the market is unexpectedly subdued and has reacted very weakly to geopolitical problems in the Middle East. The market has digested the news of US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and is awaiting PMI data from the US and the eurozone, Fed statements, US GDP and other macroeconomic data. The uncertainty factor has done its job... Participants fear further escalation of the conflict, but so far Iran has refrained from taking drastic steps, which has reduced demand for gold as a safe haven asset. Geopolitics and macro statistics remain in focus. Technically, gold is trading above 3340 (in the buy zone). A retest of the liquidity zone is possible, and if buyers keep the market above 3340-3350, the price may continue to rise. Support levels: 3347, 3342, 3320 Resistance levels: 3366, 3396 On D1, the key level is the 3340-3347 area. At the moment, we are seeing a sell-off and a move to retest support. Accordingly, a false breakdown and price holding above 3340, followed by a change in character and a breakdown of the bullish structure, will hint at growth. But if the reaction at 3340 is weak and the market continues to storm this support, then in this case, the metal could drop to 3300 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597... Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement. Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974 Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917 Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
USDCAD → Weak dollar provokes continuation of downtrendFX:USDCAD under the pressure of a weak dollar and downtrend may renew its lows. The fundamental background for the dollar is weak, the market reacts accordingly. The dollar continues to fall - a reaction to the tariff war. Besides, additional pressure is created by the issue of interest rates reduction. The currency pair is under the pressure of the downtrend. After a false resistance breakout, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The trend change is confirmed by the cascade of resistances. Emphasis on the local range 1.4245 - 1.42018. The price exit from the consolidation will provoke the continuation of the fall Resistance levels: 1.4245, trend boundary Support levels: 1.4202, 1.415 Possible retest of resistance before further decline. But the price exit from the current range and consolidation of the price below 1.4202 - 1.4205 will provoke the growth of sales and further fall to 1.405 (zone of interest). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GOLD → Tense fundamental environment and retest of 3025FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction within the descending channel. The situation is becoming complex and confusing. The focus is on the channel resistance and on the support at 3004.9. Further price movement depends on the fundamental data... The problem is the uncertainty around the US tariff policy and the outcome of talks between Russia and the US on ceasefire in Ukraine. The market is focused on US consumer confidence data and comments from Fed officials. The rise in the dollar, supported by Bostic's hawkish statements and strong PMIs, is pressuring gold, but the lack of clarity on tariffs and geopolitical tensions are limiting its further decline Technically, the situation is simple in that it all depends on the resistance of the current channel. A break and consolidation above 3025 will trigger growth. A false break of the channel resistance will provoke a continuation of the decline both to 3004 and to 2980. Resistance levels: 3024.6, 3038, 3056 Support levels: 3004.9, 2987, 2981 Based on the difficult fundamental environment, which is far from any positive decisions, the tensions in the Middle East, and the tariff war, I can conclude that gold will try to strengthen once again, as we have technical support: a strong bullish trend, a strong 3004 level, and a cascade of locally rising lows. A failed breakdown will be false and in this case, a price consolidation under 3017 will trigger a fall to 3004. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURUSD → Price is in consolidation. Emphasis on false breakdownFX:EURUSD is forming a correction within the consolidation that was formed on the uptrend. The reason for the consolidation is the halt in the movement of the dollar index... The dollar is forming a counter-trend correction due to political and econmoic data, but the general background is bearish. But, the fall of the dollar, to which the index may soon return, may strengthen the growth of the currency pair. EURUSD consolidation within the uptrend (against the background of the dollar index correction). The zone of interest is the support at 1.078 and the imbalance area Resistance levels: 1.078, 1.074 Support levels: 1.0936.1.1009 The price has not tested the support and is forming a correction to the imbalance zone 1.087 - 1.09 from which the price may return to the downward movement to 1.078. The emphasis is on the range support from which we should wait for a false breakdown before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline. Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397 Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397 Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512 After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
33
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows. The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data. GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth. Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678 Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576 The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible. On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective Briefly, here's what's going on: Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ... Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss. Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67 Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow. At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
40
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements. Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800. Support levels: 2795, 2790 Resistance levels: 2802, 2808 There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
EURJPY → The fall may continue after the correctionFX:EURJPY is under pressure. The currency pair is breaking the local uptrend. Technical and fundamental background is weak, which in general can put pressure on the market. Globally, the currency pair has no trend and is trading within the range of 166 - 156. The last growth attempt was unsuccessful, the price could not approach the intermediate maximum and facing a strong bear the price turned around and fixing below the SMA headed to the lower boundary of the flat. Locally, the change of character to bearish is confirmed, but before further fall the price may form a correction, for example, to 0.5 Fibo (imbalance zone), or to local zones of interest, but in the medium term the fall may continue. Resistance levels: 162.3, 163.1 Support levels: 160.9, 159.8 A false breakdown of local support is formed, which may lead to correction, but since we have confirmation that the market is bearish, after the correction the fall may continue. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GBPJPY → Buyers increase positions to break 195.5 ↑FX:GBPJPY continues to climb purposefully towards 195.5, forming a consolidation in the form of an ascending triangle. The goal of this maneuver is to break the resistance with further continuation of the upward movement... The bulls are trying to keep the defense above the key support at 193.5. The change of the fundamental background for JPY strengthens the sales of the national currency, which favorably affects, in our case, GBP. As a consequence, the market starts testing 195.5 with the aim of a breakout. GDP in UK remained at the same level of 0.2%. There is important news ahead - PPI. Based on the previous economic data, we can assume that PPI will also support the dollar, which will negatively affect the JPY. On the background of this influence, the bulls will be able to overcome the key resistance. Support levels: 193.5, 191.7, 190.0 Resistance levels: 195.5 The acutal situation on the chart is directed towards the continuation of the movement. The market structure is changing, the fundamental background is on the side of the buyer. We are waiting for the breakthrough of the key resistance (trigger) and the continuation of growth... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
GOLD → Risk zone! One step away from a prolonged correctionFX:XAUUSD is trading in the lower half of the key range. The price failed to hold above 2493, the market is spilling back to support. But, there are nuances pointing to both a rebound and a possible fall..... The trend is still bullish. The price is entering the risk zone of 2470 - 2480. If the bulls do not keep the price above this zone, we should expect a prolonged correction. But, there are Initial Jobless Claims and NFP report ahead, which traders are waiting for so much. The economic nuances can both strengthen local movements and revive the global trend. On H1 the price is strongly declining to the support, such a fast movement is fraught with a rebound, which can bring the price back to 2493 - 2500 and this is probably the key movement. But there is a but everywhere! It is hard to tell from the volumes that the buyer is ready for any action. False breakout and consolidation above 2477 may affect the growth. Resistance levels: 2493, 2500 Support levels: 2477, 2473, 2450 But the fall is not excluded. If there is no reaction to the 2477-2473 zone in the form of a rebound, and gold starts to consolidate near the support, then we should consider a decline, the key target of which could be the 2450 zone and the trend line on D1. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
16
GOLD → Attempting to recover inside a new range FX:XAUUSD declines after the CPI report to the local liquidity zone of 2440, forming a new trading range. But, buyers come back and try to hold the psychological zone of 2450 again. The bullish trend persists, gold is trading within the “Symmetrical Triangle” consolidation pattern Traders await US retail sales data for fresh signals on Fed policy. Although the annual inflation rate in the US slowed down for the fourth consecutive month to 2.9%, but these CPI figures have raised fears that the US Fed will decide to cut interest rate heavily next month. A weak US retail sales report could revive recession fears.... Technically, we should focus on the local levels inside the range of 2440 - 2477. Resistance levels: 2458, 2467, 2477 Support levels: 2440, 2431, 2320 Technically buyers are trying to keep the price from falling, but all the emphasis is on the news, favorable fundamental data can provide strong support for gold, which can use the energy for another retest of 2477, but an unpredictable report can intensify the sell-off and bring the price to 2425. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
GOLD → The calm before the storm. 2400 or 2200?FX:XAUUSD reduces volatility and shrinks into a narrow range before the news. US GDP did not play any role and traders are waiting for the general fundamental background. Locally, the downtrend. The trend is downtrending, but on yesterday's news the price is trying to break the channel resistance, forming a consolidation of the price above the line. But if the price returns to the channel, due to the formed consolidation, the market may see a strong momentum towards 2280. Ahead of the news, traders are waiting for PCE. But, the market believes that the index will remain at the same level and this generally complicates the situation because if in fact the situation changes it may trigger a violent reaction Resistance levels: 2354, 2374 Support levels: 2328, 2306 Globally bullish trend, but there is no strong buyer yet. Everyone is waiting for the news. Locally the trend is bearish, to confirm the change of the trend to a local bullish one, the price should overcome the area of 2354 - 2364 and consolidate above, in this case - the way to 2400. But, a break of 2328 will make the market panic Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GMTUSDT → the coin is moving into the realization phaseBINANCE:GMTUSDT is entering the realization phase after a long accumulation. Price is testing resistance for a breakout. On the High timeframe, the coin is testing the resistance area. A breakout and bullish momentum is forming. A price consolidation above 0.4000 will open a new potential for the bulls. The coin is quite far behind the market and if the bulls keep the price in the new zone, a long rally to 1.11 and 1.75 may be waiting for us ahead. Technically, now we are interested in 0.4060 and the upper boundary of the channel. Possible retest after the breakout, but price consolidation above this zone will form an intermediate bottom, which will favor the market. Resistance levels: 0.4060, 0.4867 Support levels: 0.2566 The market is ready to turn around and show us strong growth, but for this the bulls need to keep the price in the green zone. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GOLD → The market is waiting for the FOMC. What to expect? OANDA:XAUUSD is reducing volatility amid expectations of FOMC data release. Earlier we saw an attempt to break the strong trend resistance, but now there are nuances appearing The Federal Reserve is not going to raise or lower rates (at the level of rumors). In any case, this is positive-neutral news for the dollar. That is, if the situation does not change, the negative background for the gold market will be confirmed, and an attempt to break the trend resistance will be a trap on the part of the market maker. A false breakout will increase the liquidity volume and may form a strong red impulse. At the moment the level of 1928 separates us from the fall. And in general, the resistance of 1938.9 is important for the market - the level has not been tested yet, and it may happen at the moment of reporting publication due to the increased volatility. But, if TVC:DXY happens to get a weak (negative) fundamental background, gold may confirm the breakout of trend resistance and head towards 1950. Price is trading inside the moving averages range, the market is giving us a false breakout of MA-50 Resistance levels: 1932, 1935, 1939 Support levels: 1928, 1922 The medium-term outlook for XAU depends partly on today's FOMC press release, which comes out at 18:00 GMT. Strong data for $ will negatively impact XAU pricing and vice versa Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
GOLD → The certainty of a strong market or the trap of MM?OANDA:XAUUSD is strengthening at the end of the week and closed above Monday's open. BUT! The dollar is also strengthening and on the chart we see several key elements forming and an important zone that can give us strong signals. In the coming week, the following news is worth paying attention to: 09.19 CPI (YoY) EUR 09.20 CPI (YoY) USD FOMC FED 09.21 Initial Jobless Claims FED 09.22 S&P Global Services PMI It is worth paying attention to the W1 dollar chart and the XAU 1D. A bearish wedge is forming on the chart, but a large candle was formed on Friday, within which gold has little chance of breaking through this area yes and in tandem with a rising dollar. There is a high chance of a correction beginning as we see a false break of a strong resistance zone on the hourly timeframe. The price is forming a fljt 1928 - 1903. The upper boundary is being tested and at the same time price is forming a false breakdown of a key liquidity and resistance area and most likely we may see a correction to 1916 or even 1903 on Monday. BUT! If the dollar, which is giving a strong signal to break resistance, fails to go up and starts a correction, then gold may well be able to break the above upper zone and start rising towards 1950, as the price is now looking more correct than expected on the back of TVC:DXY strengthening. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
🥇 GOLD - The false breakthrough of global resistance Gold in the global perspective is within the boundaries of the bearish price channel. There are several reasons both for the price fall and for further growth. But in priority we consider the realization of a false breakout. TA on the high timeframe: 1) A bearish price channel dominates the market for several months. The price retests the resistance after 1 month 2) There is little chance of a breakout at the moment, if a correction and a retest is formed within 1 week, then the probability of a breakout will be higher. TA on the low timeframe: 1) A false breakout and further consolidation is formed against strong resistance 2) Price forms a false breakout of 1948 resistance, another retest fails and closing around 1946 confirms the presence of a strong seller in the market. 3) The area of 1935 and 1939 plays an important role for us. A break of one of them will form an impulse. 4) But a break of 1935 support will send the price to trend support, which will determine the future direction Key resistance📈: 1939 Key support📉: 1935, 1931
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AndeWave
10
GBPUSD → Pin-bar and reversal pattern on the support line FX:GBPUSD on the daily timeframe is forming a situation that suggests a buyback, at the same time a candlestick pattern and a false breakout are forming The currency pair is in the format of the ascending price channel. Earlier support was tested and on the background of news the market bought back the fall at 1.36 which is quite a strong reaction. After the local rally, the price is forming a correction, most likely to support or retest, which may be followed by a growth phase, coinciding with the trend direction. Moving averages form a cross and play the role of resistance, it is worth paying attention to the support area of the uptrend. Resistance levels: 1.27275, 1.28484 Support levels: 1.26800, trend support, 1.26065 I expect the end of correction in the area of uptrend support with the subsequent strengthening of the price within the uptrend. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
BTCUSD → Expected correction within consolidation BITSTAMP:BTCUSD forms a false breakdown of the key resistance after which the format of the movement passes into the correction phase. The price is consolidating between 0.236 and 0.382 fibo Paying attention to the chart we see the continuation of the ascending price channel formation. The price indicates a rather high interest on the part of buyers, as the price after long consolidations continues to strengthen and does not give deep corrections. A correction is forming within the new movement, which may reach 0.382 fibo in the near future. The rebound within the bullish trend can follow both from this level and from the level below - 28474. The trend at the moment is bullish, although recently the price has not reacted much on the hype around BTC-ETF, but the potential is still on the side of buyers. The hash rate continues to grow, glassnode in its reports claims that the price is coming out of the capitulation mode, SEC accepts applications of funds for spot BTC-ETFs for consideration - these nuances give some bullish prerequisites. Support levels: 0.382, 28474, 0.618. Resistance levels: 0.236, 30575 I expect the correction to continue, I don't think this movement will last long. Another retest of the nearest strong resistance will provoke a new impulse. In the medium term I expect a retest of 30575 and growth to 34000. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
8
ETHUSD → Global ascending triangle. Retest 2020BINANCE:ETHUSDT is forming an interesting situation. For more than a year the price has been trading under the strong resistance of 2020. After a while we begin to realize that this level is the upper boundary of the ascending triangle. This pattern can be interpreted as consolidation of potential by dynamic buyers with the purpose of possible overcoming the resistance and reaching new tops. A symmetrical triangle has been forming for several months as well. The price is in consolidation and on the background of bitcoin correction the price may form a decline to the support of the pattern. MA-200 clearly outlines the ascending support of the bullish triangle, which only strengthens the essence of this formation. In the medium term, the price may either make a false breakdown of the local support line or decline and retest the MA-200 and trend support. The further target is growth with the aim of breaking through 2020 and strengthening to 2450. Support levels: 1875, 1830, 1800 Resistance levels: 1938, 2000, 2020 I expect the correction to continue to the nearest support levels from which a reversal and resistance retest may follow. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6
MATICUSDT → Breakout figure and an attempt to change the trend BINANCE:MATICUSDT breaks through the resistance of the key figure and opens a new bullish potential. If the nearest resistance is broken through, the price can form a strong momentum. Earlier we saw an attempt of strengthening, which smoothly changed from an ascending price channel to a bearish wedge. The latter figure is quite capable of breaking the trend and changing it, for this in our case, the price needs to pass through the resistance of 0.7440. Recently cryptocurrencies, both bitcoins and altcoins, start to recover, and there are even some fundamental reasons for that. The moving averages act as resistance, but at the moment the MA-50 is being tested and in case of a breakout the 31% range will open, which is quite an interesting prospect for us. Support levels: 0.6500 Resistance levels: MA-50, 0.7440 I expect consolidation near resistance, followed by a breakout and bullish momentum. The medium-term target is 0.9700. Regards, R. Linda!
MLong
by RLinda
14