Why Swing Trading and Scalping Are Opposite Worlds"It's not about the strategy. It's about who you are when the market puts pressure on you."
Most traders fail not because they don’t learn “strategies” — but because they pick a style that doesn't match their temperament.
And nothing creates more damage than confusing swing trading with scalping/intraday trading.
Let’s break them down. For real...
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🔵 1. Swing Trader – Chasing Direction, Not Noise
A swing trader does not touch choppy markets.
He’s not here for the sideways grind. He wants momentum.
If there’s no clear trend, he doesn’t trade.
He shifts between assets depending on where real movement is.
• USD weakens → he buys EUR/USD and waits
• Gold breaks → he enters and lets the move develop
Swing trading means positioning with the macro flow, not chasing bottoms and tops.
✅ He trades based on H4/Daily or even Weekly charts
✅ He holds for hundreds of pips.
✅ He accepts contrarian candles in the process.
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🔴 2. Scalper/Intraday Trader – The Asset Specialist
A true scalper doesn’t chase trends.
He hunts inefficiencies — quick spikes, fakeouts, liquidity grabs.
✅ Loves range conditions
✅ Lives inside M5–M15
✅ Often trades only one asset he knows like the back of his hand
He doesn’t care what EUR/USD will do this week.
He cares what it does in the next 30 minutes after a breakout.
Scalping is not chaos. It's cold execution with a sniper mindset.
📡 He reacts to news in real time.
He doesn’t predict — he exploits.
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🧾 Key Differences – Swing Trader vs. Scalper
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🎯 Primary Objective
• Swing Trader: Captures large directional moves over several days.
• Scalper/Intraday: Exploits short-term volatility, aiming for quick, small gains.
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🧭 Market Conditions Preference
• Swing Trader: Needs clean, trending markets with clear momentum.
• Scalper/Intraday: Feels comfortable in ranging markets with liquidity spikes and noise.
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🔍 Number of Instruments Traded
• Swing Trader: Monitors and rotates through multiple assets (e.g. XAUUSD, EURUSD, indices, BTC, he's going where the money is).
• Scalper/Intraday: Specializes in 1–2 instruments only, knows their behavior in every session.
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⏰ Time Spent in Front of the Charts
• Swing Trader: Waits for clean setups, may hold positions for days or weeks.
• Scalper/Intraday: Constant screen time, executes and manages trades actively.
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📰 Reaction to News
• Swing Trader: Interprets the macro/fundamental impact and positions accordingly.
• Scalper/Intraday: Reacts live to data releases, wicks, and intraday volatility.
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📉 When They Struggle
• Swing Trader: Fails in choppy or directionless markets.
• Scalper/Intraday: Loses edge when the market trends explosively.
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🧠 Psychological Requirements
• Swing Trader: Needs patience, confidence in the big picture, and acceptance of drawdown.
• Scalper/Intraday: Needs absolute discipline, emotional detachment, and razor-sharp focus.
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✅ Bottom line: They are two different games.
Don’t try to play both on the same chart with the same mindset.
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✅ Final Thoughts – Your Edge Is in Alignment, Not Imitation
You don’t pick a trading style because it “sounds cool.”
You pick it because it aligns with:
• Your schedule
• Your attention span
• Your tolerance for uncertainty
If you hate watching candles all day – go swing.
If you hate waiting for days – go intraday.
If you keep switching between both – go journal your pain and come back later.
P.S. Recent Example:
I'm a swing trader. And this week, Gold has been stuck in a range.
What do I do? I wait. No rush, no overtrading. Just patience.
Once the range breaks, I’m ready — in either direction.
But I don’t close after a quick 50–100 pip move. That’s not my game.
I aim for 700+ pips whether it breaks up or down,because on both sides we have major support and resistance levels that matter.
That’s swing trading:
📍 Enter with structure, hold with confidence, exit at significance.
Not every move is worth trading — but the big ones are worth waiting for.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Risk Management
Survive first. Thrive later.🧠 Trading Psychology x Risk Management
"If you can't survive being wrong, you don't deserve to be right."
💬 A calm chart…
A ruthless truth.
Most traders obsess over being right.
But the market only rewards those who manage being wrong.
Risk control isn’t just technical — it’s emotional.
Survive first. Thrive later.
— MJTrading
Psychology Always Matters:
Click on them for notes in the caption...
#MJTrading #ChartDesigner #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #MindfulTrading #CapitalPreservation #SmartMoney #XAUUSD #ForexDiscipline #15minChart #GoldAnalysis #MentalEdge #Gold
The Dangers of Holding Onto Losing Positions...One of the most common — and costly — mistakes in trading is holding onto a losing position for too long. Whether it's driven by hope, ego, or fear, this behavior can damage your portfolio, drain your capital, and block future opportunities. Successful trading requires discipline, objectivity, and the willingness to accept when a trade isn’t working. Understanding the risks behind this behavior is essential to protecting your capital and evolving as a trader.
-- Why Traders Hold Onto Losing Trades --
It’s not always poor strategy or lack of experience that keeps traders locked in losing positions — it’s often psychology. Several cognitive biases are at play:
1. Loss Aversion
Loss aversion refers to our instinctive desire to avoid losses, often stronger than the desire to realize gains. Traders may hold onto a losing position simply to avoid the emotional pain of admitting the loss, hoping the market will eventually turn in their favor.
2. Overconfidence
When traders are overly confident in their analysis or trading thesis, they can become blind to changing market conditions. This conviction may cause them to ignore red flags and hold on out of sheer stubbornness or pride.
3. The Sunk Cost Fallacy
This is the belief that since you’ve already invested money, time, or effort into a trade, you need to keep going to “get your investment back.” The reality? Past investments are gone — and continuing the position often compounds the loss.
These mental traps can distort decision-making and trap traders in unproductive or damaging positions. Being aware of them is the first step toward better judgment.
-- The True Cost of Holding Losing Positions --
Holding onto a bad trade costs more than just the money it loses. It impacts your entire trading strategy and limits your growth. Here’s how:
1. Opportunity Cost
Capital tied up in a losing trade is capital that can’t be used elsewhere. If you keep $8,000 in a stock that’s fallen from $10,000 — hoping it rebounds — you're missing out on placing that money in higher-performing opportunities. Inactive capital is wasted capital.
2. Deeper Compounding Losses
A 20% loss doesn’t sound catastrophic until it becomes 30%… then 40%. The deeper the loss, the harder it becomes to break even. Holding out for a recovery often makes things worse — especially in markets with high volatility or downtrends.
3. Reduced Liquidity
Successful traders rely on flexibility. When your funds are tied up in a losing position, you limit your ability to respond to new opportunities. In fast-moving markets, this can be the difference between success and stagnation.
Recognizing these costs reframes the decision from “holding on until it turns around” to “preserving capital and maximizing potential.”
Consider this simple XAUUSD (Gold) weekly chart example. If you base a trading strategy solely on the Stochastic oscillator (or any single indicator) without backtesting and ignoring the overall trend, focusing solely on overbought signals for reversals, you'll quickly see the oscillator's frequent inaccuracies. This approach will likely lead to substantial and prolonged losses while waiting for a reversal that may never occur.
-- Signs It’s Time to Exit a Losing Trade --
The hardest part of trading isn’t opening a position — it’s closing a bad one. But if you know what to look for, you’ll know when it’s time to let go:
1. Emotional Attachment
If you find yourself feeling “married” to a trade, it’s a warning sign. Traders often assign meaning or identity to a position. But trading should be based on data and strategy, not sentiment.
2. Ignoring or Adjusting Your Stop Loss
Stop Loss orders exist for a reason: to protect your capital. If you habitually move your stop further to avoid triggering it, you’re letting hope override risk management.
3. Rationalizing Losses
Statements like “It’ll bounce back” or “This company always recovers” can signal denial. Hope is not a strategy. When you catch yourself justifying a bad position without objective reasoning, it’s time to reevaluate.
Consider also reading this article:
-- How to Cut Losses and Move Forward --
Cutting a loss isn’t a failure — it’s a skill. Here are proven techniques that help you exit with discipline and confidence:
1. Use Stop Losses — and Respect Them
Set a Stop Loss at the moment you enter a trade — and stick to it. It takes the emotion out of the exit and protects your downside. Moving the stop is the fastest path to deeper losses.
2. Trade With a Plan
Every trade should be part of a bigger strategy that includes risk tolerance, entry/exit points, and profit targets. If a position hits your predetermined loss threshold, exit. Trust your system.
3. Apply Position Sizing and Diversification
Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade. Keep your portfolio diversified across different instruments or sectors to avoid one position derailing your progress.
4. Review and Reflect
Post-trade analysis is vital. Review both wins and losses to learn what worked — and what didn’t. This practice sharpens your strategy and builds emotional resilience over time.
-- Why Cutting Losses Strengthens Your Portfolio --
There’s long-term power in letting go. Here’s what cutting losses early can do for you:
1. Preserve Capital
The faster you cut a losing trade, the more capital you retain — and the more opportunities you can pursue. Capital preservation is the foundation of longevity in trading.
2. Reduce Emotional Stress
Sitting in a losing trade weighs heavily on your mindset. The stress can cloud your judgment, increase risk-taking, or cause hesitation. Exiting early reduces this emotional drag and keeps you clear-headed.
3. Reallocate to Better Setups
Exiting losing trades frees up both capital and mental energy for higher-probability opportunities. This proactive approach builds momentum and reinforces the idea that it’s okay to be wrong — as long as you act decisively.
Consider also reading this article:
-- Final Thoughts: Discipline Over Denial --
Holding onto losing trades may feel like you're showing patience or commitment — but in reality, it's often denial wrapped in hope. Trading is about probabilities, not guarantees. The most successful traders aren’t the ones who win every trade — they’re the ones who manage losses with discipline.
Letting go of a bad trade is a show of strength, not weakness. It’s a deliberate choice to protect your capital, stay agile, and refocus on trades that serve your goals. The market doesn’t owe you a comeback — but with a clear head and disciplined approach, you can always find your next opportunity.
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The Ineffectiveness of Day Trading: A Critical Review of EmpiricThe Allure of Quick Profits
Day trading has gained considerable popularity as an investment strategy among retail investors, particularly following technological advances in electronic trading platforms and commission-free brokerage services. This analysis examines the available empirical evidence from various markets and time periods to evaluate the economic viability of day trading as an investment strategy.
The most comprehensive study on the subject comes from Barber et al. (2011), who analyzed the behavior of over 360,000 day traders in Taiwan. Their results show that over 80 percent of day traders lose money, and less than 1 percent can achieve consistently profitable results. These findings align with similar studies from other markets and confirm the systematic unprofitability of day trading for the vast majority of participants.
Day trading represents a systematically unprofitable investment strategy for retail investors, rooted in cognitive biases (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979), excessive transaction costs, and market microstructure inefficiencies (O'Hara, 1995). Long-term passive investment strategies demonstrate superior risk-adjusted returns with significantly lower resource requirements.
What the Research Shows
The research landscape on day trading is clear and consistent across various markets. A systematic review of the most important studies follows established standards of financial market research.
The inclusion criteria for relevant studies encompass empirical investigations with substantial sample sizes (more than 1,000 traders), minimum observation periods of 12 months, and quantitative performance measures. The available literature is based on millions of trading accounts from various developed markets.
The historical development of day trading shows clear parallels to technological developments in the financial sector. Before deregulation through Electronic Communication Networks by the SEC in 1997, it was impossible for retail investors to trade directly in the market. With the rise of online brokers like E*TRADE and Ameritrade, day trading became accessible to the mass public for the first time. This technical opening coincided with aggressive marketing that promoted free trades, low fees, and success stories of individual traders.
Empirical Findings
Evidence from various markets shows consistent patterns. Barber et al. (2011) document that 84.3 percent of 360,000 analyzed day traders in Taiwan suffered losses, with a median return of minus 8.7 percent. Similar studies from the United States confirm loss rates exceeding 90 percent of participants.
Jordan and Diltz (2003) conclude that even experienced day traders are hardly able to beat the market after costs in the long term. The long-term results are even more sobering: only a fraction of all day traders remain profitable over extended periods, while a significant portion abandons the activity within two years.
The transaction cost analysis is based on realistic market conditions. A calculation example illustrates the structural challenges: with an assumed daily trading volume of $50,000 and eight round trips per day, substantial costs arise from commissions (approximately 0.1% per trade), bid-ask spreads (averaging 0.02-0.05%), and market impact (about 0.01% for smaller volumes).
Annual Cost Calculation Example:
- 252 trading days × 8 trades = 2,016 trades/year
- Commission costs: 2,016 × $2.50 = $5,040
- Spread costs: $50,000 × 0.03% × 2,016 = $30,240
- Total costs: approximately $35,000 or 70% of daily trading volume
This cost structure means that day traders must achieve gross returns of well over 70 percent annually just to break even, while passive investors bear annual costs of only 0.1 to 0.3 percent (Bogle, 2007).
Behavioral Analysis and Cognitive Biases
Behavioral research explains why day trading remains attractive despite poor success prospects. Odean (1999) shows that overconfident investors trade excessively and thereby reduce their expected returns. The disposition effect documented by Shefrin and Statman (1985) leads traders to realize gains too early and hold losses too long.
Kahneman and Tversky's (1979) Prospect Theory explains systematic biases in decision-making under uncertainty. Loss aversion leads to losses weighing psychologically heavier than equivalent gains, resulting in irrational holding of losing positions.
The gambler's fallacy manifests in the erroneous assumption of many day traders that past losses make future gains more likely. Recency bias leads to overweighting recent events. These psychological factors reinforce each other and create a vicious cycle of irrational decisions.
Comparative Analysis: Day Trading versus Passive Strategies
A comparison with established investment strategies illustrates the systematic disadvantages of day trading. Malkiel (2011) documents long-term returns of diversified portfolios at 6-8 percent real, while Barber and Odean (2000) show that frequent trading systematically reduces returns.
Historical data shows that the S&P 500 Index achieved an average annual return of 10.2 percent with 15.8 percent volatility over 30 years (Sharpe ratio: 0.65). Day traders, in contrast, typically exhibit negative Sharpe ratios as losses dominate amid high volatility.
The time investment differs dramatically: day trading requires 40-50 hours of weekly attention, while passive investing demands less than one hour per week. Studies also show health burdens from the constant stress of active trading.
Market Microstructure and Professional Trading
Market structure systematically favors institutional players. High-frequency trading firms possess latency advantages in the microsecond range, while retail traders operate with delays exceeding 100 milliseconds. They utilize co-location services and process data volumes inaccessible to private investors.
Market-making operations profit from bid-ask spreads and exchange rebate programs. They operate under different regulatory frameworks and have access to dark pools and proprietary technology.
Day trading mathematically represents a zero-sum game that becomes negative after costs. Since the sum of all trading gains and losses equals zero, but transaction costs are positive, the expected return for all participants collectively is necessarily negative.
Alternative Investment Strategies
Academic literature comprehensively documents the superiority of passive strategies. Bogle (2007) demonstrates through long-term data that low-cost index funds consistently achieve better net returns than active strategies.
Passive Strategy Calculation Example:
An investment of €10,000 in a low-cost ETF (0.15% TER) with 7% annual returns yields approximately €37,000 after 20 years. To achieve this result, day traders would need to consistently earn over 15% gross returns after costs—a scenario that is empirically nearly impossible.
Factor-based investing offers additional improvements: Fama and French (1992) documented excess returns for value and size factors that are systematically and cost-effectively accessible.
Limitations of the Evidence
The research landscape has certain constraints. Survivorship bias in datasets may underestimate actual losses, as unsuccessful traders disappear from samples more quickly. Additionally, definitions of day trading vary between studies.
External validity is influenced by changing market structures. Algorithmic trading and new financial instruments may alter established patterns. Nevertheless, the fundamental problems of high costs and systematic behavioral biases persist.
Conclusion
The empirical evidence is clear: day trading represents a loss-making activity for the vast majority of participants. The combination of high transaction costs, systematic behavioral biases, and structural market disparities makes consistent profitability nearly impossible.
While isolated success stories exist, they represent statistical outliers rather than replicable strategies. The scientific evidence speaks unequivocally in favor of long-term, low-cost, and diversified investment strategies as superior alternatives to day trading.
Those who nonetheless engage in day trading should be aware that they are not only competing against the market, but against mathematical and psychological realities that practically preclude a high probability of success.
References
Barber, Brad M., Yi-Tsung Lee, Yu-Jane Liu, and Terrance Odean. "Do Individual Day Traders Make Money? Evidence from Taiwan." *Review of Financial Studies* 24, no. 8 (2011): 2892-2922.
Barber, Brad M., and Terrance Odean. "Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors." *Journal of Finance* 55, no. 2 (2000): 773-806.
Bogle, John C. *The Little Book of Common Sense Investing*. Hoboken: Wiley, 2007.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns." *Journal of Finance* 47, no. 2 (1992): 427-465.
Jordan, Douglas J., and J. David Diltz. "The Profitability of Day Traders." *Financial Analysts Journal* 59, no. 6 (2003): 85-94.
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk." *Econometrica* 47, no. 2 (1979): 263-291.
Malkiel, Burton G. *A Random Walk Down Wall Street*. 10th ed. New York: Norton, 2011.
Odean, Terrance. "Do Investors Trade Too Much?" *American Economic Review* 89, no. 5 (1999): 1279-1298.
O'Hara, Maureen. *Market Microstructure Theory*. Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, 1995.
Shefrin, Hersh, and Meir Statman. "The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence." *Journal of Finance* 40, no. 3 (1985): 777-790.
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #7 - The Dual Power of Math123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #7
The Dual Power of Math: Logic for Analysis, Willpower for Victory
✅ An ideal trader is a mix of a sharp analyst and a tough fighter .
To succeed in the financial markets, you need both logical decision-making and the willpower to stay on track.
Mathematics is the perfect gym to develop both of these key skills at the same time.
From a logical standpoint, math turns your mind into a powerful analysis tool. It teaches you how to break down complex problems into smaller parts, recognize patterns, and build your trading strategies with step-by-step thinking.
This is the exact skill you need to deeply understand probabilities and accurately calculate risk-to-reward ratios. 🧠
But the power of math doesn't end with logic. Wrestling with a difficult problem and not giving up builds a steel-like fighting spirit. This mental strength helps you stay calm during drawdowns and stick to your trading plan.
"Analyze with the precision of a mathematician and trade with the fighting spirit of a mathematician 👨🏻🎓,
not with the excitement of a gambler 🎲. "
Navid Jafarian
Every tip is a step towards becoming a more disciplined trader.
Look forward to the next one! 🌟
Step-By-Step Guide to Building a Winning Gold Trading Strategy
In the today's article, I will teach you how to create your first profitable gold trading strategy from scratch.
Step 1: Choose the type of analysis
The type of analysis defines your view on the market.
With technical analysis you rely on patterns, statistical data, technical indicators, etc. for making trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis focuses on factors that drive the prices of gold such as micro and macroeconomics, news and geopolitics.
A combination of technical and fundamental analysis implies the application of both methods.
For the sake of the example, we will choose pure technical approach.
Step 2: Specify the area of analysis
Technical and fundamental analysis are complex and multilayered subjects. That is why it is crucially important to choose the exact concepts and techniques that you will apply in gold trading.
For example, with a technical analysis, you can trade harmonic patterns, or apply a combination of key levels and technical indicators.
With fundamental analysis, you can build your trading strategy around trading the economic calendar or important news releases.
Here we will choose support & resistance levels and smart money concepts.
Step 3: Select a trading time frame
Your trading time frame will define your trading style. Focusing on hourly time frame, for example, you will primarily catch the intraday moves, while a daily time frame analysis will help you to spot the swing moves.
You can also apply the combination of several time frames.
We will choose the combination of a daily and an hourly time frames.
Step 4: Define your trading zones
By a trading zone, I mean an area or a level on a price chart from where you will look for trading opportunities.
For example, a technical indicator trader may apply moving average as the trading point.
For the sake of the example, we will choose support and resistance levels on a daily time frame as our trading areas.
Step 5: Choose confirmations
Confirmation is your entry reason . It is the set of conditions that indicates a highly probable projected outcome.
For an economic calendar traders, the increasing CPI (inflation) figures can be a solid reason to open a long position on Gold.
Our confirmation will be a local change of character on an hourly time frame.
Step 6: Define your stop loss placement, entry and target selection and desired reward to risk ratio
You should know exactly where should be your entry point, where will be your stop loss and where should be the target.
We will open a trading position immediately after a confirmed change of character, stop loss will lie below the lows if we buy or above the highs if we sell.
Target will be the next daily structure.
Minimal reward to risk ration should be 1.5.
Step 7: Define Your Lot Size and Risk Per Trade
You should have precise rules for the calculation of a lot size for each trade.
For our example, we will strictly risk 1% of our trading deposit per trade.
Step 8: Set trade management rules
When the trade is active, trade management rules define your action:
for example, whether you strictly wait for tp or sl, or you apply a trailing stop loss.
In our strategy, we will move stop loss to entry 10 minutes ahead of the release of the US news in the economic calendar.
Step 9: Back test your strategy
Study the historical data and back test at least 50 trading setups that meet your strategy criteria.
Make sure that the strategy has a positive win rate.
Step 10: Try a trading strategy on a demo account
Spend at least a month on demo account and make sure that you obtain positive overall results.
If you see consistent profits on a demo account, it is the signal for you that your strategy is ready , and it's time to start trading on a real account.
In case of negative results, modify your trading conditions and back test them again, or build a new strategy from scratch.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
In trading, the long way is the shortcut⚠️ The Shortcut Is an Illusion — And It Will Cost You
In trading, everyone wants to arrive without traveling.
They want the profits, the freedom, and the Instagram lifestyle — even if it’s fake.
What they don’t want is the process that actually gets you there.
So they chase shortcuts:
• Copy signals without understanding the reason behind them
• Over-leverage on “the perfect setup”
• Buy indicators they don’t know how to use
• Skip journaling and backtesting
• Trade real money without trading psychology
And then they wonder…
Why is my account bleeding?
Why does this feel like a cycle I can't break?
Because:
Every shortcut in trading is just a fast track to disaster.
You will lose. You will restart. And it will take even longer than if you just did it right the first time.
🤡 The TikTok Fantasy: “1-Minute Strategy That Will Make You Millions in 2025”
This is the new wave:
A 60-second video showing you a magical indicator combo.
No context. No testing. No risk management.
Just fake PnL screenshots and promises of millionaire status before next summer.
“This 1-minute scalping strategy made me $12,000 today!”
And people fall for it… because it’s easier to believe in shortcuts than to accept that real trading is boring, repetitive, and hard-earned.
If it fits in a TikTok video, it’s not a strategy. It’s clickbait.
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❓ Looking for a System Without Knowing the Basics
Here’s the paradox:
Most people are desperate to find a “profitable strategy” — but they haven’t even mastered the basic math of trading.
• They don’t know how pip value is calculated
• They don’t understand how leverage works
• They confuse margin with risk
• They size positions emotionally, not based on their account
• They can’t define what 1% risk per trade actually means in dollars
But they’re out here, loading indicators, watching YouTube “hacks,” and flipping accounts with 1:500 leverage.
Imagine trying to perform surgery before learning anatomy.
That’s what trying to trade a strategy without knowing pip cost looks like.
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🛠️ The Long Way Is the Fastest Way
You want the real shortcut?
Here it is:
• Learn price structure deeply
• Backtest like a scientist
• Journal like a professional
• Risk small while you're learning
• Stay on demo until your edge is proven
• Master basic math: leverage, margin, pip value, position sizing
This is the long way.
But it’s the only way that doesn’t end in regret.
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⏳ Most Traders Waste 2–5 Years Looking for a Shortcut
And in the end?
They crawl back to the long path.
Broke, humbled, and wishing they had just started there from the beginning.
The shortcut is a scam.
The long way is the only path that leads to consistency.
You either take it now… or take it later — after your account pays the price.
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✅ Final Thought
Don’t ask how fast you can get profitable.
Ask how solid you can build your foundation.
Because in trading:
❌ The shortcut costs you everything
✅ The long way gives you everything
And the longer you avoid it, the longer it takes.
Learn 2 Essential Elements of Forex Gold Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss how Forex Gold trading is structured, and I will share with you its 2 key milestones.
Trading with its nuances and complexities can be explained as the interconnections of two processes: trading rules creation and trading rules following.
1️⃣ With the trading rules, you define what you will trade and how exactly, classifying your entry and exist conditions, risk and trade management rules. Such a set of consistent trading rules compose a trading strategy.
For example, you can have a following trading plan:
you trade only gold, you analyze the market with technical analysis,
you buy from a key support and sell from a key resistance on a daily, your entry confirmation is a formation of a reversal candlestick pattern.
You set stop loss above the high/low of the pattern, and your target is the closest support/resistance level.
Here is how the trading setup would look like.
In the charts above, all the conditions for the trade are met, and the market nicely reached the take profit.
2️⃣ Trading strategy development is a very simple process. You can find hundreds of different ones on the internet and start using one immediately.
The main obstacle comes, however, with Following Trading Rules.
Following the rules is our second key milestone. It defines your ability to stay disciplined and to stick to your trading plan.
It implies the control of emotions, patience and avoidance of rationalization.
Once you open a trade, following your rules, challenges are just beginning. Imagine how happy you would feel yourself, seeing how nicely gold is moving to your target after position opening.
And how your mood would change, once the price quickly returns to your entry.
Watching how your profits evaporate and how the initially winning position turns into a losing one, emotions will constantly intervene.
In such situations, many traders break their rules , they start adjusting tp or stop loss or just close the trading, not being able to keep holding.
The ability to follow your system is a very hard skill to acquire. It requires many years of practicing. So if you believe that a good trading strategy is what you need to make money, please, realize the fact that even the best trading strategy in the world will lose without consistency and discipline.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why Risk Management Is Your Only Real Superpower in TradingMany traders obsess over entries, indicators, or finding the “perfect” strategy…
But the real longevity in this game comes from how you manage risk — not how often you’re right. Obviously it all starts with using stop loss. I hope you already know it. We all learned lessons in trying to enter the top / bottom and it was really not the top/ bottom yet.
✅ Always use Stop Loss.
Interestingly more then 50% failed prop challenges are because traders dont use a stop loss.
Now your stop loss should always be adjusted to the market structure. Not always same lot size
Obviously some short-term scalping can be done with the fixed SL and TP distance. But most of strategies needs to adjust SL to the current structure. And here come the problem. Many traders use still same lot size even when the stop loss distance is different and thats the problem.
Let me just show you on 2 examples of series of trades.
We count with 5 identical trade setups
Let's assume we had 5 trades 1 winner and 4 losses.
📌 1) Using always same position size on 10K account
- Outcome of trades is various
- 1 win with fixed lot was small. Instead of fixed lot we could use higher lot size as the SL distance was small. This trade didnt covered other losses.
- Losses of other trades are various
- psychological affect - uncertainty increasing fear of loss
- total result after is -273 pips
- minus 2.7% and - $273
📌 2) Calculated risk 1.5% for each trade
- we risk 1.5% for each trade by adjusting lot size
- You always know how much you loose if you loose.
- You can maximize profits on high RR trades.
- Every trade will have same % value in your series of trades. This makes your statistics working
- first trade has made huge profit - other 4 losses were 1.5% each
- first trade covered losses and even made gains
- we again ended in minus 273 pips
BUT +$337 IN MONEY / AND + 3.37% PROFIT
📌 Final Conclusion
Although we modeled 5 completely same trading setups in first example we ended up loosing in pips and money. While in the second example with the completely identical setups we ended in profit and more stability of on our account but also with psychological preservation.
And this is power of risk management and it has much bigger impact especially to our trading psychology which is 80% of success.
🧠 Psychological Importance of Risk Management:
🧪 Reduces emotional pressure
When your capital is protected, you stop making desperate, fear-based decisions.
🧪 Builds confidence in your strategy
Knowing you’re safe even if a trade fails allows you to focus on execution, not outcome.
🧪 Eliminates fear of losing
Small, controlled losses become part of the process — not something to avoid or fear.
🧪Improves consistency and discipline
Following rules forces you to act like a professional, not a gambler.
🧪 Prevents burnout and mental fatigue
Managing risk = managing stress. Overexposure to loss drains your mental capital, not just your account.
📌 Final tip
There is no strategy on the world which is only winning. Losses are normal. Same like restaurant owner has a cost with rent and salaries for employees. We as a trader has cost of the doing the business in losses. You cant avoid them.
One loss out of 4 trades is nothing. But what if you get in to a loosing streak like me in the may? How did I survive?
Many people would start doubting the strategy , doing the changes, switching to trading different markets etc.. But NO, if you know your statistical data and stick with the your risk management it will keeps you going. You know that even 75% win rate doesnt guarantee that you cant get in to a loosing streak.
75% winning ratio means that out of 100 trades you will win 75. But still there is 25 looters. And you never know what would be distribution of wins and losses. So you keep going and its only possible if you calculate risk per trade and know how much is your max loss per trade not by using same lot size for random stop loss distance.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
The Right Way to Manage Stop Loss: Dynamic Logic for Smart ExitsContext
In fast-moving markets, static stop losses often sabotage good trades by exiting too soon or too late. This approach uses dynamic, logic-driven stop loss adjustments that adapt to market context instead of sticking to a single fixed distance.
⸻
Key Principles of This Stop Loss Logic
Contextual Initial Placement
The stop is never just a fixed percentage below entry. It adapts based on recent swing lows/highs, ATR volatility, and trend confirmation signals.
Dynamic Extension in Favorable Conditions
If price retraces but shows bullish reversal evidence such as deep oversold signals, positive divergence, or compression breakouts, the stop loss is extended instead of closing immediately. This prevents cutting winners during normal pullbacks.
Tightening When Momentum Fades
If momentum weakens (for example, ADX drops, failed bounce, or resistance rejection), the stop is tightened dynamically. This reduces drawdown if the trend fails.
Clear Exit Triggers
The system can exit on consolidation breakdowns below support, confirmed bearish reversal patterns, or time-based exits if no continuation happens.
⸻
Examples and Visuals
Below, I’ve included chart examples with screenshots from my Multi Crossover Strategy . These images illustrate how dynamic stop loss management behaves in real conditions—showing entries, extensions during retracements, and exits triggered by different scenarios. You can see how the logic responds to changing volatility and trend strength in real time.
The "+" signs mark bars where the position would have closed using the default settings of 2.5 ATR Multiplier stop loss. A bullish reversal signal extended the stop, allowing the trade to close profitably instead of at a loss.
This example shows an early exit triggered by a consolidation breakdown. The system closed the position before the maximum stop loss was reached, limiting the loss as bearish momentum increased.
Example for lower high close to reduce loss. Here, the position was closed after a failed bounce and the formation of a lower high, signaling a likely continuation of the downtrend and helping to reduce the loss before a deeper move.
⸻
Advantages Over Simple Stop Losses
Adaptation
Stops react to volatility and price structure, not arbitrary distances.
Risk Mitigation
Dynamic tightening locks in gains faster when momentum fades.
Confidence to Stay In
Dynamic extension reduces the chance of premature exits during healthy retracements.
⸻
How to Use This Approach
When designing your strategy, start by defining a volatility-adjusted stop using an ATR multiplier as the base distance from entry. You can then set a maximum allowable loss in percentage terms to cap risk exposure to a fixed threshold.
After establishing your initial stop, consider adding layered adjustments that respond to different levels of reversal risk. For example:
ATR Multiplier: the factor used to calculate the initial stop distance based on market volatility.
Maximum Loss (%): the maximum risk per trade, defined as a percentage below the entry price.
Tight Stop Loss (%): a closer stop level that activates when early signs of a potential reversal appear, such as weakening momentum or minor bearish movement.
Bearish Stop Loss (%): a further tightening of the stop distance when stronger bearish reversal signals occur, including failed bounce attempts, lower highs, or clear resistance rejections. This level reduces the tolerance for further losses but still allows the trade to remain open if price stabilizes.
Extended Stop Loss Percentage Add-On: an additional percentage beyond the maximum loss cap, temporarily applied if strong bullish recovery signals appear.
In addition to these percentage-based stop adjustments, you can define instant exit rules that immediately close the position as soon as specific structural conditions are met. Unlike percentage-based stops, instant exits do not wait for further price movement or confirmation. They are typically used to react to decisive events such as a confirmed breakdown below support, a lower high after a failed bounce, or a sharp rejection at a resistance level. This combination of tightened stops and instant exit triggers allows for a flexible but disciplined approach to managing trades.
Pro Tip:
Most traders lose because their stops don’t evolve with the trade. Build a logic tree:
If trend = strong ➡ extend stop
If reversal risk ➡ tighten stop
If clear reversal signs ➡ exit
⸻
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research before making trading decisions.
Two Brains, One Trade: Why You Freeze Under PressureBy MJTrading:
In trading, your biggest opponent isn’t volatility.
It’s your own neural wiring.
Every trader operates with two main systems:
🧠 System 2 – Rational, deliberate, planning (Prefrontal Cortex)
🧠 System 1 – Emotional, instinctive, fast (Amygdala & Limbic Brain)
Before entry, System 2 is in control. You feel calm, logical.
But the moment money is at risk—especially in drawdown or after a missed TP—System 1 takes over.
💥 Stress hormones spike
💥 Focus narrows
💥 Long-term thinking disappears
💥 You freeze, or act impulsively
You knew what to do.
But you didn’t do it.
Because in that moment, your rational mind wasn’t driving anymore.
⚖️ Set & Forget vs. Floating Managers
Different trading personalities react differently under pressure:
🔹 Set & Forget Traders
Rely on automation or predefined exits to bypass emotional hijack.
They reduce cognitive load, but often feel regret when price goes “a little more.”
🔹 Floating Management Traders
Rely on intuition and live feeling. They stay with the chart, adjusting based on flow.
When calm and trained, they shine.
But under pressure, they’re more vulnerable to emotional loops:
– hesitation
– premature exits
– revenge tweaks
– system betrayal
🧘♂️ What can you do?
✔️ Pre-plan decisions
Make the hard calls before emotions kick in.
✔️ Mental rehearsal
Visualize trade management scenarios—yes, like athletes do.
✔️ Create fallback protocols
So if you freeze, your system still knows what to do.
🧠 For Those Who Want to Go Deeper:
“Thinking, Fast and Slow” by Daniel Kahneman
Understand System 1 & 2 thinking—and how cognitive bias shapes all decisions, not just trades.
“The Hour Between Dog and Wolf” by John Coates
A stunning look at how biology, hormones, and risk-taking collide in traders' brains.
🔓 Final Thought:
If your strategy works in theory, but breaks in real-time—
It’s time to work on your neural execution layer.
Because in trading, you don’t rise to your level of analysis—
you fall to your level of emotional wiring.
— MJTrading
#NeuroTrading #TraderTypes #TradingPsychology #SetAndForget #FloatingManagement #MindOverMarkets #EURUSD #MJTrading
Previous psychology Ideas:
Let your winners run🧠 Fear | Hope | Growth – When Trading Meets Emotion
The message on the chart isn't just poetic — it's real psychology.
🔹 Fear wants to cut your winners short.
It sneaks in after a small move in your favor.
"What if it reverses? I better lock this in."
And just like that, a great trade turns into a missed opportunity.
🔹 Hope drags you into holding too long.
It dreams: "Maybe it doubles... maybe this time it'll be massive."
But it's not guided by data — it's driven by fantasy.
🔹 Discipline is what sits in the middle.
Quiet. Neutral.
It doesn’t scream or seduce — it just follows the plan.
And that’s where Growth lives — not just on the PnL, but in your psychology.
When Bitcoin pushes toward new ATHs, these emotions get amplified.
The real question becomes: Can you manage yourself, not just your trade?
📌 A Real Example from My Desk
In my earlier BTCUSD idea — “Another Edge – Decision Time” (shared above) —
I sent that setup to one of my managed clients.
He entered long exactly at the edge of the channel — a clean, strategic buy.
Price moved beautifully in our favor…
But he manually closed the trade at 106,600 — long before the move matured.
Why?
Because fear of giving back profit overwhelmed the original plan.
The chart was right. The timing was right.
But the exit was emotional, not tactical.
✅ The trade made money.
❌ But the lesson is clear: a profitable trade doesn’t always mean a disciplined one.
🎯 Final Takeaway:
“Fear kills your winners. Hope kills your timing. Discipline grows your equity and your character.”
🗣 What would you have done in that position?
Held longer? Closed at resistance? Let it run toward ATH?
Let’s talk psychology — drop your thoughts 👇
#MJTrading
#TradingPsychology #BTCUSD #FearHopeDiscipline #LetYourWinnersRun #PriceAction #BTCATH #ForexMindset #CryptoStrategy
Quantum Computing - Why BTC isn't the biggest worryYou’ve probably heard that quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption—and that’s true. But here’s the thing: Bitcoin might not even be the biggest target.
The real risks? Financial systems, national security, healthcare, and even the internet itself. These areas rely on the same encryption methods that quantum computers could crack, and the fallout could be far worse than a Bitcoin hack.
Let’s break it down.
1️⃣ Financial Systems: A Global Crisis Waiting to Happen
Imagine if hackers could:
Drain bank accounts at will.
Manipulate stock markets.
Fake trillion-dollar transactions.
This isn’t just about stolen crypto—it’s about economic chaos. Banks, stock exchanges, and payment systems all depend on encryption. If quantum computers break it, we’re looking at a meltdown way bigger than Bitcoin’s $3 trillion market.
2️⃣ National Security & Internet Privacy: A Hacker’s Dream
Governments and militaries use encryption to:
Protect classified intelligence.
Secure communications between leaders.
Guard critical infrastructure (power grids, water supplies).
If quantum computers crack these codes, entire nations could be exposed to cyberwarfare. Your private data? At risk too—email, messaging, even your online banking could be decrypted years later.
3️⃣ Healthcare, Supply Chains & IoT: The Hidden Vulnerabilities
Medical records could be leaked, exposing sensitive health data.
Smart devices (like home security systems) could be hacked.
Supply chains might collapse if logistics networks are breached.
These systems weren’t built with quantum threats in mind—and upgrading them won’t be easy.
🔴 The Bigger Picture: A "Civilizational Upgrade"
Switching to quantum-resistant encryption is like rebuilding the internet’s foundation. It’s necessary, but messy. Some experts compare it to the Y2K bug—but way harder.
🔷 So, Is Bitcoin Safe?
Not entirely—about 25% of all Bitcoin could be stolen if quantum computers advance fast enough. But compared to the risks facing banks, governments, and hospitals? Bitcoin might be the least of our worries.
🔷 What’s Next?
Governments & companies are already working on fixes (like NIST’s post-quantum cryptography standards).
The transition will take years—and hackers might exploit weak spots along the way.
Staying informed is key. If you’re in tech, finance, or security, this affects you.
ℹ️ Want to Dive Deeper?
Deloitte’s take on quantum computing & Bitcoin
Forbes on quantum risks beyond crypto
🤷♂️ Bottom line?
Quantum computing is coming—and while Bitcoin has risks, the real danger lies in the systems we all depend on every day.
❔What do you think? Will we be ready in time? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
The Market Rewards the PatientLast week was probably one of the slowest weeks I’ve ever had. I found two setups, but neither one truly materialized. They just didn’t meet all the conditions in my plan. It was tough. I won’t pretend it wasn’t tempting to drop my rules and chase other strategies just so I could be in the market.
But deep down, I knew exactly what I wanted. I want to be consistent . I want to trade like a professional . So I held back. All week, I watched and waited. No trades taken. It was boring, honestly . But that boredom protected my capital.
Instead of forcing trades, I spent the entire weekend backtesting , drilling into my strategy even more. I wanted to be sure that when my moment came, I’d recognize it without hesitation.
Then this week started. I didn’t know if it would be any different, but I trusted my process and stayed ready. Eventually, one clean setup appeared. I shared it here on TradingView. I managed my risk properly , took half my usual size at just 0.5%, and let the trade run. It almost hit my stop, but I didn’t touch it. It was simple: either TP or SL .
And this time, it hit TP. A clean 1:4.
This was a powerful lesson. Following my plan didn’t just lead to a winning trade. It protected my capital all of last week when the market wasn’t offering quality setups. That patience and discipline paid off.
That’s how you build consistency. That’s how you survive long enough to catch the trades that truly matter.
9 Essential TIPS For Newbie Traders (Learn from my Mistakes!)
In the today's article, I will reveal trading secrets I wish I knew when I started trading.
1️⃣ Forget about becoming a pro quickly
Most of the traders believe, that you can learn how to trade easily and that it takes a very short period of time in order to master a profitable trading strategy.
The truth is, however, that trading is a long journey.
I spent more than 3 years, trying different strategies and looking for a profitable technique to trade. Once I found that, it took more than a year to polish a trading strategy and to learn how to apply that properly.
Be prepared to spend YEARS before you find a way to trade profitably.
2️⃣ Focus on One Strategy
While you are learning how to trade you will try different techniques, tools and strategies. And the thing is that newbies are trying multiple things simultaneously. The more strategies you try at once, the more setups you have on your chart. The more setups you have on your chart, the more complex and difficult is your trading.
Remember that in this game, your attention is the key.
You should meticulously study each and every trading setup.
For that reason, I highly recommend you to focus on one strategy, one approach, one technique. Test it, try it and look for a new one only when you realize that it doesn't work.
Here is the example how the same price chart can provide absolutely different trading opportunities depending on a trading strategy.
Price action pattern trader would recognize a lot of a patterns, while indicator based trader could spot absolutely different bullish and bearish signals.
Now, try to imagine how hard it would be to follow both strategies simultaneously.
3️⃣ Start with small capital that you can afford to lose
You will lose your first trading deposit and, probably, the second one and potentially the third one as well.
Losses are the only way to learn real trading. While you are on a demo account, you feel like a king, but once you start risking your savings, the perspective completely changes .
For that reason, make sure that you trade with an account that you can afford to lose. The fact of blowing such an account should be unpleasant, but that should not affect your daily life.
4️⃣ Use stop loss
I am doing trading coaching for more than 4 years.
What pisses me off is that the main reason of the substantial losses of my mentees is the absence of stop loss. Why can it be if naturally everyone: from your broker to Instagram trading gurus repeat that day after day.
Set stop loss, know in advance how much you risk per trade, and know the exact level on a price chart where you become wrong.
Imagine what could be your loss, if you shorted USDJPY and hold the trade while the market kept going against you.
5️⃣ Forget about getting rich quick
That is the iconic fallacy. I believe that around 90% of people who come in this game want to get rich quick , want easy money.
And no surprise, when I share a trading setup in my free telegram channel, and it loses I receive dozens of messages that I am a scammer.
People truly believe that professional trading implies 100% win rate and quick and easy money.
The truth is, traders, that trading is a very tough game. And with a good trading strategy, you have just a little statistical edge that will give you the profits that would slightly overcome your losses.
6️⃣ Train your eyes
Professional trading implies pattern recognition: it can be some technical indicators pattern, the price action or candlestick formation, etc.
Your main goal as a trader is to learn to identify these patterns.
Pattern recognition is a hard skill to acquire.
You should spend dozens of hours in front of the screen in order to train your eyes to identify certain patterns.
Here is how many patterns you would spot on GBPUSD chart, paying close attention.
7️⃣ Track and analyze your trades
Study all the trades that you take, especially the losing ones.
Look for mistakes, look for the reasons why a certain setup played out and why a certain one didn't. Journal your trades and make notes.
8️⃣ Don't use technical indicators
Newbies believe that technical indicators should do the work for them.
They are constantly looking for one or a bunch that will accurately show where the market will go.
However, I always say to my mentees that technical indicators make the chart messy and distract.
If you just started trading, focus on a naked chart, learn to analyze the market trend, key levels, classic price action patterns.
Learn to make accurate predictions relying on a price chart alone.
Only then add some technical indicators on your chart.
They won't do the work for you, but will help you to slightly increase the accuracy of a certain setup.
Above is the classic chart of a newbie trader.
A lot of indicators and a complete mess
The same chart would look much better without technical indicators.
9️⃣ Find a Mentor
There are hundreds of trading mentors on Instagram, YouTube, TradingView. Find the one with a trading style that you like.
Follow him, learn from his trading experience, listen to his trading recommendations.
11 years ago I found a guy on YouTube, his name was Jason.
I really liked his free teachings, and they were meaningful to me.
I decided to purchase his premium coaching program.
It was 200$ monthly - a huge amount of money for me at that time.
However, with his knowledge I saved a lot, I learned a lot of profitable techniques and tricks that helped me to become a professional forex trader.
Of course, this list could be much bigger.
The more I think about different subjects in trading, the more important tips come to my mind. However, I believe that the tips above are essential and I truly wish I knew all that before I started.
I hope that info will help you in your trading journey!
Good luck to you.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to Trade the Forex Market on Memorial & Independence days?Trading the foreign exchange (Forex) market on major U.S. holidays like Memorial Day (May 29th) and Independence Day (July 4th) presents a unique set of challenges and requires a strategic shift from typical trading days. While the global Forex market remains technically open 24/5, the closure of U.S. banks and financial institutions leads to significantly reduced liquidity and trading volume, altering the market landscape.
Here’s a comprehensive guide on how to approach Forex trading on these holidays:
Understanding the Market Conditions: The "Quiet" Danger
The primary characteristic of Forex trading on U.S. holidays is a sharp drop in liquidity, especially in currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar (USD). With American traders and institutions away from their desks, the volume of transactions plummets. This "quiet" market environment can be deceptive and carries specific risks:
Wider Spreads: With fewer market participants, the difference between the bid and ask prices for currency pairs tends to increase. This makes it more expensive to enter and exit trades, eating into potential profits.
Increased Volatility and Spikes: Don't mistake low volume for a flat market. With a thin order book, even moderately sized orders can cause sharp, sudden price movements or "spikes." These moves can be unpredictable and may not follow typical technical patterns.
Price Gaps and Slippage: The reduced liquidity can lead to price gaps, where the market jumps from one price to another without trading at the levels in between. This increases the risk of slippage, where your order is executed at a less favorable price than intended.
Ineffectiveness of Some Strategies: Strategies that rely on high volume and momentum, such as breakout trading, are more likely to fail. A perceived breakout may lack the follow-through to become a sustained trend.
Strategic Approaches for Trading on Memorial Day and July 4th
Given the unique market conditions, traders should adopt a cautious and well-considered approach. Here are several strategies to consider:
1. The Prudent Approach: Step Aside
For many traders, particularly novices, the most sensible strategy is to avoid trading altogether on these holidays. The increased risks and unpredictable market behavior can easily lead to unnecessary losses. Consider these days as an opportunity to study the markets, refine your overall trading plan, or simply take a break.
2. Trade with Reduced Size and Realistic Expectations
If you do choose to trade, it is crucial to adjust your risk management:
Lower Your Position Sizes: This is the most critical adjustment. Trading with smaller lots will mitigate the potential impact of sudden price spikes and wider spreads.
Adjust Profit Targets and Stop-Losses: Be realistic about potential gains. The market may not have the momentum for large moves. Consider setting smaller profit targets. At the same time, be mindful that tighter stop-losses can be easily triggered by short-term volatility.
3. Focus on Non-USD Currency Pairs
Since the holidays are U.S.-based, currency pairs that do not involve the U.S. dollar may be less affected, although a general decrease in global liquidity is still expected. Cross-currency pairs such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, or AUD/NZD might exhibit more "normal" behavior than majors like EUR/USD or USD/JPY. However, remain vigilant for lower-than-usual volume across the board.
4. Employ Range-Bound Strategies
In low-liquidity environments, currencies often trade within a defined range. Strategies that capitalize on this behavior can be more effective than trend-following approaches. Look for well-established support and resistance levels and consider trading the bounces off these levels.
5. Be Wary of News from Other Regions
While the U.S. market is quiet, significant economic data or geopolitical news from other regions (Europe, Asia) can still impact the market. With low liquidity, the reaction to such news can be exaggerated. Stay informed about the global economic calendar.
A Day-by-Day Look
Memorial Day (Last Monday of May): This is a major U.S. holiday, and its impact will be felt throughout the 24-hour trading period. Expect very thin liquidity during the Asian and European sessions, which will worsen significantly during what would typically be the busy New York session.
Independence Day (July 4th): The impact of July 4th can sometimes extend beyond the day itself. Often, the trading day before (July 3rd) will also see reduced volume as traders close positions ahead of the holiday. On July 4th, expect market conditions similar to Memorial Day, with a significant drop in activity and the associated risks.
In conclusion, while the allure of a 24-hour market is a key feature of Forex, wisdom lies in recognizing when not to trade with your usual strategy and size. Approaching U.S. holidays like Memorial Day and Independence Day with caution, a revised strategy, and a keen awareness of the risks is paramount for preserving your trading capital. For most, these are days best spent on the sidelines.
Navid Jafarian
Is Bitcoin Still a Hedge? What the Iran Israel Conflict RevealsAs geopolitical tension between Iran and Israel escalates, markets are once again gripped by fear. Oil prices have surged, gold has rallied, and investors are rebalancing portfolios in anticipation of further instability. Amidst this backdrop, Bitcoin's behavior is raising fresh questions about its role as a geopolitical hedge.
Bitcoin’s Initial Reaction: A Spike and a Slip
When the first reports of conflict broke, Bitcoin spiked alongside gold. Many hailed this as proof that BTC was becoming a reliable safe haven. However, just days later, prices retraced by roughly 6 to 7 percent as volatility intensified.
As usual, Bitcoin is still highly sentiment driven. While gold held its gains, BTC mirrored risk on assets with intraday volatility, undermining its hedge narrative.
BTC vs. Traditional Safe Havens
Let’s compare Bitcoin’s performance to:
• Gold: Continued upward trend, record ETF inflows
• Oil: Strong rally due to supply shock fears
• USD: Moderate gains as a traditional reserve asset
Bitcoin’s pullback during peak uncertainty suggests that in times of extreme stress, traditional assets still dominate flight to safety behavior.
What the On Chain Data Shows
Interestingly, on chain activity also hints at caution. Exchange inflows increased slightly after the conflict news, suggesting profit taking or reduced conviction among holders.
Moreover, stablecoin volume spiked in Middle Eastern regions — a signal that users may prefer capital preservation over speculation during geopolitical risk.
The Takeaway: Not There Yet
Bitcoin is maturing, and its response to global events is evolving. But this conflict reveals it is not yet a full fledged hedge like gold or the dollar.
For investors, the lesson is clear: BTC can act as a partial hedge in medium term macro trends, but during sharp geopolitical escalations, traditional assets still lead.
What Do You Think?
Is Bitcoin still on track to become a true safe haven asset? Or will it remain a risk sensitive speculative instrument?
Wait for your EDGE...
Discipline is what separates professionals from amateurs.
Stay patient. Wait for your edge. Let the probabilities work in your favor.
👉 “Agree with this? Hit Boost to spread the message.”
#TradingPsychology #Discipline #BTC #Bitcoin #Forex
#TradingMindset #AlBrooks #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #StockMarket #MJTrading #TradingQuotes #TraderLife #MindOverMarkets
Master Your Edge: It’s Not About Just Being Right
Most traders obsess over being right on every trade. But the truth is, consistent profitability doesn’t come from perfect predictions—it comes from disciplined risk management.
Mark Douglas reminds us:
“Trading is not about being right or wrong. It’s about how much you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
Focus less on proving yourself right, and more on protecting your capital when you’re wrong. That’s how professionals thrive in uncertain markets.
#MJTrading
#TradingPsychology #MarkDouglas #ForexMindset #TraderMindset #EURUSD #TradingQuotes #ForexLife #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #ForexEducation #ChartOfTheDay #PriceAction #MindOverMarkets
Learn The Difference Between Beginner and Expert in Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss the evolution of a mindset of a trader as he matures in trading.
✔️Beginner
For some unknown reasons, beginners assume that a couple of educational videos and books about trading is more than enough to start trading successfully.
They believe that they got a comprehensive knowledge and that very few things remain to learn.
They start trading, but quickly realize that their knowledge is not enough to make even small gains.
✔️COMPETENT
After practicing a couple of years, traders come to the conclusion
that they know everything in that field. That they learned, tested and tried all concepts and techniques that are available.
They consider themselves to be the experts in the field BUT
for some unknown reasons, these traders still are not able to trade profitably.
✔️EXPERT
After many years of learning, training and practicing, eyes finally open.
Traders realize how limited is their knowledge and how much more there is to learn .
While they already have the skills to trade in profits, they understand now that even the entire life is not enough to learn all the subtleties of trading.
And here is a little lifehack for you:
if you are a beginner, embrace a mindset of an expert.
Start from realizing how little you actually know and how much more there is to know, that will help you a lot in your trading journey.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes (FOREX, GOLD)
In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid.
1. No trading plan 📝
That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan.
It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan.
Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly.
2. Overtrading 💱
That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains.
The same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be.
However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable.
3. Emotional trading 😤
There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions.
The second option is the main pick of the newbies.
The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure.
And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections.
4. Having no patience ⏳
Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem.
However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level.
Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits .
5. Greed 🤑
Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game.
It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are.
The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle.
Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision.
6. Big Risks 🛑
Why to calculate lot size for the trade?
Why even bother about risk management?
These are the typical thoughts of the newbies.
Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big.
I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade.
Never ever risk big, especially if you just started.
Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade.
Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss.
However, the ones that I listed above at the most common
and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money.
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How to Calculate Forex Lot Size on TradingView. Free Calculator
Do you know that TradingView has a built-in Forex position size calculator?
It is completely free, it is simple to use, and it does not require a paid subscription to use it.
In this article, I will teach you how to calculate a lot size for your trades on TradingView easily in 3 simple steps.
Step 1 - Setting Up the Calculator
First, open a price chart on TradingView and find a "Trading Panel" button in the bottom of the window.
Click "Maximize Panel" afterward.
In the list of brokers, select " TradingView Paper Trading" and click "Connect".
Paper Trading is built in demo trading account on TradingView.
It does not require KYC or any other verification.
Choose "Account" list box and tap "Create Account" .
Then fill all the inputs with exactly the same parameters as your real trading account has.
Type in your exact account size, leverage and commission rate.
Then click "Create".
TradingView position size calculator is ready to use.
Step 2 - Find the Trading Opportunity
Find a trading setup to trade. Make sure that you know the exact entry level and stop loss.
Imagine that you want to buy EURUSD from 1.0899 price level with 1.08846 stop loss level.
Step 3 - Measure a Proper Lot Size
Right-click on a price chart and choose "Trade" and in the appeared menu select "Create New Order".
Fill the following fields:
"Price" - your entry level,
"% risk" - your desired risk per trade in %,
"Stop Loss price" - your stop loss price level.
Your lot size will be based on the calculated units .
In forex trading 1 standard lot equals 100000 units.
The only thing that you should do is to take the exact units number and divide it by 100000.
In our case we have 704225 units.
704225 / 100000 = 7,04 lot.
That will be your lot size for buying EURUSD with 1% risk for 100000 trading account.
If you apply TradingView for market analysis and charting and your trading terminal does not have a lot size calculator, this method will be the quickest and the easiest to apply for measuring the position size.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NO TRADE? THAT IS THE TRADEToday, I took no trades and I’ll be honest, it was really tempting to break that discipline.
I stared at the chart longer than I needed to. My cursor hovered around the Buy and Sell buttons. My brain tried to convince me that “maybe” this candle meant something. Even though there was no valid sweep, no BOS, and no clean entry into an FVG , the desire to just “be in a trade” was strong.
But I reminded myself:
📌 No Setup = No Trade
📌 Your edge is your lifeline
📌 Discipline is what pays you, not activity
What I felt today is something every trader battles, setup hoping . It’s that mental trap where silence feels wrong, and boredom feels dangerous. But the truth is, boredom is part of being a consistently profitable trader. There are days where your best trade is the one you don’t take.
And I’m proud to say I did nothing.
No revenge trade.
No gambling.
No deviation from plan.
Instead, I observed. I journaled my emotions. I stayed in control. That’s the work behind the scenes: the mental reps that build longevity in this business .
So if you had a quiet session today too, and you resisted the urge to jump in without reason, celebrate that. You're training your mind to trust your system, not your feelings.
Sometimes, the most powerful trade you’ll ever take… is the one you never place.