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RIVN

The similaries between bubbles!On the right side, you see Workhorse and Arrival, two EV makers (with commercial purposes) that lost 92-93% of their value in the past trading year! On the left side, you see Rivian which lost 71% of its value in the past 70 days..! I think there is a high chance Rivian go down to 15(-90% from its top) in a year or so..! current price is 60 which means you may lose 75% of your investment in less than a year! A bubble is an economic cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. This fast inflation is followed by a quick decrease in value or a contraction, which is sometimes referred to as a "crash" or a "bubble burst." Bubbles are typically attributed to a change in investor behavior, although what causes this change in behavior is debated. (Investopedia) www.investopedia.com If you want more examples: SOLO, GOEV, NKLA, and RIDE..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
3
How to know BULLISH or BEARISH next day to CALL or not?I tried trading on some tickers with my logic to determine the Stock Direction BULLISH or BEAR. I looked at timeframe 2H and 4H (mainly 4H), logic: 1. Determine 4H Price > SMA20 then next day is BULLISH, should be CALL (conjunction EMA20 cross up EMA50 then strong market to CALL) 2. Determine 4H Price < SMA20 then BEARISH, don't CALL, should follow before PUT I have been monitoring for 2 weeks and this logic satisfies about 80%.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by binancash
Tesla, Lucid, and Rivian after one month..!On December 20, 2021, I published one article and discussed shorting Rivian could be the most profitable in comparison to shorting Tesla or Lucid..! As you can see in the one month, RIVN is -26.49%..! While Tesla is up 8.74 and Lucid is up 1.6%. I always said there are opportunities in any market if you are keen to find them, your trading mindset should be neutral..! When your willingness to go long or short is equal, then your trading rules plays their role..! Learn how to compare assets and find the best opportunities! Taking the most favorable ones increase your chance of success..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
9
A review on my Rivian analysis..!November 16th, 2021: I think we are 1-3 days away from top formation! November 17th, 2021: Game Over! December 5th, 2021: Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. December 9th, 2021: I think the RIVN chart pattern is very similar to HOOD and it could follow the very ae pattern and experience a sharp constant drop to 60-40 in a Bearish case..! December 20th, 2021: I believe shorting RIVN could be the most profitable in the next few months..! In less than 3 weeks it is 20-30% down! Recommendation: Please read George Soros's book: "The Alchemy of Finance" if you want to avoid such disastrous trades! Unfortunately, people just listen to those who talk to the moon..!
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
5
Tesla,Lucid, or Rivian..?Tesla is the biggest EV maker, Lucid is a Luxury EV maker, And Rivian makes EV trucks that loses 62% of its range if it tows..! And it did not deliver anything so far..! They just manufactured 154 pickups so far! I believe shorting RIVN could be the most profitable in the next few months..! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
12
Is the Sell-off Done in Independent EV Charging Stocks?After an eventful 2021, with EV manufacturer speculation at record highs despite recent deflation, the three most visible independent EV charging station stocks (CHPT, BLNK, VLTA) have had a mostly volatile year with a downward bias after the beginning of the year. Although valuations can still be considered rich given the YTD performance of these three companies and ongoing multiple contraction, the long term growth potential and regulatory tailwinds indicate growth from here is all but guaranteed, especially since the EV manufacturer market is expanding and the expectation of a single manufacturer covering the convenience charging needs of all of America and the world may seem farfetched. Range anxiety of the consumer will presumably mandate EV charging neutrality. The current market share leader of the three, CPHT, seems to be adequately executing a blank check philosophy in pursuit of growth given recent quarterly losses and with the highest sales, some of that growth is undoubtedly priced in given the current market cap. Given the energy revolution taking off and the massive total addressable market, is it possible there will be room for all involved to grow? Of the three mentioned in this post being all near critical support levels, which would you count on to capture most of the growth of this upcoming sector in 2022? Or has the bottom yet to come?
NYSE:CHPT
by MechInvest
Story of Bubbles! George Soros: Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. I started my article with George Soros's quote and will continue with his great wisdom about bubbles! I think he was the one who benefitted from stock market bubbles the most! and this happened because of his approach to identifying and trading these bubbles! George Soros: “When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire,” Most people rushed into buying RIVN or LCID because they think this could be the next Tesla, and they did not want to miss this opportunity! This story is very similar to Workhorse's story in the past 3 years! I published 14 articles about workhorse between September 8th, 2020, and May 6th, 2021. 7 Bullish articles when the price was between 19.78-28.5, and target price of 40-42! WKHS reached 42.96 and closed at 41.32 on Feb 4th, 2021, priced made a top formation, and on Feb 11, 2021, I published a Short analysis when the price was 37.21. My first target price for WKHS short was 20-21 and then modified it to 10-11 and after that 5-4 in my last analysis! WHKS reached 4.92 and closed at 5.01 after 6 months! I wrote about this practical example because I want to mention: 1- The Bubble story repeats based on the same or different misconception that seems real! 2- The price Pattern moves Exponentially in both directions, either the inflation phase or the deflation phase! 3-Less experienced investors think prices will always be back at the previous highs or lows, which is not the case in many cases! 4- If you can not distinguish the different phases of a bubble, you will lose a big percentage of your trading capital! 5- Average Volume Price is the best tool to monitor speculative bubbles. 6- I strongly recommend reading about Reflexivity What Is Reflexivity? Reflexivity in economics is the theory that a feedback loop exists in which investors' perceptions affect economic fundamentals, which in turn changes investor perception. Conclusion: Please review Lucid and Rivian plans for the future! The Lucid goal is to manufacture 400K cars each year! BUT Casa Grande, AZ, is operational with a production capacity to deliver up to 34,000 vehicles per year. Rivian: The company says its factory in Illinois has the capacity to produce up to 150,000 vehicles per year. About 65,000 of those should be R1T pickup trucks and SUVs, and about 85,000 should be the company's RCV commercial delivery vans, Rivian said in financial filings. Delivery so far 154 ..! If you are looking at these numbers, you easily understand that they even don't have any plan to be the next Tesla..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference articles: www.investopedia.com
NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
9
$RIVN Elliott wave I don’t trade based off news events, like earnings, but I was doing the chart and when I finished I didn’t realize earnings come out today. I’m still going to enter my trade, just smaller. I went back and forth on different count set ups… I finally just picked this one as I think it is most consistent with EW rules theory. Green = overall primary structure I’m looking at as the fib points align with the EW impulse counts upwards. 5 blue waves give us a Green wave “i” up and a retrace wave “ii” down to the .618 fib, which falls into a demand zone. *Orange = this came from part of a different count, but keeping it in here. I think it supports completion of Green “ii” down as it supports an ending abcde pattern. I think we are starting Green wave “iii” upwards. Wave 3’s are most powerful. Only “news” I’ll throw into this is it could be a supporting catalyst that with a good earnings outlook, it could really boost the wave 3. Targets upside are $130; $140; and $150
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by PT_Marche
4th biggest Automaker has just deliverd 154 pickups so far!Rivian Automotive reached a 132 Billion dollar market cap which placed it as the 4th biggest automaker in the world after Tesla, Toyota, and Volkswagen. However, in premarket, it has passed Volkswagen and it seems today it will be named as 3rd biggest automaker in the world. It will be as big as General Motors and Ford combined! The question is how long it will hold this market cap??? I remember last February I talked about the EV sector Bubble! This bubble will last for a while and then will blast! So far with 10 billion dar Price volume/day it has enough power to go further, but it will not last very long! and I think we are 1-3 days away from top formation! In the 1930s, economist John Maynard Keynes said: “Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA or an accountant or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by Moshkelgosha
12
SPY - RIGHT ANGLED BROADENING WEDGE- WILD THEORY - BIG BULL RUN?All, Yes, given the nature of the world this is a stretch, however throw away news and say its priced in. Follow me, right angled or any broadening descending wedge usually bullish aka oversold yadda yadda. One of the most powerful patterns out there by a long shot. Anyways of course they have large dips similar to what we see now. Why this pattern? Notice pattern current (wedge bullish angled) -> next pattern (wedge/falling wedge) extremely bullish patten (only if both wedges hold/break then are powerful). So when you combine these + trend that is what makes a bullish descn wedge possible. because it goes half way up drops down but holds onto a strong trend and takes it the rest of the way. Just follow this and lets see what happens I think most big stocks are way way over sold 30-60% retraced. I think this makes a ton of sense to make a bull run here and then I think most likely fail and break trend. Once again just noticing the patterns/theory. 1000000% be careful but worth watching.
AMEX:SPYLong
by DigitalData
PYPL- SPEED FAN BOUNCE - TRADE OF THE YEAR- BE PATIENTAll, This is almost too perfect. Weekly everything lining up. WATCH THE SPEED FAN BOUNCE AT BOTTOM. This Speed fan bounce and trend line bounce is going to be EPIC. This is a $200-$210 PT. Then bounce down on speed fan down to 190s 180s again then it should break 220+. How you want to play that is up to you I am aiming for 200-210 the second it gets 185-180. Risk I am willing to take. I see this as easily 200%+ considering IV is in the shi**er. Probably long term 400-600% assuming market doesnt tank or something news related. Fib trend bounce here Fib retracement here Stoch RSI literally dead at 0 reg RSI sub 20 WEEKLY holy hell long term trend line underneath $180
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by DigitalData
4
$RIVN Rivian Motors TA Upcoming Week$RIVN Rivian Motors Technicals for upcoming week. NOTES: - Rivian Motors has had ATH @ $180/s last week with a break correction currently at $128 - WATCH RVIN line at $120: -- IF The lines breaks the stock can have a down-trend towards $95/s range -- IF There is a bounce, stock will continue up-trend towards $180/s range --Crucial that you watch that line within the next few days FUNDEMENTALS: - We typically only do technical here, but important to know that as of writing this the stock futures are -200pnts currently.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by MARKETLYTICAL