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USO - Oil Prices are Rising LONGUSO follows the futures prices of oil barrels. On this 30 minute chart, price falls have been rejected by the POC line of the volume profile and the Lux Algo Donchian channel has transitioned from downgoing to trending up. The dual TF RSI of Chris Moody now shows RSI holding above 50 in both the 15 min and 60 min TFs. Net distribution has bottomed out and accumulation now exceeds distribution. I see this as an excellent entry to buy calls above the money at $70 or look into shares of USO / UCO/ GUSH ETFs or look at any of the oil sector stocks including well services which are typically small caps with great upside volatility with price action momentum. My favorite of those is BORR which currently is trending up and may have much of its move ahead. The ascending parallel channel of USO is perhaps a signal for the sector at large.
AMEX:USOLong
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL 3X / Triple Leveraged Natural Gas ETFon the 4H chart is showing a round bottom reversal at the bottom of the high voume area and rose over the POC line of the intermediate-term voume profile. Price now has room for a 50% move to the top of the high volume area at $ 52. The chart shows the relative volume indicator supports a long buy as does the dual time frame RSI. A speculative call option trade would be $60 in 4 months while a safer call option would be in the money @ $30 in 7-9 weeks. I am also looking at UNG, LNG and XNGUSD on forex.
AMEX:BOIL
by AwesomeAvani
4
ROKU runs to Earnings ROKU on the 15- minute chart with an overlaid volume profile and anchored VWAP bands demonstrates a high volume area breakout on Tuesday last week having passed through the entire high volume area bottom to top the previous 24 hours. On those days it had a burst of volume. The volume is constant and consistent. Earnings are in two days. More volume spiking has been seen in the last trading session. I see this as an excellent long trade setup as a swing trade for the rest of the week into next if the earnings are better than they were last November
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by AwesomeAvani
Groupon is pushing into earnings LONGGRPN on the 15 minute chart here with a volume profile overlaid hada high volume area breakout from mid December to mid January but then retraced and broke down. It consolidated for one week about the POC line gained some accumulation and then moved back up again. It broke above the high volume area on January 25th then retested it with a light touch on Feb 5th getting support in the rejection. The relative volume has picked up consistent with Wychoff theory ( this is not a fakeout). I see this as an excellent long trade through the upcomng earnings. The dual time frame RSI indicator can be useful to gauge strength minute by minute and so pinpoint entries and exits.
NASDAQ:GRPNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
HE - get it long before the sparks flyHE is obviously an underdog given what happened in Maui and the aftermath of the disaster. It has that baggage and the ankle weights of litigation public perceptions, electical power infrastructure and all the rest. Seemingly it is weathering the storm. The 15 minute chart shows a ranging price action really going no where until last Friday when volatility struck from a surge of volume. Price jumped out of the high volume area and volume has persisted and so the high volume area widened. The fast RSI in green moved in quick momentum as compared with the slower RSI in red. This is a golden cross of the lines showing a surge of strength. I will take this long. The earnings announce BMO. The make the past possible trade it must be done in the premarket and without a stop loss since my broker does not offer them in the premarket. An options trade will be after earnings depending on what is reported. This is a risky trade so the position will be small relative to buying power.
NYSE:HELong
by AwesomeAvani
TMV Triple Inverse Treasury Bill ETF LONGTMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising. The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside. The RSI indicator shows the fast RSI rising and crossing over the slower RSI while the relative volume indicator shows increasing volumes reacting to the price bottoming and accumulation underway. I see this as a long trade set up while recognizing that fundamentals such as interest rate adjustments and inflation data could impact the technicals.
AMEX:TMVLong
by AwesomeAvani
UNG rising in the cold of winterAS shown on a 4H chart, UNG which tracks natural gas futures has been rising now for three weeks with the typical demand of the winter months and the cold weather impacting new supplies while Russia's war continues. Volumes are relatively high while dual TF ( 4H and 1Week) crossed the 50 line on December 28. Price has now crossed over the Fib -.5 line of the downtrend from October and has that line and the anchored intermediate term VWAP for support and the setting of a stop loss ( strength in confluence) I see this as a setup for a long swing trade of UNG or BOIL or XNGUSD on forex or any of the gas companies ( LNG) to trade commodities while the equity markets get sorted out.
AMEX:UNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is DKNG a bettable buy?As shown on the daily chart DKNG has been on a clean rise this entire year now up 100% over the first six months. An earnings report is due in about three weeks. Sports betting may have some seasonability and most of all collegiate and professional sports are in the off season at this time. No matter, the chart shows a steady rise since the last earnings ( small) beat in an ascending channel between two and three standard deviations above the mean VWAP anchored one year ago. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both RSIs at about 70 and so not overbought. Trading volumes are steady and consistent. The relative volatility indicator shows some increases in the past 9-10 trading days. Overall, I believe that DKNG is suitable for a long swing trade which I will close just before earnings.
NASDAQ:DKNGLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Will Novavax NVAX go higher? SHORTNVAX popped today for a price jump of more than 20%. Canada agreed to pay out on a contract for COVID vaccines it now does not want in the amount of $350M. This is hardly enough to the fundamentals of the company overall. So the question arises, have traders and / or investors overreacted to a one time bonus which is essentially revenue without overhead and expense. My opinion is that this is an overreaction and that the price will drop after the pop hits a high. Buying long right now is essentially the risk of buying a high that will not go higher. On the Chris Moody dual RSI indicator, the longer one hour TM in black is over 75 while the shorter 5 minute TM in blue has peaked and dropped from 95 to 60. This is in essence bearish divergence. The other indicator, the mass index, shows the value arriving at the reversal zone where a drop to below 26.5 will be the trigger. Overall, for both fundamental and technical reasons, I will enter a short trade on NVAX expecting a correction / pullback from the pop the stock got after a one-time bonus of a payout for not producing unneeded vaccines.
NASDAQ:NVAXShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
AMZN Do Bearish Divergences Predict a Reversal? SHORTAMZN has ascended 15% in the past two months. As shown on the 4H chart, dynamic resistance has been the red lines designating two standard deviations above mean VWAPs are anchored in February and early May. The two indicators however suggest bearish divergence. The zero-lag has lower highs and lower lows on the K / D line excursions. The Chris Moody dual RSI shows the RSI on the blue daily time frame dropping and crossing under the black weekly time frame RSI. Fundamentally, according to the linked article AMZN typically drops 0.34% on Prime Day. Based on all of this, I am expecting a reversal. Upon confirmation, I will short Amazon in a possible Fibonacci style retracement.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by AwesomeAvani
3