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sideways in weekend downtrend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggle to extend Thursday’s recovery from the $3,309 region—a one-week low—consolidating within a tight range during Friday’s Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to retreat from its peak since June 23, pressured by dovish signals from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller. Additionally, growing concerns over US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies and their potential consequences for global growth are keeping investors cautious, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal. These factors collectively help limit deeper losses in Gold, though the metal lacks clear bullish momentum for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving sideways, accumulating in the downtrend line, not much fluctuation in weekend news ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3293-$3295 SL $3288 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3318 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Gold price moves sideways above 3320⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices advanced during the North American session, gaining 0.78%, supported by headlines suggesting US President Donald Trump had discussed firing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Although Trump later denied the reports, calling it “highly unlikely” unless fraud was involved, the speculation lifted demand for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,348, after briefly reaching a daily high of $3,377 following Trump-related headlines. According to Bloomberg, Trump floated the idea during a meeting with GOP lawmakers focused on cryptocurrency regulation, noting that most attendees reportedly supported Powell’s removal. Beyond political drama, softer US economic data and ongoing geopolitical tensions also underpinned gold’s gains. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below expectations but remained above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Meanwhile, Israeli airstrikes in Syria helped limit downside pressure on bullion, though Gold’s upside remained capped below the $3,400 level following the recent US consumer inflation report. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price moves sideways in the price range of 3306 - 3380, accumulating and waiting for information on US tariffs and interest rates ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299 TP1: $3318 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3343 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
downtrend, back to 3300 gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) inch higher in early Asian trading on Wednesday, recovering part of Tuesday’s sharp decline to multi-day lows, though follow-through buying remains limited. Lingering uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates, continues to dampen risk appetite. This weaker market mood is providing modest support to the safe-haven metal. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) eases slightly after Tuesday’s surge to its highest level since late June, which is helping gold stabilize. However, persistent speculation that the Fed may delay rate cuts, following a slight uptick in US inflation, continues to bolster the greenback and could cap further gains in gold. Traders remain cautious and await today’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for clearer direction. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Selling pressure, break 3340 downtrend line continues. Economic news is helping DXY recover ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3383 SL 3388 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299 TP1: $3318 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3343 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall? Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market. Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation. 🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle 1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval. As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher. This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat. ✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell. Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend. ❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high. Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop. Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. 2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds: 1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving). 2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards. 3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market. 4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling. 5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market. 6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets. 🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes. 3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out: 📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%. 📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%. 📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%. 📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%. 🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation. 🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes. 4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash? After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving). Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure. Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC. Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices. The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom. Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle. This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period. The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026 ✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025). ✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026). ✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle. Final Thoughts If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly. Sources & Data Validation The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including: Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics) Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers) Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research) Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles) Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
10
Accumulated above 3300, market is sideways⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices posted modest gains on Wednesday, supported by a pullback in US Treasury yields, even as the US Dollar remained firm against major currencies. Market sentiment continued to be driven by trade developments, while the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes revealed that policymakers are still leaning toward a rate cut in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,312, up 0.31%. The FOMC minutes indicated that the majority of Fed officials believe a rate cut this year would be appropriate, with a few members open to the possibility of initiating a reduction as early as July—provided the economic data continues to align with expectations. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered to 3320, mainly still accumulating, waiting psychology on current tariff situation of countries ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3358- 3360 SL 3365 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3245-$3247 SL $3240 TP1: $3256 TP2: $3269 TP3: $3280 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
downtrend, gold price below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under pressure during Wednesday’s Asian session, slipping below the $3,300 level and hitting their lowest point in over a week. The decline comes amid growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain interest rates at elevated levels for an extended period, especially as expectations rise that aggressive US tariffs could fuel inflation in the months ahead. This outlook has driven US Treasury yields higher and kept the US Dollar (USD) anchored near a two-week high reached on Tuesday — a key headwind for the non-yielding precious metal, which continues to face downward pressure as a result. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price breaks support, DOW H1 formation, gold downtrend below 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3344- 3446 SL 3351 TP1: $3335 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3302 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3256-$3254 SL $3249 TP1: $3268 TP2: $3280 TP3: $3298 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
EUR/USD Technical ReversalThe daily EUR/USD chart shows a clear rejection at the 1.1830 resistance, aligned with the 0% Fibonacci level, following a sustained upward move. The rejection candlestick pattern, combined with the formation of an ascending channel, suggests buyer exhaustion and a potential start of a correction. Fibonacci projections indicate key support zones at 1.1198 (38.2%), 1.1000 (50%), and 1.0800 (61.8%). A sustained break below the ascending trendline and the intermediate support zone (highlighted in yellow) would reinforce the correction scenario, with a potential target at 1.0176 (100% Fibonacci). Decreasing volume and the lack of new significant highs further support the reversal hypothesis. Momentum analysis (RSI and MACD, if present) should be monitored for additional confirmation of the weakening bullish trend. From a fundamental perspective, the correction may be triggered by divergences in ECB and Fed monetary policies, as well as recent macroeconomic data favoring the US dollar. EUR/USD is showing clear technical signs of reversal after rejection at a key resistance. Loss of the 1.10 and 1.08 supports could accelerate the correction toward 1.0176. Close monitoring of upcoming candles and momentum indicators is recommended for confirmation of the move.
Long
by jeffersonmld
1
Bears pressure early week below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) face renewed selling pressure, dipping toward the $3,320 level during the early Asian session on Monday. The pullback comes as June’s stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report has reshaped market expectations around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy path. Investors now turn their attention to the upcoming release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday for further guidance. The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations and slightly up from May’s revised figure of 144,000. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.1%. These figures reinforced the view that the labor market remains resilient, thereby lowering the odds of an imminent Fed rate cut. As a result, the US Dollar has strengthened, weighing on non-yielding assets such as Gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downtrend at the beginning of the week, gold price returns to accumulate below 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3337- 3339 SL 3344 TP1: $3328 TP2: $3312 TP3: $3300 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3297-$3295 SL $3290 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
stable tariffs, gold price impact reduction✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/30/2025 - 07/04/2025 ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices plunged over 1.5% on Friday as risk appetite strengthened, fueled by a combination of positive geopolitical and economic developments. Easing tensions between Israel and Iran, the formal trade agreement between the United States and China, and continued efforts by Washington to strike new commercial deals with global partners lifted market sentiment—dampening demand for safe-haven assets like bullion. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,274, having pulled back from an earlier high of $3,328. On Thursday, the White House confirmed the signing of a long-awaited trade pact with China, marking an official end to the protracted trade war. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick also indicated that additional agreements may be finalized ahead of the July 9 deadline ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Information on tariff negotiations is gradually becoming stable and favorable. Information on inflation showing signs of increasing, dxy increase is also a temporary pressure causing gold price to return to the 3200 mark. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3307, $3348, $3390 Support: $3248, $3202 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2