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BigCommerce | BIGC | Long at $7.15BigCommerce NASDAQ:BIGC is growing. Revenue in FY2020 was $152 million and in FY2024 it rose to $333 million. In 2025, the company is targeting $342.1M-$350.1M revenue with focus on B2B growth. Free cash flow in FY2024 was positive for the first time at $22 million. Stay cautious, however, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6x... insiders have recently grabbed $100k+ in shares as well as awarded themselves options. While the price gap near the mid $5 range may be closed in the near-term, the longer-term outlook here seems positive unless the company fundamentals change. The price has also entered my historical simple moving average zone/lines, which is often a bullish signal. Thus, at $7.15, NASDAQ:BIGC is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 $11.00
NASDAQ:BIGCLong
by WorthlessViews
$SHOP’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE?NYSE:SHOP ’S Q4 2024—E-COMMERCE KING OR OVERHYPED HUSTLE? (1/9) Hey Tradingview crew! Shopify’s Q4 2024 is dropping jaws 📈🔥! $2.81B in revenue—31% YoY blast—$94.5B GMV, and a fat cash flow flex. Is NYSE:SHOP the champ or just flexing? Let’s rip it open! 🚀 (2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLOWOUT • Q4 Revenue: $2.81B, +31% YoY—smoked $2.73B est. 💥 • Subscription: $666M, +27% • Merchant Solutions: $2.15B, +33% • EPS: $0.44, edged $0.43 est. 📊 • FCF: $611M, 22% margin— GETTEX:25M over est. NYSE:SHOP ’s cash machine is humming! (3/9) – BIG WINS • GMV: $94.5B, +26%—fastest since ‘21 🚗 • Full Year: $8.88B revenue, +25.78% 🌍 • 3-Month Trials: New twist for Q1 ‘25 subs ✅ • Enterprise: 114 deals in 10 quarters—B2B up 132%! X is buzzing— NYSE:SHOP ’s scaling like a beast! (4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN • Market Cap: ~$151.5B, P/E 81, P/S 14.3 🌟 • Vs. NASDAQ:BIGC : Lagging, $CRM/ NASDAQ:ADBE : Broader focus • NYSE:SHOP ’s 31% growth smokes peers—$94.5B GMV flexes Pricey, but is it a steal for this hustle? X debates! (5/9) – RISKS TO DODGE • Amazon & WooCommerce: Claws out for NYSE:SHOP ’s turf 📉 • Economy: Slowdown could choke GMV ⚠️ • Tariffs: Duty hikes loom— NYSE:SHOP ’s got tools, but ouch! • Costs: Intern army in ‘25—cash burn risk? X says watch out—trouble’s lurking! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Revenue: 31% YoY—$2.81B Q4 fury 🌟 • FCF: 22% Q4 margin, 18% ‘24 🔍 • Global: 33% GMV growth, EMEA +37% 🚦 NYSE:SHOP ’s an e-commerce titan—X can’t look away! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: High P/E 81, merchant reliance 💸 • Opportunities: Enterprise boom, AI tools, price hikes 🌍 Can NYSE:SHOP turn hype into gold? X wants to know! (8/9) – NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is fire—where’s it headed? 1️⃣ Bullish—$151.5B king keeps slaying 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s hot, but risks bite 3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation’s a trap, crash incoming Vote now—let’s brawl it out! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL BLAST NYSE:SHOP ’s Q4 is a $2.81B thunderclap—GMV soaring, cash flowing 🌍. But competition and costs lurk. Undervalued rocket or overhyped bubble?
SLong
by DCAChampion
4
Shopify (SHOP) AnalysisCompany Overview: Shopify NYSE:SHOP is a leading e-commerce platform that continues to grow by expanding into AI-driven solutions and fulfillment services, aiming to optimize merchant growth. Shopify is positioning itself as a major player in the e-commerce ecosystem, particularly with Shopify Plus, which is gaining momentum among large retailers. Key Catalysts: AI-Powered Tools for Merchants 🤖 Shopify is integrating AI-driven solutions to enhance marketing, inventory management, and checkout optimization, which improves merchant retention and adoption. Enterprise Growth 📈 Shopify Plus is experiencing strong adoption among larger retailers, helping diversify revenue and reduce the company's reliance on small businesses. This supports more stable growth. Long-Term E-commerce Growth 🌐 With e-commerce projected to grow at a 9.5% CAGR through 2030, Shopify holds a 10% market share in the U.S., positioning it for long-term growth in an expanding digital marketplace. Financial Strength 💰 Free cash flow margin rose to 19%, underscoring Shopify’s robust financial health and ability to reinvest in future growth initiatives. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on SHOP above the $102.00-$105.00 range, driven by AI expansion, growing enterprise adoption, and strong cash flow. Upside Potential: Our price target is $170.00-$172.00, reflecting the company’s dominance in e-commerce and its ongoing innovations. 📢 Shopify—Shaping the Future of E-Commerce and AI. #Ecommerce #AIExpansion #SHOP
SLong
by Richtv_official
Shopify Inc | SHOP & AIShopify stock has seen sideways momentum for the last few weeks despite posting good results in the recent quarter. One of the reasons is the bull run in early 2023 due to which the stock has seen over 60% jump in year-to-date. Shopify has been able to reignite revenue growth in the last few quarters and there are strong tailwinds that can help the company improve its topline. At the same time, Shopify has been able to improve the conversion of Gross Merchandise Value or GMV into revenue due to better services. Shopify’s GMV has increased 11x between the last quarter of 2016 and the last quarter of 2022. During this time, Shopify’s quarterly revenue base has increased from $130 million to $1.7 billion or 13x. Shopify’s GMV for 2022 was $195 billion and rapid growth in this key metric should help the company improve monetization. The company has also undertaken some cost-cutting which is having a positive impact on the bottom line. Analysts have forecasted Shopify’s EPS at $1 for fiscal 2025 which means that the stock is trading 60 times the EPS estimate of 2025. However, better monetization and focus on cost optimization could help the company deliver good EPS growth in the next few quarters. The PS ratio is also at 12 which is significantly lower than the pre-pandemic years. Shopify stock can deliver good returns in the long term as the company adds new services and improves its GMV growth trajectory. Shopify reported a GMV of $5.5 billion in December 2016 quarter. This has increased to $60 billion in the recent December 2022 quarter. Hence, Shopify’s GMV has increased to 11 times within the last seven years. On the other hand, Shopify’s revenue during the December quarter has increased by 13 times, from $130 million to $1.7 billion. This growth trend shows that the company is able to convert more GMV into actual revenue. One of the main reasons behind this trend is that Shopify is adding new services and it can charge customers a higher commission for these services. Shopify’s GMV for 2022 was a staggering $195 billion. The company has been able to reignite revenue growth in the last few quarters. The YoY revenue growth hit a bottom of 15% in June 2022. Since then the YoY revenue growth has picked up again as the company faces easier comps. In the recent quarter, the company reported YoY revenue growth of over 30% which is quite high when we consider that the GMV base of Shopify is more than $200 billion. The revenue growth will not build a bullish momentum for the stock unless the company can deliver sustainable profitability. During the pandemic years, Shopify’s revenue growth and high EPS helped the stock reach its peak. The company would need to focus on profitability in the next few quarters in order to rebuild a long-term bullish rally. Shopify has divested from its logistics business which should help improve the bottom line. We should also see better monetization of current services as the company tries to build new AI tools. The EPS estimates for 2 fiscal years ahead have steadily improved in the last few quarters. According to current consensus, Shopify should be able to deliver EPS of $1 in fiscal year 2025. However, it is highly likely that Shopify will beat these estimates as the company launches new initiatives to improve monetization of its massive GMV base. Shopify’s trailing twelve months EPS during the peak of the pandemic went to $2.6. If the company can get close to this EPS rate by 2025, we should see a significant bullish run in the stock. The recent cost-cutting should also help the company improve the bottom line. We have seen a similar trend in all the Big Tech companies who have reported a rapid growth in EPS as their headcount was reduced. While most analysts agree over the long-term revenue growth potential of Shopify, some of them are wary of the pricey valuation of the stock. Shopify is trading at 12 times its PS ratio. This is quite high when we compare with most of the other tech players and even Shopify’s peer like Wix (WIX), Etsy (ETSY), and others. However, it should be noted that Shopify’s PS ratio is significantly lower than the average PS multiple prior to the pandemic when the stock had an average PS ratio of over 20. Shopify’s revenue estimates for 2 fiscal years ahead is close to $10 billion which is equal to annualized revenue growth of over 25%. If we look at this metric, Shopify stock is trading at 7 times the revenue estimate of fiscal year 2025. This looks reasonable if the company can also manage to improve its EPS trend over the next few years. The long-term tailwind from ecommerce growth is still very strong. Shopify will benefit from an increase in GMV and a higher ecommerce market share in key markets. This should help the company gain pricing leverage over other competitors and also improve its monetization momentum Shopify has reported a faster revenue growth rate compared to its GMV growth in the last few years. This shows that the company is able to charge higher rate for additional services. There has been an acceleration in revenue growth over the last few quarters. Shopify has also divested from logistics services which were pulling down the profitability of the company. Shopify could deliver over 20% YoY revenue growth for the next few years as the company gains from strong tailwinds within the ecommerce business. If Shopify regains its earlier ttm EPS of $2 by 2025, we could see a strong bull run within the stock. While the stock is not cheap, it seems to be reasonably valued and longer-term investors could gain a better return from Shopify, making the stock a Buy at current price.
SLong
by moonypto
2
LIKE I SAID: SHOPIFY WAS THE NEXT RETAIL STOCK TO FLY📢 Before all the BIG accounts start swarming all over NYSE:SHOP like flies on 💩, remember this call in the chaos! 🤪 Catalyst: Big earnings beat prediction based on NASDAQ:AAPL and NASDAQ:AMZN results and a strong consumer outlook. Trade Setup: Entry, Stop Loss, Price Targets. Next Retail Stock: Prediction on the next big retail stock to fly. #HIGHFIVESETUP: My proven trading strategy. Valuation: Detailed analysis based on my valuation analyzer. Let's continue to crush it together in this amazing community! I appreciate you all! ♥️
SLong
by RonnieV29
2
Shopify ain't done yet! Pullback then Higher, 50% Move Inbound! Shopify ain't done yet! Pullback then Higher, 50% Move Inbound! NYSE:SHOP is going higher and presenting a buying opportunity! 50% Potential Upside! 📈 In this video, we dive into NYSE:SHOP , an Ecommerce powerhouse, currently breaking out of a Multi-Year Cup n Handle Pattern! 💡 Key Highlights: -H5 Indicator: Flashing green for a bullish signal -Flipping a 4-year resistance area to support -Volume Insights: Massive GAP to fill -Technical Analysis: Consolidation box formed on WR% Targets: 🎯$110 🎯$121 📏$160 🎯$180 Don't miss out on the potential explosive growth of Shopify! Tune in to see why this stock could be a game-changer! NFA
SLong
by RonnieV29
Shopify (SHOP): Preparing for a Long-Term Entry at $49.62Considering Shopify, the situation is unfolding as we anticipated. We expected the beginning of 2024 to potentially mark the peak for Shopify with the completion of Wave (1), indicating a Wave 2 correction. This correction is likely to find support between the 63.8% and 78.6% retracement levels. Currently, the pattern is showing lower lows and lower highs, suggesting that further price declines may occur, potentially closing existing gaps. Our strategy is still developing, but we plan to place a long-term entry at $49.62 with a stop-loss at $31.
SLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
SHOPIFY (SHOP) Explosive Breakout Rally with Earnings Boost!The Shopify (SHOP) weekly timeframe chart showcases a massive breakout, driven by exceptional Q3 earnings performance. The stock has successfully hit Target 2 (TP2 at $109.30), with the remaining targets TP3 ($132.50) and TP4 ($146.84) in sight. SHOPIFY (SHOP) Stock Key Technical Highlights: Clear Entry at $71.76 : The bullish momentum initiated a long trade setup, confirmed by the breakout above critical levels. Earnings Power-Up : Shopify's Q3 revenue surged 26% year-over-year, reaching $2.16 billion, and net income hit $828 million. This exceptional growth propelled the stock price up 22% to $109.81 post-earnings release, further cementing the breakout rally. Dynamic Moving Averages : The RISOLOGICAL Lines (all GREEN lines) beautifully supports the rally, reflecting strong upward momentum. SHOPIFY Trade Analysis: Risk-Reward Balance: The stop-loss (SL) placed at $60.16 offers an optimized risk management strategy. Profit Potential: With TP2 already achieved, the path toward TP3 ($132.50) and TP4 ($146.84) looks promising, driven by positive market sentiment and strong fundamentals. Final Words: Shopify's post-earnings rally demonstrates a perfect confluence of technical and fundamental strength. Keep a close eye on volume and momentum as the next targets approach!
SLong
by ProfitsNinja
SHOPIFY: The next Retail Stock to Take Flight! NYSE:SHOP 🚀 SHOPIFY: The Next Retail Stock to Take Flight! 100% MOVE INBOUND! 🚀 Share this so all retail investors are prepared before earnings next Tuesday! In this video, we’ll cover: 1️⃣ Fundamental Analysis: A deep dive into Shopify using my Valuation Analyzer. 2️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup N Handle Pattern: What this means for $SHOP. 3️⃣ High Five Setup: How Shopify meets my proven trading strategy. You’ve seen NYSE:PLTR at ATHs, and NASDAQ:SOFI , NYSE:HIMS , and NASDAQ:TSLA pushing higher. We’re already in these trades, but staying ahead of the curve and finding the next big opportunity is key. Shopify is that next big opportunity IMO. We’re among the first to the party, and it’s not crowded… YET. My Mission: I aim to build a community that empowers traders to find their path and thrive. But I need your help to make this happen. Here’s What You Can Do: Share this post and the FREE video analysis I’ll release after the market closes on this company like wildfire. Let’s hit 1k friends and grow this community together! BUCKLE UP! IT'S A BANGER! 🎆 LIKE IT! ♥️ SHARE IT! 🔁 JOIN US! 📈 BOOKMARK IT! You are amazing, and I love you all! 🫶
SLong
by RonnieV29
9
Shopify: Commerce SuccessShopify continues to dominate the e-commerce platform space, making significant strides in expanding its ecosystem for businesses of all sizes. As the company integrates more deeply into social media and international markets, Shopify is well-positioned to benefit from both consumer demand and business needs for seamless online selling. This strong presence in the global e-commerce sector makes Shopify a compelling investment for those looking to capitalize on the continued shift to online retail. NYSE:SHOP Financial Performance Revenue Growth: Shopify reported revenue of $2.05 billion for Q2 2024, representing a 20.7% year-over-year increase. The company’s annual revenue is on track to exceed $7.76 billion in 2024, up 23.18% from the previous year. This strong growth has been driven by the expansion of its merchant solutions and Shopify Payments​ Earnings Beat: Despite macroeconomic headwinds, Shopify has maintained its profitability, with earnings coming in stronger than expected for several quarters. Analysts have upgraded the stock, citing its ability to continue growing in a competitive space Cash Flow: Shopify’s cash flow has remained robust, driven by its diversified revenue streams, including subscription solutions and payment services, allowing it to reinvest in international expansion and new technologies. Strategic Expansion & Innovations Social E-Commerce & Partnerships: Shopify has expanded its integration with social media platforms like YouTube, allowing more merchants to embed shopping experiences into video content. This positions Shopify to capture more sales in a fast-growing segment of e-commerce​ Cloud Infrastructure: The company continues to invest in improving its cloud-based infrastructure, allowing it to scale efficiently as more merchants come onboard. Its Shopify Plus platform, designed for larger enterprises, has seen significant growth. International Expansion: Shopify has continued its aggressive expansion into international markets, particularly in Europe and Asia, increasing its merchant base and revenue potential globally. Technical Analysis Stock Performance: Shopify’s stock has rebounded strongly from its lows earlier in the year, trading at $78.68 as of September 2024. This represents a 4.6% increase from the previous week. With a price target now upgraded to $99 by some analysts, there’s potential for a continued upward trend​ Valuation: Shopify’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is around 13.04, which, while high, is justified by its strong revenue growth and market-leading position. This suggests that investors are paying a premium for its potential to continue expanding rapidly​ Fundamental Perspective Shopify is one of the most compelling plays in e-commerce and SaaS. While it doesn’t currently pay a dividend, its high growth rate, strong financial performance, and strategic innovations make it an attractive investment for those looking for exposure to digital commerce. Upcoming Earnings Dates Q3 2024 Earnings: Expected November 2, 2024 Q4 2024 Earnings: Expected February 5, 2025 Shopify’s continued focus on social commerce and international growth makes it a strong buy for long-term investors, particularly those looking to ride the wave of e-commerce expansion globally. $78.68 NYSE:SHOP
SLong
by lognomics
Despite positive earnings, $shop still going to new lows.The earnings reaction was positive today which saw shares of shop go up over 20%, however we're already fading the news. The big picture is that we're in the process of a larger market wide correction that will bring all stocks down with it. If we look at the chart, even with the news today, price has just formed another lower high and is setting up for a large move lower. I don't think we'll see a bottom be put into the market until we test $31 or lower. Base case is we likely hit the two lower supports on the chart. Let's see what happens in the coming weeks.
SShort
by benjihyam
1
Shopify Surges 22% on Strong Q2 Earnings and Upbeat ForecastShopify Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:SHOP ) experienced a remarkable 22% surge in its stock price following its second-quarter earnings report, which significantly exceeded Wall Street expectations. The Canadian e-commerce giant showcased impressive growth in key financial metrics, despite a challenging consumer spending environment. Financial Highlights - Earnings per Share (EPS): 26 cents, surpassing the 20 cents expected - Revenue: $2.05 billion, beating forecasts of $2.01 billion - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV): Rose by 22% to $67.2 billion, outpacing the $65.8 billion consensus estimate Shopify’s success is attributed to its robust demand for services that support online merchants, including software solutions, advertising, and payment processing tools. The company's ability to navigate a mixed consumer spending landscape underscores its strong market position. Strong Performance Amid Consumer Caution Despite a cautious consumer spending environment, reflected in recent earnings reports from e-commerce rivals like Amazon, Etsy, and Wayfair, Shopify reported solid growth. The company’s GMV soared 22%, highlighting its ability to capture market share even as broader economic conditions impact consumer behavior. Jeff Hoffmeister, Shopify’s CFO, remarked that the company continued to gain market share, driven by its diverse clientele and robust platform. “Our merchants are outperforming and doing better than others,” stated Shopify President Harley Finkelstein, emphasizing the benefits of the company's broad and varied merchant base. Key Metrics and Achievements - Merchant Solutions Revenue: Increased by 19% to $1.5 billion, driven by GMV growth and Shopify Payments adoption - Subscription Solutions Revenue: Grew by 27% to $563 million, bolstered by a rise in merchant numbers and pricing increases - Gross Profit: Up 25% to $1.0 billion, with a gross margin of 51.1% - Free Cash Flow: Increased to $333 million, compared to $97 million in the same quarter last year - Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR): Rose 25% to $169 million, with Shopify Plus contributing 31% Positive Outlook for Q3 2024 Shopify (NYSE: NYSE:SHOP ) provided an optimistic forecast for the third quarter. The company expects revenue growth in the low-to-mid-20s percentage range year-over-year and anticipates a slight increase in gross margin. Additionally, Shopify projects a free cash flow margin similar to Q2 2024 and expects to maintain a double-digit free cash flow margin for the remainder of the year. Shopify’s impressive performance amidst a mixed consumer spend environment highlights its strategic positioning as a leader in e-commerce solutions. By focusing on diversified merchant needs and enhancing its platform's capabilities, Shopify continues to strengthen its role in global commerce. Industry Context The company’s success contrasts with challenges faced by other e-commerce players, who have reported cautious consumer spending. Shopify’s ability to thrive despite these headwinds showcases its resilience and strategic advantage in the e-commerce sector. Technical Outlook As of the current time, Shopify stock (NYSE: NYSE:SHOP ) has experienced a notable increase of 22.3%. This significant surge is supported by a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 58, indicating the likelihood of further price escalation. Additionally, the daily price chart presents a distinct upward gap, suggesting that market dynamics may lead to this gap being filled in subsequent trading sessions. In summary, Shopify's strong quarterly results and positive outlook reflect a company that is not only weathering economic uncertainties but also thriving in a competitive market. As it continues to expand its offerings and drive growth, Shopify remains a standout player in the e-commerce landscape.
SLong
by DEXWireNews
Lean and Prep for WEEK 7.1.24I am a discretionary trader. This means there are some weeks in the year when I wait and watch what’s going on. From here, there are 3 potentials - 1-We keep ranging here and the stocks keep choppy. In this case, it is waste of premiums. 2-We drop. In this case it is better to wait for lower levels to find attractive setups. 3-We rally. If this happens, I am pretty sure something nice and attractive will show up on my radar which I will share. Stay Frosty!
CME_MINI:ESU2024
by Beyond_Charts
Shopify ($SHOP) Reported Q1 Revenue for 2024Canadian e-commerce platform Shopify ( NYSE:SHOP ) has reported its slowest quarterly revenue growth in two years, with its U.S. shares slumping 20.5% in premarket trading. The company's core clientele, small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), have been more susceptible to the hit from sticky inflation. Analysts estimated current-quarter revenue to grow 19.35%, according to LSEG data. The company expects operating expenses to be up at a low-to-mid-single digit percentage rate for the second quarter, compared with a 4% fall in the first three months of the year. Shopify ( NYSE:SHOP ) reported first-quarter revenue of $1.86 billion, compared with analysts' average estimate of $1.85 billion. Excluding items, earnings of 20 cents per share also topped expectations of 17 cents. Shopify Inc. ( NYSE:SHOP ) announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2024. Harley Finkelstein, President of Shopify, said that the company had a strong start to the year, building on the performance of 2023, delivering year-over-year revenue growth for the quarter of 23%, or 29% when adjusting for the sale of its logistics businesses, combined with 12% free cash flow margin. First-Quarter Financial Highlights Gross Merchandise Volume1 ("GMV") increased 23% to $60.9 billion, an increase of $11.3 billion over the first quarter of 2023. Revenue increased 23% to $1.9 billion compared to the prior year, resulting in a year-over-year growth of 29% after adjusting for the sale of its logistics businesses. Merchant Solutions revenue increased 20% to $1.4 billion compared to the prior year, driven primarily by the growth of GMV and continued penetration of Shopify Payments. Gross Payments Volume2 ("GPV") grew to $36.2 billion, representing 60% of GMV processed in the quarter, versus $27.5 billion, or 56%, for the first quarter of 2023. Subscription Solutions revenue increased 34% to $511 million compared to the prior year, driven by the growth in the number of merchants and pricing increases on our standard subscription plans. Monthly Recurring Revenue as of March 31, 2024 increased 32% to $151 million compared to the prior year, driven by continued growth across all of our subscription plans. Gross profit dollars grew 33% to $957 million compared to the prior year. Gross margin for the quarter was 51.4% compared to 47.5% in the first quarter of 2023, driven primarily by the lack of the dilutive impact of the logistics businesses and changes in pricing from standard plans, partially offset by the continued growth of Shopify Payments. Free cash flow was $232 million compared to $86 million in the prior year, and free cash flow margin for the quarter was 12% compared to 6% in the first quarter of 2023.
SShort
by DEXWireNews