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Shorteuro

Overall Bearish Outlook EURUSD SHORT 1.) Price is in the monthly/weekly supply zone. Price has had trouble breaking this zone and I think price was just consolidating and gathering momentum to make a bearish push. 2.) Price formed a double top, after an uptrend. A double top formation at the end of an uptrend can signal a potential reversal. 3.) After forming a double top, price then broke the neckline. Once price breaks the neckline of a double top/double bottom formation, it is common to expect price to retrace to the neckline and meet resistance before making another impulse. 4.) I think price will create another impulse to the downside and am looking to take profit near the 50.0 fib level.
Short
by NoCeilingsTrading
Euro Dollar to spike before a Sell-Offthe pair is completing a complex corrective cycle labeled as W,X,Y, which in my opinion can be already done and we will start looking to short the pair from current levels. however because of the US Elections today im assuming there might be a more Complex scenario that can push the euro higher to an extended wave (X) before falling down. thats why i will be putting sell limit orders on the eurusd near 1.1899-1.1905 with a tight stop loss near previous high trying to avoid the noise or the volatility during Election Results. Good Luck Traders!!!!!!
Short
by josephdahrieh
EURUSD Rejected from critical areaThe EURUSD gor rejected from 100% fibonacci level near 1.1880. at the moment the pair retraced to trade near 61.8% critical level if broken and we witnessed a 4hrs candle close below 1.1820 we might see further momentum for the downside. potential finishing a W,X,Y wave might take euro dollar to new lows belo 1.1600 level. lets not forget the bearish monthly candle from last month " engulfing pattern". no doubt that the ranging market was taking over the markets recently however an impulsive wave is expected soon.
Short
by josephdahrieh
1
Fundamentals and Analysis: Sterling Pound with chances of buy!!! Remember that in yesterday I make a technical analysis of this par, we see that this par wan't to change the trend, also remember that in macrotrend as weekly or montly we are in the higher zone of possibles sellers and supply zone. This is a weekly panoramic and we see that Euro is weakness!!! We are in this distributtion zone from the year 2016 Now, for your convenience, if you are left Daily timeframe, I make for you this technical analysis in H4 timeframe, the key in H4 it's seem bearish as we see in Daily timeframe. We are in this simetric triangle and into this grant simetric triangle, look up that is a distributtion zone and that mean a chartist pattern a continuation of the bear scenario. Also, i show my favorite indicator RSI, we see that RSI in H4 is below of 50, that is an extra confirmation of sell. And also, we see that we could see a drop of 150 pips, that is your perfect target profit as to me. Fundamentals: 1. Pound Sterling to Euro exchange rate up but gains may be limited 2. Following last week's modest tumble, the Pound is also edged higher today. Sterling is gaining on a riskier market mood, but the currency's gains may be limited. 3. Sterling attempts to benefit from market sentiment 4. Pound exchange rate appeal limited as "second wave" coronavirus fears rise 5. The pound briefly saw a jump in demand last week. Investors reated to news that the bank of England 2020 economic forecasts were not as dire as they had been in May. 6. The pound's benefit from this news was limited. Sterling was sliding again towards the end of the week, as concerns about the possibility of negative rates in the UK weighed on the currency's outlook alongside Brexit jitters. 7. Euro exchange rates pressured as rivals attemp recovery. 8. Investors have found the Euro broadly appealing in recent months 9. Investors are hesitant to keep buying Euro even higher following its long period of gains. 9. Investors are opting to buy Euro agains the rivals on the cheapest level if the Euro is go to sell for limited time. 10. Pound to Euro exchange rates awaiting UK Job Market Data
Short
by harisonhbn9718
1
WHAT THE EURUSD CAN TELL US ABOUT THE US STOCK MARKETAs you can see, it looks as we are preparing for a correction in EURUSD (So as of now, I am short. However I fully expect a possibility of a range). What does being short tell us? It means in the near future (weeks-months because this is a daily chart) the USD could gain some value to its Euro counterpart. How would the USD gain its value? A great way would be if interest rates are hiked by the FED, giving the USD more attraction to foreign currency investors. This rate spike would counter inflation but we all know what a rate hike would do to the economy- slowwwww down. This would in turn go along with what we have been discussing in the markets lately as the SPX and DJX have been facing. It is a huge stretch and this should really be interpreted as a EURUSD trade- but- it could mean a stronger dollar in the future CAUSED by higher interest rates- slowing the economy and stock market growth.
Short
by samblum_
EURUSD SHORT SETUPHere we have yet ANOTHER setup for EURUSD shorts, this setup needs to be followed EXACTLY in order to not enter a losing position on this trade. We need this current strong candle and current low to find a bottom then retrace up to my sell zone (two red horizontals). From the sell zone, look for sniping opportunities on lower time frames to enter sells toward the take profits given (horizontal greens). WE MAY NOT REACH THE SELL ZONE. In this case, look for a false break of the black trend line. I will also take sells from there. IF WE KEEP FALLING, and get NO RETRACE, then we may have missed our trade. I will only sell based on a solid bullish pullback given there is an opportunity on a 1hour, 30min, or 15min chart. HAPPY TRADING!
Short
by samblum_
RELATIVE VALUE: BEST EXPRESSION OF BREXIT - GBP VS USD, JPY, CHFAn analysis of which LONG has the best value against the short GBP to play the Brexit. [ - GBPUSD has a target handle of 1.385. - GBPJPY target handle at 1.483. - GBPCHF target handle at 1.335 . - IMO currently i rule out GBPUSD short, as USD doesnt have the same "risk-off" demand as CHF and JPY. Also USD and GBP economies are perhaps the most highly correlated, both economically and politically out of the pairs hence Brexit downside may/ will spill over into USD uncertainty also and may cause a lack of USD demand relatively to the unlinked regions of JPY and CHF. Not to mention GU has moved 400-500pips lower (the most) in a week and short liquidity is getting tighter - i think momentum is slowing in this pair - it isnt making any lows. Also at 1.41 there is little interest to get short/ for new shorts to be added as we near the all time low handle at 1.38 - hence JPY/CHF denominations which arent at all time low levels are better expressions of downside GBP. - I think a dynamic and better way to play the BREXIT vote is using a long CHF or JPY denominator as you get a "two-way" short. e.g. investors will be actively buying JPY and CHF to hold a risk-off asset, that hedges against volatility/uncertainty/risk that the Brexit possibility holds (even more so if polls continue to become more skewed to a Leave vote - Guardian recently posted 55% in favour of the leave) - thus by denominating CHF or JPY you benefit from the demand momentum AND the Supply momentum of everyone wanting to sell/get rid of GBP as uncertainty and perceived risks/vols increases. - Therefore, Given the further 300pips of downside available in GBPCHF downside (300pips) relatively to JPY (100 pips) it has some way to to fall yet - especially once investors begin to realise JPY is an over expensive risk-off asset, they will demand CHF more as the next best/ cheapest way to hold safety AND GBP downside. - Also, since Sunday night short GBPJPY has performed twice as well as GBPCHF (2x as many pips lower - however this means that now GBPJPY is becoming oversold so we should choose short GBPCHF now). The GBPJPY 2x move lower vs GBPCHF is unsurprising as historically investors seek JPY first, until long liquidity tightens (overpriced) then they seek CHF as the next best alternative. However it is important to note, that in most high risk occasions, at the point of the event CHF and JPY eventually end up at the same levels e.g. it is a time horizon difference, JPY isnt necessairly better than CHF in the long run, JPY just receives liquidity BEFORE CHF, but not more than CHF in the end. - Illustrating this - GBPCHF has lost the LEAST to date in pips compared to GBPJPY and GBPUSD over the last while - hence why currently GBPCHF is the best short/ has the most pips available to short. Thus assuming you have missed the short GBPJPY I advise now adding GBPCHF short as we have 300 pips until the nearby handle at 1.338 (rather JPY only has 100 pips to the handle at 1.483). -Also one other element to note, is that EUR pairs e.g. EURJPY and EURCHF are also relatively cheaper than GBPJPY and GBPCHF - short EUR numerated shorts are also the next best/ next most valuable shorts after GBP numerations. Hence - imo once GBPCHF reaches the handle at 1.335 I will be looking to short EUR numerations as they are still relatively cheaper (The demand is for GBP as GBP is the most sensitive), however short EUR is the next most sensitive numerator as the EUROZONE is the next most affected ccy, since the UK EU Referendum directly impacts Euro area economy. Volatility demand: - Also not to mention GBPJPY and GBPCHF 1wk and 1m risk reversals in the long run are becoming negative at a higher rate/ momentum compare to USD e.g. investors are buying GBPJPY and GBPCHF Puts at an increasingly faster rate than GBPUSD puts (the change of the RR values are increasingly negative more than the GU - The GU RRs are almost already fully priced). Hence we are no
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading