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BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence** The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants. **Technical Infrastructure Analysis** The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination. **Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics** The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems. **Smart Money Positioning Mechanics** Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation: 1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks. 1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation. 1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity. **Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics** The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. **Market Microstructure Implications** This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target. **Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy** The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters: - **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range) - **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC) - **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600 - **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation) **Forward-Looking Market Structure** The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared. This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition. *Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*
Long
by NorthBayJay
Internal and external liquidity Here's another mechanical lesson for you. In my last post I covered a mechanical technique to identify swing ranges. Rule-based, simple and repeatable. In this post, I want to share another little technique, again part of the mechanical series. But this time I want to talk about liquidity. Most traders talk about liquidity, they might even have a grasp of what it is. But most do not know how liquidity forms the sentiment and how that creates a type of algo for the market. You might have heard of Elliott wave theory. There is a saying along the lines of "you ask 10 Elliott traders for their count and you get 11 answers". But the point is here, when you simplify the concept, it's clear to see that sentiment caused by liquidity swings is what causes a repeatable pattern in the market. Let's take the idea of the ranges from my last post. Now after a fair amount of accumulation, this level becomes "defended" - the price will gradually move up until old short stop losses are tagged and new long entries are entered into. This allows the institutional players to open up their orders without setting off the alarm bells. Price then comes back from external liquidity to find internal liquidity (more on this in a later post). But then it looks for the next fresh highs. As the highs are put in, we can use the range technique to move our range to the new area as seen in the image above. Next we will be looking for an internal move, not just internal to the range, but a fractal move on the smaller timeframe that drives the pullback down. See this in blue. The logic here is simple; on the smaller timeframes we have witnessed an accumulation at the 2 region and as we spike up for 3; we will witness a distribution on the smaller timeframes. Wyckoff called this the accumulation, followed by a mark-up and then the distribution and a mark-down. It is this pattern, over and over again that leads to this type of structure. This will then be re-branded by various analysts who will call it things like a head and shoulders, smart money will see a change of character and a retest before breaking the structure. This is all the same thing - just a different naming convention. Again, I hope this helps some of you out there! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
10
BEARISH SWING SETUP ON EU The last setup I posted was bullish and did give a good reaction that I took as confirmation however the trade did not play out. This then caused a bearish choch on the daily and price has since pulled back and is now showing bearish structure. Both swing and internal structure on the 4H timeframe and above are bearish so that is the direction I'm following right now. Fractal structure on the 4H is currently bearish and I will continue trading in that direction targeting January's low.
Short
by Keyserfx
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description: This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup. Trade Setup: Entry: Between 103,300 and 104,500 Take-Profit Levels (TP): 101,897 99,825 97,565 95,208 Stop Loss (SL): Above 105,975 Analysis and Confluences: Market Structure: Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Supply Zone: The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate. Fibonacci Confluence: This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area. Liquidity Sweeps: Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside. Bearish Targets: The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208. Trade Plan: Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering. Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits. Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
Short
by AdasX
1
BTC CMEAfter touching the weekly BISI, the price dropped behind the stops in the shorts, the daily BIs became an inversion and gave support to the price without pushing it down. If this is a Екгьз rally, we will see how the price will react within 4 hours, a selling pattern is formed, there is inefficiency, a block of refusal is possible, which can lower the price to 0.5 range Will this move be to fill the weekly BISI again or will it continue to send orders up? Now those who entered long have opened positions, I think the price will follow their stops
CME:BTC1!Short
by Jojo2075
BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by AdasX
2
$BITF - Bottom In?Hello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:BITF you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. Posting a fresh idea here for NASDAQ:BITF now that the bottom should be in. Keeping with the Bullish narrative of CRYPTOCAP:BTC we can assume NASDAQ:BITF will once again see another projection higher back to its 2024 ATH (All Time High) of $3.91. I will post further Exit/ TP objective as we see NASDAQ:BITF move out of its current consolidation.
NASDAQ:BITFLong
by WolfAdams
$COIN - Update: Buy + TPHello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:COIN you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. My original post: UPDATED IDEA: NASDAQ:COIN moving nice with CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this 2024-2025 Bull Run! Remember, NASDAQ:COIN basically mimics CRYPTOCAP:BTC so we want to trade them in a similar fashion. As you can see NASDAQ:COIN is still trading below the $368.90 High & the ATH of $429.54. I am expecting those levels to be traded to as CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues higher. The chart showing "Swing Protection TP 1" based on our current swing we left ($283-$149) is giving us a projection of $419.61. That being said, if you wish to add to your NASDAQ:COIN holdings at ~$318 (or lower), you have upside available to take profits. Please note: $429.54 ATH is a good objective. Will NASDAQ:COIN go higher with this bull run? IT all depends on when CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops out - I will update you then or follow along with my CRYPTOCAP:BTC exit strategy... Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy :
NASDAQ:COINLong
by WolfAdams
BTC Under $100k, Where Do I Buy?Hello Friends, For those of you looking to capitalize on Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time. While we are currently in consolidation under $100,000 USD, note the current Dealing Range we are in (chart). Below that Fib 50% Dealing Range, we can look for Buys. I also want us to consider the possibility of losing that +OB (Bullish Orderblock), we can expect lower prices - based on Daily/ Weekly chart. Should that occur - Start looking to accumulate/ Buy sub $86,760. My ideal entry will be at $85,158.42 Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy:
FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by WolfAdams
2
Bitcoin ATH: Potential Retracement Zones and Key LevelsBitcoin current price now is 76k surpassed ATH at 14 March 2024, after surge more than 13% we may see increased speculation and bullish momentum driving the price higher. However, if Bitcoin struggles to maintain upward momentum near this level, we may witness a retracement before the next significant move. Retracements are a common and healthy part of price movement, providing the opportunity for consolidation before the next leg up. On the chart, we observe several retracement levels marked by Fibonacci retracement levels, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that may act as areas of support if Bitcoin's rally takes a breather. 1. The first potential support level sits at the 0.5-0.62 retracement level. This zone represents a modest pullback and would allow Bitcoin to establish a higher base without losing its bullish structure. This level falls within an FVG, which might reinforce the zone as a strong support if Bitcoin pulls back to this area. 2. A deeper retracement could see Bitcoin testing the 0.705-0.79 retracement level. This level could attract more significant buying interest, as it represents a meaningful correction or extreme discount zone that provides an attractive entry point for new buyers. 3. Green zone (OB) signaling areas of potential liquidity where buyers might enter aggressively to capture value. Trendline Support and Horizontal Levels Trendlines provide insight into Bitcoin's directional bias. A rising trendline, indicated in yellow on the chart, has been guiding the recent rally and could serve as dynamic support in case of a downturn. If Bitcoin respects this trendline, it would suggest a continuation of the uptrend, with the trendline acting as a safety net for any dips in price. This would allow BTC to pull back and consolidate while maintaining its upward momentum. Another significant level is marked as "rH" around $73,787, a former resistance level that could now act as support. If Bitcoin retraces to this level and finds support, it could reinforce bullish sentiment and potentially lead to another rally attempt. Volume Analysis We also see moderate trading volumes, indicating sustained but cautious buying activity. An increase in volume at higher prices would strengthen the case for a continued rally, as it would demonstrate robust market interest. Conversely, if the volume decreases during a pullback, it may indicate that sellers lack conviction, suggesting that the retracement could be brief and limited to consolidation.
by Perseusx01
A Deeply Undervalued Play in Retail Tech Space (NASDAQ: AZ)A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp, (NASDAQ: AZ) a cutting-edge retail technology company, is poised to redefine the shopping experience with its advanced smart cart technology. Operating in a market that is rapidly transitioning from traditional checkout systems to more sophisticated, data-driven tools, A2Z Cust2Mate finds itself at the forefront of this technological revolution. However, despite its robust prospects and impressive offerings, the company’s share price remains depressed, largely due to a lack of visibility among investors. As the market becomes more familiar with A2Z’s unique value proposition, there’s potential for a significant re-rating of its stock, which is currently deeply undervalued. The retail technology sector is undergoing a major shift, with the global market for smart retail systems projected to experience substantial growth in the coming years. As traditional self-checkout systems face increasing scrutiny due to inefficiencies and security concerns, smart cart technology is emerging as a viable and attractive alternative for retailers. A2Z Cust2Mate’s smart carts offer a seamless shopping experience that combines real-time item recognition, personalized promotions, and automatic checkout capabilities—positioning the company as a key player in the evolution of the retail industry. Globally, the demand for smarter retail solutions has been driven by the need for enhanced customer experiences and improved operational efficiencies. Retailers are investing in technologies that can reduce shrinkage (theft) and optimize in-store experiences. A2Z’s smart carts not only solve these pain points but also provide retailers with valuable data insights that can be leveraged for targeted advertising and better customer engagement. Peer Valuation A2Z Cust2Mate is currently trading at a significant discount compared to its peers in the retail technology space. Companies like Standard Cognition and Tracxpoint, which operate in similar sectors, have garnered valuations exceeding $1 billion. Meanwhile, A2Z’s current market capitalisation stands at around $45 million, a stark contrast that highlights the company’s deep undervaluation. Competitors like Caper, which was acquired by Instacart at an approximate 35x revenue multiple, further emphasize how much upside potential A2Z could have if properly valued. The primary reason for A2Z Cust2Mate’s undervalued stock price is a lack of visibility and awareness among investors. While the company has secured notable contracts and developed a highly innovative product, its achievements have flown under the radar. This lack of recognition in the market has led to a disconnect between the company’s intrinsic value and its current share price. Furthermore, the challenges posed by the broader market, such as delays due to geopolitical events and operational hurdles, have weighed on investor sentiment. However, as A2Z continues to execute on its growth strategy, especially with the upcoming release of its cost-effective third-generation smart carts, visibility is likely to improve. The company’s ability to secure larger, long-term contracts will serve as key catalysts for investor interest, helping to close the valuation gap. With a peer group that commands significantly higher valuations and a proven track record of securing contracts with major retailers, A2Z presents a compelling investment opportunity. As visibility increases and the company continues to deliver on its promises, there is considerable potential for the stock to re-rate to its true value. At a current price of around $0.86 per share, A2Z offers a significant upside, with a target price of $3.00 reflecting the company’s long-term growth prospects. For investors seeking exposure to innovative retail technology, A2Z Cust2Mate is a stock worth watching.
NASDAQ:AZLong
by HASHInvests200
NASDAQ: AZ | Tap Dancing into the $26.7 billion Self-Service MarHate queuing to checkout in supermarkets or hypermarkets? A2Z Cust2Mate Solutions Corp (NASDAQ: AZ) might be the company you need to add to your watchlist. AZ is a leading global provider of innovative technology solutions, specialising in smart cart platforms – and this is not just any ordinary smart cart. Let me explain. AZ’s flagship smart cart product is set to revolutionise the retail self-checkout market. It features in-cart weighing capabilities, making it especially convenient for checking out produce like fruits and vegetables. Additionally, the smart cart offers navigation features and seamless checkout functionality, all while incorporating robust security measures to prevent theft – a critical concern for retailers. In simpler terms, imagine walking into a supermarket with one of AZ’s smart carts, doing your shopping, and checking out as you go. No more queues. Currently, AZ provides its solutions to Yochananof, Israel’s fourth-largest retail chain, and Carrefour, the largest retailer in France with over 3,500 stores. The company is also making significant inroads into the US market. Why is the US market such a game-changer for AZ? Let’s take a closer look. According to Grand View Research, the US self-checkout systems market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.3%, reaching $26.7 billion by 2028. There are even rumours that AZ is in discussions with a number of leading US retail chains, which will mark as a significant milestone for the company. How Does AZ Generate Revenue? AZ operates on a scalable Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, which allows for easy expansion while also facilitating valuable data collection for future advertising opportunities. Here's how the revenue streams break down: Initial Setup Fees. Retailers bear one-third of the cost, with the remaining two-thirds covered by AZ. The setup costs range between $1,000 and $2,000 per smart cart, and AZ expects a payback period of approximately six months. Subscription Model. Retailers pay a monthly fee ranging from $100 to $200 per cart. Currently, AZ has over 5,000 smart carts deployed, creating a steady stream of recurring revenue. Additional Services. AZ also offers services related to data and advertising, providing valuable consumer behaviour insights to product owners. This capability could be a game changer, enabling brands to obtain highly accurate data on consumer purchasing patterns. With this scalable business model and recurring revenue, AZ is well-positioned for future growth. However, recent volatility in the US market has put downward pressure on AZ’s stock price. Despite this, AZ's strong fundamentals and innovative business model present significant growth potential, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
NASDAQ:AZLong
by HASHInvests200
$SSE is on the way to reach 30 centsHello Guys, I am going to analysis chart #SSE token in daily time frame As you can sse the volume is increasing in Bitmart and BingX and potential targets for 2024 are around the area of $0.15 - $0.30 The chart on Bitmart is not clean but in the BingX you can see the chart more reliable and analysis important levels. According to the fundamental analysis, SSE is the utility token of Soroosh Smart Ecosystem and using as a payment method and Staking and transaction fee in SorooshApp. So my forecasting is the team are developing the project fast and significant demand gonna be generated for the token according to the project roadmap. Good Entry levels are around 0.0065 - 0.0080 and it could be growth more than 500% from this levels by the end of 2024 See you in the next technical analysis guys
by sorooshx
1
Bullish Dollar Within a Trading Range. TVC:DXY is currently trading in a consolidation pattern and is located in the premium end of the trading range between 104.447 and 103.013. The August 30 candle swept the short term daily sellside liquidity at 103.013 into the Weekly BISI fair value gap which was nearly totally rebalanced. Upon leaving the Weekly FVG range, it was repriced to the premium end of the range, forming a daily BISI Fair Value Gap. Sept 4th trading range appears to still be forming a Daily BISI fair value gap in which I expect price to protract into early in the week before either staying in a consolidated range or move higher toward daily and weekly buyside liquidity pools toward the daily Volume Imbalance. Price points of interest: D.Volume Imbalance: 105.278 & 105.125 Wk.Buyside Liquidity: 104.700 D.Buyside Liquidity: 104.447 D BISI Fair Value Gap: 104.025 high & 103.740 low D. BISI Fair Value Gap: 102.771 high & 102.654 low.
TVC:DXYLong
by DenisRisticFX
1