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SMCI

Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Awaiting the Final Leg DownWe are considering a bullish scenario for SMCI, but it's not time to act just yet. We continue to believe that we are still in Wave (2) and that one more leg down is needed before we can see a surge higher, potentially breaching the all-time high at $1,229. Although the stock has already retraced more than 60% since reaching this ATH, we think there's still room for a bit more downside. We believe we are in Wave C of the ABC corrective movement, and typically, this Wave C contains a five-wave structure (in this case, moving downward). This five-wave structure hasn't fully played out yet, as you can clearly see. Even though a lot of longs have been opened at $512, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, we believe this is just Wave ((iii)). We're not looking to short this stock but are instead waiting to see if our analysis holds true so we can go long once we have more clarity on the ending of Wave ((iv)). This will help us better determine the end of the overarching Wave (2).
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
SMCI rebounding on its 2-year Support Zone. $2000 next stop.Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is on its strongest 1W green candle since May 22 2023, recovering the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was broken last week amidst the general market panic on a potential economic slowdown. This rebound happens to take place just inside the 2-year Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 2022. The ultimate Support, the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) is exactly on that Zone's bottom and as long as it holds, we will stay bullish on SMCI long-term. Even the 1W RSI marginally broke below its 2-year Support Zone, but immediately recovered it. As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) to start. Every single one of the previous Legs of this 2-year pattern has been higher than the previous, so since the last rally completed a +344.40% rise, we expect at least a repeat of this. Our long-term Target is $2000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) Plummet 20% on Weak Earnings ReportSuper Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ), once a darling of the AI investment world, is experiencing a dramatic downturn. The company's stock plummeted after a disappointing earnings report revealed a significant margin squeeze, casting a shadow over its previously rosy outlook. The AI gold rush had propelled Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SMCI ) to new heights, with its shares more than doubling in 2024. Investors were betting big on the company's ability to capitalize on the soaring demand for AI servers. However, the recent decline has raised serious questions about the company's long-term prospects. A Perfect Storm SMCI's troubles stem from a confluence of factors. Firstly, the rapid shift to more expensive AI chips has eroded profit margins. The company's attempt to lower prices to compete with rivals like Dell and HP has exacerbated the issue. Secondly, supply chain challenges and component shortages have added to the cost pressures. While the company maintains an optimistic long-term outlook, the immediate future appears bleak. Analysts warn that the stock's lofty valuation, relative to peers like Dell, makes it particularly vulnerable to market volatility. Technical Analysis: A Bearish Outlook SMCI's stock price has broken down from a descending triangle pattern, a bearish technical indicator. The stock is now trading below its crucial 200-day moving average, signaling a potential long-term trend reversal. Investors will be closely watching key support levels at: $496: Potential buying interest could emerge around this level, which would fill a gap from January’s impulsive move higher. $357: Another support level where the stock may find a horizontal line connecting past swing highs. $260: A significant correction could lead to support around this trendline, linking June 2023 highs with levels from August to December 2023. What's Next for Super Micro? The AI market remains undeniably promising, and SMCI's position as a key player in the industry cannot be ignored. However, the company must address its margin issues and navigate the challenges of the evolving AI landscape to regain investor confidence. As the dust settles from the earnings report, investors will be scrutinizing SMCI's actions to mitigate the margin squeeze and its ability to maintain its competitive edge. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but the company's long-term success hinges on its ability to adapt and overcome these hurdles. Will Super Micro be able to rebound from this setback, or is this just the beginning of a more prolonged decline?
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by DEXWireNews
Earnings Watch: August 6th Airbnb (ABNB 🏠) The travel accommodation giant is expected to report an EPS of 0.91 and revenue of 2.73B. With a solid beat rate of 85%, can Airbnb surpass expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.98 and revenue of 2.48B. Fortinet (FTNT 🔒) Fortinet is projected to deliver an EPS of 0.41 and revenue of 1.40B. Holding a beat rate of 71%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.38 and revenue of 1.29B. Super Micro Computer (SMCI 💻) The company is set to announce an EPS of 8.10 and revenue of 5.31B. With a beat rate of 72%, will SMCI impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 3.51 and revenue of 2.18B. Coupang (CPNG 📦) Expected to post an EPS of -0.01 and revenue of 7.37B, Coupang has a mixed outlook. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.08 and revenue of 5.53B. Sunrun (RUN ☀️) The solar company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.33 and revenue of 515.16M. With a beat rate of 50%, will Sunrun manage to impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.25 and revenue of 590.19M. Redfin (RDFN 🏠) Redfin is expected to deliver an EPS of -0.26 and revenue of 291.58M. Last year, they reported an EPS of -0.25 and revenue of 275.55M. Shopify (SHOP 🛒) The e-commerce platform is expected to report an EPS of 0.20 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 58%, can Shopify exceed expectations? Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.14 and revenue of 1.69B. Disney (DIS 🎥) The entertainment giant is set to announce an EPS of 1.20 and revenue of 23.11B. Holding a beat rate of 77%, will Disney continue to enchant the market? Last year, they reported an EPS of 1.03 and revenue of 22.33B. Lyft (LYFT 🚗) Expected to post an EPS of 0.19 and revenue of 1.38B, Lyft has a beat rate of 80%. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.16 and revenue of 1.02B. CVS Health (CVS 💊) CVS is projected to deliver an EPS of 1.73 and revenue of 91.51B. With a beat rate of 88%, investors are keen to see if they can maintain their streak. Last year, they reported an EPS of 2.20 and revenue of 85.27B. Monster Beverage (MNST 🥤) The beverage company is expected to report an EPS of 0.45 and revenue of 2.01B. With a beat rate of 42%, will Monster impress the market? Last year, they delivered an EPS of 0.39 and revenue of 1.87B. Lumen Technologies (LUMN 📡) The telecom company is anticipated to report an EPS of -0.06 and revenue of 3.24B. Last year, they reported an EPS of 0.10 and revenue of 3.66B. 🔍 As these giants reveal their financial health, it's not just about the numbers but also the story they tell about the consumer market and economic trends. Keep your portfolios ready for any surprises! #EarningsSeason #StockMarket #InvestmentInsights
NASDAQ:SMCI
by WallSt007
SMCI: The Next Major Inflection Point! (D&W charts)On the daily chart, the stock experienced a notable downward breakout, moving sharply below a confluence of trendlines that had previously served as support. This breakout is significant as it suggests a strong bearish momentum, possibly indicating a shift in investor sentiment. The price is below the 21-day EMA, and there is no bottom signal on it yet. In our previous public SMCI analysis, I warned you about this trend line, as a downwards breakout would frustrate any possibility of a bullish thesis, mid-term speaking. The link to our previous study, here on TradingView, is below this post. Transitioning to the weekly chart provides a broader perspective, showing the stock's performance over a longer timeframe. Here, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level stands out as the next significant support level following the recent declines. This specific Fibonacci level is often watched by traders for potential reversal zones and could act as a strong area of interest for buying activities if prices were to reach this point. The weekly chart also underscores a general downtrend after failing to maintain higher levels, which aligns with the bearish sentiment observed on the daily chart. The consistency of lower highs further emphasizes the pressure on the stock. Overall, the convergence of these technical factors across different timeframes suggests that SMCI may face continued downward pressure in the near term, with crucial support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level possibly serving as a pivotal area for the stock's next directional moves. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
Long way to go from here Current situation: SKILLING:US100 : NASDAQ:SMCI is currently at support level. Potential scenario: If tomorrow's earnings do not meet expectations, the stock could drop to around $450 in a heartbeat. Why? 1. The movement that started on 4.03.2024 appears to be an ABC correction, and the stock is currently in wave C of that correction. 2. In an ABC correction, the most common Fibonacci level for wave C is when Wave C = Wave A = 1 = $446 3. Other indicators, such as MACD, are also indicating a downward trend as expected. The WavesInvesting indicator is also pointing to the same level as the Fibonacci ratio for its lower channel line. However, if the earnings turn out to be very good, we may see support at the current level. Simple question for you: support or down the water slide we go?
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by WavesInvesting
SMCI You won't be able to catch this rally after it starts.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started: We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on the long-term. As you can see, every time in the past 18 months that the stock formed an Accumulation Phase this long, it then posted an incredible rally of +417%. Throughout this process, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) always remained intact and supported. The rally started when the 1D MA200 got to its closest with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the exact situation we're at right now. As a result, we expect the parabolic rally to start any day now and as the title says, once it starts it will be difficult to catch. Typically entries within the Accumulation Phase should be done while it lasts. Our long-term Target is intact at $3500 (exactly +417% from the recent Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
2
Lean and Prep for WEEK 7.1.24I am a discretionary trader. This means there are some weeks in the year when I wait and watch what’s going on. From here, there are 3 potentials - 1-We keep ranging here and the stocks keep choppy. In this case, it is waste of premiums. 2-We drop. In this case it is better to wait for lower levels to find attractive setups. 3-We rally. If this happens, I am pretty sure something nice and attractive will show up on my radar which I will share. Stay Frosty!
CME_MINI:ESU2024
by Beyond_Charts
SMCI: Breakout Ahead?Daily Chart: On the daily chart, SMCI is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. The price has been making higher lows, suggesting accumulating buying pressure. The resistance level around 972.44 is crucial. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, if it fails to break through, it might revisit the lower boundary of the triangle or even the 21-day EMA, potentially testing investor sentiment and patience. Weekly Chart: In the weekly chart, the stock is exhibiting a flag pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong upward move. The price has been consolidating between the 38.20% and 50.00% Fibonacci retracement levels, which often act as support during pullbacks. A breakout above the flag pattern's upper boundary could resume the prior uptrend, potentially reaching new highs. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower boundary and the 50.00% retracement level, it could signify a deeper correction, possibly toward the 61.80% retracement level. Conclusion: Considering both time frames, SMCI is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish potential. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 972.44 on the daily chart and the boundaries of the flag pattern on the weekly chart. A break above these levels could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, caution is warranted if the stock fails to break these resistances, as it might signal a possible retracement or a period of further consolidation. Therefore, monitoring these levels closely will be crucial in anticipating the stock's next significant move. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
10
SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross. As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
3
🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI BANANAS RECOVER FROM THE BEARISH HUGSIt’s hard to believe that only a few short years ago, Super Micro stock was trading for $10 per share. Now that it’s hovering near the $1,000 area. And Yes, SMCI stocks are still Top #1 over the all S&P500 components with +217% YTD performance in 2024, and +471% 12-months performance. Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993. Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems. Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency. It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers. In technical terms, SMCI shares are strongly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while a classic scenario 'recovering from bearish hugs' is happening right now.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch