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10Y US/DE : Bond market distortion at historical bounderies...This is loooong term chart here, but the process in motion is a really dangerous one because it concerns the bond market that is supporting every bit of the investment process and credit liability throughout the market. This spread between german and US yielding is reaching long term dangerous levels of distortion and may lead to some credit troubles. Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil
TVC:US10Y
by PRO_Indicators
1
ISM Play With Massive Alpha And Lots More To ComeSo this play is a complex spread that pits a strong machinery company and a strong retail / cons. disc. company against two weak chemical makers. While the play may initially not make much sense, the alpha here is generated from the comments that companies in these sectors made in the last ISM and NMI reports. Expected weakness in chemicals as input prices increase, and expected strength in consumer spending and capital investment by manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms alike. This spread is pitted perfectly for the current environment and is efficient as I could make it. I was in this morning @ 11.97, and plan to hold for an expected 30% upside from here. My stop on this one remains around 11. I may write some OTM calls on my longs here to even further increase the value here. DO NOT FORGET TO BETA-HEDGE. Cheers, Andrew
NASDAQ:POOLLong
by wolneyaa
SpreadCoin Might Gain 50%SpreadCoin found the bottom at $0.23, that has been tested on the 13th of June. Since then price went up and today breaking above the 200 Moving Average, not to mention that price produce a new higher high. This could be the beginning of a corrective wave up, or even a trend reversal. The very strong resistance is near $0.5 area, that is confirmed by two Fibonacci retracement levels applied through the two highs established on 30th of April and 23 of May. If the resistance will be reached, SPR/USD will gain over 50% and this could happen in a very near future. The downside risk at this point is very low, however it SPR will go below already established support at $0.23, bears could once again begin to dominate this SpreadCoin.
SLong
by CryptoPAMM
NZD/JPYLast lesson for today. I want to catch something moving in a direction, after it pulls back and starts to continue, based on wave theory and fibonacci, among other things, of course. When you trade something going in a direction u can wind up in this......(a diagonal usually indicating price reversal, at least this type)...Just put your stop above the high right? Nope. The reason it pulls back so close to the high but doesn't break it is because they want to create the illusion that you can set a stop above the high and let it run.... But the spread will get it.....Hehehe... I'm still on the buy though until structure changes.
by thillygoosth
Oil - Possible 69-74 RangingI have been waiting for prices to break up into a 69.37-74.14 range and based on current prices action along with 2014 broken support levels, believe we may see extended sideways action in this range, for several weeks, if prices do indeed break upwards. With the Brent/Crude spread in excess of 4 dollars we are still favoring exports; along with potential Iran sanctions and heated geopolitics the aptitude for a higher Crude breakup is strong in my opinion. On the chart I show 3 zones where I will be Shorting the Supply Zone , Buying Long the Demand Zone and taking either full or half profits in the Middle PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): 1. Supply Zone 73.23-73.70 2. Middle PRZ 70.86-71.16 3. Demand Zone 68.90-69.37 I will be setting a BUY STOP at the 68.90 level to INITIATE this Long trade and will take half profits in the Middle PRZ. I will re-add those closed Long positions if price drops back to the Demand Zone . I will close all positions and enter Short in the Supply Zone and vice versa on the way down. NOTE: I do believe that prices will test a bit higher than the Supply Zone but think it will be short lived so a better Risk/Reward short entry at the top may initially be 74.00-74.50 but in lieu of historical price action I believe upper swings in this overall range are more apt to get sold in the Supply Zone. I will continue Selling the Supply Zone and Buying the Demand Zone until I see signs of a larger breakup or breakdown. If this range does indeed play out I am hoping that we see 8 or more weeks of price swings (See the May-July 2015 range and Dec 2016-March 2017 range). Below I show price structure in this same range looking directly left; 2010 shows strong price action where I've marked the Supply Zone and Middle PRZ and 2014 shows a clear path for possible sideways 'fill in' for this entire range. 2010: s3.amazonaws.com 2014: s3.amazonaws.com 2014 H4 view: s3.amazonaws.com I welcome all questions and comments, good trading all!
NYMEX:CL1!
by smitheric1970
7
BTC is coming to crunch timeExecutive summary If you are an investor, you should hold your positions and wait this out. If you're a trader, it's too soon to make a decision. And if you are a short seller, you may be about to lose your shorts. My spread trading strategy covered in the last few BTC charts is still yielding profitable trades and is enough to blunt much of the daily percent price slide of BTC as it falls. This offers significant protection from the decline and cost averages my traded portion of BTC downward during this correction setting up for higher profits on the rebound. As I write this at 18:08 UTC time, BTC has punctured the 7944 level on the daily chart, and this puts us in the area of a possible double bottom, which would be helpful for people with long positions. Since a confirmed double bottom is a bullish sign. It's my opinion that IF we close this bar Below 7432, or 5 1/2 hours from now will be marking the entry into a bear market for BTC. If that were the case, then in my opinion the next downtrend support is in the area 5964 followed by 3627. Unfortunately I don't think there's much resistance down to these levels. My Chart Looking at my chart, you will see a number of turquoise lines, the larger set indicates the general downtrend since the all-time high, and the bottom line of that large set indicates the overall uptrend going back for some time. The intersection of these two lines is a squeeze point from which the prices are likely to burst out either up or down side. The smaller set of lines is a falling wedge reversal pattern, the restriction cone is getting tighter and it COULD or MIGHT point to a bull resistance break but has not manifested as yet. This would be indicated by a bar closing above the upper line of the descending wedge. Lastly, the Red and Green moving average lines. The red line is a 50 period moving average, the green line is a nine period moving average. This is an old trusted indicator, it's drawback is that it tends to be considerably late in indicating the trend. Its strength is that its indications are pretty decisive within the bounds of the periods that it is set to monitor. One thing we can conclude from the current situation with the nine period green line is that as it has moved below the red line, we are now in a negative trend at least for the short-term. Since the lines are widening with relation to each other it looks though it may be strong and could last. One positive note has been a generally declining volume in the selling over the last few bars. This may be due to traders watching the same patterns or similar patterns to the ones that I have waiting for this bar to close today to indicate the direction of market. What does it mean? This does not mean that Bitcoin is dying, or that the investment is no longer valid. This is a process called price discovery which goes on 24/7 with Bitcoin. The danger here is the Taxi driver who bought at 20k or those who invested long-term that they should panic and sell out at a low, or if you are trading in shorts you risk the potential being caught in a short squeeze. Just to reiterate, I do not advocate trading in margin. This is a hairy situation to be sure, and I would advise for most people particularly long-term investor that doing nothing right now is the best course of action. I still have every expectation that BTC will rise to new all-time highs in the not-too-distant future. The cautionary aspect of this story is that should we breach 5964, we may be entering into a long term bear market which will mean that we are holding our investments at a paper loss for some period of months. This is preferable to dumping in a panic and then being caught unawares as the market turns on a dime as it is wont to do and skyrockets higher leaving you behind holding cash. I am not a registered investment advisor. Do not interpret my writings as investment advice or as buy and sell signals.
B
by 6Shooter