BEAR WITH ME... First of all, I'm getting into the field of other players and trying to call their type of shots.
I don't intend to come across as ignorant when it comes to this market, since I only trade gold and I have seen FOREX traders try to predict gold and get it completely wrong.
I have NO ARGUMENTS WHATSOEVER with which I could back this PREDICTION up; NOT PROJECTION...
As a matter of fact, Technically speaking , the " PROJECTION " would actually be BULLISH , because price is entering a "discovery" phase, In which there is no previous high to "top" a potential impulse with.
When price is making ATH, YOU CAN'T CALL THE TOP UNTIL THE TOP IS FORMED.
That being said, I only want to have this on my profile for personal use and see if my "prediction" comes a reality between December 2025 and February 2026.
--
S&P 500 (SPX500)
SPX - Next Target is 7000- SPX is currently trading around 6200 after breakout previous all time high.
- Price has formed a nice broadening wedge pattern and currently heading towards the next resistance line.
- We can expect a slight correction upt o 6100, and reversal towards 7000.
- I'm expecting SPX to hit 7000 target by Q1 of 2026.
Trade Opportunity
Entry: 6200
TP1: 6400
TP2: 6600
TP3: 6800
TP4: 7000
SL at: 6057
Stay tuned frequent updates
Cheers
GreenCrypto
"Ethereum Is The New Bitcoin" - Tom Lee ETH / Stablecoins Are the ChatGPT of Crypto
Stablecoins are exploding in adoption — just like ChatGPT took over AI and Ethereum is the engine driving that revolution. In this post, we break down 10 reasons why Tom Lee is extremely bullish on Ethereum and why it could be the single most important digital asset in the future of finance . If you're sleeping on ETH, this might be your wake-up call.
Top 10 Bullish Points from Tom Lee on Ethereum:
• Ethereum is the backbone of stablecoins , which Tom Lee compares to the “ChatGPT of crypto” due to their viral adoption and massive utility.
• Over 51% of all stablecoins operate on Ethereum , contributing to around 30% of the network’s total fees.
• Ethereum network fees could 10x as stablecoin usage grows from $250 billion to $2 trillion.
• Ethereum is positioned to lead the tokenization of real-world assets , including stocks and real estate.
• ETH could reach $10,000 if asset tokenization becomes a mainstream financial practice.
• Ethereum has a regulatory edge in the U.S. , making it the preferred platform for compliant financial innovation.
• A $250 million ETH treasury strategy is underway , aiming to use Ethereum as a long-term reserve asset.
• Institutions will buy and stake ETH to secure stablecoin networks, making ETH the “next Bitcoin.”
• Ethereum dominates the crypto ecosystem , with nearly 60% of activity including DeFi, NFTs, and dApps built on its chain.
• HODL ETH for long-term growth , as its utility, demand, and institutional support continue to rise.
Conclusion:
Ethereum isn’t just a Layer 1 blockchain — it’s becoming the core financial infrastructure for the digital age . As stablecoins expand and institutions enter, ETH could be the most asymmetric opportunity in crypto right now.
📢 Drop a like, leave your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to follow for more powerful macro + crypto insights. 👍👍
S&P 500: Defying Tariff Headwinds, Breaking RecordsThe S&P 500 has staged a remarkable rally in 2025, shattering all-time highs and capturing global attention. This surge has unfolded despite the negative economic overhang of renewed tariff threats and ongoing trade tensions, raising critical questions for investors: How did the market overcome such headwinds, and what lies ahead for both the short and long term?
The Rally Against the Odds
Tariff Turbulence: Earlier this year, President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs, sparking fears of supply chain disruptions and higher costs for American companies. Historically, such moves have triggered volatility and corrections.
Market Resilience: Despite these concerns, the S&P 500 not only recovered losses from the spring but surged to new record highs, with the index climbing over 23% since April’s lows. Major tech companies, especially those leading in AI and innovation, have been at the forefront of this advance.
Investor Sentiment: The rally has been fueled by optimism around potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, robust corporate earnings, and expectations of long-term economic growth—even as the immediate impact of tariffs remains uncertain.
Short-Term Correction: A Healthy Pause?
While the long-term outlook remains bullish, several indicators suggest the market may be due for a short-term correction:
Narrow Market Breadth: The current rally has been driven by a handful of mega-cap stocks, leaving the median S&P 500 stock well below its own 52-week high. Historically, such narrow leadership often precedes periods of consolidation or pullbacks.
Valuation Concerns: Stock valuations are at elevated levels, and some analysts warn that earnings growth could slow as companies adapt to higher input costs and shifting trade policies.
Correction Forecasts: Some strategists predict the S&P 500 could correct to around 5,250 by the third quarter of 2025, citing factors like slowing consumer spending and persistent policy uncertainty.
Long-Term Outlook: Higher Highs Ahead
Despite the potential for near-term volatility, the long-term trajectory for the S&P 500 remains positive:
Fed Policy Tailwinds: Anticipated rate cuts and lower bond yields are expected to provide further support for equities, encouraging risk-taking and higher valuations.
Corporate Adaptation: Companies are actively offsetting tariff impacts through cost savings, supply chain adjustments, and strategic pricing.
Growth Sectors: Innovation in technology, productivity gains, and deregulation are setting the stage for sustained profit growth, especially in sectors like AI, robotics, and defense.
Key Takeaways for Investors
Stay Disciplined: While a short-term correction is possible, history shows that markets often rebound strongly after periods of volatility.
Diversify Exposure: With market gains concentrated in a few names, diversification and active stock selection are more important than ever.
Focus on Fundamentals: Long-term investors should look beyond headlines and focus on companies with resilient earnings and adaptive business models.
The S&P 500’s ability to break records in the face of tariff headwinds is a testament to the underlying strength and adaptability of the U.S. economy. While short-term bumps are likely, the path ahead still points toward new highs for those with patience and perspective.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#spx500 #stockmarket #analysis #economy #us #nasdaq #fed #bonds #rates #trading
S&P500 Slips Ahead of CPI & Earnings SeasonEquities began the week under pressure, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.5%, slipping below the 6,230-resistance area. Although the Fed minutes released last week indicate that most members are open to cutting rates this year, inflation data and second-quarter earnings could change that trajectory.
Upcoming Events to Watch:
• CPI Release (Tuesday 14:30 SAST): A cooler-than-expected print would support a breakout in risk assets. A hot reading could shift expectations toward policy tightening, weighing on equities.
• Q2 Earnings Season: Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will report this week. Strong earnings may cushion the market, while any weakness could exacerbate volatility.
S&P500 Technical View:
• Immediate Resistance: 6,230
• Potential Upside: A cooler CPI could see the index rally toward 6,290.
• Support Levels: Should inflation surprise to the upside, the index may slide to 6,190, or even 6,150 in extended selling.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Classic Gap Trade
I see a gap down opening on US30 index.
As always, there is a high chance that this gap is going to be filled.
A bullish imbalance candle and a local change of character CHoCH
indicate a highly probable rise to a gap opening level.
Target - 44300
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S&P 500: Time For A Pullback??
In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500 for the week of July 14 - 18th.
The S&P 500 had a strong week, until Tariff Tensions Friday arrived.
This by itself doesn't mean we should start looking for sells. With Tuesday CPI Data coming, this short term consolidation is to be expected until the news is announced.
Let the markets pick a direction, and flow with it.
Have a plan of action in place so you can react to the price action promptly!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPX: earnings sentiment aheadPrevious week was another optimistic week on financial markets. Regarding the approaching deadline for a delay in the application of trade tariffs set by the US Administration, which came due on July 9th, the market did not show much of a concern. The green trend line of the S&P 500 continued during the week, where the index managed to reach another new all time highest level on Thursday, at 6.290. During the previous week there has not been any currently important US macro data posted, in which sense, the market sentiment remained optimistic. However, Friday's news regarding trade tariffs spoiled a bit of an up-trend, so the index ended the week, just a bit lower from its ATH level, at 6.259.
Weekly tariffs news include a 35% imposed tariffs on imports from Canada, and 50% on goods imported from Brazil in the U.S. There are also some comments on a potential increased universal 10% tariff on the majority of other nations, noting 15% and 20%, as well as a 50% tariff on copper. Analysts are noting that the market is already adjusted to the comments regarding trade tariffs, in which sense, there are no more strong market reactions on any incoming news.
The week ahead brings some important US macro data, as well as gearing up for the earnings season, starting with major banks like JPMorgan. The June inflation data as well as PPI will be posted in the week ahead, closing with University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment. This data might bring back some volatility to the S&P 500, however, the general investors sentiment remains positive at this moment.
US500 Bulls Assemble | Breakout Heist Strategy📈🚨 MASTER HEIST PLAN: “SPX500 ROBBERY – THIEF TRADING STYLE 🔥💸” 🚨📈
(The Ultimate Long Strategy Blueprint for Smart Day/Swing Traders)
🌍 Greetings to All Market Bandits, Bullish Burglars, and Chart Snipers!
Hola! Bonjour! Ola! Hallo! Marhaba! 🙌
🦹♂️This is your friendly chart thief checking in with the latest SPX500/US500 masterplan!
This isn’t just a trade—it’s a heist 🎯. We’re not here to participate, we’re here to dominate! Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we map, trap, and snatch those pips with ruthless precision. 🧠🔍💰
🚀 THIEF TRADE SETUP - SPX500/US500
A mix of technical sniper entries + fundamental black ops analysis = 💸 Maximum Extraction. 💸
🎯 ENTRY PLAN: THE BREAKOUT HEIST
📍Buy Entry Zone: Wait for the clean breakout + candle close above 6270.00.
"The vault opens once we clear that wall. Let the bullish getaway begin!" 💥🚪📈
🛠️Thief Tips for Entry:
Use Buy Stop Orders above resistance levels.
OR layer in Buy Limit Orders near recent pullbacks (15/30m swing zones) using DCA Style (Dollar Cost Average layering like a pro).
Want stealth mode? Set that alert (alarm), and strike when the breakout sings. 🔔🎯
🛑 STOP LOSS – PROTECT THE LOOT
🧨Set your SL smart—beneath the nearest swing low using the 2H timeframe for stronger structure.
💬 “Look, don’t gamble. A thief knows when to run. Set that stop where I showed ya, or risk losin’ the bag.” 💼💣
❗Your SL should reflect your risk per trade, lot size, and number of entries. It’s your getaway plan—don’t mess it up.
💥 TARGETS – WHERE WE CASH OUT
🏴☠️Primary Take Profit (TP1): 6310.00
🏴☠️Secondary Take Profit (TP2): 6370.00
💹 Scalp Traders: Stick to the Long Side Only. Ride the momentum, but use trailing SL to lock it in.
🔍 THIEF FUNDAMENTAL INTEL: WHY THIS IS OUR MOMENT
Current SPX500 bullishness driven by:
✅ Positive macro & geopolitical tailwinds
✅ Institutional positioning (COT reports)
✅ Intermarket analysis showing strong correlations
✅ Momentum building with sentiment and volume
📌 Stay sharp—check all your fundamental reports, news catalysts, and sentiment tools before executing your move. Smart thieves plan every detail. 🎓📊
⚠️ NEWS RELEASE REMINDER
📢 News = Chaos. Don’t get caught in the spray:
🔒Avoid entering trades just before big announcements.
🚀 Use Trailing SL to secure profit if you're already in.
Stay agile. Stay smart. Stay rich. 💼🚁
❤️ SUPPORT THE HEIST – HIT THAT BOOST BUTTON!
👊 Liked the plan? Hit the Boost to join the elite robbery crew.
Every boost fuels the mission. Every like sharpens the strategy. Let's build a team of smart, profitable traders. 🚀💸🔥
🧠 Remember: This is general analysis – not financial advice. Manage your risk like a true thief. Stay updated. Adapt fast. Don't get caught. 🕵️♂️
🎉See you in the next Heist Plan! Keep your tools sharp, your charts cleaner, and your profit bags fatter. 🤑🔥
Is SP500 / US M2 Money Supply telling us a story?Historically this ratio has inflected from key levels. Last week the upper boundary of what 8 would call a normal range has acted as support. If history rhymes to dot com bubble, this AI bubble can bounce from these levels and see an increase until Q4 2026, then a sharp fall will follow. To the lower boundary of that normal range.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this trading week, the S&P 500 Index has shown a predominantly downward/upward course of action and created a new Key Resistance at 6280. Currently, the index exhibits a bullish bias, with the Outer Index Rally objective set at 6420. However, it is crucial to note that the current price action may cause prices to see in a new light from their current fluctuation to push toward the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
S&P 500 (CASH500) Short - Head and shoulders H1Potential short on S&P 500.
Risk/reward = 3.4
Entry = 6264.9
Stop loss = 6280.3
TP level 1 = 6221.7 (50%)
TP level 2 = 6200.5 (50%)
Need current candle to close back in range at 10.00 for all variables to be met.
Volume exception applied since current candle is the open of European markets.
Quick take on the S&P500From the very short-term perspective, the SP:SPX is currently stuck in a tight range. Waiting for a little breakout.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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SPX500 Bearish Below 6246 – Eyes 6223 and 6195SPX500 Analysis
SPX500 stays under bearish pressure below 6246, targeting 6223 and possibly 6195 if the decline continues.
Recent tariff escalation by President Trump is adding weight to downside momentum across indices.
Pivot: 6246
Support: 6223, 6195, 6143
Resistance: 6268, 6291
S&P500 Bullish continuation developing close to ATHUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio is meeting Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov today at an ASEAN summit, as tensions remain high over the war in Ukraine. President Trump has criticized Putin and pledged more weapons for Ukraine. Meanwhile, Ukrainian allies are meeting in Rome to plan postwar rebuilding.
Trump also announced new tariff plans—50% on Brazil and 20% on the Philippines, though further talks are expected. He said a temporary ceasefire between Israel and Hamas could be close, possibly within weeks.
In business news, X CEO Linda Yaccarino is stepping down, Meta faces a competition warning in France, and Wall Street banks are preparing financing for a $4.25 billion Boots buyout. Nvidia became the first company ever to hit a $4 trillion market value, boosted by strong investor demand.
US Equity Outlook:
Markets may trade mixed. Nvidia’s historic surge could lift tech stocks, but geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainty may limit gains. Investors will watch for more updates on tariffs and global talks.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6290
Resistance Level 2: 6340
Resistance Level 3: 6400
Support Level 1: 6180
Support Level 2: 6120
Support Level 3: 6070
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX500 Eyes New ATH – Key Levels in PlaySPX500 – Overview
The index remains under bullish pressure, with potential to record a new all-time high (ATH).
As long as the price holds above 6246, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 6282.
A confirmed 1H close above 6287 could trigger further upside toward 6310 and 6341.
However, a break below 6223 would signal bearish momentum, opening the path toward 6195 and 6143.
Pivot Line: 6282
Resistance: 6310, 6341
Support: 6246, 6223, 6195
Why Ethereum’s Will 10×🚀 Ethereum’s Next 10×: Why bank-grade adoption + the stable-coin avalanche make a moonshot look conservative
Big banks are building on-chain right now. JPMorgan & Bank of America began 2025 pilots for dollar-backed tokens that settle on Ethereum, while Societe Generale just unveiled its USD CoinVertible stable-coin on main-net.
Stable-coins already move more money than Visa + Mastercard combined. $27.6 trillion flowed through stable-coins in 2024—most of it routed over Ethereum block-space.
Ethereum clears four-fifths of that stable-coin volume. More than 80 % of all stable-coin transactions occur on ETH or its L2s, locking in network effects that rivals can’t match.
ETF wall-of-money is already hitting the gate. 2025 Ethereum ETFs posted a record $743 million month of inflows—the strongest vote of institutional confidence to date.
ETH supply keeps shrinking while demand spikes. Post-Merge burn has removed roughly 332 k ETH, flipping issuance negative; base-line inflation is now < –1.3 %/yr.
30 million ETH is locked in staking, slicing liquid float by 25 %. The yield engine tightens supply just as banks and ETFs need inventory.
Real-world assets are going token-native. Tokenized bond issuance jumped 260 % in 2024 to €3 billion, and virtually every pilot settles on ERC-standards.
Layer-2 roll-ups slashed average gas fees to <$4. Cheaper block-space makes day-to-day payments viable, driving still more stable-coin throughput (and fee burn).
User base is exploding toward mass scale. Active ETH wallets hit 127 million—up 22 % YoY—showing that retail, devs, and institutions are onboarding together.
Energy-efficient PoS removes the last ESG roadblock. With > 99 % less energy use than PoW chains, Ethereum checks the sustainability box that banks and asset managers need for wide-open deployment.
Bottom line: when TradFi giants plug directly into Ethereum rails and stable-coins dwarf legacy payment rails, every transfer torches a little more supply. Add the ETF flywheel and a vanishing float, and a 10× move shifts from “moon-boy” to math.
OTHER EXAMPLES
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MartyBoots here—trading for 17 years, and I would like to hear YOUR take!
👉 Can Ethereum really 10× from here? Drop your best argument below, hit the 👍 if you learned something, and smash that Follow to stay in the loop on every crypto deep-dive I post.
$COIN Price discovery?I was looking for a deeper pullback on NASDAQ:COIN but it appears to be heading into price discovery!
The pivot at $322 was my target but sentiment must be bullish if investors are impatient! Still... i wouldn't count out another sell off as a bear trap on a poke above the swing high.
Safe trading
SPX500 Awaits Breakout as Trade Talks Fuel Market CautionWall Street Edges Up Amid Tariff Talks & Trade Turbulence
U.S. stock index inched higher on Wednesday as markets remain on edge over President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff stance and the ongoing negotiations with global trade partners. Traders are cautiously watching for clarity, with sentiment shifting quickly on any updates.
📉 SPX500 Technical Outlook
The index continues to consolidate within a narrow range between 6223 and 6246. A confirmed breakout from this zone is needed to define the next directional move.
A break below 6223 would confirm bearish continuation toward 6194, with potential extension to 6143.
A break above 6246 would shift the bias bullish, targeting 6282, followed by 6305.
Key Levels:
Support: 6223 / 6195 / 6143
Resistance: 6282 / 6305
S&P 500 H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,186.42 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,130.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 6,268.39 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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S&P Bullish Flag developing supported at 6180Trump Softens Tariff Stance:
Trump said the Aug. 1 tariff deadline isn’t firm, easing fears of an immediate trade war. US equity futures rose on hopes for more negotiation. Japan criticized the planned 25% tariff, calling it “truly regrettable.”
Texas Floods – Trump to Visit:
Over 100 people died in the Texas floods, including 27 children. Trump said he’ll visit the state Friday to support recovery efforts. The news may draw attention to infrastructure and emergency response spending.
Apple Loses AI Chief to Meta:
Apple’s AI lead, Ruoming Pang, is leaving for Meta’s new AI unit. This raises more questions about Apple’s AI strategy, while Meta’s aggressive hiring supports its tech edge.
US Resumes Ukraine Weapons Aid:
Biden will restart weapons shipments to Ukraine, reversing a previous pause. This could support defense stocks, though broader market impact is limited for now.
Takeaway:
Markets welcomed Trump’s trade flexibility, lifting sentiment. Watch tech and industrials as traders react to shifts in AI leadership and trade policy.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6290
Resistance Level 2: 6340
Resistance Level 3: 6400
Support Level 1: 6180
Support Level 2: 6120
Support Level 3: 6065
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX500 Range-Bound Between 6223–6246 |Breakout Will Define TrendSPX500 – Technical & Fundamental Outlook
The SPX500 is currently trading within a narrow consolidation zone between 6223 and 6246.
A 1H or 4H candle close below 6223 would confirm a bearish breakout, with downside targets at 6191 and 6143.
Conversely, a 1H close above 6246 would signal bullish continuation, potentially driving the price toward the next resistance at 6287, followed by 6305.
Support: 6223 / 6191 / 6143
Resistance: 6287 / 6305
Fundamental Note:
The tariff situation remains a major driver.
Successful negotiations would likely boost bullish sentiment across indices.
Lack of progress may trigger renewed bearish momentum.