Pair of likely trading zones for Cosmos(ATOM)Good Afternoon,
This one is for all you traders out there. Cosmos & their native ATOM token are ready for Liftoff!!! Entering the beginning of July we have the big news of the Gravity DEX going public any day now. This is being hyped up to be a major player in the DEX market moving forward, living along side Uniswap, Pancakeswap & Sundaeswap (still to come as well). The public release of Gravity DEX will bring more value & utility to the ATOM token, which has already seen large scale usage as a staking coin. Further information can be found here
blog.cosmos.network
Moving away from the Macros & into the charts, there's a lot to take in here. First we see a clear falling wedge along side upward price action on the daily chart since June 22nd's basement value of 7.83 USD. These are both objectively Bullish signs & I see the local low of 7.83 acting as a solid support line moving forward. The white line is the all time high. The blue line is the 20 week moving average; I've chosen to show this line as I believe it is the "true" support line for this currency, but we'll come back to that.
The two boxes; the orange is the current trade zone & the green is the long term trade zone. The orange box is where any short term traders (or those readers who are Bearish on ATOM & want to short it) can be reasonably confident in at least modest profits. I don't expect or desire to stay in this orange box for long, it's the green box we want & the green box is where I personally will take some profits. The green box is the old trading zone from Feb-May with consistent ping pong action in a 4 dollar price range. That price range swings around the incredibly comfortable 20 dollar average. A return to these healthy trading grounds seems to be on the Horizon. The psychologically comfortable level of 18-22 dollars is where I think ATOM will bottom out in the coming Bear market of 22'-23'. So in the medium term, 20USD should serve as a solid "return to mean" point for day traders to swing around.
The MACD & Volume are included for confirmation of Bullish indicators. The MACD is clearly pointing up & has been for a solid week. Also, we see the 2 lines moving further apart which could indicate a big upwards spike. The volume on staking coins can be difficult to gauge because of the nature of staking coins. The coins don't move in high volume unless there is big price action. The chicken or the egg (price action or the volume) debate is fun but for staking coins, I firmly believe volume follows price.
Back to the 20 week moving average; it's right at the bottom of my upcoming green box, and as we approach the green box, the 20 week average will inevitably creep closer to the 20 dollar comfort mean. I believe the 20 week moving average is a strong, long term indicator in any cryptocurrency that has at least 21 weeks of price action & ATOM is no exception. This line will serve as my primary Bull Market indicator once it has been crossed with a closed daily candle. It will also serve as a resistance/support line in the coming months.
One interesting thing that popped out at me while I was typing this & tweaking the final draft was the blow off top pattern has been broken. Traditionally, a blow off top candle indicates a local top & is a big sell sign. On this chart alone we see blow off tops on 3/18, 4/15, 5/7, 6/3, 6/17 & 6/29. Every single one of those is followed by a red candle 1-2 days later, except the 6/29 blow off top, we almost stay sideways. I would take this as a very Bullish sign as the classic sell signal, failed.
In conclusion, ATOM seems to be setting itself up to be the top dog in the Staking Coin Arena. Bullish signs in the short, medium & long term all seem apparent. It's upward price action is attractive to Hodlers, while the likely 20 dollar trade line with 10% swings is very sexy for traders too. With the expanding ecosystem of Cosmos highlighted by the release of the Gravity DEX, ATOM stands ready to be the center of several Venn Diagrams.
