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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 16, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 16, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 Record Bullish Sentiment Signals Rotation Bank of America reports the most bullish fund-manager sentiment since February. With 81% expecting one or two Fed rate cuts this year, the group sees a rotation strategy replacing outright selling, with investors tipping toward sector shifts over wholesale exits ⚠️ Trump’s Fed Attacks Stir Policy Concerns President Trump’s public criticism of Fed Chair Powell—calling for steep rate cuts and threatening removal—has raised market alarms over the central bank’s independence. Analysts warn such interference could destabilize confidence in U.S. monetary policy 🏦 Banks Prepare for Earnings Surge Major U.S. banks are expected to report strong Q2 results this week. Enhanced trading and investment banking revenues are forecasted to offset economic uncertainties tied to tariffs 📡 Nvidia CEO to Visit Beijing Jensen Huang is set to hold a high-profile media briefing in Beijing on July 16, signaling continued emphasis on China for Nvidia despite U.S. export restrictions—potentially a key narrative for tech markets 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Wednesday, July 16: 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (June) Gauges wholesale inflation pressures; June expected +0.2% MoM vs May’s +0.1% 9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (June) Monitors factory and utilities output and usage rates—key for industrial-sector health Jensen Huang in Beijing Nvidia CEO to lead media briefing in Beijing—a potential market mover for chipmaking and AI sectors ⚠️ Disclaimer: This info is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #inflation #Fed #tech #industrial #PPI
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
ALPHA GROUP INTERNATIONAL will keep its momentum going!#ALPHA is a fintech company that offers currency risk management and payment solutions. With a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 12, it signifies a solid investment for a growth-oriented fintech firm that is increasing its earnings by about 20 to 25% annually. In light of the #UKX breaking through and reaching new highs, and beginning to accelerate towards my long-standing projections that the FTSE would hit 5 figures, ALPHA appears to be a unique opportunity in the UK markets, which, as we know, are relatively sparse compared to the USA. Given the inability to purchase shares of #Revolut, it is likely that capital will flow into this ticker.
LSE:ALPHLong
by BallaJi
2
$MARA Hits the Weekly PivotNASDAQ:MARA path has been grinding higher clearing the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance where it is sat as support. The weekly pivot rejected price perfectly so far but if the count is correct and Bitcoin doesn't dump I expect this continue strongly towards the descending orange line resistance as my partial take profit target. Once that line is broken i am looking at terminal bull market targets of $80 but will of course take profit at key areas along the way. Wave 2 swung below the descending support and recovered at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement potentially kicking off wave 3. Safe trading
NASDAQ:MARA
by Maddox_Metrics
YEXT 1W - breakout confirmed, retest inside bullish channelYext stock just pulled a clean breakout of the weekly downtrend line, retested the buy zone around the 0.5 Fibo level ($7.32), and is now bouncing within a rising channel. The 200MA and 50EMA are both below price, supporting a shift in trend even though the golden cross hasn’t formed yet. The volume increased on breakout, and there's low overhead supply - a classic setup for continuation. The arrow shows the expected move, contingent on confirmation. Targets: 9.15 - 11.40 - 15.06 Fundamentally, Yext offers enterprise-grade AI-powered search solutions and recently gained attention with new product updates. With AI adoption accelerating, the company may ride the next wave of institutional interest. When price retests the zone, MA is supportive, and there's no overhead resistance - that’s not noise, that’s a signal.
NYSE:YEXTLong
by TotoshkaTrades
$CLSK Trapped between Critical Resistance and Support?NASDAQ:CLSK Shot through the weekly 200EMA and hit the weekly pivot resistance and was rejected into the High Volume Node (HVN) just below. If the count is correct we should see price breakthrough in wave 3 after some consolidation and continue up after wave 2 tested the .618 Fibonacci retracement and HVN as support. Heavy resistance HVN coupled with the R1 pivot at $20.40 will prove another challenge to overcome. Ultimately, if the count is correct AND Bitcoin doesn't tank we can expect a challenge of the all time highs up at $60. I already closed partial take profit myself at the weekly pivot on a recent trade and will be looking to go long again to the those targets. Make sure to always be taking profits on the way as nobody has a Crystal ball! RSI is currently printing a bearish divergence on the weekly so we need to see that negated. Analysis is invalidated below $6. Safe trading
NASDAQ:CLSK
by Maddox_Metrics
INTC – Breakout Confirmed, Bullish Continuation Inside AscendingIntel NASDAQ:INTC has broken above previous resistance and a descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. Price is currently respecting an ascending channel and forming higher highs and higher lows. The breakout retest around $22.50 has held as new support. If the current structure remains intact, price could continue toward the $26.00–$26.50 resistance zone. A breakout above this zone opens the door for a move toward $28+. Key levels: Support: $22.50 (previous resistance) Resistance: $26.00–$26.50 Trend structure: Bullish channel Volume supports the trend, and price is trading above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA. 📌 Watching for a pullback and continuation move inside the channel. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by Binhuseyn
5
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders! The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level. The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight. Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically. In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs. This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well. Best of luck on your trading journey!
TVC:DJILong
by natef1
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 15, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 15, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📦 Dow Futures Dip on New Tariff Announcements President Trump announced new 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico, with additional duties on Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, and Myanmar starting August 1. Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq futures each slipped ~0.3% as markets assess inflation risk ahead of key CPI data this week 📈 Tech & AI Stocks Lead Despite Tariffs Stocks like Circle (+9.3%), CoreWeave (+5.2%), Palantir (+5%), Roblox (+5.8%), and Shopify (+4.1%) surged, showcasing sector resilience amid broader tariff fears ⚠️ Deutsche Bank Warns of Summer Volatility With thin market liquidity and rising geopolitical tension (tariff deadline Aug 1), Deutsche Bank flags summer as a period prone to sudden corrections 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 15: 8:30 AM ET – CPI (June) Core CPI is projected at +0.3% MoM (2.7% YoY) and headline CPI +0.3% MoM—signs tariff effects may be feeding into prices 8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (June) Expected to come in around 3.0% YoY. 8:30 AM ET – Empire State Manufacturing Survey (July) Forecast: –7.8 (less negative than June’s –16.0) — a modest sign of stabilizing factory conditions Fed Speakers Throughout the Day Watch for commentary from Fed officials (Michael Barr, Barkin, Collins, Logan) for fresh insights on inflation and monetary policy ⚠️ Market Interpretation: Inflation Watch: A hotter-than-expected CPI could delay anticipated rate cuts and lift yields. A pick-up in core CPI above 3% would be a red flag. Growth Signals: A less-negative Empire State reading may suggest improving industrial momentum but still signals contraction. Political Risk: Tariff escalation could shift investor appetite, even if markets right now are focusing on broader macro narratives. Volatility Setup: The combination of thin liquidity, tariff uncertainty, and critical data makes for a potentially choppy week. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #inflation #tariffs #Fed #CPI #manufacturing #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
S&P500 Slips Ahead of CPI & Earnings SeasonEquities began the week under pressure, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.5%, slipping below the 6,230-resistance area. Although the Fed minutes released last week indicate that most members are open to cutting rates this year, inflation data and second-quarter earnings could change that trajectory. Upcoming Events to Watch: • CPI Release (Tuesday 14:30 SAST): A cooler-than-expected print would support a breakout in risk assets. A hot reading could shift expectations toward policy tightening, weighing on equities. • Q2 Earnings Season: Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will report this week. Strong earnings may cushion the market, while any weakness could exacerbate volatility. S&P500 Technical View: • Immediate Resistance: 6,230 • Potential Upside: A cooler CPI could see the index rally toward 6,290. • Support Levels: Should inflation surprise to the upside, the index may slide to 6,190, or even 6,150 in extended selling.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by FDGCapital
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
MSTR -- Cup & Handle Breakout // Long & Short SetupsHello Traders! There is a beautiful cup and handle pattern that has formed on MSTR (Microstrategy). This pattern offers us a wonderful long setup, as well as a potential short at the all time high. Pattern Failure: If price both breaks and confirms below the C&P neckline the pattern is void. Price will likely temporarily pull back from the all time high, giving us our short setup. However you'll want to be in and out quick considering price will likely continue to new highs after pulling back. I will be swing trading the long setup and likely day trading the short setup. Have fun and best of luck to everyone on their trading journey!
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by natef1
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 14–18, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 14–18, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 ⚖️ Powell Faces ‘Epic’ Trade‑Inflation Dilemma Former Fed economists warn Chair Powell is navigating nearly unprecedented terrain: tariffs are pushing up prices even as the labor market cools. Striking a balance between inflation control and growth support remains a formidable challenge 📊 Tariff‑Driven Inflation May Peak This Week June’s CPI is expected to show a 0.3% month-on-month increase, potentially lifting core inflation to ~2.7%—its highest level in 18 months. These data will heavily influence the Fed’s decision-making process 🏦 Big Bank Earnings Kick Off Earnings season begins with JPMorgan ( NYSE:JPM ), Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ), Wells Fargo ( NYSE:WFC ), and Citigroup ($C) reporting. Strong results could offset trade and inflation anxieties; expect volatility in financials 📈 Goldman Sees Broader S&P Rally Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 to climb roughly 11% to 6,900 by mid‑2026, underpinned by firm earnings and expected Fed rate cuts. But warns that breadth remains narrow, increasing downside risk without robust participation ⚠️ Summer Volatility Risk Lingers Deutsche Bank warns that summer’s low liquidity and the looming Aug 1 tariff re‑imposition deadline may spark sudden market turbulence—even amid bullish sentiment 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, July 14 Quiet start—markets digest back-to-back CPI, tariffs, and clearing post‑earnings. 📅 Tuesday, July 15 8:30 AM ET – Consumer Price Index (June) Watch for potential tariff impact in CPI; core inflation data are crucial. 8:30 AM ET – Core CPI (June) 10:00 AM ET – Empire State Manufacturing Survey (July) Early view on Northeast factory trends. 📅 Wednesday, July 16 8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (June) Wholesale inflation signals to validate CPI trends. 10:00 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (June) 📅 Thursday, July 17 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims A gauge on labor-market resilience amid talks of cooling. 📅 Friday, July 18 10:00 AM ET – Federal Reserve Beige Book Release Fed’s regional economic snapshot ahead of next FOMC. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational/informational use only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed professional before investing. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #inflation #earnings #Fed #CPI #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
A life-changing SBET long ideaSBET stock presents an amazing long opportunity that has a potential to do over 100x. After the break out of a down trend line, price retraced to the support, with price closing above this support level. To advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy from the current market price while the exit can be at $1.34 and the targets can be at $123.70, $178.48, $541.22, $1041.90 and the final target at $2155.20. Confluences for the long opportunity are as follows: 1. Break out of down trendline 2. Retest of the down trendline and support level. 3. Bullish divergence signal from awesome oscillator. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NASDAQ:SBETLong
by KofTFx
2
GME LONG IDEA UPDATEDIn my previous post regarding the long opportunity on GME stock, I called a long signal after a break out of a downtrend line. However, price had dropped down to the demand zone, giving another long opportunity. To take advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy at the current market price, while the exit will be at $20.30 and the targets can be at $35.70, $47.90 and the final target at $64.70. Confluences for the long idea are as follows: 1. Weekly break of structure 2. Valid Inducement 3. Orderflow 4. Price within the discount 5. Price respecting bullish trendline 6. Hammer candlestick confirmation 7. Price at a support level Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NYSE:GMELong
by KofTFx
2
OSCR LONG IDEALooking at the weekly chart of OSCR stock, there's a long opportunity which can be taken advantage of to make some money provided that market follows the projection. In order to take advantage of this long opportunity, a buy order limit can be placed at $12.38 while the exit can be at $11.09 and the final target can be at $22.80. Confluences for this long idea are as follows: 1. Weekly break of structure 2. Valid Inducement (structural liquidity) 3. Orderflow 4. Sweep 5. Valid demand zone in the discount level 6. Imbalance 7. Pattern confirmation formed after mitigation of a demand zone indicating that there's a bullish change of trend. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by KofTFx
2