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Strategytesting

Macro strategy based on RSI and Alt Dominance on BTCUSDTHi traders, There's been a lot of discussion about RSI and overbought/oversold levels. Very little testing and data though. Though it might be interesting to show this strategy that runs on high timeframes, has as much profit as buy-&-hold at half the drawdown. It's on BINANCE:BTCUSDT This experiment started when we started testing clasic RSI strategies: buy when it's below 30 and sell when it's above 70. It was a profitable strategy but could not touch buy-&-hold in the past year with +330%. In fact the classic RSI strategy on the daily would have brought you "only" +74.1% on the 1D chart. The reason? In an ascending market high RSI is a measure of intesity of the move rather than the deliminator of a level. So high RSI is good. Remember in 2017 RSI topped out at 95+ only. Selling at 70 would have been a mistake. So the idea was to take RSI as a measure of intensity and try and come up with a strategy that: - has us in a position most of the time - when the top nears it takes us out & quickly catches the dip - has a limited dropdown, up to 10% - as always is simple to extecute - can compete with buy-&-hold in results The strategy: for the past year the experiment lead to this strategy that yields close to what buy-&-hold does and we noticed it warning of topping out before 11.1. It returned +334.55% in the last year. We open a position when: RSI is above 50 We close a position when: RSI is above 85 AND Alts Dominance is up by 3% in the last day No stop loss or take profit - only market based conditions Why does this strategy work? It seeks out a bull market and is looking to be in a positon as much as possible. By using Alts Dominance in the close condition we see that we are in the last phase of the Money Flow Cycle and altcoins might be outperforming Bitcoin in the next period. Should the bounce for Bitcoin be fast we are at ready to jump back into the market. Currently we are in a position that oppened on the 11th at the dip. I will update here on how it progresses. This is all on spot.
Long
by CleoFinance
GBP/AUD Potential 110 Pip Upside Move!Here is another nice clean, simple set up on GBP/AUD today. As you can see GBP/AUD has been trending to the upside for some time now creating consistent LH and HH along with a trend line where the market has created a low and then a new high 3 times now recently, despite the fact that the UK is in full national lockdown. Typically this means a BEARISH GBP, HOWEVER due to the mass COVID-19 vaccination programme going ahead in the UK, the markets are taking this as a promising scenario therefore we see a bullish GBP. I have also identified an area of resistance on the 4H timeframe that has been broken earlier today and tested as support @1.76400. From there the market created a new high @1.76930 and has rejected that level to come back down and test support again. I would like the market to create a bullish candle after the rejection and for the market to stay above 1.76470 in order for me to place a buy. Feel free to leave a like on this post if you agree with my idea and comment any ideas you may have below. Also feel free to follow my page to be notified when I post! Happy trading!
Long
by ShaunGadd02
📖 Diversification in trading strategies. Part 1Often, traders are pursuing the system's maximum profitability, upon creating trading strategies. However, it is more important not to increase the value of the expected profit, but to reduce the possible risk, which is expressed in the maximum allowable drawdown. A simple, but relatively reliable way to assess the trading strategy effectiveness is to determine the profitability ratio to the system's drawdown maximum in the period under study, the so-called recovery factor. For example, if the system's profitability is 45% per annum, and the maximum drawdown is 15%, the recovery factor will be 3. If we compare two systems with different profit values and drawdowns, then the system with a higher recovery factor will be better. A system that allows to earn 30% per annum with a 5% drawdown will be better than a system with 100% per annum and a 40% drawdown. The profitability can be easily adjusted to the required value using margin lending, but the risk level in the system profitability cannot be changed, these are integral terms of the system. By increasing the yield, we increase the risk accordingly. However, it is possible to reduce the portfolio risk at all applying diversification, that is, trade not one separate strategy, but a whole set, dividing the capital between the systems. In this case, the drawdown of each individual system does not necessarily coincide with the drawdowns of all other systems in the portfolio, therefore, in general, we can expect a smaller total drawdown maximum, while the system's profitability is only averaged. If the systems are sufficiently independent of each other (different trading strategies are used, different instruments are traded), then the drop in equity in one of the systems will most likely be compensated by the increase in equity in some other system. The more independent trading strategies and trading instruments are, the more the overall risk is diluted. There are even situations when it makes sense to add a knowingly unprofitable strategy to the portfolio. Although the overall portfolio profitability will decrease slightly, it may turn out that the risk will decrease even more, and overall portfolio performance will improve. Theoretically, if you add more and more strategies and instruments to your portfolio, you can get as little risk as you want, and, accordingly, as much efficiency as you want. However, in practice, such an intention will inevitably face the problem of correlation between different strategies and tools. The main ways of possible diversification are as follows: Diversification by trading strategies Diversification by parameters of trading strategies Diversification by trading instruments Diversification across markets 🧐In this part we will take a closer look at the first option. 📌 Diversification by trading strategies At the heart of every trading strategy is some general market attribute or traded instrument that can be used to make a profit. For example, the ability of the market to form prices trends and continue moving after a breakout of a strong resistance level. If there are several systems based on fundamentally different considerations, then capital diversifying between these systems can lead to significant risk reduction. Indeed, in terms of the internal essence of the system, they can be as different from each other as you like, and as weakly correlated with each other. If, for example, trend-following systems and systems on level breakouts are somehow similar to each other and often give similar equity, then trend-following and counter-trend systems, on the contrary, will even show a negative correlation. Where the trend-following system will be sawn, the counter-trend system will show profit, respectively, the overall portfolio risk will significantly decrease. Diversification of this kind, in theory, has no limits in depth and depends only on the creative ability of the trader to create systems. Therefore, it is important to constantly continue to work on the search for new trading strategies, since it is in this direction that the most reliable way to increase the efficiency and profitability of trading lies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by I.T.Analytics
23
MUST WATCH! Quick video explaining our STRATEGY!Afternoon traders! A lot of messages recently reagding the buy and sell strategy we use and how it works so i thought ill make a quick video for you all explaining how it works, what it does and how you can use it! hopefully this answers alot of your questions but dont hesistate to drop me a message if not. :) What is our strategy? Our strategy is a trend following strategy - that is coded in pine script to use with the trading view platform - the entries are shown automatically! NOTHING is done manually, it can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term. The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc. This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course. The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy... What does this mean? It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management. The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too!
by congibb
2
EURUSD BUY CLOSED +100! SELL now OPENGreat BUY here, now closed! banking 100 pips! SELL NOW OPEN AND VALID TO ENTER. What is our strategy? Our strategy is a trend following strategy - that is coded in pine script to use with the trading view platform - the entries are shown automatically! NOTHING is done manually, it can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term. The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc. This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course. The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy... What does this mean? It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management. The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too!
Short
by congibb
HOW OUR BUY AND SELL STRATEGY WORKS!!!! MUST WATCH!Afternoon traders! A lot of messages recently reagding the buy and sell strategy we use and how it works so i thought ill make a quick video for you all explaining how it works, what it does and how you can use it! hopefully this answers alot of your questions but dont hesistate to drop me a message if not. :) What is our strategy? Our strategy is a trend following strategy - that is coded in pine script to use with the trading view platform - the entries are shown automatically! NOTHING is done manually, it can be used on any instrument and time frame. However, we have hard coded specific parameters for when trading the H1 time frame, so we can back up over 4200 previous trades to confirm our edge from previous data. This gives us confidence in execution and belief in our trading strategy for the long term. The strategy simply sits in your trading view, so you will see exactly what we see - the trade, entry price, SL and multiple TPs (although we hold until opposite trade as this is the most profitable longer term plan), lot size, etc. This could be on your phone trading view app, or laptop of course. The hard work is done, so we have zero chart work time, no analysis, no time front of the chart doing technical analysis - technical analysis is very subjective - you may see different things at different times - how do you have a rigid trading plan on a H&S shoulder pattern? Your daily routine, diet, sleep, exercise can affect what you 'see' and your decision making, this doesn't happen when a strategy is coded like this; what we do have is a mechanical trading strategy... What does this mean? It means, we are very clear on our entry and our exit and use strict risk management (this is built in - put in your account size, set your risk in % or fixed amount and it will tell you what lot size to trade!) so we have no ego with our position and we are comfortable with all outcomes - its simply just another trade. This free's our mindset from worry and anxiety as we take confidence from knowing our edge is there and also that we have used sensible risk management. The strategy itself can be used as a live trading journal too!
by congibb
Index Gap Filling Target Strategy in Sudden Falls...(Rare Cases)Broke the trend line, fine retest and sudden fall. In such cases of sudden fall which happens very rarely, booking profits at right support is very important and you can find the right targets too. Targets should be the closing of the previous days. You can book profit at the previous day's closing and enter again with smaller stop loss targeting previous days closings, this is how index might fill the remaining gaps due to gap up openings. This same concept worked in Nifty also same day. Nifty took support exact at the previous days closings. So always mark the closing prices while market extreme volatile. I have checked this multiple times so please test this in live market while shorting Nifty or Bank Nifty. And please be free to comment on this, anything and everything is important. Let me know the con's of this strategy and more pro's are also welcome. Express yourself and like this if you actually understood this concept. Thank You!!!
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by dhole_aditya
Using the Strategy Tester to Evaluate a StrategyThis video idea explains how to use the strategy tester on TradingView to evaluate the performance of your strategy. We go over all of the data presented for you regarding your strategy, and if we make mistakes along the way you can always check out the TradingView help section that is specifically for the Strategy Tester. I highlight the overview of your strategy, dive into the details of the performance summary for your strategy, and show how we can review all of our trades including our commission paid. Finally, we show how changes to the strategy can alter your Strategy Tester results and how accounting for commission(fees) and selective testing windows can alter perceptions on strategies.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by BigBitsIO
23
EUR/USD ANALYSIS FOR A SHORT POSITIONIdentified overall trend on the 4 hour chart, in this case the market was a downtrend, therefore I was looking for a short position. Whilst still on the 4 hour chart, I looked for the last MAJOR move to the downside and located the SWING HIGH and SWING LOW. Once located, I used the FIB tool and went from my located SWING HIGH - SWING LOW with the tool. After I had plotted where I wanted my FIB levels to be, I identified an ascending triangle in the current trend and from there, plotted it onto my chart and closely watched the market until further indication. Soon I saw price was squeezing towards the end of the triangle and aiming towards the support area within the triangle with SHORT candles forming. Then when price hit the 61.8% FIB level as well as touching support, I placed a trade with a 2:1 RISK REWARD ratio. Please let me know what you guys think of this trade set-up :)
Short
by ShaunGadd02
STAR TREK CAPTAIN JEAN-LUC PICARDCaptian Jean-Luc Picard is a character from the series Star Trek. He is many Star Trek fans favorite Captain because of his combination of class, wisdom and wit. This particular statement was spoken to the Android Data who was failing in his attempts to be more human. Tim has found this encapsulated his early trading experiences to a tee. Early in Tim's attempts to be a profitable trader he traded index futures. He had his strategy and was paper trading. He would get four or five winning trades in a row. He felt he knew what he was doing and felt he was ready to try real money. So the next trade setup he took on his real money account and lost, so he returned to paper trading. This cycle repeated itself several times. Losers are part of the statistical game in trading. If he stuck to the real money account those paper winning trades would have been real money winners. These winners would have easily offset the losers. The whole time he felt he was making mistakes. If he did it right it should have been a winner. Understand this, you can get all the rules right and still lose a trade. That's ok, that's life. That's trading. Trading is never a sure thing, it's always about statistic and probability. Just because you had a loser doesn't mean tht you did something wrong. Just because you had a winner doesn't mean you did everything right either. The important thing is to follow your strategy rules, your trade management rules, your risk management rules. If you followed all your rules then you did it right, winner or loser. Trading Maxim's help control your emotional impulses and keep you on the straight and narrow path. A maxim is a general truth fundamental principle, a rule of conduct or a proverbial saying. The purpose of Tim's Maxim's is to motivate you to discipline and trading as well as other areas of your life. We suggest that you start your own list of Maxim's. Things you can say to yourself while you are trading or doing life to make sure you always do the right thing. Feel free to borrow from Tim's list.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
Testing performance of Cyber Ensemble Strategy on a model Stock..with the Squeeze Test insensitivity increased to 40. Performs well even with 0.15% commission. For best results with my strategy scripts, the parameters needs to be optimized and back tested for a particular chart and timeframe. Default settings were optimized for Bitcoin (BTC) on the 6hr chart (but appeared to perform well at selected lower timeframes, including the 30mins timeframe). Cyber Ensemble Strategy -- Base on a complex interplay of different conventional indicators, and an assortment of my own developed filtering (prune and boost) algorithms. Cyber Ensemble Alerts -- My attempt to try replicate my strategy script as a study, that generates Buy/Sell Alerts (including stop-limit strategic buys/sells) to allow autotrading on exchanges that can execute trades base on TV alerts. This project is a work-in-progress. Cyber Momentum Strategy -- This script is based on my pSAR derived momentum oscillators set (PRISM) that I personally rely on a lot for my own trades. The "Alerts" version of this will be developed once Cyber Ensemble Alerts have been perfected. PRISM -- pSAR derived oscillator and its own RSI/StochRSI, as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk oscillators.
NASDAQ:COKEEducation
by cybernetwork