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Supercycle

#SUPER/USDT#SUPER The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.7300 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 0.7624 First target 0.7835 Second target 0.8057 Third target 0.8280
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC, Fibs, Market Psychology, and You: A Primer The Setup I've identified a compelling technical setup that suggests BTC could be heading toward the $9,000-$9,850 range. This isn't just another bearish call - it's based on a rare convergence of multiple technical factors that I've rarely seen align so perfectly in my 18 years of trading markets. Technical Confluence Zone What makes this setup particularly compelling is the convergence of multiple independent technical factors around the same price zone: 1. Unfilled CME Gap : The Bitcoin futures chart shows a persistent unfilled gap from 2020 between $9,655 and $9,850. This gap has survived multiple market cycles without being filled, making it increasingly significant. 2. Key Fibonacci Level : The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level sits at $9,024.11, remarkably close to the lower bound of the CME gap when accounting for the typical futures premium over spot. 3. Elliott Wave Structure : The current price action suggests we're in Wave 4 of a larger Elliott Wave pattern. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to previous Wave 1 territory, which aligns with this target zone. 4. Fibonacci Time Cycles : The time component is equally important - Fibonacci time extensions suggest we're approaching a potential inflection point in the current cycle. Market Context Supports the Technical Picture The technical setup doesn't exist in a vacuum. Several market conditions increase the probability of this scenario playing out: 1. Market Saturation : The crypto ecosystem has expanded dramatically, with thousands of tokens diluting liquidity that was once concentrated in major cryptocurrencies. 2. Retail Exhaustion : Retail investors who entered during previous hype cycles feel unrewarded despite price recoveries, leading to diminished enthusiasm and buying pressure. 3. Institutional Distribution: Wall Street and institutions have made their presence known, which historically signals they've distributed their high-priced holdings to retail while preparing short positions. 4. Concentrated Leverage Risk : MicroStrategy's position of 499,500 BTC at a $66,000 average purchase price, funded almost entirely by massive debt issuance, creates a significant systemic vulnerability. A move toward our target zone would put extreme pressure on their balance sheet. Broader Market Context This analysis also coincides with what looks to be a tired stock market following the 2024 US presidential election. With Donald Trump winning his second term, we have seen significant policy shifts that are actively impacting both traditional and crypto markets. Historically, markets often experience increased volatility during transitions of power, and the confluence of this political shift with our technical setup creates an even more compelling case for caution. Additionally, price precedes news. The news is created on price. If you're hearing about an event, the trade has already been made. There is too much talk of unprecedented institutional participation. This is another sign that retail is being distributed to for the next meltdown. Bags were already offloaded. It's time to drop the anchor. Historical Perspective Having traded through multiple market cycles since 2007 I've seen this pattern before. Large players often target overleveraged positions to acquire assets at distressed prices. Michael Saylor experienced a leveraged meltdown once before during the dot-com crash - history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Saylor is a designated whipping boy. A patsy. He will be rewarded well for his participation in fleecing you, so don't worry about what kind of skin he has in the game. With that said, I believe an undetermined Black Swan event will be necessary to complete the rug pull. What that is, I cannot know. Trading Implications This analysis suggests several potential trading strategies: 1. Risk Management : Reduce exposure to Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins until this technical target is reached or invalidated. 2. Opportunity Preparation : Build dry powder positions to capitalize on what could be an exceptional buying opportunity if BTC reaches the $9,000-$9,850 zone. 3. Watch for Triggers : Monitor for breakdowns below key support levels that could accelerate the move toward our target zone. 4. Time-Based Entries : Use the Fibonacci time cycle extensions to refine entry timing if the price approaches our target zone. Conclusion While Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain strong, the confluence of technical factors pointing to the $9,000-$9,850 range suggests a significant correction may occur before the next sustained bull run. The catalysts to reach what should be a $250k range this cycle simply do not exist, and with waning macroeconomic strength, the odds of this cycle being anything other than a massive bulltrap are low. This setup represents one of the strongest technical cases I've seen. I also don't care to share my ideas often, but with everyone expecting a typical crypto market cycle, I feel compelled to offer my take on a public forum--for whatever it may be worth. I am not shorting this market. I have removed my capital and taken an observant position. While I feel strongly about my idea--Clown World has fully taken hold and I don't dare test its resolve to break me. Remember that no analysis is guaranteed - always manage risk accordingly and be prepared to adapt as the market evolves. *Disclaimer: This analysis represents my personal view of the markets based on technical analysis and market observations. It should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.*
INDEX:BTCUSD
by greedyboi
1
Are we building a possible Super-Cycle & leave the 4-year cycleChart shows comparison to the last two cycles which have been scaled to match this cycle. With all the differences this cycle has offered, the early run before the halving, the long drawn out mini bear market retracements, but yet all the bullish news for Bitcoin and Crypto from here on out in the U.S.A, might we not experience a traditional bear market and instead play out a Super Cycle instead? It seems to me like this is, or could be playing out like the beginning of a Super Cycle. A move that takes Bitcoin into the millions. Just the same large parabolic run, similar when you zoom out and view the traditional Dow/S&P Stock Market as a whole since the 1980s. I suppose the absence of a deep and long bear market could be another clue that indicates this theory, until then it's just a theory and time will tell all....
by SammyCasket
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom 🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms. 🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary. 🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist. 🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided. 🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards. 🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature. 🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed. 🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home. 🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite. 🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch
All eyes on 69000!Once again, all attention is directed towards one area: 69k, the ATH from the last cycle. It's the zone with the trendline, order block, and Fib attention area. If this zone becomes support, there's only one way - up. During this consolidation in the range, liquidity has been taken only from below the consolidation. Next, the liquidity from the upper side, 73-80k, will be targeted. Altcoin season? Very close. However, there's a chance some may make another low in this consolidation, and with liquidity taken from there, a larger climb might begin. The market sentiment has quickly shifted from bearish to bullish with just a small pump. It might be wise to place buy orders a bit lower as a precaution. Overall? I'm very bullish. Institutions, Pension Funds, Investment Funds, the world's most powerful countries (not Germany :))), ETFs (Bitcoin and Ethereum, and maybe soon Solana), Donald Trump (almost a certainty as the future US president): BUY BITCOIN/crypto and promote it. Super cycle is coming! 🌟
Long
by TraderX10101
🍌🍌 SUPERMICRO — AI BANANAS RECOVER FROM THE BEARISH HUGSIt’s hard to believe that only a few short years ago, Super Micro stock was trading for $10 per share. Now that it’s hovering near the $1,000 area. And Yes, SMCI stocks are still Top #1 over the all S&P500 components with +217% YTD performance in 2024, and +471% 12-months performance. Supermicro is an American company, a major manufacturer of motherboards, cases, power supplies, cooling systems, SAS controllers, Ethernet and InfiniBand. The company specializes in the production of x86-server platforms and various components for servers, workstations and data storage systems. The headquarters is located in San Jose, USA. Founded in 1993. Supermicro, Inc., a provider of end-to-end IT solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence/machine learning, storage, and 5G/Edge communications, continues to expand its data center portfolio with NVIDIA end-to-end rack cabinet solutions HGX H100 equipped with liquid cooling systems. Supermicro's advanced liquid cooling technologies help reduce time-to-commissioning, improve performance levels, and reduce data center operating costs while dramatically reducing energy efficiency. It is estimated that when using Supermicro liquid cooling systems (compared to air-cooled data centers), data centers save up to 40% in terms of power costs. In addition, direct cooling costs can be reduced by up to 86% compared to existing data centers. In technical terms, SMCI shares are strongly above 26- and 52-weeks SMA, while a classic scenario 'recovering from bearish hugs' is happening right now.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch
Chinese Economy (HSI) Supercycle ReversalThe Chinese economy has had 4 consecutive years of closing in decline. Evidently, the Chinese economy supercycle (as depicted in the chart) indicates that a reversal is well overdue (or superdue in this particular context). By the end of this year, it can be expected to see a relatively massive reversal in the Chinese economy, one that may catch many by surprise. On the daily timeframe, this reversal started in this past week, Monday 01/22/24, where China likely saw its last lowest of the year. There's still potential to test 10/31/22 low and maybe even break it at some point in February, but doing so will imply an even larger repump, leading to potential break of the yearly supercycle. In any event, if China does indeed maintain the recent low as the yearly low, it means it intends to engulf the yearly red cycle this year, latest 2025. But 2025-'26 should mean the chinese economy once again sees a powerful decline. After this, Chinese economy could choose to completely collapse as an economy or overcome odds and revive a green supercycle economy. In my fairest opinion, I think Chinese economy will explode to the upside, likely with fusion technology as the leading catalyst. Artificial Intelligence will ultimately be the wildcard that decides whether this catalyst holds the economy in whole or whether it briefly collapses until further regulation is upheld.
TVC:HSILong
by JuanLagos94
3
Supercycles in commodities - i.e. Bitcoin, UraniumSupercycle - a term which is gaining popularity these days, applies to commodities. Basically what happens is surge in demand, which current supply struggles to cover, causes prices to sky-rocket from being under-valued to highly over-valued. In my opinion Bitcoin and its' four-year cycle is the best example. The main event of the cycle is halving (halving the rewards of mining bitcoin), which is causing supply-shock and aftermath in the form of speculative bubble. I strongly believe we are about to see a supercycle in Uranium in the following years. Spot price of that commodity is right now under-valued to such an extent Cameco (one of its largest global providers) is buying it from the spot market in order to meet the contracts and keeping some of its mines closed (waiting for the prices to rise). Currently there are about 440 active nuclear reactors and 50 being constructed (more than 10% of the actual number) mainly in China and India (respectively 16 and 6 as of March 2021). Interesting pair, isn't it? If the rest of the world does not want to stay behind they will have no choice but to follow that direction. Nuclear energy is not opponent of wind and solar energy. It is their carbon-free companion versus the coal. Technicals: We are confirming the falling wedge break-out right now. If price action will succeed to do so, there might be rally much quicker than I expected when I first opened position.
NYSE:CCJLong
by papaya_musical_analysis
RAVENCOIN / BTC (by trojabile , looks same x10 ? ) Ravencoin is a blockchain and cryptocurrency that aims to facilitate the transfer of assets from one party to another. It was launched in January 2018 and was designed to enable the creation and transfer of real-world assets, such as tokens representing physical or digital goods, in a secure and decentralized manner. Its protocol is based on a fork of the Bitcoin code. As for its founders, Ravencoin was proposed by Bruce Fenton, a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency space and the founder and managing director of Atlantic Financial, a financial advisory firm. However, the actual development of Ravencoin was led by a team of developers, with no specific individuals or centralized entity claiming ownership or control over the project. The project was set up to be community-driven and decentralized in nature.
Long
by TrojanBible
SCCP FAN TOKEN (LOOKS READY) Fan tokens have an interesting future ahead. As of now, they've primarily been used in the sports and entertainment industries, allowing fans to engage more deeply with their favorite teams or celebrities. These tokens often come with perks like exclusive content, voting rights, or even decision-making power in certain cases. Looking ahead, the potential for fan tokens seems promising. They could evolve to encompass a wider range of industries beyond sports and entertainment. The concept might expand into gaming, music, or even various forms of online communities, providing enthusiasts with unique benefits and closer interactions with their idols or preferred entities. Integration with blockchain technology offers transparency and security, potentially revolutionizing fan engagement and loyalty programs. As the technology matures and becomes more mainstream, fan tokens might see broader adoption and innovative use cases beyond what we currently imagine.
MERCADO:SCCPFTBRLLong
by TrojanBible
2
SIMPLE MAP , BITCOIN ( 100.000$) Bitcoin (BTC) is a cryptocurrency launched in January 2009, where the first genesis block was mined on 9th January 2009. It is a decentralized digital currency that is based on cryptography. As such, it can operate without the need of a central authority like a central bank or a company. It is unlike government-issued or fiat currencies such as US Dollars or Euro in which they are controlled by the country’s central bank. The decentralized nature allows it to operate on a peer-to-peer network whereby users are able to send funds to each other without going through intermediaries NOT THIS TIME. BITCOIN THE ROAD TO 1M *
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
`bitcoin ( sell everything ? now ??? 20.12.2023 ) Bitcoin (BTC) is a cryptocurrency launched in January 2009, where the first genesis block was mined on 9th January 2009. It is a decentralized digital currency that is based on cryptography. As such, it can operate without the need of a central authority like a central bank or a company. It is unlike government-issued or fiat currencies such as US Dollars or Euro in which they are controlled by the country’s central bank. The decentralized nature allows it to operate on a peer-to-peer network whereby users are able to send funds to each other without going through intermediaries
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TrojanBible
BTC.D today is the day. On crypto market, a coin dominance is a ratio of its market cap to cumulative market cap of cryptocurrencies. It's a great way to see how big a coin is relative to the whole crypto market — the value of everything is in comparison. It's calculated by dividing a coin market cap by the overall market cap of the top 125 coins and then multiplying it by 100. The result of these calculations and how it changes over time you can see on the dominance chart — calculated for you by TradingView.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by TrojanBible
LEASH (DOGE KILLER) 107K (48K NEW ATH ? ) Market Cap $32,572,456 24 Hour Trading Vol $1,216,413 Fully Diluted Valuation $32,580,531 Circulating Supply 107,526 Total Supply 107,553 Max Supply 107,64 !!!! What is Doge Killer (LEASH) | What is Doge Killer token | What is LEASH token In this article, we’ll discuss information about the Doge Killer project and LEASH token ECOSYSTEM ⦿ SHIB is an experiment in decentralized spontaneous community building. SHIB token is our first token and allows users to hold Billions or even Trillions of them. Nicknamed the DOGECOIN KILLER, this ERC-20 ONLY token can remain well under a penny and still outpace Dogecoin in a small amount of time (relatively speaking). Popular worldwide, and already up thousands of percent, Shiba token ( CRYPTOCAP:SHIB ) is the first cryptocurrency token to be listed and incentivized on ShibaSwap, our decentralized exchange. We locked the 50% of the total supply to Uniswap and threw away the keys! The remaining 50% was burned to Vitalik Buterin and we were the first project following this path, so everyone has to buy on the open market, ensuring a fair and complete distribution where devs don’t own team tokens they can dump on the community. ⦿ LEASH was originally set to be a rebase token pegged to the price of Dogecoin. Now, it has been unleashed and will not rebase. With a total circulation of ONLY 100k tokens, it has the opposite appeal to Shib (which has a much larger supply). The second token incentivized on the swap offers special rewards for those who provide liquidity.
LLong
by TrojanBible
6
BITCOIN HOLD IS THE KEYAI and Bitcoin, while not inherently linked, have seen intersections in certain contexts. AI technology has been used in various capacities within the realm of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Trading Algorithms: AI and machine learning algorithms have been applied in cryptocurrency trading. These algorithms analyze vast amounts of data, market trends, social media sentiment, and historical patterns to make trading decisions. They aim to predict price movements and execute trades faster and more efficiently than human traders. Fraud Detection: AI-powered systems are utilized to detect fraudulent activities in the cryptocurrency space. They analyze transaction patterns, identify anomalies, and help in flagging potentially fraudulent transactions or activities within Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Blockchain Analysis: AI tools can assist in analyzing blockchain data. They help track transactions, identify patterns, and provide insights into the flow of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin across the blockchain network. This is particularly useful in investigations involving illicit activities or tracing the movement of funds. Market Analysis and Predictions: AI algorithms are employed to analyze market data and make predictions regarding Bitcoin's price movements. While the crypto market is highly volatile and challenging to predict accurately, AI-based models attempt to forecast trends based on historical data and market indicators. Security and Wallet Protection: AI technologies are also used to enhance security measures for cryptocurrency wallets and exchanges. These systems work to identify potential vulnerabilities, protect against hacking attempts, and enhance overall cybersecurity. The integration of AI with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies illustrates how advanced technologies are converging to shape and influence the development, security, and trading dynamics within the digital currency space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
BITCOIN 200.000$ AI and Bitcoin, while not inherently linked, have seen intersections in certain contexts. AI technology has been used in various capacities within the realm of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Trading Algorithms: AI and machine learning algorithms have been applied in cryptocurrency trading. These algorithms analyze vast amounts of data, market trends, social media sentiment, and historical patterns to make trading decisions. They aim to predict price movements and execute trades faster and more efficiently than human traders. Fraud Detection: AI-powered systems are utilized to detect fraudulent activities in the cryptocurrency space. They analyze transaction patterns, identify anomalies, and help in flagging potentially fraudulent transactions or activities within Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Blockchain Analysis: AI tools can assist in analyzing blockchain data. They help track transactions, identify patterns, and provide insights into the flow of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin across the blockchain network. This is particularly useful in investigations involving illicit activities or tracing the movement of funds. Market Analysis and Predictions: AI algorithms are employed to analyze market data and make predictions regarding Bitcoin's price movements. While the crypto market is highly volatile and challenging to predict accurately, AI-based models attempt to forecast trends based on historical data and market indicators. Security and Wallet Protection: AI technologies are also used to enhance security measures for cryptocurrency wallets and exchanges. These systems work to identify potential vulnerabilities, protect against hacking attempts, and enhance overall cybersecurity. The integration of AI with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies illustrates how advanced technologies are converging to shape and influence the development, security, and trading dynamics within the digital currency space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TrojanBible
2