EURUSD - Parallel channel in play!The following chart offers a closer look at the current structure of the EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action has been respecting a well-defined bearish parallel channel, which has provided clear boundaries for both resistance and support. Based on the ongoing reaction to these levels, we outline both bullish and bearish scenarios that could unfold in the coming sessions.
Bearish Parallel Channel
Since June 30, EUR/USD has been consistently moving within a downward-sloping bearish parallel channel. Each attempt to break above the upper boundary of the channel has been rejected, while the lower boundary continues to act as dynamic support. This sustained rejection from the upper trendline confirms the strength of the bearish momentum currently at play. The pair remains structurally weak unless a clean breakout to the upside occurs, accompanied by strong bullish confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
A potential bullish reversal could materialize if EUR/USD manages to hold above the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located between 1.1620 and 1.1600. This zone may provide the necessary support for the bulls to step in. If the price maintains strength within or just above this FVG and buyers begin to show dominance, a rebound toward the upper boundary of the channel could occur. A successful breakout above the channel could then trigger a stronger rally, possibly targeting the 1.1750–1.1800 region, marking a clear shift in short-term momentum.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, if the pair fails to hold the 4-hour FVG between 1.1620 and 1.1600 and closes a strong bearish 4-hour candle below this zone, the market may be setting up for further downside. This would suggest a rejection of the FVG as resistance and open the path for a drop toward the lower end of the channel. Interestingly, this area also aligns with a previously established larger 4-hour FVG. A move into this deeper FVG could present a more favorable zone for a longer-term bullish reversal, as it offers a stronger liquidity pool and potential demand area.
Final Thoughts
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture. Price is hovering near a key support zone within a bearish channel that has defined its movement for several weeks. Whether bulls can hold this support and break above the channel, or bears take control and push it lower toward the broader 4-hour FVG, will determine the next major directional move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the 1.1620–1.1600 level for clues on the likely breakout direction.
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Supply and Demand
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for a price to attempt the higher level red box sitting around the 3370-75 region and if not breached, we felt an opportunity to short would be available from that region. We said if that failed and the move commenced, we would be looking at a complete correction of the move back down into the 3330-35 region, where we would then monitor price again in anticipation of a long from there or the extension level of 3310 which was also a red box short target (move complete). As you can see from the above, not only did we get that higher red box, we rejected, completed the move downside and then our traders managed to get that long trade all the way back up into the Excalibur target, red box targets and the hotspots shared in Camelot.
A decent week again, not only on Gold but also the numerous other pairs we trade, share targets on and analyse.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we can expect more ranging price action, but due to the previous range from last week being so tight, it looks like we’ll see a breakout coming in the latter part of the week unless there is news to bring us unexpected volume.
We have the key level below 3335-40 support and above that resistance and a red box sitting at 3375-80. This is the region that needs to watched for the break, and if broken we should hit the range high again at 3400-10. However, if rejected, we could again see this dip to attack that lower order region 3310-6 before attempting to recover.
Last week we wanted to see that curveball and although we did see some aggressive price action, I think we will see something extreme for this week. It’s that lower level 3310-6 that is a key region for bulls, if broken we can see a complete flush in gold taking us down into the 3250’s before we start the summer run. That for us would be the ideal scenario going into the month end, but, we’ll play it how we see and as usual, we go level to level and update any changes as we go along.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355, 3361, 3368, 3372 and above that 3385
Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3361, 3367, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTC/USDT 125k? or 110k fall again?BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – July 20, 2025
The current market structure shows a bullish pennant forming after a strong impulsive move upward, with price consolidating between key support and resistance levels. This pattern, combined with volume signals and key price zones, suggests a potential for a high-volatility breakout.
🔷 Volume Profile & OBV Insights
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This suggests a potential sudden spike in volume that could confirm the next major move.
Anchored Volume Profile (VPVR) on the right shows a notable low-volume area between 112K–115K. If price breaks below this zone, it could lead to a rapid selloff toward deeper fair value areas due to reduced liquidity support.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the pennant resistance and 119.5K liquidity zone, it may signal bullish continuation.
A successful retest of the breakout level as support would confirm strength, opening the door to:
Short-term target: 123K (supply zone and previous swing high)
Mid-term target: 125K (key psychological level and potential ATH)
Watch for confirmation via OBV breakout and strong bullish volume. Failure to sustain above the 118K–119K area could signal a bull trap.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A breakdown below pennant support and the 115K level would likely trigger a move into the low-volume range.
First key downside target: 114.7K–115.7K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 zone) and a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This zone may act as a support or a liquidity grab reversal area.
If this zone fails to hold, deeper downside targets become likely:
FVG 2 (~112K)
Psychological support at 110K, which aligns with strong historical demand and a major VPVR node.
This bearish move may either confirm further downside momentum or present a fakeout opportunity if price sharply reverses from one of these deeper levels.
✅ Summary
BTC is coiled within a bullish pennant, with both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown scenarios in play. Volume confirmation and breakout direction will be key. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the 115K–118K zone for directional clarity. A move beyond this range, especially with volume support, will likely define the next trend leg.
Dow Jones is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 43,950 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43,950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOGE | Gearing up For a BIG MOVEDoge is looking mighty bullish after establishing a clear bottom.
Together with confirmation from BTC, we can safely say that altseason is yet ahead of us. BTC's recent increase show that the bullish impulse is still upon us. And after ETH increases, the rest of the altcoin market will follow suit as per usual.
DOGE is bullish because:
✅ Clear bottom
✅ Higher lows, daily looking to reclaim the moving averages:
✅ Altseason upon us after ETH increase
Ultimately, we need to wait for confirmation - if THIS major resistance zone is cleared (in other words if daily candles close ABOVE this zone) then we're full bull mode.
________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Interesting open for the week, not just on gold but across the markets! Our plan yesterday in the KOG Report was to look for that lower support level to hold and then not only to target Excalibur which confirmed the move, but also the red box and bias level targets. This worked well and yet again, within a day, we've completed the week's targets upside!
We couldn't short from the first red box as it was broken. Now we have the red box above which is holding and giving a slight move downside and with the indicators flashing red, we'll stick with the move so far initially looking for 3390-85. We're not discounting a retest of the level, but as long as it holds, we'll go with it.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355✅, 3361✅, 3368✅, 3372✅ and above that 3385✅
Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355✅, 3361✅, 3367✅, 3375✅ and 3390✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Trade Idea - 30m Structure with 4H ConfluenceCurrently, price is trading below the 4H descending trendline, respecting bearish structure on lower timeframe (30m).
✅ 1H Order Block (OB) marked between 3335-3340 remains a strong demand zone where price can bounce break the trendline to sweep liquidity above around 3377 to form bullish continuation.
📌 Scenarios I'm Watching:
Short-term rejection from the 4H trendline.
Potential reversal towards 1H OB.
Bullish reaction from OB could trigger a breakout above the 4H trendline.
Final upside target remains at the liquidity pool around 3377 zone ($$$).
🟣 Overall Bias: Bullish after liquidity sweep. Watching for bullish confirmation at OB before executing buys.
SPX500 Near ATH | Earnings Week Could Fuel Next MoveSPX500 | Weekly Outlook
The S&P 500 continues its bullish run, trading at record highs as investors await a critical week of tech earnings. Reports from Alphabet and Tesla could be key in justifying the lofty valuations driven by the AI boom.
Technical Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 6341 and 6283 before any decisive move. A short-term bearish correction may occur initially, but if the price holds above the support zone, a push toward a new ATH at 6341 is likely. A breakout above this level could extend gains toward 6375 and 6393.
However, a break below 6283 would indicate weakness, potentially driving the price toward the demand zone near 6250 and 6224.
Support: 6283 · 6250 · 6224
Resistance: 6341 · 6375 · 6393
EURGBP CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEURGBP CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 4H TIME FRAME.
Price is currently in a secondary trend.
Price is expected to end the secondary trend and start primary trend again.
On higher side market may hit the targets of 0.87400
On lower side 0.85950 may act as a key support level.
WIFUSDT strong Bullish formationWIFUSDT is currently developing a classic Cup and Handle pattern, with the handle approaching the key neckline resistance zone. The neckline is acting as a strong barrier, and a confirmed breakout above this level is expected to trigger significant bullish momentum.
Target levels are clearly outlined on the chart. Keep a close watch on this setup, it has the potential to accelerate quickly once the breakout is validated.
DOGE Analysis (3D)There’s a very simple and clear chart setup on Dogecoin (DOGE) right now.
We have two major horizontal key levels and a channel that is about to break down. If the price manages to close above the yellow-marked line ($0.21142), we can expect a strong rally to follow.
There’s no need for complicated indicators cluttering the screen — all relevant levels are clearly marked on the chart.
Two Logical Entry Approaches:
1️⃣ Breakout Entry: Enter on a confirmed breakout. (Waiting for a daily candle close on a memecoin might slightly reduce your profit range, but it’s the safer approach.)
2️⃣ Demand Zone Entry: Wait for the price to retrace to the green demand zone — though this scenario seems less likely for now.
A combined approach can work best: enter on breakout, use the horizontal levels as support, and set a tight stop-loss to manage risk.
Good Luck.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports/resistances
for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD ( XAUUSD ): Watching For A Short Term Buy ConfirmationIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of July 21-25th
Gold has been in consolidation for a couple of weeks now. The price action hasn't allowed for very many FVGs... until last week. There is a +FVG I am keeping an eye on, as it will be very telling how price reacts to it upon contacting this POI.
If it holds, higher prices will ensue.
If it fails, to the lows of the consolidation we go.
We'll soon see how it plays out.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NIFTY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE ZONES FOR 22-07-2025Nifty Support & Resistance Zones for Tomorrow 22-07-2025
Based on price cluster analysis and recent market structure, the following key support and resistance levels have been identified for the upcoming session:
Resistance Zones:
25438.25 – 25454.15
25363.45 – 25374.55
25257.60 – 25287.05
25178.00 – 25194.70
25089.70 – 25111.15
Support Zones:
25012.50 – 25030.00
24901.90 – 24931.35
24800.00 – 24825.50
24725.20 – 24733.20
24642.45 – 24651.20
These levels are derived from high-probability zones where price has shown repeated interaction in the recent past. Watch how Nifty reacts at these zones for potential breakout, reversal, or pullback setups.
AUDUSD: Sell The Rip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
AUDUSD
AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Last week it gave a bearish close. With the USD expected to continue to gain strength, look for sells directed to the liquidity lows in AUDUSD.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Manausdt buy opportunityMANAUSDT is gaining strength with price rebounding toward the bottom trendline and pushing upward. Momentum favors a continued rise toward the $0.65–$0.80 supply zone, a key level that previously triggered strong sell-offs. A successful breakout above this zone could unlock significant bullish momentum, with eyes set on the $2.70 region as the final setup target. Let price action lead, this could unfold swiftly.
Natural Gas is in the Buying DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts