Supply and Demand
MARA Showing Classic Wyckoff Reaccumulation SetupI’m currently observing what appears to be a Wyckoff Reaccumulation Schematic developing in MARA (Marathon Digital Holdings). After a significant decline, the price seems to have found a floor with a clear Selling Climax (SC), followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) that established the upper boundary of the trading range. The price action since then has remained largely within this range, showing multiple Secondary Tests (ST) that confirm both support and resistance levels. The structure and volume behavior suggest that MARA is likely in Phase C of the Wyckoff reaccumulation process, where we typically anticipate a spring or shakeout to test supply before the next leg higher. If the schematic continues to unfold according to the Wyckoff method, we could see signs of Phase D soon, which would involve a successful test of the spring and a rally back toward resistance with increasing demand. This would set the stage for a potential breakout, marking the beginning of Phase E. I’m closely watching price behavior near the lower range, along with volume confirmation, to validate this scenario. While the structure is still developing, the current formation is consistent with historical reaccumulation patterns seen prior to bullish continuations.
XAU/USD 16 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
NOTCOIN New Update (1D)From the point where the red arrow is placed on the chart, the correction labeled as NOT has started.
The correction appears to be a symmetrical one, which now seems to be coming to an end. The current upward wave could be the X wave.
In previous analyses, we had also considered the structure to be symmetrical, but on a larger degree. However, based on the data currently available, it seems that the degree of this symmetrical structure is smaller.
If the price holds above the green zone, it may move toward the targets and the red box. The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BUY ETHUSDT 16.7.2025Confluence order: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- M15~FIBO 0,5-0,618 (same position)
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of sub key M15 (3152)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3137
- SL at 3127
- TP1: 3152
- TP2: 3164
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
Gold 16.07.25Over the last 2 weeks there was this redistribution model forming, where i yesterday found an entry. The Initial distribution i was looking for in may never hit it's target, so i might be able to ride this trade all the way down. The time displacement on the last tap wasn't the best, so there might be another move into the POI's, where i then have to reenter. It would suck a little bit though, atm it's an 39 R/R.
BUY XAUUSD 16.7.2025Trend Resumption at H1: BUY at M15
Type of order: Limit order
Reason:
- The price brokeout the sub key of M15, confirming the uptrend into main key M15.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of sub key M15 (3335)
Set up entry:
- Entry buy at 3325
- SL at 3319
- TP1: 3335
- TP2: 3347
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
APPL. Bulls are in ControlHello, I’m TheCafeTrader.
This post is for technical traders looking to capitalize on short swings and options.
What you’re seeing here are supply and demand zones — areas where liquidity is concentrated. These levels are identified using a system built around footprint data, order flow, and market imbalances.
🔹 Key Observation:
I’ve marked a seller that price has now broken above. This tells us that buyers have overpowered a sell-side participant, and are now likely targeting deeper liquidity in the $218–$225 range.
🔹 On Apple’s Behavior:
Apple can be slow and choppy at times. So, if you’re trading options, consider going as close to the money as possible and give yourself some time on the contracts.
🔹 New Buyer in the Market:
Between $199–$206, a new aggressive buyer has stepped in. This player appears to be pressuring the first line of sellers (labeled “beginning of supply”).
🟢 My Expectation:
I expect AAPL to pull back to around $206 before catching a bid. As long as price holds above $199, buyers remain in control. In this range, I anticipate further accumulation by bulls.
🔸 Take Profit Levels:
• First TP: Just before the major selling cluster around $218
• Final TP: Deep inside the seller zone near $223
⸻
📊 Follow for more short-term analysis. This week, we’re covering both short- and long-term views of the MAG 7.
⸻
TLT ShortTLT 1H Technical Analysis
📈 Outlook:
The current setup suggests a bearish continuation scenario:
A corrective move toward the 85.20–85.60 supply.
Rejection from this area confirms continuation of the downtrend.
Target: 83.20–83.60, where resting liquidity and untested demand reside.
This sequence follows a classic liquidity sweep + supply mitigation + continuation pattern. Unless price breaks convincingly above 85.80, the bearish outlook remains intact.
🔼 Supply Zones (Bearish Liquidity Layers):
Primary Zone: 85.20–85.60
This is the most immediate area of interest, aligning closely with the 50% equilibrium level of the last bearish impulse (~85.84). Price is likely to reject from here as it also coincides with a previously unmitigated supply block and market inefficiency.
Stacked Supply Above: 86.40–88.00
Should price break the lower supply, these zones will come into play. However, the current structure suggests strong probability of rejection before reaching these levels.
🔽 Demand Zones (Target Areas):
First Demand: 83.20–83.60
This is your marked initial downside target. It represents the next logical draw on liquidity and aligns with prior accumulation and support structure. It’s likely to act as a temporary reaction zone or the next entry point for accumulation.
Deeper Demand Zone: 82.40–82.80
Marked by your secondary border, this range offers higher time-frame confluence and could act as the final sweep zone if the 83s fail to hold.
XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis
📈 Expected Scenario:
Your projection implies the following:
Short-term pullback into the 3,305–3,315 demand zone.
A bullish reversal from this level, supported by price structure and prior demand imbalance.
Upside targets: First at 3,365 (minor supply), then extension toward 3,385–3,400.
This view is technically valid, as the market seems to be collecting liquidity below intermediate lows while maintaining structural integrity.
📌 Key Zones ("Your Borders"):
🔽 Demand Zone (Support)
Location: 3,305 to 3,315
Purpose: Your chart illustrates this as the primary reaccumulation zone. It aligns with a mid-structure demand zone and could serve as the launchpad for the next leg up, especially if paired with bullish order flow or volume confirmation.
Below this: A deeper, stronger demand lies around 3,285–3,295 (also marked by your 0.5 level at ≈3,286.14), which may act as a final liquidity grab zone before continuation.
🔼 Supply Zones (Resistance)
Lower Supply: 3,355–3,365
Upper Supply: 3,375–3,385
These zones represent potential profit-taking areas for any longs initiated at the demand. A breakout above 3,385 would suggest a continuation toward the 3,400–3,420 macro resistance.
APPL, Get Yourself a Good PriceHello This week we are breaking down the MAG7 starting with Apple.
This analysis is an aid to help you:
1 Find good price to add to your long term.
2 Hedge your current position.
3 Make a swing trade (we will touch on options pricing as well).
Currently Apple is 1 of 5 of the MAG 7 that had not gained a new high since Trump and the tariff scares. Many analysts have given their predictions on where Apples fair value lies and these vary. What they will not tell you is where the institutional buyers and sellers are. Not to worry, this is where we come in
Big Buyers and Big Sellers
On the chart in front of you, take a look at the 3 different buy and sell zones (otherwise known as supply and demand zones). We find these areas in using a system similar to "imbalances" if you are familiar with the footprint chart, or orderflow. If you had no idea what any of that means, not to worry, I've done the work for you.
-The lines represent the fringe of real liquidity . Using this we will be able to help you find how and when you can find a good price for your long term.
- Buyers/Sellers: strong motivated liquidity.
- Extreme Buyers/sellers Extreme demand, this is an area you could consider a steal.
1 How do you find good pricing?
Simply put - Buy with the buyers and sell with the sellers.
If you are wanting to add to your long term here are the prices. Do you want to get in ASAP? or are you willing to wait for what could be a great deal. This is important as the end of the year can greatly depend on not just picking a good stock, but finding a great price.
Buying
Fair - 192
Good - 188-187
GREAT - 180-169
Now if you are in, and maybe you want to hedge the downside (you can do this by shorting the stock, or buying put options (even more in depth you can do spreads).
For now we will just focus on Buying Put options and taking profit for swing traders.
The Burgundy line "bottom of supply" previously rejected this area twice before (May 1st, and May 14th). July 7th marks the 3rd rejection. It's important to note that the last test pushes a new high, this shows a bit of weakness from the sellers.
This weakness suggests we may see the 218-225 Sellers get tested before it comes down. The question is, How strong will the buyers be coming into this zone.
If they are aggressing this area with new REAL buyers, Then we may see this run through all these sellers and continue to run until the 245 area. If we do not find real buyers here, then likely we will reject to the pricing marked previously.
If you are holding APPLE, you can look to hedge with puts at the end of the 220-223. Since you are looking at about 5-7% downside from apple if the sellers are strong here, look to only spend 2-3% of your apple worth on puts. look for maybe 2-3 weeks out if possible.
Secondly if APPL does make a bull run to 245 you can mark this area again to hedge short term puts. look for 8-10%+ downside puts 3-4 weeks out (roughly 3-5% of your apple size)
Hedging can be very useful in wanted to keep your long term and navigate some of the ebbs and flows of the market. Notice that the risk of your puts, 2-3% & 3-5%, is half of the expected reaction from these areas. if you get a big rejection, expect these options to pay well.
NOTE: If you do not understand the implied volatility (IV's) change the price of options, it is recommended that you stay away from options until you have sufficient experience. It's also important to know how to find a good strike price, and how to know if you are getting a good price. I will be breaking down options pricing in a different time.
That's all for Apple, Stay tuned for the rest of the MAG 7!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23034.25
- PR Low: 22973.75
- NZ Spread: 135.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | PPI
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
AMP margins raised overnight for expected PPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/16)
- Session Open ATR: 277.22
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
TIRUMALCHMTIRUMALCHM has given resistance breakout with decent volume. Another good thing is unusual volume increased in accumulation zone. Support can be seen near 280 levels. There is high probability that this time it may push the stock in to trend change and may take momentum to the next level. Keep it on radar.
Gold 30-Min OB Analysis – Bounce or Drop..?Gold is showing a break of structure after a big sell-off 🔻. We have marked a 30-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍 which can act as a possible reaction zone.
📌 Two Scenarios We Are Watching:
✅ Scenario 1 (Bullish):
If price taps into the 30M OB and shows bullish rejection 🟢, we can look for buy opportunities, targeting the previous highs near 3335-3340 🎯.
❌ Scenario 2 (Bearish):
If price fails to hold the OB, we will watch for a liquidity sweep (marked with $$$) and expect price to move lower towards the next demand zone near 3285 📉.
⚠️ Key Notes:
Always wait for confirmation before entry.
Patience is the key 🧘♂️ — let the market come to us.
HOOD - Get Great PricingNASDAQ:HOOD and I have had a mixed relationship over the years. I have had my biggest win on the HOOD brokerage (5,000% options trade, $1200 into 60k) and at the same time I was present for the Derogatory removal of the GME button (of which I had sold before they took that button).
After many years and brokerages, I find myself returning to HOOD but this time much more experience... To my surprise, I love the platform, and I still recommend it for new traders for the ease and UI. Honestly, unless you are dealing with BIG Volume or Hot-Keying out of Low float Penny stocks, It will suit you just fine.
Now Let's Talk HOOD.
In this MASSIVE range we are looking at High $67, and a Low of $35. Thats a 47% drop!
Although we have recovered a bit, Many are eager to find a way to get in the range. Here I have put together 2 scenarios to help you play your position with confidence.
Better Price = Better psychology
Whether we are shopping at grocery store, or if we are buying a car. Getting a good deal feels better. But how do you feel when you know you overpaid?
TLDR: The best deals are the lowest purple zone "Extreme Demand" if you are Long, "Reinforced Supply" (at the top) if you are looking to get short or take profit.
Under the HOOD
Currently Robinghood is running into a little bit of a supply zone labelled "Weak Supply"
This is a new player, and we don't yet know how just how big this player is. So far they have absorbed some of that buying pressure coming in, but I would not be surprised if they we overtaken or even gapped above come Monday. This brings us to our first Scenario
Scenario 1: Blue line
With the break above "weak supply", there is headroom all the way until 51.74. This is where we will see some supply initially and maybe a small rejection.
Why would it not reject back down to a demand area like 41? Great question.
If this overtakes that "Weak Supply" zone, this will make a strong case that there is momentum behind the wheels here. I think there will be a new player reinforcing this buying if this happens all the way to the Finale at $58.01. From here I would consider taking some profits, maybe partials, or looking for some Puts.
Scenario 2: Red line
Getting Rejected by "Weak supply" would be evidence that this move was fluff. Those two demand zones may try to hold a bit, but with the lack of buying interest in the
$45 area, this won't make those buyers feel confident.
This is different story when comparing to the "Extreme Demand" zone (lowest purple zone). Buyers here have PROVEN that this is something they are very interested and they are not done accumulating yet. So from this location buyers feel confident that they are getting a good price*( see fn. )
From here this should drive demand up again, crushing shorts, and sending another nice squeeze to test that supply at 51.71
WHEW! if you made it this far, I appreciate your time!
Upvote/Follow if you enjoyed this idea, there are many more to come!
Happy trading!
* (This is a good price, because buyers are showing that it is. Although, if it did come down here, this would be the 4th test of this area. I still think there will be strong demand here, but this isn't the best tests. 2nd and 3rd were stronger.)
ALGORAND - LONG TERM BUY OPPORTUNITY, BEST ENTRY PRICE, 600%+ALGORAND (ALGO) is one of the layer 1 blockchain platform's that is compatible with ISO 20022. ISO 20022 is a global standard for financial messaging that aims to standardize electronic data exchange between financial institutions. Some speculate whether this is applicable or not long term, however the narrative still exists, so along with other ISO 20022 cryptos such as XRP, this can mean a nice place to park some capital in crypto. Conservatively, Algorand can touch $1.00 long term and then potentially $2.00 especially if any announcements, collaborations or other catalyst arise. Algorand is working towards quantum resistance, and that's also a selling point for the blockchain. Gary Gensler once praised Algorand and take that with what you must, but that doesn't hurt when former SEC Chairman shills a crypto project.
GBPJPY is in the Down Trend From Resistance LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD is Bearish After Breaking Regression ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
PVSRA Bitcoin AnalysisMay 08 2025 a bullish candle's parallel volume bar broke the threshold in the below pane; indicating price instability, or unfilled orders if you will. June 22 price returns to that full candle body and dips $500 below it, to feel the opposing force and realize orders have been filled and we are in equilibrium. This set up is usually set up and finished in 1-2 weeks (volume absorption) so this 1.5 month setup was an outlier and a grind that paid off BIG patience and knowing your plan of attack is everything in this game, you have to have a plan for every single variable and NEVER stray.
Present day, a 30 minute candle has broken our volume threshold, and weve moved aggressively away from that magnetic force inevitably pulling price back towards it EVENTUALLY as it did june 22nd. Due to the commonality and the recentness of the move that just happened of 5/8-6/22, we can suspect price pattern will repeat and price will be bid up, from 115-120k, where we will then reverse to 103. The bar pattern from the 5'8 6'22 move was copied, pasted, and retrofitted to current time.
Regardless of the exact pattern of the move we expect price eventually to resolve those orders at the 103 mark and our moves are based in that zone. This seems like a range out as we capitulate these 6 figures whilst remaining in a bull market.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Breaking Triangle PatternHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts