THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt that higher level and potentially break for higher pricing. If it didn’t the path showed the level for an opportunity to short which fell just short but worked well into the level we initially wanted.
We then published the red box targets and the bias through the week which held, and we managed to complete all bearish targets by Friday.
Was it easy? No! Did we expect that flush? No! We simply got to a stage on Friday where we could only watch or get in with the volume, so we stood back and just watched.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Simple one this week. We can see potential for lower, however, we’re too low to attempt shorting this, especially with the key level 3250-55 just below and major support. For that reason, we published the red boxes to help you all, look for the break either side! Ideally, we want to support on the low from the open and then continue with the move upside into the 3280-85 level initially, which should flip us on the support at 3270-75. We could range there as there is no news tomorrow but a gradual incline is what we’re looking for.
Support 3250-55 needs to break for lower, while resistance 3306-10 is the level that needs to break to go higher. That’s our potential range for now.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278, 3285, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279, 3285, 3289 and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
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As always, trade safe.
KOG
Supply and Demand
GBPUSD Selling from resistance at 1.37600📈 GBPUSD – Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)
The pair is currently respecting an ascending channel, but price is reacting to a key resistance at 1.37600, indicating a potential short opportunity.
🔻 Sell Scenario:
If rejection holds, we could see a move toward the following technical targets:
📍 1st Target – 1.36000 (Demand Zone)
📍 2nd Target – 1.34000 (Demand Zone)
📍 3rd Target – 1.32500 (Bullish Order Block)
Stay sharp — structure remains bullish overall, but short-term corrections are in play!
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BITCOIN Breakout From Ascending Channel bullish from demand ZoneBTCUSD Breakout Alert
Bitcoin has officially broken out of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal from the key demand zone at 106,100.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 110,000 – Major supply zone
2nd Target: 112,000 – Strong resistance level
🔒 Stop Loss: 103,000 – Below bullish order block for risk protection
This setup offers a clean R:R with strong confluence. Watch for continuation above 108K for confirmation.
📊 TA only – always manage your risk!
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EURUSD – June 30th OutlookBias: Still bullish
Liquidity zone pullback: 1.16853 held as expected
Next move: Watching for break of Friday's high at 1.17342 → possible retest of 1.17311 → continuation upward
HRHR Setup: If price returns to 1.16853 today, it's a high risk play due to end-of-month volatility
Caution: If we break below the previous 4H candle, we could range between 1.17342 and 1.16853 for the remainder of the day.
🔹 Approach with caution — it’s the final trading day of the month.
GOLD (XAUUSD) – June 30th OutlookWeekly: Gold opens bullish while still respecting the Dec 2024 trendline, despite the last two weekly candles closing bearish.
Daily: Currently at 3295, approaching key intraday bearish structure at 3310.
Last Week’s Bounce: From 3274 delivered 220+ pips, now becoming a pivotal reaction zone.
If 3310 Breaks: Expect continuation to 3344 – a 350-pip swing.
If 3310 Rejects: Anticipate a move back to 3274 for re-evaluation.
⚠️ Note: Today is the final trading day of the month. Watch for false breakouts and potential liquidity traps.
WTI OIL TRADING IDEA 1 JULY 2025WTI Crude Oil is currently trading around $64.77, following a recent rejection from the $76–78 resistance zone. This area represents a strong supply zone and coincides with the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating institutional selling pressure. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, this move appears to be a liquidity grab above previous highs, where price tapped into a bearish order block before aggressively reversing. Price action confirms this bearish sentiment, with a visible rejection and bearish engulfing candle suggesting that sellers are defending the region aggressively.
On the supply and demand side, the $76.77–78.30 zone is the immediate supply zone, while the next key resistance above lies between $79.37 and $93.94. On the downside, demand lies at $58.69–64.00, with major demand and liquidity resting around $55.00 and $51.79. Fundamentally, the recent spike in oil prices was largely driven by heightened tensions in the Middle East, particularly renewed conflict concerns between Iran and Israel. However, as no direct disruption to oil supply has occurred, the geopolitical risk premium is now being priced out. Additionally, concerns over global demand, especially from China and Europe, along with a gradual and controlled U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) refill, are putting downward pressure on prices despite OPEC+ maintaining output cuts.
Based on this analysis, the trade idea favors a bearish swing setup. A short position around $64.00–66.00 could be considered, targeting $58.69 as the first take-profit level, followed by $55.00 and $51.79 for extended targets. The stop loss should be placed just above $78.50 to allow room beyond the supply zone and trendline. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3. However, if price breaks and holds above $78.50, it may signal a structural shift toward bullish momentum, likely driven by unexpected geopolitical escalation or a change in OPEC strategy. In such a case, the bias should flip to bullish, with potential targets around $89.00–93.00.
NEIRO ANALYSIS (8H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that NEIRO’s correction has begun.
This correction appears to be a diagonal (diametric) pattern, and we are currently at the end of wave F.
Wave G could complete within the green zone, where we can look for a Rebuy setup.
The targets are marked on the chart.
If a daily candle closes below the invalidation level, this analysis will be invalidated.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 22842.50
- PR Low: 22751.50
- NZ Spread: 202.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Weekend volatility taking auction into new ATHs
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/30)
- Session Open ATR: 345.85
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: +0.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 23239
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 20383
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
USD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalUSD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Last week, we highlighted potential bullish momentum building in USD/CAD. That narrative continues to develop, supported by the latest economic data.
The U.S. Core PCE Price Index came in at 0.2%, slightly higher than the previous 0.1%, indicating persistent inflationary pressure that could keep the USD supported. On the other hand, Canada’s GDP contracted by -0.1%, a significant drop from the previous 0.2% growth, weighing on the CAD.
Technical Outlook:
Following the price rejection near 1.37500, USD/CAD entered an accumulation phase around 1.3680–1.3690, signaling smart money building long positions.
After accumulating buy orders and sweeping liquidity below the key level at 1.36750, price has broken above a minor resistance zone, indicating bullish intent. A visible manipulation pattern within a liquidity pocket further supports this move.
We now anticipate a continuation higher from a key re-entry zone around recent breakout structure.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.36770 (Buy Limit Order)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.36570 (Below liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.37280 (Next key resistance / ~1:2.5 RR)
This trade aligns with institutional behavior — accumulation, liquidity grab, and break of structure — suggesting a bullish continuation as long as price respects the recent breakout zone.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Gold M15 Structure Plan – 3283 is the Mirror (June 30)🟡 Gold – M15 Analysis | June 30
Reflecting live market structure using principles from Chapter 9: H4–M15 Synchrony — from The Chart Is The Mirror
🔻 Setup Overview:
Gold is now trading at a M15 lower high supply zone — a short-term decision point.
Structure offers two clear possibilities :
🔸 Plan A – Short Setup
If price respects the 3283 zone and:
– M1 gives an internal structure shift
– Followed by a clean micro BOS
➡️ I’ll consider a short entry.
🔸 Plan B – Bullish Shift
If the M15 lower high breaks , it becomes a CHoCH .
Then I’ll wait for a proper BOS to confirm bullish intent.
📌 No BOS = No Trade
🧭 H4 Context Reminder:
The 4H structure still suggests price may reach the 3225 POI
before any major bullish continuation resumes.
Patience is key — let structure lead.
📖 From the Mirror Philosophy:
“Trade what the chart reflects — not what you expect.”
The market doesn’t care about bias.
It reflects your patience, discipline, and presence.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-driven book for serious traders.