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Supply and Demand

THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: What a week on the markets with our KOG report plan working well, the red boxes moving with price, the Excalibur targets being completed and then most of the bias level targets completing as well. Have a look at Sundays report and compare the move and levels shared, you'll see how well we've managed to track this. Only thing we haven't got (yet) is that curve ball, so let's see how we close today and open on Sunday. For now, support below is at the 3340 level with resistance 3370. We may just see a late session move here so play caution. KOG’s bias for the week: Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360✅, 3373✅, 3375✅ and 3383 for now Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340,✅ 3335✅, 3329✅, 3320✅ and 3310✅ for now RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3340✅, 3335✅, 3329✅, 3322✅ and 3310✅ in extension of the move Wishing you all a great weekend and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report. Please do take some time to hit the boost button, it's very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
13
AMD LongKey Technical Insights: Clean Rejection from Demand Zone: Price recently tapped into a well-defined demand zone (highlighted green) around $152–$155. The immediate bounce suggests that buyers stepped in with strength, likely absorbing sell-side liquidity. Liquidity Grab Below Short-Term Lows: Before the move up, price dipped just enough to trigger stops below recent lows, clearing out weak hands. This kind of liquidity sweep is often used by smart money to build long positions before a directional push. Current Price Action: Price is consolidating just below a minor supply zone around $159–162. This pause is constructive: it signals that momentum may be building for a breakout higher. Upside Outlook (Based on Your Arrow) Your arrow points to a bullish breakout — and that aligns well with current price structure. Once supply near $161 is absorbed, price has a clear path to push toward the mid-160s and beyond. The current higher-timeframe trend supports continuation, and any short-term dip into the $155–156 range may offer re-entry opportunities.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by ProSignalai
AMZN Short1.Liquidity Landscape Buy-Side Liquidity Cleared: Liquidity above the recent swing high was taken — likely triggering breakout traders and stop orders from earlier shorts. This move appears to be a classic liquidity raid before a reversal. Sell-Side Liquidity in Focus: Price is now targeting sell-side liquidity resting below recent higher lows (e.g., below ~222 and especially near 218.50). This aligns with the direction of your arrow, suggesting price may hunt liquidity pools beneath internal lows. 2. Confirmation via Reaction The strong rejection from that supply zone confirms no intent to hold price above 227, meaning that was likely a liquidity raid, not a genuine breakout. Price has already broken below the midpoint (0.5 level at 222.85), adding confidence to the short bias. 3. Liquidity Targets Below The next likely targets are sell-side liquidity pools resting below: Around 218.50 (marked zone) Deeper lows near 211–212, and potentially 208–209, where untouched demand and previous stop clusters lie.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by ProSignalai
DXY LONG SETUP | Skyrocketinggggg This is a bullish setup on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), taken from the 1H timeframe using Smart Money Concepts. Price retraced into a clearly defined 1H demand zone where it also tapped a trendline support, creating a strong confluence +an LQC. The zone had internal liquidity swept and price mitigated a bullish order block, indicating potential institutional re-accumulation. Entry was taken after bullish confirmation within the zone (engulfing candle), aligned with my SMC strategy which targets liquidity grabs and mitigation zones. 🔹 Entry: 98.06 🔹 SL: 97.83 (below the zone and structure) 🔹 TP: 99.11 (previous H1 high & clean supply zone) 🔹 RR: Approx. 4.5R 🔍 Technical Confluences: Demand zone + OB mitigation + LQC Trendline reaction (support respected) Liquidity sweep + BOS (Break of Structure) Clean imbalance above = fuel for price Bullish engulfing as confirmation 📰 Fundamental Bias: Today’s U.S. Jobless Claims came in better than expected, signaling labor market strength. Additionally, Retail Sales data was positive, reinforcing USD strength. These support a hawkish Fed narrative, aligning with our bullish technical setup. Bias remains bullish unless price closes below 97.83 (invalidation level).
TVC:DXYLong
by sam_trades_smc
EURUSD Breakout Trade EUR/USD – Breakout Confirmation 🔹 Multi-Timeframe Bullish Setup by PULSETRADESFX EUR/USD is showing a strong bullish shift after breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. Price reacted perfectly from the demand zone and is now pushing above descending trendline resistance across the 2H chart. This signals early signs of trend reversal, backed by confluence across intraday and higher timeframes. The structure is clean, the R:R is healthy, and momentum favors bulls after multiple rejections at key support. --- ✅ Confluences Supporting the Long: Descending channel breakout (2H ) Triple demand zone rejection Break and close above minor resistance Clean bullish momentum candle Economic catalysts ahead (watch USD data releases 📅) 📅 July 18, 2025 📊 FOREX.com | EUR/USD (2H) #EURUSD #Forex #BreakoutTrade #BullishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PULSETRADESFX
Long
by PULSETRADESFX
Gold- Still needs to resolve the range🔸 Still Rangebound, But Not for Long In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that two scenarios are in play for Gold: 1. Bullish above 3375 2. Bearish under 3320 Throughout the session, price action leaned toward the bearish side, and I aligned with that by opening a short position. It ended with a minor loss — just 50 pips, which is negligible considering I'm looking for a potential 1,000 pip move in the bigger picture. ________________________________________ 🔍 What's Next? As the title says, Gold still needs to resolve the current range before a clear directional move unfolds. The same key levels discussed yesterday remain valid and relevant. And since it’s Friday, today’s daily and weekly candle close will be critical in shaping expectations for next week. ________________________________________ 📈 Bullish Case: Close Above 3360 • A daily/weekly close around 3360 would bring strong pressure on the 3375 resistance. • That could lead to a bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern. • It would also leave behind a bullish weekly pin bar (last week was a bullish pin bar too). • This scenario would bring 3450 into focus — with 3500 and even a new ATH on the table in the coming weeks. ________________________________________ 📉 Bearish Case: Close Near 3300 • A close near 3300 would signal a failed rally attempt • That would expose 3250 support short term, and 3150 medium term. ________________________________________ 🧭 Final Thoughts At the moment, I’m flat and waiting for clearer confirmation later in the day. The next move big will be defined by the weekly close — it’s as simple as that. P.S.: It’s just a hunch , but I’m still leaning toward a break under 3300 as the next major move. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
15
Gold’s Q2 Surge: What’s Next for the Safe Haven?The Q 2 Rally: A Response to Global Uncertainty Gold prices hit new heights in the second quarter of year, breaching the $3,500 per ounce mark for the first time amid a wave of global instability. After climbing steadily from $2,658.04 on January 2 to $3,138.24 by April 2, the precious metal faced a brief dip below $3,000 in early April. However, it quickly rebounded, peaking at $3,434.40 on April 21 and briefly touching $3,500 during trading. By June 30, it closed at $3,303.30 showing a volatile yet upward trend driven by tariff threats, geopolitical tensions, and a shaky financial landscape. Key Drivers Behind the Scene The surge was sparked by U.S. tariff policies, with broad import fees announced on April 2 causing a global market panic. Investors, wary of rising 10-year bond yields as major holders sold U.S. treasuries, flocked to gold as a safer alternative. A temporary pause in tariff plans eased some pressure, but uncertainty lingered, keeping prices elevated. Geopolitical flare-ups, including Israel’s June 12 attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and ongoing regional conflicts, further bolstered demand. Central banks added to the momentum, purchasing 244 metric tons in Q1 (24% above the five-year average) and 20 metric tons in May, while retail and ETF inflows-$21 billion in North America, $6 billion in Europe, and $11 billion in Asia for the first half-signaled growing interest. Persistent Risks and Opportunities Experts predict that the factors fueling gold’s rise won’t fade soon. Tariff deadlines, now extended to August 1 after a July 9 reprieve, could trigger another rally if tensions escalate. I feel existing tariffs could gradually lift prices, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts, which would further boost gold demand, especially among central banks. A weaker U.S. dollar-down 11% year-to-date-also enhances gold’s appeal for international buyers, a trend, I think, will persist. Geopolitical hotspots, including Middle East tensions and ongoing global conflicts, add to the uncertainty. Prolonged shock period, rather than the typical summer lull, suggests gold could remain a go-to safe haven. Higher inflation expectations and a fragile dollar outlook only strengthen its case. Couple Last Words Gold’s second quarter performance keeps holding tight its role as a hedge against uncertainty. With prices holding above $3,300 and potential catalysts like tariffs and geopolitics on the horizon, it’s a compelling option for diversification. Watch for the August 1 tariff update-it could be a key inflection point.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by juliakhandoshko
GBP/USD – Breakout Confirmation Across TimeframesGBP/USD – Breakout Confirmation Across Timeframes 🔹 Multi-Timeframe Bullish Setup by PULSETRADESFX GBP/USD is showing a strong bullish shift after breaking out of a well-defined descending channel. Price reacted perfectly from the 1.33400–1.34060 demand zone and is now pushing above descending trendline resistance across the 2H and 4H charts. This signals early signs of trend reversal, backed by confluence across intraday and higher timeframes. 📌 Trade Setup Details: Entry: 1.34530 – 1.34550 SL: 1.34060 (Below demand) TP: 1.35724 – 1.36000 (Upper supply zone / channel target) The structure is clean, the R:R is healthy, and momentum favors bulls after multiple rejections at key support. --- ✅ Confluences Supporting the Long: Descending channel breakout (2H & 4H) Triple demand zone rejection Break and close above minor resistance Clean bullish momentum candle Economic catalysts ahead (watch USD data releases 📅) 📅 July 18, 2025 📊 FOREX.com | GBP/USD (4H, 2H) #GBPUSD #Forex #BreakoutTrade #BullishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #PULSETRADESFX
Long
by PULSETRADESFX
NAS100 Bigger Picture. Uptrend to be resumedLooking at the current structure through the lens of a trend trading approach, what we saw on NAS100 is more than a simple price bounce, it’s a trend continuation trading within a high-volatility environment. As price is approaching a key resistance level, how price is behaving around this dynamic trendline will be key. This recent retracement and rejection happening near what we can call a demand zone cluster, was confirmed by a beautiful bounce off the support range. And right now price is respecting the upper and lower bounds nicely. What happens next? Price is showing signs of bullish exhaustion, but the higher-timeframe structure supports a continuation. My projected target is towards the upper resistance line, that’s my 23,100 zone as shown.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by TrendDiva
35
XRPUSDTBINANCE:XRPUSDT broke above its long-term downtrend line and surged to the $3.5000 resistance area, but is now undergoing a correction. The current bullish structure, with a higher high and higher low, suggests the trend remains upward. A pullback toward the $3.0000 demand zone is likely and would be a healthy retracement. Holding this area could trigger a continuation toward the key resistance at $4.2000. Key Level Price Main Support $2.2000 Main Resistance $4.2000 Best Buy Range $2.9500 – $3.1500 Best Sell Range $4.1000 – $4.2000 Investment Risk (Buying) Medium ⚠️Please control RISK management
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
SHIBUSDT🕯 The key resistance level, identified as the best resistance for a break and pump, stands at 0.0000135, with a potential price increase to 0.00001567 if breached, serving as the next target (Pullback level). On the support side, the main level is observed at 0.0000115, and should the price fall below this, it may decline further to the lower Major Level of 0.0000100. 🔽 Resistances: Main resistance level: 0.0000135 (potential break for pump) Next target (Pullback level): 0.00001567 🔼 Supports: Main support level: 0.0000115 Lower level (Major Level): 0.0000100 ⚠️Contorl Risk management for trades.
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
2