Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart🔍1. Chart Context
Interval: 4 hours (H4)
Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD
Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD.
Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI
📊2. Price Action Analysis
Market structure
Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD.
Key technical levels
✅Resistance:
~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May.
~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement.
Support:
~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout.
~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines.
📊3. Indicators
Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart)
Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling.
Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances.
🧠4. Possible scenarios
Bulls – Upside scenario:
If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze).
The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500.
Bears – Downside scenario:
If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible.
Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000.
📊5. Additional Notes
Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation.
Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market).
📌6. Warning Signals
Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation.
Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases.
🧠Summary:
Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement.
Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
Support
LINK Long Setup – Retrace to Key Support After Strong RallyLINK saw a strong rally from April to mid-May, and is now undergoing a healthy retracement. Price is approaching the $13.00–$13.50 support zone, offering a potential long spot entry as the market cools.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $13.00 – $13.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $15.00 – $16.00
o 🥈 $17.00 – $18.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $12.00
UCAD Bears Ready to Break 2 Month Long Falling Support??OANDA:USDCAD has been supported by a Falling Support Trend line since August 14th and here soon Price could potentially give us a Bearish Break to that Trend line!
Once a Breakout is validated, we could look for a Retest Set-Up for some Short Opportunities to take Price down to the Support Zone created by the August and September 2024 Lows.
An interesting fact to point out is if you observe the reaction of Price when it tests the Falling Support, we can see Price arc and the following reactions arc smaller, suggesting Bulls are losing strength on the push off of the Falling Support!
Price Action is being heavily driven by Fundamentals in the markets this week:
-USD-
ADP Non-Farm Employment - Previous 60K / Forecast 111K / Actual 37K
ISM Services PMI - Previous 51.6 / Forecast 52 / Actual 49.9
ISM Manufacturing PMI - Previous 48.7 / Forecast 49.3 / Actual 48.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices - Previous 69.8 / Forecast 70.2 / Actual 48.5
Unemployment Claims - Previous 239K / Forecast 236K / Actual 247K
*Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Rate are to be released tomorrow
-CAD-
BOC held Interest Rates @ 2.75%
Ivey PMI - Previous 47.9 / Forecast 48.3 / Actual 48.9
*Employment Change and Unemployment are to be released tomorrow
With BOC holding Interest Rates and the Federal Reserve possibly looking to cut rates because of a "softening labor market", this could fuel CAD to overcome the pair and put Bears in control to pull Prices lower!
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Arkham (ARKM) Structure Analysis (1D)Interesting chart for BINANCE:ARKMUSDT
Apologies for the trendlines mess, but they're all potentially relevant.
Watch for
• Bounce at ~$0.49 (0.786 Fib)
• Break above the yellow and orange resistance trendlines (~$0.57)
These conditions could form a Cup & Handle pattern and lead to a retest of the $0.80-$0.85 supply zone.
If that it broken, it could set the next target to ~$1.25.
PolkaDot (DOT) Structure Analysis (1D)BITGET:DOTUSDT is showing signs of strength after a deviation below the long-standing $3.70–$4.10 demand zone.
Key Levels
• 🟢 Demand Zone: $3.70–$4.10, respected since October 2023
• 🟡 Broken downtrend resistance, retested as support
• ⚪ Current falling channel (compression) following range high retest
• 🟥 Sell Order Block: $5.10–$5.40
• 🟧 Range Resistance: $5.40
• 🎯 Target on breakout: ~$7.00, potential extension to ~$7.50
Thesis
• The recent breakdown was quickly reclaimed, hinting at a possible spring/fakeout. After retesting the range high, price is now compressing within a descending channel, building energy just above demand.
• A breakout from the channel followed by an S/R flip of the $4.40–$4.60 region could trigger a rally toward the upper range.
Watching for
• Channel breakout with volume
• Clean break above $5.40 to confirm range expansion
Invalidation
• Sustained break below the $3.70–$4.10 demand zone
Celestia (TIA) – Ascending Triangle Setup (4H)BINANCE:TIAUSDT is printing a clean ascending triangle on the 4H chart, signalling a potential reversal.
Key Levels
• Support: Ascending trendline
• Resistance: $2.30 – a key level that acted as support since early April
• Measured Target: $2.50–$2.55 – aligns with prior support area
• Watch out for the longer-term descending trendline, which could act as resistance on breakout around ~$2.40
Breakout Trigger
A solid 4H close above $2.30 with convincing volume could confirm the move
Invalidation
A sustained break below the ascending support would fully invalidate the setup and potentially lead to a drop to $1.70
AAPL Ascending Price ChannelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the start of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. Since then it has retested support 3 separate times which is a strong indication that AAPL will continue to remain in this price channel for the foreseeable future.
BTC/USD 1H Short-Term🔍1. General Context and Short-Term Trend
Short-Term Trend: The last dozen or so candles have shown strong fluctuations — a typical sideways market (consolidation) after a clear upward impulse and a quick drop. The price is currently trading in the range of around $104,900–$106,500.
Recent Strong Move: Clear upward impulse from around $104,900 to around $106,900, followed by a quick correction.
📌2. Supports and Resistances (H1)
Supports:
$105,000–$105,200 — Bottom of local wicks and several demand tests.
$104,900 — Lowest point of the last few hours, clear buyer reaction.
Resistances:
$106,200–$106,400 — Upper area of several candles, strong price rejection.
106,900–107,000 USD – The peak of the last impulse, a place of clear supply.
✅3. Candlestick formations and price action
Pin bar / long wick: Candles with long lower wicks are visible around 105,000 USD, which suggests that buyers are defending support.
Double top? (Double top): Peaks around 106,900 USD (03.06 and 04.06) – a classic signal of a potential change in direction to the lower.
Possible consolidation: The last few hours have been a series of alternating candles, signaling the lack of a clear advantage of bulls or bears.
🧠4. Technical indicators (MACD and RSI)
MACD (lower panel)
The MACD line crossed the signal line from the bottom to the top, then a quick correction and currently the MACD is close to zero – no clear trend, momentum has slowed down.
MACD Histogram: Declining, close to zero, suggesting potential lack of strong trend and possibility of further consolidation.
RSI (middle panel)
RSI value ~44–48 – not overbought or oversold, neutral market state.
No divergence – RSI generally follows price, no strong divergences are visible.
RSI bounced off 30 (tested oversold zone and returned to neutral range).
🧠5. What could be important?
Volatility Squeeze: Low volatility after a sharp move often heralds another impulse.
Potential Fakeout: If support at $104,900 is broken falsely (e.g. quick wick and return), a move up could occur.
No clear trend on the hourly chart, rather sideways market in the short term.
📊Summary and scenarios
Scenario 1 (bullish):
If the $105,000-$104,900 level holds, we can expect a test of $106,200-$106,400 and perhaps another attempt to approach $107,000.
Scenario 2 (bearish):
If the $104,900 support is broken (with a candle closed below this level), the next target is around $104,500 and below.
What to watch out for?
Timing of macro data releases - may increase volatility.
Sudden breakouts from consolidation - no trend = higher risk of sudden, false moves.
AVAX Long Swing Setup – Retrace to Major Support in PlayAVAX is undergoing a healthy correction, setting up a potential swing opportunity as it approaches the $19.00–$20.00 support zone. This level has held as a key pivot in the past, and we’re now watching for bullish confirmation to enter long.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $19.00 – $20.00
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $22.50 – $24.00
o 🥈 $27.00 – $29.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $17.80
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,330 zone, Gold was trading an a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3,330 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
PENDLE – Bullish Continuation Setup from Key Support ZonePENDLE remains one of the standout performers in the crypto space, maintaining its bullish market structure even amid broader market uncertainty. With price currently holding well above key support, this presents a favorable opportunity for a swing long position, especially if the broader market stabilizes.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.30
🔹 Confluence with previous resistance turned support
🔹 Demand zone within bullish structure
🔹 Ideal for scaling in
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $5.45
🥈 $6.30
🥉 $6.85
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $3.00
Structure breakdown
RNDR (Render) – Higher Low Setup for Potential Upside ExpansionRENDER is holding strong above the $3.50–$4.00 support zone, forming what appears to be a higher low — a classic sign of potential trend continuation. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with clearly defined invalidation and upside targets.
📥 Entry Zone:
$3.50 – $4.00
🔸 Holding above demand
🔸 Prior resistance now acting as support
🔸 Potential higher low setup
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $6.00 – Previous local top / liquidity pocket
🥈 $8.00 – Major resistance zone from prior cycle
🥉 $10.00 – Psychological round number + HTF extension target
🛑 Stop Loss:
Daily close below $2.50
Clears invalidation of the structure
Below HTF support base
GOLD LONG IDEAGold has been extremely bullish in the last few months on higher time frame.
Monthly : Bullish
Weekly : Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4HR : Bullish
I will be buying this bullish trend retracement on 4HR time frame.
But I want to see a bullish price action before I enter the trade for long.
My overall target is the major high created in April.
My RR is 1:5.
Bitcoin Daily Technical Overview (BTC/USD)Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls.
Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K
Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400.
This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics:
1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion.
2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline.
3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop.
Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range.
🔍 Technical Snapshot
- Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200
- Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH)
Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal.
In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside.
Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset.
📈 Projection Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level.
🧭 Insight & Takeaway
The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto.
It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up.
The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs.
Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
HDFC AMC – Bullish Flag Formation on Daily ChartHDFC AMC is currently exhibiting a bullish flag formation, a classic continuation pattern following a strong vertical rally. The recent price action is consolidating within a downward-sloping channel, typically seen as a pause before the next leg up.
Key Technical Levels:
Flag upper boundary (first resistance): Around ₹4,400
Flag high / prior resistance: ₹4,583.65
All-time high: ₹4,867.00
A breakout above the flag’s upper line could signal fresh buying momentum with the potential to first retest the flag high and possibly challenge the all-time high if the breakout sustains.
Fundamentals Snapshot:
Dividend Yield: 1.64%
ROCE: 43.3%
ROE: 32.4%
PE Ratio: 37.09 (vs Industry PE of 20.70)
Growth Metrics:
Compounded Sales Growth:
10 Years: 13%
Compounded Profit Growth:
10 Years: 19%
Stock Price CAGR:
5 Years: 10%
This combination of strong technical setup and solid financial performance suggests HDFC AMC remains a strong contender in the asset management space.
Recent escalations along the India-Pakistan border have led to military confrontations, increasing uncertainty in the broader market. If tensions worsen, volatility may rise, and market sentiment could turn risk-off, impacting financial market. Traders should stay alert for any escalation news.
Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Market conditions and geopolitical developments can change rapidly.
BTC/USD 4h Char ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC taking into account the 4-hour interval. We can see how the price is maintained just below the upward trend line, while a downward trend channel may be forming locally.
Here you can see how the price decline is maintained in a strong support zone from $ 105,000 to $ 103,150, however, if the support zone is broken, the price may quickly fall to the support area at $ 100,700
Looking the other way, you can see that when the trend reverses, we first have resistance at $ 106,560, the next is at $ 108,590, and then you can see very strong resistance at the level of the last ATH in the area of $ 112,000.
On the MACD indicator and the RSI indicator, you can see how we are maintaining in the lower part of the range, which indicates that the price bounce is still taking place to continue the growth.
Solana (SOL) Rectangle (4H)BINANCE:SOLUSDT appears to be forming a rectangle, clearly visible on the 4H chart.
Key Levels to Watch
• $160: Support
• $185: Resistance
Measured Targets
Activated, respectively, with a 4H close with good volume below support or above resistance.
• $135: Rectangle Short Target
• $210: Rectangle Long Target
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is approaching a
Key horizontal support area
Around 0.8189 which is a
Strong level so after the retest
A local bullish correction
And a move up are to be expected
Buy!
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Will BTC hold its price?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. When we enter the four-hour interval, we can see how the BTC price has left the ongoing upward trend line at the bottom, and what's more, we can see how the current movement is creating a local downward trend channel in which the price is currently on the border of the previously created upward trend channel, which gives a strong support point.
Here we can see how the current downward movement has entered the support circle that starts around $ 104,800 and ends around $ 102,200, this is the place where two conflicting channels have converged. If these supports do not hold the price, we can see a quick recovery to around $ 98,000, and then to the level of $ 93,900.
Looking the other way, we can see that when the trend reverses, we first have resistance at $107,670, then a resistance zone from $110,000 to $111,700 is visible, at the border of two channels, and then resistance is visible around $113,800.
On the MACD indicator, we can see a return to the downtrend, while on the RSI we return to the lower part at the lower border, which could potentially provide energy for a future upward movement.
Render – Re-Entry Opportunity After Hitting First TargetRENDER hit the first take profit target (TP1) with a ~52% gain — great execution. Now, after the expected pullback, price is approaching a key support zone, offering a second swing trade opportunity.
🔹 Entry Zone:
Around $4.00 support
🔁 Previous resistance turned support
🧭 Psychological level and structural base
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $4.80 (recent local high / resistance)
🥈 $5.40 (next significant supply zone)
🛑 Stop Loss:
$3.69 (below key support & invalidation level)
AMD LONG IDEA: AMD IS READY FOR A GOOD BULLISH RUNAMD is bouncing off the monthly time frame key level that is acting as support for price.
On weekly time frame and daily we had a shift in market structure from bearish trend to bullish.
I will be buying AMD on this retracement to the recent weekly gap created by price.
Once I see a good bullish price confirming that the retracement is over, i will enter for a buy trade.
My overall target is the 187 price level.
Bitcoin is correcting to support. Possible growth to 110.000Bitcoin failed to hold above 110000, but at the same time the price is forming a flat. The support has not been tested yet (the cascade of orders below the level has not been touched) and within the uptrend the area of 106700 plays an important role.
Based on bitcoin is inside the flat you can consider trading between its boundaries.
Scenario: Within the current movement, the price is likely to form a retest of the 106700 support with the aim of liquidation and accumulation inside the flat. False break of support may attract buyers and in this case bitcoin may test 110000 again.
WLD (Worldcoin) – Long Spot Trade Setup After 180% RallyAfter a massive 180% surge, WLD is showing signs of exhaustion and is likely to retrace toward the next major support zone. A pullback into the $1.22 – $1.35 area provides a favorable entry opportunity for continuation of the trend, assuming support holds.
🔹 Entry Zone (Support):
$1.22 – $1.35
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $1.65 – $1.85 (prior consolidation and resistance zone)
🥈 $2.40 – $2.65 (upper range resistance / extension target)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $1.10 (below structural support and invalidation level)