Support and Resistance
BTC Analysis — Long-Term Buy Zone AheadI'm watching $111,000 as a major buy zone on Bitcoin.
If price retraces to that level, I’ll be ready to enter a long position.
This is not a prediction — it’s a scenario.
Smart traders don’t guess, they prepare.
Let price come to your level. No chasing.
📍Set your alerts and stay patient.
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage, Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold repeatedly touched around 3375 yesterday and then fell under pressure, proving that there is strong resistance above. Moreover, after gold retreated and touched around 3341 yesterday, it did not recover in time and stand above 3350. It was not until today that it rebounded and touched around 3365. The rebound cycle has been extended to the present, and the rebound strength is not very strong.
Since gold retreated, it has not been able to recover the lost ground in time. Gold is under pressure in the 3360-3370 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this resistance area during the day, then gold will retreat again, and will refresh the 3341 low again, and continue to the 3335-3325 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can try to short gold in the 3360-3370 area appropriately, looking at the target area: 3350-3340
The battle for gold 3375-40 has begun, and CPI is coming!The current market has entered a short-term shock consolidation phase. Taking advantage of the temporary calm of the market, I would like to share my judgment and strategy with my brothers. I still tend to be bullish in the medium term. Yesterday's trend just verified my point of view. If the bulls want to break through the 3375 line, they must first complete the "deep squat wash", and this wave of retracement has also brought good profits to both our long and short traders. Friends who follow should have gained.
But the core of today is the CPI inflation data. As a heavy macro event, the recent forward-looking data (such as employment and labor market) is likely to be bearish for gold. The market has formed a consistent expectation. In this case, I have to temporarily put aside the long thinking and turn to short. My point of view is that as a qualified trader, I have always attached great importance to the data market. Whether it is non-agricultural, CPI or interest rate resolution, I have never easily made mistakes in grasping this kind of structural drive. Since the market has locked the focus of long and short positions in the core range of 3375-3340, we must face up to this structural competition. If the judgment is wrong this time, I will re-evaluate whether I should continue to participate deeply in this obvious data expectation transaction, but for now, I must respect the game logic of the market.
Operation strategy reference:
Currently, the 3360-3366 area can be lightly shorted. If it touches the 3370 line before the CPI is released, it can be appropriately covered; the stop loss is clearly set above 3375. Once it breaks through, leave the market decisively without hesitation. The lower target is 3350-3340 first. If it breaks, continue to look down to the 3330 area.
HBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis |Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in FocusHBARUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Volume & Fibonacci Reaction in Focus
🔍 Let’s break down the latest HBAR/USDT setup, highlighting a clear technical reaction and a new opportunity on the horizon.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
HBAR has completed a strong impulsive leg after breaking above the RR2 of the key reversal trendline, supported by notable volume confirmation. This impressive surge was then followed by a corrective leg—a healthy sign for bulls, especially for those who missed the initial breakout.
📉 Corrective Phase & Fibonacci Support
- The current corrective leg is characterized by decreasing volume, suggesting profit-taking rather than heavy selling pressure.
- Notably, price has reacted firmly at the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with classic pullback zones for continuation setups.
- This volume pattern shows traders are waiting for the next major move rather than exiting positions.
🔺 Bullish Continuation Setup
- A strong candle close above the $0.255 level on either the 1H or 4H timeframe will serve as a clear bullish confirmation.
- Such a breakout may pave the way for another impulsive leg upward, with the first upside target identified near $0.30—roughly 19% higher from the recent candle close.
📊 Key Highlights:
- The prior trend reversal was validated by surge in volume and momentum.
- Volume decline during the correction favors further upside rather than distribution.
- Price is respecting key Fibonacci levels, hinting at trend continuity.
- A confirmed close above $0.255 unlocks the next target at $0.30, marking a potential 19% move.
🚨 Conclusion:
HBAR is showing textbook trend continuation signals. For those sidelined after the initial move, the current consolidation offers a safer re-entry point, with actionable confirmation above $0.255. Stay alert for a strong candle close and keep the $0.30 target in view as bullish momentum builds.
Pfizer May Be StallingPfizer has limped higher since April, but some traders may think the pharmaceutical giant is at risk of stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since January. PFE potentially just made another lower high at this falling trendline, which may suggest resistance is taking effect.
Second, the peak is occurring near the 200-day simple moving average. That could indicate its long-term trend is pointing lower.
Third is the 2023 low of $25.76. At the time, it was the lowest price in the preceding decade. After spending more than a year on either side of this level, PFE is now stalling in the same area. Has old support finally turned into new resistance?
Fourth, the candles of July 8 and July 10 showed prices trying and failing to cross the same long-term level. Such “shooting star” candlesticks may be short-term reversal patterns.
Finally, PFE is an active underlier in the options market. (It’s averaged more than 90,000 contracts per session in the last month, according to TradeStation data.) That might help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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Will CPI data boost gold to 3,400?
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rebounded modestly in the Asian session, supported by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming June CPI data from the United States, and investors are reassessing whether the Federal Reserve may start a rate cut cycle this year.
The overall CPI (year-on-year) is expected to grow by 2.7%, and the core CPI may reach 3.0%. If the data is lower than expected, it will strengthen the market's bet on a rate cut in September, which is bearish for the dollar and bullish for gold.
The current market has expected that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is about 60%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut before the end of the year is about 50%.
📊Technical aspects
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish structure as a whole and is currently testing the key resistance level of $3365. If it can effectively break through this area, it will open up the upside, with the target pointing to $3400 or even $3435.
On the daily chart, MACD maintains a positive opening, and the momentum indicator shows that buying is still active, and the short-term trend is to continue to rise. On the contrary, if the gold price is blocked near 3365-3370, it may fall back to the support area of 3340 US dollars. Further support is near 3326 and 3300 US dollars, which is still regarded as a potential area for bargain hunting.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3345-3355,SL:3335,Target: 3380-3400
How I view Dangote CementHow I view Dangote Cement.
Technically:
N480 & N400 have been a strong psychological resistance zone for some time now.
Fundamentally:
The news that Dangote is planning to build a deep-sea port is a positive catalyst if it comes to fruition.
My entry:
I am looking at a buy entry from N400 using DCA.
I will continue to add if it falls below my N400 entry.
Trade with care
It is expected to fluctuate and fall before CPI data📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
The 1H chart shows that the gold price continued to pull back last night and then fluctuated at the bottom, and continued the rebound trend this morning. The key pressure level is the top and bottom conversion level. The current rebound in gold is only a secondary confirmation of the top structure at the 30-minute level. After reaching 3365, it has shown signs of short-term pressure. In a volatile market, if the price begins to consolidate horizontally, it may indicate the end of this round of volatile upward trend, and it will enter a downward phase later. Considering the market sensitivity before the release of CPI data, it is recommended to focus on the volatile decline trend. After today's rebound, it is necessary to focus on the 3365-3368 area as a short-selling range, and the long-short defense position is set at yesterday's intraday high of 3375. The support below focuses on the 3350-3340 range.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3358-3368
TP 3345-3333
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions.
To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article:
We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot.
So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction?
Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range.
And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage.
So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail.
4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS
So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour).
Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4.
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LONG ON GBP/USDGU is currently in its pullback phase of its uptrend.
We have a nice sell side Liquidity sweep being completed at this moment.
Price should now tap into previous demand that broke a high to repeat history and rise again.
Very Nice Setup over 300 pips on the table to the previous high/supply zone.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice start to the week with price attempting that higher red box and failing to breach it. We then activated an Excalibur signal short, identified the structure and got a lovely move into the 3552 level from 3371 activation. Traders then had the opportunity to capture the tap and bounce from the 50MA on the hourly, again giving a minimum of 100pips on the bounce.
Now, we have support below 3340 which was the bias level which has also rejected price giving a long, but, resistance here stands at 3357. Below that level we are more likely to see this range or attempt lower sticking to the plan on the KOG Report published yesterday.
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375, 3388 and above that 3392
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3335, 3332, 3320 and 3310 (No Breach)
RED BOXES:
Break above 3376 for 3382, 3390, 3396 and 3304 in extension of the move (No breach)
Break below 3365 for 3362✅ and 3355✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bitcoin - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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SIGN buy/long setup (4H)A tight consolidation range has been broken to the upside, and price has not yet pulled back to it.
On the chart, we have a trigger line breakout and the formation of a bullish change of character (CH).
When the price reaches the green zone, we can look for buy/long positions.
Targets are marked on the chart.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BankNifty levels - Jul 16, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Jul 16, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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Wishing you success in your trading activities!
GBPUSD – Potential Short Term Volatility Ahead This WeekSo far, the month of July has not been a good one for GBPUSD, undermined by the precarious state of the UK Labour government’s finances, a deteriorating growth backdrop, and shifting interest rate differentials back in favour of the US dollar. This has seen a liquidation of stale long positioning and a steady decline from a 40 month high of 1.3789 registered on July 1st to a low of 1.3419 seen earlier today.
Looking forward, it could be another challenging week for FX traders to navigate. There are several economic data releases in the US and UK to digest, starting with the latest US CPI release later this afternoon (1330 BST), followed by the UK CPI update tomorrow (0700 BST) and then the UK Employment release on Thursday (0700 BST). All of these may have the potential to shift trader thinking on the next interest rate moves from the Federal Reserve (Fed), who are currently expected to keep rates unchanged when they next meet on July 31st, and the Bank of England (BoE), who are expected to cut by 25bps (0.25%) on August 7th.
When the outcome of these events is combined with the uncertain backdrop for global trade as President Trump’s new tariff deadline approaches on August 1st, alongside his ability to drop market moving social media headlines on a whim, this week has the potential to be a volatile one for GBPUSD.
Technical Update: Watching Closing Defence of 38.2% Retracement Support
So far, July has seen GBPUSD enter a correction phase, as prices have sold off from the 1.3789 July 1st session high into Tuesday’s current 1.3419 low. As the chart below shows, this 2.7% decline, seen over little more than a 10 session period, is now approaching what some might class as a support focus at 1.3370.
This level is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the April 7th to July 1st phase of strength, and could be one that traders are now monitoring on a closing basis over coming sessions. While this level remains intact, some might argue there is still a positive uptrend pattern in place.
However, it is also important to consider what are the support and resistance levels on which to focus, if either 1.3370 is broken to the downside, or it continues to stem the current phase of weakness, even helps prompt fresh attempts at price strength.
Possible Support Levels:
As we’ve suggested, it could be the 1.3370 retracement level that represents the first support, with closing breaks below this level opening potential for a more extended phase of price declines.
While much will depend on future market sentiment and price trends, closes below 1.3370 may represent possibilities of further weakness towards 1.3244, which is equal to the lower 50% retracement level. This giving way, may in time result in tests of 1.3140, the May 12th session low.
Possible Resistance Levels:
While the 1.3370 retracement continues to hold current price declines, it might be successful in prompting fresh attempts at price strength.
With that in mind, if moves back higher do materialise, a resistance point to monitor on a closing basis could be 1.3586. This is the current level of the Bollinger mid-average and this giving way on a closing basis may in turn lead to further attempts at price strength to challenge 1.3789, the July 1st high again.
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