AUDUSD: Short Setup Ahead of Key Data OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD is hovering near a rising trendline, with price action compressing and signaling a potential downside break in the coming sessions.
Just above, the 0.65900 resistance zone has capped recent rallies, and the pair’s failure to clear this level strengthens the case for a reversal.
Later today, we will see Westpac Consumer Confidence data for Australia, which could act as a catalyst for a sharp move. A weaker-than-expected print would likely pressure the Aussie further.
📋 Entry Checklist:
✅ Testing rising trendline, signaling potential breakdown
✅ Strong resistance at 0.65900 holding rallies
✅ Key consumer sentiment data could trigger volatility
📈 Trade Plan:
🔻 Sell Entry: 0.65600
❌ Stop Loss: 0.66200
✅ Take Profit: 0.65000
(Tap 👉 Trade Now 👈 on mobile to copy SL & TP easily)
📰 Fundamental Snapshot:
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) surprised markets by holding rates steady at 3.85%, diverging from expectations of a potential cut. The RBA remains cautious amid persistent inflation risks driven by high labor costs and weak productivity, suggesting rates may stay restrictive longer.
Governor Michele Bullock highlighted that inflation could remain above forecasts, while Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser emphasized monitoring global uncertainties, including U.S. tariff developments, reflecting the RBA’s sensitivity to external headwinds impacting growth and trade.
Support and Resistance
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395.
So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain.
So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
GBPUSD. 14.07.2025. The plan for the next few days.The nearest interesting resistance zone was already worked out in the morning and gave a good reaction. Let's mark the others where we can expect a reaction. It's not certain that there will be a major reversal, but I think we'll see a correction that can be monetized. We're waiting for a reaction and looking for an entry point.
The post will be adjusted based on any changes.
Don't forget to click on the Rocket! =)
AUDCAD Wk Top Down Bullish Price Action Analysis 1.The weekly price is reaching a premium zone, suggesting a potential reversal or reaction area.
2. Daily BOS + Tap into Daily imbalance FVG.
3. HR is still in a bullish sentiment
4. Waiting for 15 minutes for displacement or BOS
5. Tap into 15 minutes of FVG.
5: Pending price action...
QQQ watch $556.31 above 552.96 below: Break of either should RUNQQQ (Nasdaq) has flown off the bottom like a rocket.
Now up against a Golden Genesis fib at $556.31.
Local support fib from bottom is below at $552.96.
Break of either should result in a strong next leg.
Next decent support below is at $54.51-541.58
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The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
DRIV eyes on $24.00: Golden Genesis fib holding orbit over 3 yrsDRIV is once again testing the Golden Genesis at $24.00
Ultra High Gravity fib has held it in orbit for over 3 years.
Break and Retest should start the next Leg with vigor.
Looking for a Retest entry to pop to $26.13 minimum.
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XAU/USD (GOLD) – Potential Bullish Continuation After ConvergenOn the 1H chart, we are currently observing a potential bullish continuation setup forming on XAU/USD. Here’s a detailed breakdown:
🔍 1. AO Bullish Convergence
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) shows a clear bullish convergence, suggesting momentum is building in favor of the bulls. This typically signals a potential continuation of the uptrend, especially when paired with structural confirmations.
🌀 2. Elliott Wave Count
Wave 1, 2, and 3 are already established on the chart.
Price is currently retracing, potentially forming Wave 4, with Wave 5 yet to be completed.
The retracement aligns with classic Fibonacci levels, with a potential bounce zone forming at the 1.618 fib extension near 3330–3327, which also acts as a strong SNR zone (support now after previous resistance).
📊 3. Break of Structure (BOS)
A clear Break of Structure (3351) confirms bullish intent after wave 3.
Price retracement toward the 1.618 zone could present a buying opportunity, as long as this level holds.
🧭 4. Entry Strategy
✅ Buy Bias:
Watching for price to enter 3330–3327 zone (1.618 fib + SNR zone).
Confirmation needed: Look for another BOS within this zone before entering long.
If BOS forms inside this area, we can anticipate a continuation into Wave 5 toward the 3,375 and beyond.
❌ Invalidation:
Setup will be considered invalid if price breaks and closes below the 1.618 zone (3327).
This would invalidate Wave 4 support and could signal a deeper correction or trend reversal.
🎯 Target Projection:
If the setup holds, potential Wave 5 target is projected toward the top zone near 3,410–3,420, based on fib extension and previous price action.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic bullish Elliott Wave continuation setup backed by AO convergence and structural confluences. Patience is key—wait for BOS confirmation at the 1.618 zone before entering. Always manage risk, especially near fib extension zones.
📅 Published on: July 14, 2025
📍 Timeframe: 1H
💬 Feel free to share your thoughts or setups below. Trade safe!
Verizon May Be Rolling OverVerizon Communications has been rangebound for more than a year, and now some traders could think it’s rolling over.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the May 2022 low of $45.55. VZ fell below that level in late 2022 and rebounded to it by mid-2024. The stock has been stuck below the same level since, including a rejection in March. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, prices have slipped below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The two SMAs are also close to each other. Those points may reflect weakening longer-term trends.
Third, the telecom stock has made lower highs since April -- even as the broader market broke out to new all-time highs.
Next, VZ just had its lowest weekly close since February. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that bearishness is taking hold in the short term.
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Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Nifty has taken support at 25K but can the support hold?Nifty today took a meaningful support at 25001 and bounced close to 25082. However ending the was in the negative by 67.55 points. RSI today went as low as 13.52 indication of oversold market. IT was a major drag after result that market did not like.
Now the resistances in front of Nifty are at 25106, Father Line Resistance at 25106, 25234, Mother Line Resistance at 25297, 25403 and finally 25543. Supports for Nifty remain at 25K, 24866 Chanel Bottom support and finally 24752. Below 24752 Bears can totally take control of the market if we reach there.
Things are in balance right now with Mid-cap, Small-cap starting to see some buying. If IT can hold the levels we will see growth from here. If IT index further caves in and other indices do not support we can see a down side. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to negative.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to spike down into potentially the extension level 3310 and then give us the tap and bounce we wanted to be able to capture the long trade in to the 3345-50 region initially. It was those higher resistance levels that we said we would stick with and the bias was bearish below. This move resulted in a decent long trade upside into the region we wanted, and then the decline we witnessed mid-week completing all of our bearish target levels which were shared with everyone.
On top of that, we got the bounce we wanted for the long trade but only back up into the 3335 level which was an Excalibur active target. The rest, we just sat and watched on Friday as unless we were already in the move, the only thing we could have done is get in with the volume, which isn’t a great idea with the limited pull backs.
All in all, a great week in Camelot not only on Gold, but also the other pairs we trade with the DAX swing trade being a point to point swing move executed with precision by the team.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll keep it simple again this week but will say this, there seems we may see a curveball on the way this week. With tariff news over the weekend we may see price open across the markets with gaps, one thing we will say is if you see these gaps, don’t gap chase until you see a clean reversal!
We have the higher level here of 3375-85 resistance and lower support here 3350-45. If support holds on open we may see that push upside into the red box which is the one that needs to be monitored. Failure to breach can result in a correction all the way back down into the 3335 level initially. Again, this lower support level is the key level for this week and needs to be monitored for a breach which should then result in a completed correction of the move.
Our volume indicators are suggesting a higher high can take place here and if we do get a clean reversal we should see this pull back deeply. As usual we will follow the strategy that has been taught and let Excalibur guide the way.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3350 with targets above 3360, 3373, 3375 and 3383 for now
Bearish below 3350 with targets below 3340, 3335, 3329, 3320 and 3310 for now
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3382, 3390 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3340, 3335, 3329, 3322 and 3310 in extension of the move
It’s a HUGE RANGE this week so play caution, wait for the right set ups, don’t treat it like it’s your every day market condition. News from Tuesday so expect Monday to be choppy!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURUSD Testing Patience – Bearish Trend Not Over YetEURUSD – Overview
EURUSD continues to trade under pressure amid bearish momentum, respecting key technical levels.
The price maintains bearish momentum as long as it trades below 1.1745, with downside targets at 1.1627 and 1.1557.
A retest of 1.1745 is possible and considered normal in this structure. However, if the price stabilizes below 1.1684, it will likely continue dropping toward the support targets.
To shift back to a bullish bias, the pair must break and hold above 1.1745.
Pivot Line: 1.1695
Support Levels: 1.1627 – 1.1557
Resistance Levels: 1.1745 – 1.1810
previous idea:
Gold bulls explode to new highs
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices hit a three-week high near $3,375 an ounce in early trading on Monday before retreating. Gold prices are under selling pressure again as buyers failed to sustain higher levels hit earlier on Monday.
Gold prices hit a three-week high in early Asian trading on Monday, supported by safe-haven demand after U.S. President Trump threatened to impose 30% tariffs on imports from the European Union and Mexico.
Gold prices encountered resistance just below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of April’s record rally at $3,377 an ounce in early Asian trading on Monday.
Despite the pullback, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) continues to show additional upside as the indicator is well above its midline, currently near 54.20.
📊Technical aspects
Gold 4H chart. From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has recently been rising in lows, and has been oscillating upward along the rising trend line, moving out of the standard rising trend wave rhythm. On Friday night, the bulls once again made a strong effort to break through the key pressure level of 3345.0, further opening up the bullish upside space, and the market outlook continues to see the bullish continuation of the market.
According to the comprehensive MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines are running above the 0 axis, indicating that the bullish power dominates the market trend. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to follow the bullish rebound wave trend to find support levels and ambush long orders.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3335-3340,SL:3320,Target: 3390-3400