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Support and Resistance

Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
84
NEAR Breakout Confirmed—But Is This Just a Bull Trap?Yello Paradisers! Did you see that breakout on #NEARUSDT? After weeks of consistent lower highs and a clearly defined descending resistance, price action has finally snapped that bearish structure and completed a textbook inverse Head and Shoulders formation on the 12H chart. This kind of pattern doesn’t appear often at key cycle points, and when it does—especially with confirmation—it becomes a high-probability signal of a trend reversal. 💎#NEARUSDT ,The neckline of the inverse H&S, sitting around the $2.17–$2.23 zone, has now been broken and crucially retested as support. This means the former resistance is now acting as a probable base for bulls, and if price remains above this area, the market is likely preparing for a strong probable impulsive move to the upside. 💎The structure shows clear bullish intent, and from a technical perspective, the first resistance comes in at $2.72. A clean break above that could open the door toward the major resistance zone between $2.97 and $3.05, which would complete the projected breakout target of the H&S pattern. 💎If bulls manage to maintain control above the $2.17–$2.23 support zone, we expect price to slowly build momentum toward $2.72, with increased volatility likely once that level is tested. Should that break occur with volume, the next leg may extend rapidly into the major resistance zone. However, if price fails to hold above this flipped support zone, we will be closely watching the $2.02–$1.89 area as the last major support before invalidation. 💎A daily candle closing below $1.798 would invalidate this entire bullish thesis and put the market back into a neutral-to-bearish range. 💎Adding more probability to this setup, NEAR is now trading above multi-timeframe EMA on higher time frame. This multi-timeframe EMA alignment supports bullish continuation, as momentum begins to shift in favor of buyers. However, continuation depends heavily on how price reacts at each resistance level—especially as we enter the mid-$2.70s. 💎The probable move from here is bullish, with the expectation that NEAR pushes toward the $2.72 level in the short term, followed by a potential rally to $2.97–$3.05 if momentum sustains. This scenario remains valid as long as price holds above $2.17, and especially above $2.02. Below that, the structure weakens. Below $1.798, the bullish bias becomes fully invalidated. This is the only way you will make it far in your crypto trading journey. Stay sharp and patient, Paradisers. It’s not about chasing pumps—it’s about positioning smartly before the crowd. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
6
How "Whales" Manipulate Markets: A Trader's Guide to SucceedEvery chart tells a story of institutional footprints. For most, it's chaotic noise. But when you understand the market's true engine — the constant need of "Smart Money" to capture vast amounts of liquidity to fill their orders — that noise turns into a clear map. This guide will teach you to read that map. We will break down the main types of manipulation and show you how to use them to identify high-probability zones for potential entries. So, why exactly is liquidity the fuel for these "Smart Money" players, which for simplicity, we'll call "Whales"? It's because a Whale holds the largest volume of funds in a specific asset and, unlike retail traders like us, it cannot open its huge position at any given moment simply because there aren't enough buy or sell offers on the market. To fill its orders, the Whale constantly carries out manipulations to capture additional liquidity. This isn't about deception or anything negative—it's how the market constantly forms its movements, how whales achieve their goals by moving from one liquidity pool to another, much like whales in the ocean hunt for plankton to get vital energy for long journeys from one feeding ground to another. Why will these principles of price movement through manipulation, which worked decades ago, continue to work forever? Because human nature doesn't change over time. The crowd is always driven by greed and fear, making it easy to manipulate. Therefore, manipulation is often the motive for the birth of a future move and is a key element in market mechanics. If you understand these mechanics, you will be able to see the footprints of whales on any chart and not only minimize your chances of becoming their food but also join their next move to get your share of the profit in the boundless ocean of market opportunities. Let's take a closer look at how whales carry out their manipulations and classify their types. The Whale is constantly in hedged positions. To fill its large-sum orders without impacting the price, it uses the principles of Sell to Buy (STB) and Buy to Sell (BTS) . The STB manipulation is used to accumulate long positions. To do this, the Whale opens an opposing short position, activating stop orders and liquidations of buyers, purchasing their positions at a favorable price. It also encourages other retail participants, especially breakout traders, to open short positions. Continuing to accumulate long positions, the Whale sharply moves the price up, liquidating short participants and absorbing their positions. After the price has moved up, the Whale is left with an open losing position from its short manipulation. To close it at breakeven or a small loss, the Whale needs to return the price back to the zone of its manipulation. This return is called mitigation . In the opposite case, when the Whale needs to drive an asset's price down, it uses the BTS manipulation . To fill its short positions, the Whale opens a long position, activating stop-losses and forced liquidations of sellers, and encouraging retail breakout traders to also open long positions. Continuing to accumulate short positions, the Whale aggressively moves the price down, absorbing and liquidating the positions of impatient longs. After the downward impulse is complete, the Whale is left with an open losing long position. Just as in the first case, to close it at zero or a small loss, the Whale needs to return the price to the manipulation zone, after which another markdown of the asset occurs, and the cycle can be repeated as many times as necessary. Thus, through manipulation, the Whale achieves two goals at once: It gets the most favorable price. It eliminates most of its competitors by liquidating their positions with an opposing move. Most of the time, the price movement between manipulations is unpredictable. Entering during this movement, for example, in the middle or end of an impulse or within a range, increases the chances that you will become a victim of the next manipulation and liquidity for the Whale. However, if you wait for the price to arrive at the manipulation zone, also known as a Point of Interest (POI) , and ensure that the Whale acknowledges this area (i.e., it has stopped there and is beginning a reversal), the probability of choosing the correct direction for a trade will be on your side. To help you recognize manipulation zones, let's look at their different types. 🔹 Order Block (OB) - A down candle (sometimes 2, rarely 3 candles) before an impulsive move up (in the case of a bullish OB), or an up candle (sometimes 2, rarely 3 candles) before an impulsive move down (in the case of a bearish OB). In most cases, this short, sharp move should sweep some form of significant liquidity. An additional confirmation of an Order Block is the immediate imbalance or Fair Value Gap (FVG) that follows it, because the Whale's intensive position accumulation and the associated impulse move don't allow enough time for all market participants' orders to be filled. 🔹 Demand/Supply Zones are similar in principle to Order Blocks but differ in that they have a more prolonged action, which can consist of many up or down candles, making these zones often significantly wider than OBs. Demand Zone - The last downward move before an intensive rally. Supply Zone - The last upward move before an intensive drop. Often, an Order Block can be found inside a Demand/Supply zone. 🔹 Range - Also a manipulation zone and essentially an Order Block, but unlike an OB, this manipulation can last for a very long time when the Whale lacks sufficient liquidity from a quick manipulation and accumulates its large position by collecting internal and external liquidity through the range. Ranges, just like Order Blocks and Demand/Supply zones, are points of interest for the Whale to close its losing hedged positions and continue moving towards its goals. Conditions for Applying and Validity of Manipulation Zones An important condition for applying manipulation zones is that they can only be used once . That is, if the price has come to a zone and reacted to it, upon a second arrival, that zone is no longer valid. For convenience in marking used zones, I shorten them to the point of the first touch so as not to consider them anymore, but to understand which way the order flow is directed—a very important concept that, unlike structure, shows the true direction of the Whale's movement. Order flow is manifested by the price reacting to manipulation zones from below in an uptrend and from above in a downtrend. It is also very important to understand that it makes sense to identify and use manipulation zones as one of a trade's entry conditions only from below for an uptrend and from above for a downtrend . Any counter-trend zones formed in the path of a trend are highly likely to be broken and serve as liquidity. In ranges, manipulations formed after deviations can be used for entries from both sides. Only manipulations that were formed at the beginning of an impulsive price move can be considered valid for entry. That is, they must be the manipulations that directly triggered the start of the move; in Smart Money terminology, they are often called the "origin" . Any manipulation in the middle or end of a move will most likely serve as liquidity on the way back to mitigate the origin zone. How long does a manipulation zone remain relevant? It remains relevant until a new structural element (a higher high or a lower low) is formed , especially if the price has already come close to the manipulation zone, for example, into the FVG before the zone. This most likely means the Whale has already finished its business there and closed one of its losing hedged positions at a small loss. When the trend changes, such a zone will act as liquidity, not a POI. So, a manipulation zone will not always be mitigated; often, a reversal occurs from the FVG before it. However, entering from an FVG is much less reliable than from an Order Block, Demand/Supply zone, or Range. I personally skip such entries and wait for a new manipulation zone to form and be mitigated; they happen on the market constantly. A good bonus that further strengthens the probability of a setup working out during the mitigation of manipulation zones is a liquidity sweep upon reaching them. Consider the context and supplementary conditions. Although manipulation zones are the strongest areas for price reversals, they should always be used in conjunction with other supplementary conditions and tools, for example, with Fibonacci retracement levels or liquidity sweeps. "Context" implies any other conditions that can either confirm or contradict the likely direction of price movement. For example: in which phase of correction is the price? For a long, safe entries can only be considered from the discount zone (below the 50% Fib level); for shorts, only from the premium zone (above the 50% Fib level). Is there significant, un-swept liquidity nearby, such as previous daily, weekly, or monthly highs/lows, or an untouched Asian session high/low? What upcoming news could affect the asset and hit the stop before the setup plays out? At what time of day did the price mitigate the manipulation? Taking context into account is a crucial and integral part of analysis in the search for entry points. Due to the fractal nature of market charts, manipulations can be seen on any timeframe. On weekly and daily timeframes, manipulation zones can be used for swing trading or investment purchases. 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes will show potential entries from manipulations for intraday trading or holding positions for several days. 5-minute and 1-minute timeframes will show manipulations in the form of order flow for final entry confirmation. Whatever type of analysis you use for your trading, understanding the nature of market manipulations and practicing their recognition will allow you to be one step ahead of most market participants and open your trades with an understanding of which way institutional capital is most likely to move next. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this guide helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or a "lightbulb moment" from this article? Share it in the comments! I read every single one. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView for more educational content like this and to not miss my next detailed trade idea . ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TheWhaleSM
66
A life-changing SBET long ideaSBET stock presents an amazing long opportunity that has a potential to do over 100x. After the break out of a down trend line, price retraced to the support, with price closing above this support level. To advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy from the current market price while the exit can be at $1.34 and the targets can be at $123.70, $178.48, $541.22, $1041.90 and the final target at $2155.20. Confluences for the long opportunity are as follows: 1. Break out of down trendline 2. Retest of the down trendline and support level. 3. Bullish divergence signal from awesome oscillator. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NASDAQ:SBETLong
by KofTFx
2
GME LONG IDEA UPDATEDIn my previous post regarding the long opportunity on GME stock, I called a long signal after a break out of a downtrend line. However, price had dropped down to the demand zone, giving another long opportunity. To take advantage of this long opportunity, you can buy at the current market price, while the exit will be at $20.30 and the targets can be at $35.70, $47.90 and the final target at $64.70. Confluences for the long idea are as follows: 1. Weekly break of structure 2. Valid Inducement 3. Orderflow 4. Price within the discount 5. Price respecting bullish trendline 6. Hammer candlestick confirmation 7. Price at a support level Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you're not willing to accept the risk.
NYSE:GMELong
by KofTFx
2
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner. It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes. We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting. For further insights, please follow our account. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
18
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market. We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000. We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
9
Bitcoin flightpath: great vs good1D timeframe. There are 2 signs that the price of Bitcoin is about to explode: 1. We have broken above the ATH 2. BTC peaks Nov-Dec in historical halving cycles 2013/2017/2021 And there are 2 paths that could play out. 1. Great. BTC has touched an uptrend (white line with 3 x red crosses). A break above this uptrend + a weekly candle close above 110K could result in a parabolic run to the upside with a target estimate of 246K. A bounce off the uptrend could be a good long entry. 2. Good We break below the uptrend represented by the thick white line and said line begin to act as resistance. This would result in a higher high estimated at 125K. A bounce off 95K could be good long entry.
Long
by Strength_in_numbers
AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold. After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout. With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support. As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback. Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
33
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us? On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign. Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market. Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8 Support levels: 149.36, 147.93 In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
13
TCS Long Opportunity - Medium-Term Swing Trade📈 TCS Long Opportunity – Medium-Term Swing Trade 🔹 Entry : ₹3266 (Last Close) 🔹 Target : ₹3525 🔹 Qty : Up to 25 shares 🔹 Timeframe : ~6 months 🔹 Estimated ROI : ~16.49% annualized A moderate-risk swing setup on Tata Consultancy Services . Technically and fundamentally aligned for gradual upside, assuming market conditions stay favorable. Entry near current levels with a well-defined target. ⚠️ Trade only if you're comfortable with the risk of capital loss. Position sizing is key.
NSE:TCSLong
by IndexAce
GOLD → Retest of consolidation resistance. Breakout?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern. The price is stabilizing amid a falling dollar and uncertainty... Gold is recovering after falling to $3,283 thanks to a weaker dollar and lower bond yields amid concerns over Trump's new tariff threats. The announced tariffs against seven countries, including Brazil and the Philippines, have heightened tensions, partially offsetting the Fed's hawkish signals. Markets are now awaiting new data from the US and speeches by Fed officials, which could influence the further dynamics of gold. Technically, gold is squeezed between the resistance and support of a symmetrical triangle. The price is being aggressively pushed away from support within a bullish trend, but at the same time, gold is testing resistance for the fifth time, which only increases the chances of a breakout. Resistance levels: 3330, 3345, 3358 Support levels: 3308, 3295 If gold continues to storm the local resistance at 3330 and the triangle resistance during consolidation, we will have a good chance of catching the breakout and growth. An additional scenario could be growth after a shake-up of the triangle support and the global trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30