Go long when the trend reverses, beware of black swansYesterday's pullback to 3313-3310 confirmed the upward trend of gold. As I expected, it broke through the resistance of 3330 and touched around 3345. Currently, the short-term strong resistance is at 3345. Only by breaking through this resistance can gold maintain its upward trend. If it is blocked near the 3345 line in the short term, there is a possibility of a pullback. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Once the direction is clear, it will be easier to act. If there is a pullback during the day, it will give us a trading opportunity to enter the long position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Support and Resistance
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
An interesting day on gold and to be honest, the plan worked but the whipsawing only allowed us to scalp. Although we had a few decent scalps, we wanted it to go higher, then form a swing at 3320, which it broke above. This region now is one big accumulation, this is not as simple as enter and set TP, unless you're scalping. At the moment, we're above 3310 which is the level that needs to break to go down with a high of 3330 which is the level that needs to hold for us to go lower.
Our set up here is bearish, what we want is to try and capture the stop hunt from above rather than entering and having to watch this chop up and down, then go into drawdown. If it works, it works, if it doesn't, we'll come back next week.
On the chart are the two levels to look for a RIP! With it ranging like this we'll stick with these level and use the red boxes looking for the break!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Hindustan Unilever Ltd. – Bullish Breakout with Strong MomentumHindustan Unilever opened the session with a gap-up accompanied by above-average volume, signaling strong buying interest right from the start. While the stock saw some early profit-booking, it quickly regained momentum and is currently trading near the day’s high—an encouraging sign of sustained demand.
Weekly Chart: The formation of a large bullish candle this week suggests aggressive buying and a potential shift in sentiment. This pattern indicates that the bullish momentum is likely to continue into the coming week.
Daily Chart: The stock has successfully broken out above multiple resistance levels, confirming a bullish breakout structure. The breakout is backed by volume, adding credibility to the move.
Trading Strategy:
Given the alignment of bullish signals on both the daily and weekly timeframes, a swing long position is warranted for the upcoming week. Traders may consider the following approach:
Entry: On a minor intraday pullback or a break above the current day’s high for confirmation
Stop-loss: Below the breakout level or this week’s low
Target: Next key resistance or a measured move based on the breakout range , approximately 10% from current levels
The technical setup reflects strong bullish momentum and suggests further upside potential in the near term.
USDCAD upside target 1.3960On the 4-hour chart, USDCAD stabilized and moved upward, with bulls taking the upper hand. The current market has formed a potential double bottom pattern. In the short term, attention can be paid to the resistance near 1.380. A breakthrough will hopefully continue to move higher, with the upward target around 1.3960. When the price reaches 1.3960, attention can be paid to the bearish bat pattern.
EURUSD: Bearish Continuation Ahead EURUSD is expected to maintain a bearish trend following a confirmed breakout below a significant horizontal support level.
The broken structure, along with a descending trend line, creates a contracting supply zone, indicating a strong likelihood of further downward movement.
The next target is 1.1620 support
GBPNZD: One More Pullback Trade I notice another potentially profitable pullback trade opportunity on 📉GBPNZD.
The price formed a double top pattern after testing a significant daily/intraday resistance and has broken through its neckline.
Currently, we are witnessing a retest, and the pair could pull back to the 2.2391 level.
EURUSD is ready to break supportCMCMARKETS:EURUSD
The Euro fell to 1.1670 on Friday, positioning for nearly a 1% weekly loss 📊, as investors recalibrated risk exposure amid escalating trade tensions ⚔️ and shifting monetary policy signals 🏦.
📉 Market Structure:
🔻 EURUSD has traded in a bearish trend since July 1.
🔹 Support levels: 1.1680 and 1.1590.
🔹 Retested the 1.1680 support zone on Friday.
💡 How to Trade This:
✅ If the pair rebounds from support 🔄, consider BUYING with a Take Profit near the next resistance level.
❌ If the support breaks with confirmation 🩻, consider SELLING to target lower support zones.
📰 What’s Driving the Move?
🏦 Monetary Policy:
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee pushed back against calls for aggressive rate cuts 🗣️, reaffirming the Fed’s focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability ⚖️. His cautious stance adds uncertainty 🤔 to the policy outlook for the second half of the year as markets weigh inflation risks vs. growth slowdown signals.
💼 Economic Data:
The labor market remains solid 💪, but recent jobless claims data show early signs of cooling 🧊, following last week’s strong NFP report.
💵 Dollar Strength:
The dollar advanced sharply against the euro 🚀, driven by risk aversion, relative yield advantages, and investor positioning ahead of upcoming inflation data and the Fed’s next policy signals 📈.
🚨 Watch for:
🔸 A confirmed breakout or rebound at 1.1680 to guide trade entries.
🔸 Upcoming U.S. inflation data 🪙 for direction on Fed policy and USD strength.
🔸 Further developments in trade tensions 🌐, which could drive risk sentiment.
Bitcoin Breaks Above Prior Highs - What to ExpectFollow-Up Context:
As published previously, long positions were initiated around the $100,000–$102,000 support zone (green fair-value band & 200 DMA).
Current Outlook & Targets:
Quarterly Premium 1 (Q-P1) at $121,283 – first profit-taking objective.
Quarterly Premium 2 (Q-P2) at $135,387 – secondary bullish target if Q-P1 flips to support.
Key Levels Recap:
Support Held: $100 k–$102 k (fair-value confluence)
Liquidity Sweep: brief wick below to capture shorts before rapid reclaim.
No new entry is suggested here – we’re tracking progress toward the listed premium zones.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Trend-Following Movement Ahead! 📈 GOLD shows several bullish signals on the 4H chart.
Initially, the price surpassed and closed above a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern.
Following that, a confirmed Change of Character (CHoCH) took place.
The price appears poised for further growth, with the next resistance level at 3360.
AUDCAD SHORT Potential retest of the same level as last week;
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.17
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Everybody loves Gold Part 7Great trading last week. Gold really pushing deep into blues.
This week takes a downturn with possibilities highlighted on the chart; all pointing towards LOS (Level of significance). This level is calculated based on previous week high-low values.
Trade parameters:
1. SL: 50-100pips
2. TP: 3-4x SL
3. double tops/bottom (around LOS) are direction changers.
As always price action determines trades
UTK Xmoney: Bullish Reversal in Sight?After a prolonged bearish trend, UTK Xmoney appears to be forming a strong bottom near the $0.03–$0.04 range. The weekly chart suggests that the asset may be entering a new bullish cycle, especially considering the previous historical support and resistance levels.
My projection (green dotted line) envisions a gradual recovery, with UTK breaking through key resistances at $0.13678 and $0.51413, aiming for the $0.73614 region by 2026. This scenario is based on:
Technical Analysis: Multiple rejections of the lower support zone and historical pattern of strong upswings after prolonged accumulation periods.
Market Sentiment: Increasing adoption of Xmoney’s payment solutions, partnerships, and overall crypto market cycles.
Risk Management: If the $0.03940 support fails, downside risk increases significantly.
Trade Idea:
Long-term position from current levels ($0.03–$0.04) targeting $0.73, with partial profit-taking at $0.13 and $0.51. Stop-loss below $0.039.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research.
GBPNZD - Look for Long (SWING) 1:3GBPNZD currently shows no signs of reversal, having broken the trendline and heading toward the next supply zone on the higher timeframe. This presents a potential opportunity to go long in line with the prevailing trend, never trade against it. Let’s observe how the price action unfolds.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Gold’s Uptrend Is a Mirage,Bears Are Lurking Beneath!Gold has rebounded to around 3336, and seems to have tried to stand above 3335, but it has not stood firm. Therefore, it cannot be considered that the bulls have an advantage just because gold has tried to break through 3335. Recently, I have been reminding everyone that before gold stands above 3335, the bears still have the spare power to dominate the market, so I fully believe that the gold bulls and bears will fight fiercely for control around 3335!
Why do I think it is difficult for gold bulls to have a good performance in the short term? Because since gold fell and touched 3285, it has fallen below many key supports. The market is short-selling. The previous support has become a key resistance under the effect of technical top and bottom conversion, and multiple resistances are concentrated in the 3335-3345-3355 area. Under the suppression of multiple resistances, it is difficult for gold bulls to make any progress in the short term.
So before the resistance is effectively broken, I think any rebound may be an opportunity to short gold, so I will try to find the band top and short gold based on the resistance area, and now I think it is still worth a try to short gold in the 3330-3340 area as originally planned! And look at the target area of 3320-3310
Oxford Industries | OXM | Long at $38.10Oxford Industries NYSE:OXM is an apparel company that designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle brands like Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer, and Southern Tide. While I am not super bullish on the retail sector given the blaring recession signals, I also don't think this is the end of life as we know it... the anticipated downside is already priced-in for many retail brands.
From a technical analysis perspective, NYSE:OXM has entered my "crash" simple moving average zone. Typically, but not always, this is an area where value investors accumulate shares in anticipation of a future rise in share price. While the price is likely to dip near $28-$30 in the near-term, the last open price gap on the daily chart since the COVID-19 pandemic was closed today. Also, last week, an NYSE:OXM Officer and the CEO bought just over $600,000 in shares near $40 and the stock is currently trading at book value.
Fundamentals:
P/E = 7.4x (apparel sector average = 22.4x)
Forward P/E = 11.4x
Dividend = 7.25%
Debt-to-equity = .2x (healthy)
Regardless of some strong fundamentals, persistent macro volatility, consumer caution, and tariff pressures may delay recovery. Analysts expect flat to declining sales in 2025, with limited organic growth. Like I mentioned above, while there is likely short-term pain here, the fundamentals are there to potentially weather the storm.
Thus, at $38.10, NYSE:OXM is in a personal buy zone with the further decline between $28-$30 likely (where additional share accumulation will occur as long as the fundamentals do not change).
Targets into 2027
$45.00 (+18.0%)
$50.00 (+31.2%)
Nothing changes while price is below 8.01CYBN continues to reject form 4hr EMA12, bulls need to break above this in the next few trading sessions or it will continue to decline and knock the price below support, which would be a big step backwards and would be a clear signal that CYBN is not enjoying the same series of bullish signals that ATAI and MNMD are giving
TECHNICAL ANALYSISI BTC 1 HR TIME FRAME 📊 Technical Analysis – BTCUSDT.P (1H Chart)
✅ 1. Overall Trend:
The market is in a strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart, confirmed by multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) points.
📌 2. Price Structure:
🔹 First CHoCH:
Indicates weakness in the prior downtrend.
The following BOS confirms a structure shift to the upside.
🔹 Second CHoCH:
After a minor correction, buyers regained control.
Another BOS confirms continuation of bullish momentum.
🟢 3. Demand Zones:
Multiple demand zones are marked in green.
The most relevant zone right now is between 113,100 – 113,600, still untested.
A bullish reaction is likely if price pulls back into this area.
⚠️ 4. Current Price Action:
Price has reached around 115,487 after the latest BOS.
A minor bearish reaction is visible, suggesting a possible short-term correction.
As long as the BOS level holds, the overall structure remains bullish.
🔍 5. Candlestick Signal:
No clear Engulfing candle yet, but if:
A strong red candle forms followed by a full bullish engulfing candle within the demand zone,
→ that would be a valid Bullish Engulfing pattern and a potential reversal signal.
🎯 Conclusion:
Market structure is currently bullish.
Watch for pullbacks to the 113,100–113,600 zone.
Ideal entries come with confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle or strong rejection).
Always apply strict risk management.
❗️Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell signal.
Please do your own research and trade based on your personal strategy and risk tolerance.
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
CMPS Bulls Keeping Control of 4hr UptrendThe 4hr uptrend is our guide on CMPS as it sets a series of higher lows riding EMAs as support. Eventually we will lose the 4hr uptrend, signalling that daily consolidation is underway. Having bounced 70% from the fear dump low, we are anticipating a daily higher low above 2.25 and the size of that pullback will let us know the likelihood of continuation vs a need to chop around in equilibrium while the market finds a new balance.
4hr RSI just touched 70 today for the first time since the dump.