Support and Resistance
AMD new range higherAMD essentially hit my buy zone that I called months ago almost to the T. Now with renewed strength and the market realizing there is share for both NVDA and AMD, the stock rips. I believe it will push up into this zone over the next week weeks and consolidate here. I am not currently in this trade but I did short AMD on the prior pivot.
Sometime in August we likely enter this range and I may start to sell CSP in the demand zones that form.
$3.48 Is the Line in the Sand—If DOT Holds, Next Stop $4.35DOT/USDT has shifted from a persistent downtrend into an early-stage recovery after forming a clear base near the stronger support area at $3.294. This accumulation zone attracted steady buying interest, eventually fueling a breakout past the previous resistance near $3.531, which has now become a support level.
At present, DOT is trading around $3.688, showing healthy momentum as it approaches the first resistance area. The recent price action demonstrates a breakout–retest structure that typically signals a continuation of bullish sentiment as long as key support levels hold.
The Chaikin Oscillator at the bottom confirms this accumulation phase, with sustained green histogram bars indicating that buying volume is building steadily. The indicator flipped positive before the breakout and continues to support the bias that bulls are in control on this timeframe.
There are two critical resistance zones ahead: the first around $3.974, which marks an interim profit-taking level, and the second near $4.345, a stronger barrier where sellers are likely to appear. If price closes above this higher zone with conviction, it would further confirm that the market has transitioned into a new bullish trend.
Trade Idea (Long Bias)
• Entry: Current area near $3.68 or on a small retracement toward $3.63–$3.60
• Stop-Loss: $3.480, placed just below the weaker support to protect against a deeper reversal
• Target 1 (TP1): $3.974, where partial profits can be secured
• Target 2 (TP2): $4.345, a more ambitious target aligning with the upper resistance
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Approximately 3.3, offering a favorable setup
As long as DOT stays above $3.531 and does not violate the $3.480 stop level, this bullish structure remains intact. If the price drops back below $3.480, it would suggest that the breakout has failed, increasing the likelihood of a retest of the accumulation zone around $3.294.
Overall, the combination of structural breakout, retest, and strengthening momentum indicators supports the idea that DOT may continue climbing toward the upper resistance levels over the next several sessions.
Repeated cycle, timing is keyMarket fluctuations are oscillating about 70% of the time, and only about 30% of the time are unilateral upward or downward, so accumulating small victories into big victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. What we need to do is to plan our positions well, and make this investment with a plan, direction, and guidance. A good trader will make your investment journey smoother. How to operate in a volatile market? The ancients said: Do not do good things because they are small, and do not do evil things because they are small. If we move it to financial management, it can be understood as: Don't be too greedy, enter the market in batches. When entering the market and covering positions, the position should be small. Although the profit is less, accumulating small victories into big victories is the key to success. The investment philosophy is composed of the investor's psychology, philosophy, motivation, and technical level. It mainly includes: stability, patience, independent thinking, discipline, trend, etc.
Judging from the current trend of gold, in the 4H cycle, it has touched 3330 many times under pressure, and the K-line has continuously closed with upper shadows, which is quite similar to yesterday's rhythm. So we must first look at the strength of the decline. The support below is at 3314 and 3306. In terms of operation, it should be treated as mainly long and auxiliary short. The upper pressure still focuses on the gains and losses of 3330.
Tesla (TSLA) Market UpdateTesla NASDAQ:TSLA shares dropped nearly 7% after Elon Musk dismissed analyst Dan Ives' suggestion to scale back his political activities. Musk also proposed a new pay package, raising concerns among investors about potential distractions from Tesla’s core business.
📊 Upcoming Catalyst:
Tesla is set to report its Q2 earnings on July 23, with investors eagerly awaiting updates on the company’s financial performance and the newly launched robo-taxi service in Austin, Texas.
⚠️ Sentiment:
Recent bearish headlines include:
Concerns over potential Robotaxi issues
The ongoing Trump/Elon Musk political drama
📈 Trading Opportunity (Long Setup):
Despite the negative sentiment, this dip could offer a solid long entry opportunity:
Entry Zone: $275–$270
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $315
TP2: $335
Stop Loss: Close below $265
XAGUSD ~750 USD!?Hello. SILVER is approaching the cap of a multi-decade 'cup and handle' pattern. The measured move from that pattern reaches ~750USD/oz. GOLD has already reached the capping line of the 'cup and handle' and has continued up. Silver is known to lag Gold and outperform in the end. Position wisely my brothers and sisters.
Bark | BARK | Long at $0.84BARK, Inc. NYSE:BARK is a dog-focused company offering subscription-based products like BarkBox and Super Chewer, delivering monthly toys, treats, and pet supplies. It operates in Direct-to-Consumer and Commerce segments, selling through its website, retail partners, and e-commerce platforms. While not overly bullish here, especially given the economic / recession-fear headwinds, I think this is one of those stocks that may have a future "pop" as interest rates are lowered, or news emerges of the company expanding to new retail partners. A few insiders have recently purchased shares (~$75k under $1.00) and others have been awarded options. The book value currently rests near $0.64. It may dip between that price at $0.50 in the near-term. However, that's just been the trajectory of SO many of these SPAC stocks... dip then pop or bust.
Fundamentally, nothing to uproar over and this is a risky investment (Nasdaq delisting may occur). The positive is the debt-to-equity in 0.9x, which is pretty good for a small company. But 2026 is expected to be its worst earnings year. The future may look bright in 2027 and beyond, but can the company last? Time will tell.
Thus, for a swing trade, NYSE:BARK is in a personal buy zone at $0.84 with a risk of further near-term decline between $0.50 and $0.64.
Targets into 2027
$0.95 (+13.1%)
$1.25 (+48.8%)
Night range operation, technical outlook is still bearishGold fell as expected after repeated battles at 3330. Currently, gold has returned to around 3320. This shows that the rebound was mainly driven by short-term risk aversion. As market news calms down and sentiment stabilizes, the market will most likely return to the technical trend. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3330, it is expected to touch the 3345 line I mentioned this morning. The short-term 3310 line currently has certain support. From a technical point of view, I prefer to short. Once it falls below 3310, the subsequent support will move to 3295-3285. Therefore, I think it is a good choice to short again at 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Hasboro | HAS | Long at $66.00Hasboro $NASDAQ:HAS. Bouncing in an out of the historical simple moving average (SMA). While it may take a bit for it to spring out and continue its upward trend, it looks poised to do so. However, there is a small price gap that was never closed in the $40's that investors should stay cautious of if the downward trend continues. But a "confirmation" of a reversal will be either a continued move up or a retest of the lower historical SMA band (to close the recent price gaps) followed by a further move up. Fundamentally, NASDAQ:HAS has a high level of debt, but earnings growth is forecasted in its future. At $66.00, $ NASDAQ:HAS is in a personal buy zone, but patient investors may wish to wait for further confirmation of a reversal.
Target #1 = $73.00
Target #2 = $81.00
Target #3 = $87.00
Target #4 = $119.00 (very long-term...)
Short gold ,the downside potential is far from over.After we waited patiently for a long time, the gold bears finally showed signs of strength and began to fall as expected. Why do I insist on being optimistic about the gold retracement and wait patiently for it to retrace? !
In fact, it is very simple. Gold started to rebound from around 3283 and touched around 3330, which only recovered 50% of the decline. When facing the 50% retracement level, the bulls were unable to do so and could not stand above 3335, and could not even stabilize above 3330. The bulls' willingness was obviously insufficient. Then it can be determined that the gold rebound is only a technical repair of the sharp drop, and it cannot be completely regarded as a reversal of the trend. Then after a certain degree of repair, the gold bears will counterattack again.
Moreover, from the perspective of market psychology, the recent gold bull and bear markets have been discontinuous, and Trump often stirs up the gold market, making it difficult for the market to stand unilaterally on the bull side. Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3330-3340 area, there is limited room for rebound in the short term. Once gold falls below the 3310-3305 area again during the retracement, gold may test the area around 3280 again, or even around 3270.
So the above is why I insist on shorting gold, and I have shorted gold at 3320-3330 as planned, and patiently hold the position to see its performance in the 3310-3305 area, which is also the target area of our short-term short position.
Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
EURUSD Below 1.1745 – Bearish Bias in PlayFX:EURUSD Technical Outlook
EURUSD maintains bearish momentum as long as the price remains below 1.1745, with a near-term target at 1.1684.
A confirmed breakout above 1.1745 would shift the trend to bullish, opening the path toward 1.1808 and 1.1883.
On the downside, a 1H or 4H candle close below 1.1684 would reinforce the bearish trend, likely extending losses toward 1.1627, and possibly 1.1557.
Support: 1.1684 / 1.1627 / 1.1557
Resistance: 1.1808 / 1.1883
Nifty approaching Mid-channel support zone now. Nifty after a 120 point negative closing is entering an important support zone. This support zone has 3 layers. The First of the support lies at 25322 which is just above the mid-channel. The second for Nifty is near 25222 which is just below the mid channel support.
There is a possibility of bounce either from the current level or either of these 2 levels. If we get a closing below 25322 then there is a possibility that bears might try to pull Nifty down towards 25167 which is the Father line or 200 Hours EMA.
The resistances for Nifty remain at 25404, 25437 which is the Mother line or 50 hours EMA. Post that there are resistances at 25477, 25551 and 25641. Closing above 25641 is required for Nifty to fly towards 26K levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Break of downward sloping channel LongNike has swept liquidity and is now showing a strong bounce to the upside.
Although I didn’t manage to enter the initial long, I am monitoring for a break above the current downward-sloping channel. A clean breakout followed by a retest would provide a more reliable entry point. I’m not aiming to catch the absolute bottom—I’d rather wait for confirmation of trend reversal.
A move above the monthly level at 79.46 would be an additional sign of strength and increase conviction in the long setup.
There is still significant overhead resistance, particularly around the point of control aligned with the anchored VWAP near 92.50. That area would be my first target. However, if momentum continues, there is potential for a move towards the 122 level.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
"False Hopes, True Drop – Bears Tighten Their Grip"
Nifty opened with a mild 50-point gap-up, but within the very first minute, that optimism was crushed. It dropped nearly 100 points, breaching the previous day’s low, and entered the key support zone of 25405–25418, which held briefly for about half an hour.
But this wasn’t a day for bulls.
After a weak attempt to recover from the 25360 support (which held twice intraday), sellers regained momentum, dragged the index further down, and finally closed at the lowest point of the day – 25348.
🔸 Expiry volatility played its part — trapping option buyers and luring them into false reversals.
🔸 However, quick scalpers and intraday short-sellers likely capitalized well.
🔸 The structure was decisively bearish, with no meaningful intraday bounce.
Tomorrow becomes crucial.
Bulls have one last stronghold at the 25300 level.
Bears, already in charge, may extend the damage further if this breaks.
⚠️ Bias Levels:
🟢 Bullish above: 25420
🔴 Bearish below: 25290
⚪ Between = Neutral / Watch Mode
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,511.65
High: 25,524.05
Low: 25,340.45
Close: 25,355.25
Change: −120.85 (−0.47%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 156.40 points – large red candle
Upper Wick: 12.40 points – minimal bullish push
Lower Wick: 14.80 points – bears kept pressure till close
🔍 Interpretation
Bears took over early and never let go
The close at day low shows strong conviction from sellers
Lack of significant wicks → no real fight from bulls
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Marubozu-style candle – clear sign of dominance by sellers, and potential for continuation if no quick reversal
📌 Key Insight
Market is in a critical zone — hovering above the edge of deeper correction
25300–25290 is the line in the sand
A breakdown below can target 25,200–25,250
Bulls can only regain momentum above 25,420
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 189.49
IB Range: 113.75 → Medium IB
Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced
Trades Triggered
10:52 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trail SL Hit (R:R 1:0.38)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,380
25,405 ~ 25,418
25,470 ~ 25,480
25,530
25,545 ~ 25,550
Support Levels
25,315 ~ 25,295
25,260
25,212 ~ 25,180
25,125
💭 Final Thoughts
"Expiry days often blur the picture, but today’s price action was sharp. Unless bulls step up quickly, the breakdown may just be getting started."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
IBM eyes on $282.88: Golden Genesis fib a Key Support to uptrendIBM has been in a strong uptrend but looking top-ish.
It has pulled back to a Golden Genesis fib at $282.88
Look for a bounce but perhaps after a couple orbits.
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See "Related Publications" for previous charts like this BOTTOM CALL:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts.
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Nifty Intraday Analysis for 11th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25500 – 25550 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25650 – 25700 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25225 – 25175 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25000 – 24950 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 11th July 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 57400 – 57500 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57900 – 58000 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 56600 - 56500 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 56100 - 56000 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 11th July 2025NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27150 - 27200 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 27350 - 27400 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 26775 – 26725 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 266550 – 26500 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 11th July 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13325 – 13350 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13475 – 13500 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13075 – 13050 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12925 – 12900 range.
Bearish is still the main trend, first test 3250 supportYesterday, as the market expected a trade agreement to be reached between the US and its trading partners, risk sentiment was boosted. The strengthening of DXY and the rise in US Treasury yields put some pressure on gold.
On Monday, gold rebounded to 3320, and on Tuesday it touched above 3320 and began to fall sharply. In the short term, 3320 is a key trading position that we need to pay attention to. From the daily chart, the support line of 3320 has been completely broken, and the two major support points below are 3250 and 3200 respectively. Judging from the 4H chart, the decline may have just begun. Next, we may first face a test of the 3250 support line. If the 3250 support can be maintained, gold will maintain a volatile consolidation in the short term. Otherwise, if it falls below 3250, it will test the 3200 mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Eyes 3365 as Tariff Tensions Support Bullish MomentumGOLD OVERVIEW
Gold extended gains to around $3,329 amid a weaker dollar and ongoing tariff tensions, with markets reacting to new U.S. trade actions and divided Fed minutes on rate cuts.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains bullish while above 3320.
A 1H close above 3342 opens the door to 3365.
A 1H close below 3314 will turn sentiment bearish toward 3297 and potentially 3282.
Resistance: 3330, 3342, 3365
Support: 3309, 3297, 3282